Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Wilmington, OH

Dearborn County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Union County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Boone County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Darke County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Madison County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Preble County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Warren County, OH

162 
WGUS61 KILN 282016
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
416 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

INZ066-073>075-080-KYZ089>099-OHZ070>072-077>081-290515-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0002.170428T2300Z-170429T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-
Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-
Mason-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-
Adams-
Including the cities of Brookville, Batesville, Milan, 
Versailles, Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, 
Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, 
Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, 
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, 
Mount Olivet, Maysville, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford,
Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Cincinnati, 
Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Hillsboro, Greenfield, 
West Union, and Peebles
416 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Southeast Indiana, Northern Kentucky, and 
  Southwest Ohio, including the following areas, in Southeast 
  Indiana, Dearborn, Franklin IN, Ohio, Ripley, and Switzerland. 
  In Northern Kentucky, Boone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, 
  Gallatin, Grant, Kenton, Mason, Owen, Pendleton, and 
  Robertson. In Southwest Ohio, Adams, Brown, Butler, Clermont, 
  Clinton, Hamilton, Highland, and Warren. 

* Through Saturday morning

* A warm front will lift slowly north across the region through
  tonight. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop late
  this afternoon and continue into tonight. Some storms will be 
  capable of producing very heavy rainfall. Rainfall amounts of 1 
  to 3 inches can be expected with locally higher amounts 
  possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding
occur or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas,
and be careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

941 
WGUS61 KILN 290012
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
812 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

INZ066-073>075-080-KYZ089>099-OHZ070>072-077>081-290815-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170429T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-
Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-
Mason-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-
Adams-
Including the cities of Brookville, Batesville, Milan, 
Versailles, Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, 
Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, 
Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, 
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, 
Mount Olivet, Maysville, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford,
Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Cincinnati, 
Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Hillsboro, Greenfield, 
West Union, and Peebles
812 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Southeast Indiana, Northern Kentucky, and 
  Southwest Ohio, including the following areas, in Southeast 
  Indiana, Dearborn, Franklin IN, Ohio, Ripley, and Switzerland. 
  In Northern Kentucky, Boone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, 
  Gallatin, Grant, Kenton, Mason, Owen, Pendleton, and 
  Robertson. In Southwest Ohio, Adams, Brown, Butler, Clermont, 
  Clinton, Hamilton, Highland, and Warren. 

* Through Saturday morning

* A warm front will lift slowly north across the region through
  tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will move across the area
  tonight. Some storms will be capable of producing very heavy
  rainfall. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches can be expected with
  locally higher amounts possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding
occur or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas,
and be careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

052 
WGUS61 KILN 290105
FFAILN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
905 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

INZ058-059-OHZ060>062-290915-
/O.EXA.KILN.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170429T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Fayette IN-Union IN-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-
Including the cities of Connersville, Liberty, 
West College Corner, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, 
Beavercreek, Fairborn, and Xenia
905 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include portions of East Central Indiana 
  and West Central Ohio, including the following areas, in East 
  Central Indiana, Fayette IN and Union IN. In West Central 
  Ohio, Greene, Montgomery, and Preble. 

* Through Saturday morning

* A warm front will lift slowly north across the region through
  tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will move across the area
  tonight into Saturday morning. Some storms will be capable of 
  producing very heavy rainfall. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches
  can be expected with locally higher amounts possible. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding
occur or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas,
and be careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

INZ066-073>075-080-KYZ089>099-OHZ070>072-077>081-290915-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170429T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-
Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-
Mason-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-
Adams-
Including the cities of Brookville, Batesville, Milan, 
Versailles, Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, 
Warsaw, Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, 
Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, 
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, 
Mount Olivet, Maysville, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford,
Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Cincinnati, 
Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Hillsboro, Greenfield, 
West Union, and Peebles
905 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Southeast Indiana, Northern Kentucky, and 
  Southwest Ohio, including the following areas, in Southeast 
  Indiana, Dearborn, Franklin IN, Ohio, Ripley, and Switzerland. 
  In Northern Kentucky, Boone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, 
  Gallatin, Grant, Kenton, Mason, Owen, Pendleton, and 
  Robertson. In Southwest Ohio, Adams, Brown, Butler, Clermont, 
  Clinton, Hamilton, Highland, and Warren. 

