Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2017
River Flood Warning 13, NWS Wilmington, NC
NWS Wilmington, NC issued this river flood warning at Apr 25, 2017, 10:13 AM EDT for Bladen County, North Carolina. It took effect at Apr 26, 2017, 7:04 PM EDT. It was in force for 3 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 25, 2017, 10:13 AM EDT (14:13 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 26, 2017, 7:04 PM EDT
- Expired
- Apr 29, 2017, 10:46 PM EDT
- In force
- 3 days
- Issued by
- NWS Wilmington, NC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Bladen County, NC
The radar
The Wilmington radar (KLTX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Cape Fear River at Elizabethtown (ELZN7).
- Action stage
- 20 ft
- Minor stage
- 25 ft
- Moderate stage
- 35 ft
- Major stage
- 42 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
569
WGUS42 KILM 251413
FLWILM
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1013 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017
...The National Weather Service in Wilmington NC has issued a Flood Warning for
the following rivers in North Carolina...
Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County
Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County
Northeast Cape Fear Near Burgaw affecting Pender County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to
protect life and property from the flood waters.
Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the
"Rivers and Lakes" link.
&&
NCC017-260613-
/O.NEW.KILM.FL.W.0012.170426T0707Z-170430T1054Z/
/STPN7.2.ER.170426T0707Z.170427T1200Z.170429T2254Z.NO/
1013 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017
The National Weather Service in Wilmington NC has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* from late tonight to Sunday morning.
* At 9:46 AM Tuesday the stage was 36.98 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late tonight and continue to rise to near
51.9 feet by early Thursday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage
by Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 52.0 feet...Extensive flooding will occur along the left bank of
the river. Water levels will reach the door sill of the USGS well house.
&&
LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
3465 7872 3472 7882
$$
NCC017-260613-
/O.NEW.KILM.FL.W.0013.170427T0400Z-170430T0246Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.170427T0400Z.170428T1200Z.170429T1446Z.NO/
1013 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017
The National Weather Service in Wilmington NC has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* from late Wednesday night to Saturday evening.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 28.6 feet Friday
morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet...Flood waters will affect low grounds along the right
bank of the river.
&&
LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
3459 7859 3465 7872
$$
NCC141-260613-
/O.NEW.KILM.FL.W.0014.170429T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/BGWN7.1.ER.170429T1200Z.170429T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1013 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017
The National Weather Service in Wilmington NC has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Northeast Cape Fear Near Burgaw.
* from Saturday morning until further notice.
* At 9:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 5.50 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue to rise to
near 10.1 feet by early Saturday afternoon. Additional rises are possible
thereafter.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Minor flooding of roads in the River Bend and River
Birch subdivisions. Flooding of Croomsbridge Road begins west of the bridge
over the river.
&&
LAT...LON 3472 7798 3472 7786 3460 7776 3445 7779
3444 7788 3457 7788
$$
159 follow-up statements
947
WGUS82 KILM 260211
FLSILM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1011 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers...
Northeast Cape Fear Near Burgaw affecting Pender County NC
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...
Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC
Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
Black Creek At Quinby affecting Darlington and Florence Counties SC
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...
Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to
protect life and property from the flood waters.
Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the
"Rivers and Lakes" link.
&&
NCC017-261811-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0012.170426T0208Z-170428T2000Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.170426T0133Z.170427T0000Z.170428T0800Z.NO/
1011 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until Friday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* until Friday afternoon.
* At 9:47 PM Tuesday the stage was 44.17 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 49.5 feet by tomorrow
evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet...Extensive lowland flooding will occur along the left
bank of the river.
&&
LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
3465 7872 3472 7882
$$
NCC017-261811-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0013.170426T2113Z-170428T2128Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.170426T2113Z.170427T1800Z.170428T0928Z.NO/
1011 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until Friday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* from Wednesday afternoon to Friday afternoon.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 27.3 feet early
Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Floodwaters will affect farmers' fields adjacent to the
river requiring the movement of farm equipment to higher ground.
&&
LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
3459 7859 3465 7872
$$
NCC141-260241-
/O.CAN.KILM.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170426T0211Z/
/BGWN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Northeast Cape Fear Near Burgaw.
