Special Weather Statement, NWS Wichita, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
701 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 241 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

Water vapor imagery currently shows a shortwave trough extending
from the western Great Lakes into the mid Mississippi Valley. An
impulse is diving across western IA/northern MO and developing
storms over central MO. Looks to be a weak surface front/trough
laid out across southern Nebraska with a few storms developing
along this feature over south central/sw Nebraska.

Storms over southern Nebraska should continue tracking south and
with minimal capping, should make it into northern KS but have
low confidence on how far south they will make it. NW flow aloft
is providing great directional shear which will result in large
hail being the main threat for any storms this evening. Feel there
is also a chance for a few elevated showers and storms after 09z
for our western flank where a decent mid level baroclinic zone
will be situated. Even though elevated instability is not that
great, given the amount of directional shear, can't rule out some
large hail if storms can develop.

Return flow and lee troughing will strengthen during the day Tue
as shortwave energy moves from the Pacific Northwest into the
northern Rockies. This will lift the front and better storm
chances to the north of the forecast area. Should be a fairly
large MCS tracking out of the central/northern Plains Tue night
and into the central Mississippi Valley. Some of this activity may
try and build back into northeast KS, but with decent elevated
capping in place, confidence in how far west this makes it is very
low.

Pattern will remain active across the Plains Wed as the front gets
pushed south along with the better mid and upper flow. Storms will
likely first develop along the front over IA/northern MO and build
sw into KS during the late afternoon and especially early evening
hours Wed. Convergence this far west along the front isn't that
great, so not expecting widespread storms, but can't rule out a
few strong to severe storms over central KS.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 241 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

Pattern will remain active for Thu into Fri as the surface
boundary lingers across the area. The exact location of this
feature will likely be determined by how overnight convection
each night affects its position. Large scale ascent will also be
on the increase Thu into Thu night as robust shortwave energy
tracks out of the northern Rockies and into the central Plains. So
once again expecting storms to develop Thu afternoon/early
evening along the front with activity developing into an MCS
overnight, with eastern KS/MO looking like the most likely areas
affected. Thu night MCS should push the front south, into northern
OK/far southern KS for Fri. This is where best storm chances will
be for Fri into Fri night.

Confidence in convective chances and location drops off
significantly for the weekend. However, tough to go completely
dry as mid/upper flow remains fairly strong with a low level
baroclinic zone still lingering around.

The good news with the pattern remaining active is that an upper
ridge never gets to take hold, which means temps will remain close
to or slightly below normal for this time of year.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 701 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

At issuance, a SVR TSRAGR was positioned on the east side of KSLN.
The cell was moving SE ~30kts. With no TSRA occurring upstream
have opted to assign "VCTS" to KSLN for first hour. With the TSRA
moving SE, the convection would pass very close to KCNU til ~03Z.
Isolated TSRA are possible this evening but extremely limited
coverage dictates leaving "VCTS" out of the remaining TAF sites.
Toward morning the concern shifts toward stratus ~1,000ft that may
impact KGBD & KRSL as moistening SE flow increases. Both terminals
should return to VFR status ~17Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    63  87  71  93 /  20  10  10  10
Hutchinson      62  88  72  94 /  20  10  10  20
Newton          62  86  71  92 /  20  10  20  20
ElDorado        62  85  70  90 /  20  10  10  10
Winfield-KWLD   64  87  71  92 /  20  10  10  10
Russell         62  89  71  95 /  30  10  20  10
Great Bend      62  89  71  94 /  30  10  20  10
Salina          62  89  72  96 /  30  10  30  20
McPherson       62  88  71  94 /  20  10  20  20
Coffeyville     61  86  70  90 /  20  10   0   0
Chanute         59  84  69  89 /  20  10  10  10
Iola            59  84  68  88 /  20  10  10  20
Parsons-KPPF    60  85  69  89 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...RBL
LONG TERM...RBL
AVIATION...EPS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
447 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-271545-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
447 PM CDT Mon Jun 26 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Isolated to scattered storms will be possible over primarily central
and eastern Kansas. Any of the storms this evening will have the
potential to produce hail up to nickel size and 50 mph winds. A
couple storms over central Kansas may produce up to quarter size
hail this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Thunderstorm chances will return Tuesday night, mainly across
central Kansas, where a few strong storms will be possible.

Periodic chances for storms can be expected across the area from
Wednesday afternoon through Thursday night with severe storms
possible during this time frame. Main threats would be large hail
and damaging winds.

Chances for storms may linger into the weekend, especially across
southern Kansas. Some strong storms will be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

Lawson

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
644 PM CDT MON JUN 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TORNADO          1 N SALINA              38.83N 97.62W
06/26/2017                   SALINE             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TRACTOR TRAILERS FLIPPED AT INTERSTATE 70 AND OHIO
            STREET. TIME IS APPROXIMATED. PUBLIC REPORT OF A TORNADO
            TO DISPATCH WHEN EAST OF SALINA.

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
653 PM CDT MON JUN 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TORNADO          5 NNE SALINA            38.88N 97.59W
06/26/2017                   SALINE             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TRACTOR TRAILERS FLIPPED AT INTERSTATE 70 AND OHIO
            STREET. TIME IS APPROXIMATED. PUBLIC REPORT OF A TORNADO
            TO DISPATCH WHEN EAST OF SALINA.

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
709 PM CDT MON JUN 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     TSTM WND GST     GYPSUM                  38.71N 97.43W
06/26/2017  M61 MPH          SALINE             KS   MESONET

&&

VJP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
734 PM CDT MON JUN 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TSTM WND GST     HILLSBORO               38.35N 97.20W
06/26/2017  E60 MPH          MARION             KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

VJP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
820 PM CDT MON JUN 26 2017

KSZ083-270145-
Sedgwick KS-
820 PM CDT MON JUN 26 2017

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Northeastern Sedgwick County in south central Kansas...

* Until 845 PM CDT

* At 819 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm 6 miles southwest of Whitewater...
  moving southeast at 55 mph.

wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Wichita, Andover, Park City, Valley Center, Bel Aire, Sedgwick,
  Kechi, Northeast Wichita and Jabara Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The storms are not expected to become severe.

&&

LAT...LON 3776 9733 3791 9745 3791 9715 3765 9715
TIME...MOT...LOC 0120Z 327DEG 49KT 3787 9720

KETCHAM

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
840 PM CDT MON JUN 26 2017

KSZ069-270230-
Butler KS-
840 PM CDT MON JUN 26 2017

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Central Butler County in south central Kansas...

* Until 930 PM CDT

* At 837 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm over Benton...moving southeast at 30
  mph.

hail up to the size of dimes...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  El Dorado, Andover, Augusta, Rose Hill, Towanda, Benton, Leon,
  Potwin, Rosalia, Santa Fe Lake, El Dorado State Park, Augusta
  Municipal Airport, El Dorado Airport, Beaumont and El Dorado Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The storms are not expected to become severe.

&&

LAT...LON 3757 9715 3791 9715 3799 9675 3770 9652
      3756 9653
TIME...MOT...LOC 0140Z 327DEG 26KT 3780 9706

KETCHAM