* Through Saturday morning

* A warm front will lift slowly north across the region through
  tonight. Showers and thunderstorms will move across the area
  tonight into Saturday morning. Some storms will be capable of 
  producing very heavy rainfall. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches
  can be expected with locally higher amounts possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding
occur or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas,
and be careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

718 
WGUS61 KILN 290716
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
316 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

INZ058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>099-OHZ060>062-070>072-077>081-
291500-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170429T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-
Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-
Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Butler-Warren-
Clinton-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-
Including the cities of Connersville, Liberty, 
West College Corner, Brookville, Batesville, Milan, Versailles, 
Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, 
Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, 
Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, 
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, 
Mount Olivet, Maysville, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, 
Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, 
Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, 
Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Hillsboro, 
Greenfield, West Union, and Peebles
316 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Indiana, Northern Kentucky, and Ohio, including 
  the following areas, in Indiana, Dearborn, Fayette IN, 
  Franklin IN, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland, and Union IN. In 
  Northern Kentucky, Boone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, 
  Gallatin, Grant, Kenton, Mason, Owen, Pendleton, and 
  Robertson. In Ohio, Adams, Brown, Butler, Clermont, Clinton, 
  Greene, Hamilton, Highland, Montgomery, Preble, and Warren. 

* Until 11 AM EDT this morning

* A warm front will lift slowly north across the region through
  this morning. Showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop
  along the front. Some storms will be capable of producing very 
  heavy rainfall. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches can be 
  expected with locally higher amounts possible. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding
occur or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas,
and be careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

219 
WGUS61 KILN 290905
FFAILN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
505 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

INZ050-KYZ100-OHZ042-051>055-063>065-073-074-082-088-291500-
/O.EXA.KILN.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170429T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wayne-Lewis-Darke-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-Franklin OH-
Fayette OH-Pickaway-Fairfield-Ross-Hocking-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Richmond, Vanceburg, Tollesboro, 
Greenville, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, Springfield, London, 
West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Washington Court House, 
Circleville, Lancaster, Pickerington, Chillicothe, Logan, 
Waverly, Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg
505 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include portions of East Central Indiana, 
  Northeast Kentucky, and Ohio, including the following areas, 
  in East Central Indiana, Wayne. In Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. 
  In Ohio, Champaign, Clark, Darke, Fairfield, Fayette OH, 
  Franklin OH, Hocking, Madison, Miami, Pickaway, Pike, Ross, 
  and Scioto. 

* Until 11 AM EDT this morning

* A warm front will lift slowly north across the region through 
  this morning. Showers and thunderstorms will continue to 
  develop along the front. Some storms will be capable of 
  producing very heavy rainfall. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 
  inches can be expected with locally higher amounts possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding
occur or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas,
and be careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

INZ058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>099-OHZ060>062-070>072-077>081-
291500-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170429T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-
Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-
Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Butler-Warren-
Clinton-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-
Including the cities of Connersville, Liberty, 
West College Corner, Brookville, Batesville, Milan, Versailles, 
Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, 
Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, 
Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, 
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, 
Mount Olivet, Maysville, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, Kettering, 
Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, 
Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, 
Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Hillsboro, 
Greenfield, West Union, and Peebles
505 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Indiana, Northern Kentucky, and Ohio, including 
  the following areas, in Indiana, Dearborn, Fayette IN, 
  Franklin IN, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland, and Union IN. In 
  Northern Kentucky, Boone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, 
  Gallatin, Grant, Kenton, Mason, Owen, Pendleton, and 
  Robertson. In Ohio, Adams, Brown, Butler, Clermont, Clinton, 
  Greene, Hamilton, Highland, Montgomery, Preble, and Warren. 