* At 9:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 6.37 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 9.8 feet early Sunday
afternoon.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Minor flooding of roads in the River Bend and River
Birch subdivisions. Flooding of Croomsbridge Road begins west of the bridge
over the river.
&&
LAT...LON 3472 7798 3472 7786 3460 7776 3445 7779
3444 7788 3457 7788
$$
NCC155-261811-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170427T1500Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.170425T1516Z.170426T0600Z.170427T0300Z.UU/
1011 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until Thursday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until Thursday morning.
* At 7:49 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.37 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.4 feet by just after
midnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage late tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Low land flooding will occur along the river. The flood
waters may affect some residential property as water backs up into the
drainage ditches in the city.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC041-067-261811-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0010.170426T1727Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.170426T1727Z.170501T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* from Wednesday afternoon until further notice.
* At 10:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.22 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow afternoon and continue to
rise to near 24.0 feet by Sunday evening. Additional rises are possible
thereafter.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will continue to affect logging operations
upstream and downstream from Pee Dee. Flooding of farmlands adjacent to the
river will worsen.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$
SCC031-041-261811-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0011.170427T1200Z-170428T0600Z/
/BCRS1.1.ER.170427T1200Z.170427T1200Z.170427T1800Z.NO/
1011 PM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until late Thursday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Black Creek At Quinby.
* from Thursday morning to late Thursday night.
* At 10:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 7.74 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage. Creek coming out of its banks.
&&
LAT...LON 3432 7979 3429 7973 3431 7967 3423 7963
3422 7975 3428 7984
$$
04389
WGUS82 KILM 261411
FLSILM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1011 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers...
Black Creek At Quinby affecting Darlington and Florence Counties SC
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...
Cape Fear River At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
Cape Fear River At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC
Lumber River Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
Great Pee Dee River At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to
protect life and property from the flood waters.
Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the
"Rivers and Lakes" link.
&&
NCC017-270611-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.170426T0133Z.170427T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear River At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* until further notice.
* At 9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 46.74 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will crest near 49.7 feet by just after
midnight tonight...then will begin falling Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet...Extensive lowland flooding will occur along the left
bank of the river.
&&
LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
3465 7872 3472 7882
$$
NCC017-270611-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0013.170426T2304Z-170429T0424Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.170426T2304Z.170427T1800Z.170428T1624Z.NO/
1011 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until late Friday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear River At Elizabethtown.
* from this evening to late Friday night.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest at 27.3 feet
tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Floodwaters will affect farmers' fields adjacent to the
river requiring the movement of farm equipment to higher ground.
&&
LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
3459 7859 3465 7872
$$
NCC155-270611-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170427T1800Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.170425T1516Z.170426T1100Z.170427T0600Z.UU/
1011 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until Thursday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lumber River Near Lumberton.
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 7:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.44 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall and should fall below flood stage shortly
after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Low land flooding will occur along the river. The flood
waters may affect some residential property as water backs up into the
drainage ditches in the city.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC041-067-270611-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0010.170426T1845Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.170426T1845Z.170501T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* from this afternoon until further notice.
* At 9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.75 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to rise to
near 24.5 feet by Monday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will continue to affect logging operations
upstream and downstream from Pee Dee. Flooding of farmlands adjacent to the
river will worsen.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$
SCC031-041-261441-
/O.CAN.KILM.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-170428T0600Z/
/BCRS1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1011 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Black Creek At Quinby.
* At 9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 8.45 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 9.7 feet tomorrow
morning.
* Impact...Flood stage is 10.0 feet where the creek begins to out of its banks.
&&
LAT...LON 3432 7979 3429 7973 3431 7967 3423 7963
3422 7975 3428 7984
$$
TRA662
WGUS82 KILM 270245
FLSILM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1045 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...
Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC
Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...
Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to
protect life and property from the flood waters.
Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the
"Rivers and Lakes" link.
&&
NCC017-271845-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.170426T0133Z.170427T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1045 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 48.13 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 48.4 feet by just after
midnight tonight then begin falling.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet...Extensive lowland flooding will occur along the left
bank of the river.
&&
LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
3465 7872 3472 7882
$$
NCC017-271845-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170429T0730Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170427T1800Z.170428T1930Z.NO/
1045 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until late Friday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* until late Friday night.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 26.8 feet early
tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Floodwaters will affect farmers' fields adjacent to the
river requiring the movement of farm equipment to higher ground.
&&
LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
3459 7859 3465 7872
$$
NCC155-271845-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170502T0600Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.170425T1516Z.170426T1100Z.170501T1800Z.UU/
1045 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until late Monday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until late Monday night.
* At 10:25 PM Wednesday the stage was 13.34 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall and get below flood stage by early
Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Low land flooding will occur along the river. The flood
waters may affect some residential property as water backs up into the
drainage ditches in the city.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC041-067-271845-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.170427T0030Z.170502T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1045 PM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 19.10 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.8 feet by Monday evening.
Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will continue to affect logging operations
upstream and downstream from Pee Dee. Flooding of farmlands adjacent to the
river will worsen.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$
04289
WGUS82 KILM 271417
FLSILM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1017 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...
Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC
Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...
Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to
protect life and property from the flood waters.
Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the
"Rivers and Lakes" link.
&&
NCC017-280617-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.170426T0133Z.170427T0715Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1017 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* until further notice.
* At 9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 47.87 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 46.8 feet by tomorrow
morning.
&&
LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
3465 7872 3472 7882
$$
NCC017-280616-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170430T0430Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170427T1800Z.170429T1630Z.NO/
1017 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until late Saturday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* until late Saturday night.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 26.9 feet this
afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Floodwaters will affect farmers' fields adjacent to the
river requiring the movement of farm equipment to higher ground.
&&
LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
3459 7859 3465 7872
$$
NCC155-280616-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.170425T1516Z.170426T1100Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1017 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until further notice...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until further notice.
* At 7:00 AM Thursday the stage was 13.27 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.4 feet by early Monday
morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Low land flooding will occur along the river. The flood
waters may affect some residential property as water backs up into the
drainage ditches in the city.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC041-067-280616-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.170427T0030Z.170502T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1017 AM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 19.66 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.5 feet by early Tuesday
morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will continue to affect logging operations
upstream and downstream from Pee Dee. Flooding of farmlands adjacent to the
river will worsen.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$
43199
WGUS82 KILM 280212
FLSILM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1012 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...
Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...
Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to
protect life and property from the flood waters.
Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the
"Rivers and Lakes" link.
&&
NCC017-281812-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.170426T0133Z.170427T0715Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1012 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* until further notice.
* At 9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 47.77 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 46.7 feet by Saturday
morning.
&&
LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
3465 7872 3472 7882
$$
NCC017-281812-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170501T0000Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170428T0600Z.170430T1200Z.NO/
1012 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until Sunday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* until Sunday evening.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 26.1 feet just
after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Floodwaters will affect farmers' fields adjacent to the
river requiring the movement of farm equipment to higher ground.
&&
LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
3459 7859 3465 7872
$$
NCC155-281812-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.170425T1516Z.170426T1100Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1012 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until further notice.
* At 7:55 PM Thursday the stage was 13.07 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.4 feet by early Monday
morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Low land flooding will occur along the river. The flood
waters may affect some residential property as water backs up into the
drainage ditches in the city.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC041-067-281811-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.170427T0030Z.170502T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1012 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 PM Thursday the stage was 20.00 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.5 feet by early Tuesday
afternoon. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will continue to affect logging operations
upstream and downstream from Pee Dee. Flooding of farmlands adjacent to the
river will worsen.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$
TRA445
WGUS82 KILM 281433
FLSILM
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1033 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...
Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC
Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...
Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County
NC
Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
People with interests along the river should take the necessary
precautions to protect life and property from the flood waters.
Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm
under the "Rivers and Lakes" link.
&&
NCC017-290633-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.170426T0133Z.170427T0715Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 47.50 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 46.4 feet
by Saturday morning.
&&
LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
3465 7872 3472 7882
$$
NCC017-290633-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170430T1200Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170428T1800Z.170430T0000Z.NO/
1033 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* until Sunday morning.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 26.0
feet this afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Floodwaters will affect farmers' fields
adjacent to the river requiring the movement of farm equipment to
higher ground.