* Until 11 AM EDT this morning

* A warm front will lift slowly north across the region through
  this morning. Showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop
  along the front. Some storms will be capable of producing very
  heavy rainfall. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches can be
  expected with locally higher amounts possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding
occur or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas,
and be careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

814 
WGUS61 KILN 291404
FFAILN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1004 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

KYZ098>100-291515-
/O.CAN.KILN.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170429T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Including the cities of Mount Olivet, Maysville, Vanceburg, 
and Tollesboro
1004 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for Robertson, Mason and Lewis County has 
been cancelled. The threat of flash flooding has diminished.

$$

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>097-OHZ042-051>055-060>065-
070>074-077>082-088-292000-
/O.EXT.KILN.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170429T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Darke-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-Franklin OH-
Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-
Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-
Adams-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, 
West College Corner, Brookville, Batesville, Milan, Versailles, 
Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, 
Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, 
Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, 
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, 
Greenville, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, Springfield, London, 
West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, 
Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, 
Circleville, Lancaster, Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, 
Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, 
Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown,
Mount Orab, Hillsboro, Greenfield, West Union, Peebles, Waverly, 
Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg
1004 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of Indiana, Northern Kentucky, and Ohio, including 
  the following areas, in Indiana, Dearborn, Fayette IN, 
  Franklin IN, Ohio, Ripley, Switzerland, Union IN, and Wayne. 
  In Northern Kentucky, Boone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, 
  Gallatin, Grant, Kenton, Owen, and Pendleton. In Ohio, Adams, 
  Brown, Butler, Champaign, Clark, Clermont, Clinton, Darke, 
  Fairfield, Fayette OH, Franklin OH, Greene, Hamilton, 
  Highland, Hocking, Madison, Miami, Montgomery, Pickaway, Pike, 
  Preble, Ross, Scioto, and Warren. 

* Until 4 PM EDT this afternoon.

* Showers and thunderstorms will continue to occur into the
  afternoon before finally diminishing. With many areas already
  saturated from earlier rainfall, additional rain may cause flash
  flooding, especially with any heavier rainfall. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding
occur or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas,
and be careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

705 
WGUS61 KILN 291853
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
253 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>097-OHZ042-051>055-060>065-
070>074-077>082-088-292000-
/O.CAN.KILN.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-170429T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Darke-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-Franklin OH-
Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-
Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-
Adams-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, 
West College Corner, Brookville, Batesville, Milan, Versailles, 
Lawrenceburg, Aurora, Rising Sun, Vevay, Carrollton, Warsaw, 
Florence, Burlington, Oakbrook, Covington, Erlanger, 
Independence, Newport, Alexandria, Owenton, Williamstown, 
Crittenden, Dry Ridge, Falmouth, Butler, Augusta, Brooksville, 
Greenville, Troy, Piqua, Tipp City, Urbana, Springfield, London, 
West Jefferson, Plain City, Columbus, Eaton, Camden, Dayton, 
Kettering, Beavercreek, Fairborn, Xenia, Washington Court House, 
Circleville, Lancaster, Pickerington, Hamilton, Middletown, 
Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, 
Blanchester, Chillicothe, Logan, Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown,
Mount Orab, Hillsboro, Greenfield, West Union, Peebles, Waverly, 
Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg
253 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of Indiana, Northern Kentucky,
and Ohio has been cancelled. The threat for additional flash
flooding has ended. However, high water lingers from earlier heavy
rainfall.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1030 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will move east early today. A frontal boundary will
develop into the region this afternoon and linger near the area
into Sunday, causing unsettled weather through the weekend. Cooler
temperatures will filter in behind the front next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A developing warm front will lift north across the Tennessee
Valley through this afternoon, possibly pushing north into
southern portions of our fa through this evening. There remains
some uncertainty among the models as to how far north this
boundary will make it and as a result where the heavy rain and
severe threat will set up later today into tonight.

Along and south of the boundary, good instability will develop
through this afternoon. A weak mid level short wave will move
east across the Ohio Valley this afternoon and this may help
initiate convection along the boundary. With good shear
profiles along the boundary, severe storms with some rotators
would be possible later this afternoon into this evening along
and south of the boundary with training storms and potential
flash flooding too. Farther to the north of the boundary, the
storms will be more elevated, leading to primarily a hail
threat heading into this evening.

The synoptic models are generally farther north than the
higher-res cams, with the last several runs of the HRRR keeping
the focus generally south of our FA. It does appear the the
highest severe threat will be south of the Ohio River, possibly
over into far south central Ohio. This is also the area that
would seem most prone to flash flooding but with the synoptic
models much farther north with their swath of heavy rain later
tonight, there remains quite a bit of uncertainty as to where
the heaviest rain threat will be. We may eventually need a
flash flood watch across parts of the area but prefer to see
what the 12Z runs show to see if the flood threat can be more
fine tuned.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
Warm front nearly parallel to the upper flow will remain in the
region tonight, lifting to Northwest Ohio. As isentropic lift
intensifies under a strengthening upper jet, showers will become
widespread in northwestern locations, while showers will be
much less prevalent in the southeast farther from the boundary.
Convective development will be enhanced by ample short wave
energy and moisture advection traveling along the slow moving
boundary. Thunderstorms will be possible in a zone of elevated
CAPE near the front, and some storms may reach severe limits.
Models indicate favorable wind shear profiles above an
inversion layer that suggest large hail as the main threat.