&&
LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
3459 7859 3465 7872
$$
NCC155-290633-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170503T1800Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.170425T1516Z.170426T1100Z.170503T0600Z.NO/
1033 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until Wednesday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 7:00 AM Friday the stage was 12.98 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 13.2 feet by Monday
morning. The river will fall below flood stage by early Wednesday
morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Low land flooding will occur along the
river. The flood waters may affect some residential property as
water backs up into the drainage ditches in the city.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC041-067-290633-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.170427T0030Z.170502T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1033 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Friday the stage was 20.39 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.6 feet by
early Tuesday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding will affect swamp and timberlands
while also disrupting logging operations. Operations will likely
cease and equipment not previously moved will remain trapped. Some
farmland will have minor flooding especially around Britton Neck.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$530
WGUS82 KILM 290129
FLSILM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
929 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...
Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC
Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...
Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to
protect life and property from the flood waters.
Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the
"Rivers and Lakes" link.
&&
NCC017-291729-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.170426T0133Z.170427T0715Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
929 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* until further notice.
* At 9:00 PM Friday the stage was 47.11 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 44.8 feet by Sunday
morning.
&&
LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
3465 7872 3472 7882
$$
NCC017-291729-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170430T1312Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170429T0600Z.170430T0112Z.NO/
929 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* until Sunday morning.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to fall below flood stage Saturday night
or Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will reach the top of the navigational
lock.
&&
LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
3459 7859 3465 7872
$$
NCC155-291729-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170502T0000Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.170425T1516Z.170426T1100Z.170501T1200Z.UU/
929 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until Monday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until Monday evening.
* At 8:00 PM Friday the stage was 12.84 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Sunday morning and continue to rise
to near 13.1 feet by early Monday morning. The river will fall below flood
stage by Monday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Low land flooding will occur along the river. The flood
waters may affect some residential property as water backs up into the
drainage ditches in the city.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC041-067-291729-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.170427T0030Z.170501T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
929 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At 9:00 PM Friday the stage was 20.84 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.2 feet by early Monday
afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Flooding will affect swamp and timberlands while also
disrupting logging operations. Operations will likely cease and equipment not
previously moved will remain trapped. Some farmland will have minor flooding
especially around Britton Neck.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$
31782
WGUS82 KILM 291430
FLSILM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
1030 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...
Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC
Northeast Cape Fear Near Burgaw affecting Pender County NC
Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...
Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to
protect life and property from the flood waters.
Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the
"Rivers and Lakes" link.
&&
NCC017-300630-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.170426T0133Z.170427T0715Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1030 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 46.07 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 44.0 feet by tomorrow
morning.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Flood waters will affect areas along the left bank of
the river with some minor overflow along the right bank.
&&
LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
3465 7872 3472 7882
$$
NCC017-300630-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170430T1030Z/
/ELZN7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170429T1800Z.170429T2230Z.NO/
1030 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* until Sunday morning.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 25.3 feet this
afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will reach the top of the navigational
lock.
&&
LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
3459 7859 3465 7872
$$
NCC141-300630-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0015.170430T0600Z-170504T1800Z/
/BGWN7.1.ER.170430T0600Z.170502T0600Z.170504T0600Z.NO/
1030 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until Thursday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Northeast Cape Fear Near Burgaw.
* from late tonight to Thursday afternoon.
* At 9:30 AM Saturday the stage was 9.83 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by just after midnight tonight and continue
to rise to near 10.5 feet by Tuesday evening. The river will fall below flood
stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 10.5 feet...Flood waters cause minor flooding of Croomsbridge Road
and Old Maple Hill Road. Some roads in River Bend and River Birch subdivsions
become impassable.
&&
LAT...LON 3472 7798 3472 7786 3460 7776 3445 7779
3444 7788 3457 7788
$$
NCC155-300630-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170504T0600Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.170425T1516Z.170426T1100Z.170503T1800Z.UU/
1030 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until late Wednesday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until late Wednesday night.
* At 7:00 AM Saturday the stage was 12.87 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to rise to near
13.2 feet by Monday morning. The river will fall below flood stage by early
Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Low land flooding will occur along the river. The flood
waters may affect some residential property as water backs up into the
drainage ditches in the city.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC041-067-300630-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.170427T0030Z.170502T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1030 AM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 21.35 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.0 feet by Tuesday morning
then begin falling.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will continue to affect logging operations
upstream and downstream from Pee Dee. Flooding of farmlands adjacent to the
river will worsen.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$
04154
WGUS82 KILM 300122
FLSILM
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
922 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers...
Cape Fear At Elizabethtown affecting Bladen County NC
...The Flood Warning has been extended for the following rivers...
Northeast Cape Fear Near Burgaw affecting Pender County NC
Lumber Near Lumberton affecting Robeson County NC
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers...
Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3 affecting Bladen County NC
Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee affecting Marion and Florence Counties SC
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
People with interests along the river should take the necessary precautions to
protect life and property from the flood waters.
Additional information is available on our website at weather.gov/ilm under the
"Rivers and Lakes" link.
&&
NCC017-301722-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STPN7.1.ER.170426T0133Z.170427T0715Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
922 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cape Fear At William O Huske Lock And Dam 3.
* until further notice.
* At 9:00 PM Saturday the stage was 45.17 feet.
* Flood stage is 42.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 42.9 feet by Monday
morning.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Flood waters will affect areas along the left bank of
the river with some minor overflow along the right bank.
&&
LAT...LON 3485 7886 3485 7875 3478 7874 3472 7865
3465 7872 3472 7882
$$
NCC017-300152-
/O.CAN.KILM.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170430T1030Z/
/ELZN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
922 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Cape Fear At Elizabethtown.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast below flood stage with a maximum value of
24.5 feet just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will reach the top of the navigational
lock.
&&
LAT...LON 3472 7865 3466 7852 3456 7838 3450 7847
3459 7859 3465 7872
$$
NCC141-301722-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0015.170430T0121Z-170504T2100Z/
/BGWN7.1.ER.170429T2352Z.170502T0600Z.170504T0900Z.NO/
922 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until Thursday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Northeast Cape Fear Near Burgaw.
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At 8:30 PM Saturday the stage was 10.02 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.6 feet by early Tuesday
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 10.5 feet...Flood waters cause minor flooding of Croomsbridge Road
and Old Maple Hill Road. Some roads in River Bend and River Birch subdivsions
become impassable.
&&
LAT...LON 3472 7798 3472 7786 3460 7776 3445 7779
3444 7788 3457 7788
$$
NCC155-301722-
/O.EXT.KILM.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170504T0000Z/
/LBRN7.1.ER.170425T1516Z.170426T1100Z.170503T1200Z.UU/
922 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017
...Flood Warning now in effect until Wednesday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lumber Near Lumberton.
* until Wednesday evening.
* At 6:58 PM Saturday the stage was 12.86 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue to rise to
near 13.2 feet by early Tuesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage
by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Low land flooding will occur along the river. The flood
waters may affect some residential property as water backs up into the
drainage ditches in the city.
&&
LAT...LON 3467 7916 3468 7904 3457 7891 3452 7899
3461 7907 3458 7915
$$
SCC041-067-301722-
/O.CON.KILM.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PDES1.2.ER.170427T0030Z.170502T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
922 PM EDT Sat Apr 29 2017
The Flood Warning continues for
The Great Pee Dee At Pee Dee.
* until further notice.
* At 9:00 PM Saturday the stage was 21.82 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.0 feet by Tuesday morning
then begin falling.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Flood waters will continue to affect logging operations
upstream and downstream from Pee Dee. Flooding of farmlands adjacent to the
river will worsen.
&&
LAT...LON 3424 7962 3424 7950 3400 7945 3385 7932
3385 7944 3398 7957
$$
43What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 25, 8:22 AM EDT, 1 hour 51 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 25, 8:22 AM EDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
822 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017
.SYNOPSIS...
A slow moving storm system nearly overhead this morning, will
lift northeast away from the area this afternoon through mid
week. Look for slowly improving conditions, with a warming and
drying trend. A weak cold front will dissipate as it moves
across the area Thursday night, followed by high pressure aloft
and early summer-like conditions Friday into the weekend. A few
locations away from the coast, may break the 90 degree mark this
weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 822 AM Tuesday...GOES-16 low-lvl water vapor animations
depict well the marked column drying embedded over NE SC and SE
NC this morning essentially marking the heart of the upper low
at present circulating overhead. 12Z analysis shows the surface
low over NE NC near the western portions of the Albemarle Sound
making a northward progress. Torrential rainfall over north
central NC was aligned along an axis of PWAT values in excess of
1.5 inches. As back-side mid-level moisture increases slightly
in concert with peak heating, isolated TSTMS with a potential
for small hail remains a possibility but sub-severe is the
expectation om hailstone size. As noted in the previous
forecaster discussion, high instability should drive scattered
convection as low-level lapse rates connect to the instability
aloft. No significant changes were made at this time just fine
tuning of T/Td so far this morning. Previous discussion below.