Showers and a few thunderstorms will continue mainly across
northern locations on Saturday. Activity should show a
diminishing trend by Saturday evening when the frontal forcing
is forecast to lift toward Lake Erie.

With the area mainly in the warm sector, temperatures will
exhibit a warming trend. Highs will range from the upper 60s
north, up to the mid 80s south.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Warm and moist southwest flow aloft will lead to an active weather
pattern this weekend into early next week. Surface warm front to
lift north through ILN/s FA Saturday night. Best forcing associated
with low level jet/instability and moisture to our west. Therefore,
will limit pops to chance category with the best chance northwest.

Upper level low to develop over the Central Plains and then lift
northeast into the Upper MS Vly Monday. On Sunday the best forcing
and lift to our west with ILN/s FA in the warm sector. Will limit
pops to chance across the western counties. Temperatures look to be
10 to 15 degrees above normal, with highs Sunday ranging from 80
northwest to the upper 80s southeast.

Model solutions generally similar with strong cold front pushing
east into ILN/s western counties by 12Z Monday and then sweeping
east across the FA early. Due to strong front expect widespread
convection to develop but instability is marginal. PW/s increase to
above 1.5 inches, so heavy rain rates will be likely but
precipitation will be progressive with front east of ILN/s by early
afternoon. 850 mb winds of 45-50 kts will persist in the wake of the
front in CAA pattern. Momentum transfer technique suggest surface
wind gusts of 40 mph likely. Will continue to highlight this threat
in the HWO product. Temperatures will be turn cooler with highs
Monday from the mid 60s west to the mid 70s east.

Deep upper level low to track ene through the Great Lakes Monday
into Tuesday. Will keep chance pops of a shower across the north
into early Tuesday. Temperatures will be a little below normal, with
highs ranging from near 60 northwest to the upper 60s southeast.

Mid/upper level flow backs with moisture increasing Wednesday acrs
the far south and then across the entire FA Thursday. Model
solutions differ on moisture placement Thursday with GFS keeping
main moisture east. Have favored a Canadian/Ecmwf blend with best
pops in the east Thursday but spreading pcpn chances across the
entire area. Wednesday's highs look to range from the lower 60s
northwest to the upper 60s southeast. Thursday looks even cooler
with highs of 60 to 65.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Period starts dry under weak high pressure giving mainly mid
and high clouds. BR will reduce visibility at LCK early in the
forecast, with MVFR ceilings at LCK and CMH. Once early morning
BR and low clouds dissipate, conditions will then deteriorate
slowly as a warm front develops. Clouds will thicken and lower
while ceilings remain VFR through the afternoon and evening,
and showers may occur by evening at western sites in increasing
moisture and lift associated with the warm front. MVFR
conditions may eventually accompany the showers late in the
forecast period as the boundary layer nears saturation. Added
VCTS to all TAFs, with further refinement likely in later
forecasts. Surface winds from the southeast will stay under 10
knots during the early part of the forecast. Speeds around 10
knots out of the south are expected later in the forecast with
the showers. Wind shear is expected to develop for a few hours
late in the forecast.

OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings and visibilities with a chance of
thunderstorms are possible Saturday, Sunday night and Monday.
Wind gusts to 35 kt possible Sunday into Tuesday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Coniglio
NEAR TERM...JGL
SHORT TERM...Coniglio
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...Coniglio

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
523 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-290930-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-
Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-
Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-
Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-Pickaway-
Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-
Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
523 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, Central
Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Thunderstorms are expected to develop this afternoon through tonight.
A few severe storms are possible, with primary threats of large hail
and heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Thunderstorms are expected to continue on Saturday. A few severe
storms are possible, with primary threats of large hail and heavy
rainfall.

Wind gusts up to 40 MPH are possible on Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.