As of 330 AM Tuesday...Upper low and its surface reflection
will continue to drift slowly but inexorably to the NE, and
while today will be much drier than Monday, low clouds and
showers will hang on much of the day.
Upper low clearly evident on IR this morning is directly
overhead the Grand Strand of SC, while the surface low is
demarcated by a triple point just east of Little River Inlet.
This vertically stacked system will move NE to be near the Outer
Banks tonight before finally lifting towards New England late.
Best moisture will remain offshore the local area, with moisture
tap confined to the Crystal Coast and Outer Banks after
sunrise. However, column moisture will remain high, and with a
cold pool of around -17C overhead this aftn, steep lapse rates
will drive showers with isolated tstms across the region.
Widespread low cloudiness will take a long time to erode, so
temps will only rise into the upper 60s to low 70s, warmest S
and E portions, but this will be enough to create instability
this aftn. Typically with a setup such as this, brief small hail
is possible, but forecast soundings suggest simply moist
adiabatic LR's up through about 600mb with rapidly drying air
above the FZL, not conducive to anything other than rain. Cannot
rule out some small hail this aftn, but that will be the
exception rather than the rule.
As the stacked system moves NE tonight, drier air will finally
advect from SW to NE through the CWA. Do not anticipate this will
occur much before dark, but we may see stars tonight, especially
inland. The ground remains moist however, so as temps fall towards
mins in the upper 50s, fog may develop late.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 330 AM Tuesday...At the start of this period, the nemesis
closed low aloft, off the DELMARVA Coast, will continue to fill
in as it tracks to the northeast, further away from the
forecast area. It's corresponding, captured sfc low, will also
be weakening during this time-frame. Overall, in their wake,
the ILM CWA will commence an extended "drying out out" period.
Weak s/w ridging aloft will affect the FA thru Thu night. It's
upper ridge axis will lie overhead Thu morning, moving off the
Carolina coasts by Fri daybreak. A rather expansive upper trof
will have taken shape across the central U.S. by Fri morning.
At the sfc, weak cyclonic NW flow will dominate the FA early
Wed until the upper/sfc lows move far enough away. By late Wed
thru daybreak Fri, sfc ridging from Bermuda High pressure
centered well east of Florida, will extend WNW and onshore
in the vicinity or south of Cape Romain, SC. Enough moisture in
the low levels will be avbl for diurnally driven cu fields each
day. Enough subsidence aloft will prevent the cu from growing
too much in the vertical, resulting in no POPs being advertised
Wed thru sunset Thu. A fading cold front will push across the FA
from the west late Thu night. The front will be displaced a good
distance from it's parent low as it traverses the ILM CWA. Other
than frontal dynamics, not much forcing is left for pcpn
development. As a result, will include low chance pops for
showers and possibly an isolated tstorm Thu night if enough
instability becomes avbl. A low level SW jet will develop during
Thu night into early Fri. This will keep winds active enough at
the sfc to prevent widespread fog but also keep min temps on the
high side.
Summer time temperatures will be back across the FA with
widespread max temps in the low to mid 80s Wed and mid to upper
80s Thu. Min temps will follow the general trend and run in the
low 60s Wed night and the mid to upper 60s Thu night. This a
consensus amongst the avbl model mos guidance. This fcst has
temps that will run 10 to 15 degrees above normal by the end of
this period. Normal lows/highs are in the low to mid 50s and the
upper 70s respectively.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 3 PM Monday...Medium range guidance is fairly consistent
with regards to the extended forecast. Longwave troughing will
be in place out west with a cutoff low eventually developing
with a southwest flow and strong ridging developing just off the
southeast coast. At the surface it will be primarily high
pressure anchored offshore. A weak front will fade away as it
moves across the FA early Fri leaving a continued dry forecast.
Temperature trends remain mostly intact well above normal
throughout the period but moreso first half as heights fall
slightly late in the period.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 12Z...LIFR/IFR conditions thruout the area from either
ceilings and/or vsby. Improving to IFR/MVFR conditions from
midday thru this aftn. And further improving to MVFR/VFR
conditions late this aftn thru tonight.
The complex low pressure pressure system, sfc and aloft, lies
nearly overhead this morning. The heaviest rainfall is now north
of the area. As the upper low and associated sfc low lifts NE,
away from the FA this afternoon and night, improving conditions
across all sensible weather parameters will occur. Will still
have to contend with light to moderate showers, isolated
thunder, on the backside of this complex area of low pressure.
But, it will not be nearly as heavy or widespread like what
occurred during Monday.
The sfc pg will remain semi-loose underneath the closed low
today and semi-tightened as the complex low lifts northeast of
the area tonight. Wind directions will become w to nw thruout.
Wind speeds will run 10-15 kt during today and drop back to 5 kt
or less during this evening and overnight.
Extended outlook...Possible MVFR/IFR from fog or low stratus
Wed morning. VFR expected from Wednesday through Saturday.
&&
.MARINE...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 822 AM Tuesday...The SCA for SC has expired as seas have
fallen below 6 feet for the majority of the 0-20 NM waters
there, no other changes.
As of 330 AM Tuesday...Low pressure just off the Grand Strand
will spin slowly off to the NE today. As this surface feature
pulls away, winds will become predominantly S/SW and increase
back towards 15-20 kts before slowly veering to the West, and
then NW tonight, while easing to around 10 kts. Seas remain high
this morning thanks to a variety of wave groups, and the SCA
has been extended for the NC waters through late this aftn,
while expiring in the next few hours across the SC waters. Seas
recently at 41013 were still near 9 ft, and 7 ft at 41004.
Expect these to gradually ease through today, becoming a more
uniform 3-5 ft this evening, and 2-4 ft tonight, as both the SE
swell and SW wind wave begin to decay in amplitude.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 330 AM Tuesday...Improving seas and winds will continue
from where the near term left off as the last affects from the
departing upper and sfc lows occur early Wed with diminishing NW
flow and a transition to light SSE to SSW flow by late Wed and
continuing thru Thu night. This a result of sfc ridging, from
Bermuda high pressure located well offshore and east of Florida,
extending WNW and onshore in the vicinity of Cape Romain by and
thru Thu. Wind speeds around 10 kt Wed, with 10 to 15 kt near
shore Wed aftn/evening due to a weak sea breeze. Wind speeds Thu
will run 10 to 15 kt, except 10-20 kt near shore Thu
aftn/evening due to a moderate sea breeze. The ESE ground swell
at 8 to 9 second periods, will dominate the seas spectrum Wed
and for much of Thu. A low level SW jet Thu night will keep
winds active thru the night resulting in 3 to 5 second period
wind waves becoming more dominate.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 3 PM Monday...Essentially a summertime pattern for the
coastal waters as ridging from Bermuda High pressure affects
the area waters thruout this time frame. South to southeast
winds of 10-15 knots will prevail Friday through Saturday.
Significant seas will be 2-4 feet.
&&
.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for AMZ250-
252.
&&
NEAR TERM...JDW/8
SHORT TERM...DCH
LONG TERM...MBB
AVIATION...DCH/SHKHazardous weather outlook, Apr 25, 3:59 AM EDT, 6 hours 14 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wilmington NC 359 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017 AMZ250-252-260800- Coastal waters from Surf City to Cape Fear NC out 20 nm- Coastal waters from Cape Fear NC to Little River Inlet SC out 20 nm- 359 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for The adjacent Coastal Waters. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. AMZ254-256-260800- Coastal waters from Little River Inlet to Murrells Inlet SC out 20 nm- Coastal waters from Murrells Inlet to South Santee River SC out 20 nm- 359 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for The adjacent Coastal Waters. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ087-096-099-105>110-SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-053>056-260800- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-Inland Pender-Coastal Pender- Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick- Coastal Brunswick-Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion- Williamsburg-Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown- Coastal Georgetown- 359 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast North Carolina and northeast South Carolina. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. 17
The office that day
Everything else NWS Wilmington, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 10:13 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | ILM | Bladen | 6 days |
| Apr 25, 10:13 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | ILM | Pender | 24 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.