Special Weather Statement, NWS Wichita, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
622 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 242 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

Upper low was pinwheeling over southwest Kansas at mid-afternoon
and will continue steadily eastward across Kansas tonight. While
the rowdiest convection will stay south over Oklahoma thru this
evening, the latest RAP/NAM continue to show elevated moisture
transport resulting in MLCAPE values in the 750-1100 j/kg range
developing along the Oklahoma border counties from south central
into southeast Kansas. The accompanying lift and cloud bearing
shear of 40-50kts should support strong to severe convection per
the going forecast with large hail the primary threat. Scattered
to numerous showers and embedded thunder is also expected further
north into central Kansas early this evening, before waning after
midnight. Showers will linger longest across southeast Kansas into
early Monday morning before exiting by midday or early afternoon.
The mid-week periods still look very wet and occasionally stormy,
as the next upper trof/closed low which develops over the
southwest CONUS thru early this week migrates slowly east across
the central/southern Plains Tuesday night through Thursday. While
a few strong storms will be possible on Wednesday, it looks like
some healthy and widespread QPF with heavy rainfall potential
will become the main concern for some flooding.

Darmofal

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Sunday)
Issued at 242 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

Yet another upper trof/closed low look to develop over
the southwest CONUS late in the week which could eventually affect
Kansas next weekend.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 622 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

Strong to severe convection will affect southern Kansas through
the evening ahead of a vigorous upper low moving across the area.
Otherwise, the main aviation concern will be the IFR/LIFR cigs
and occasional reduced vsbys in rain tonight. Improving conditions
are expected by midday Monday.

KED

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 242 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

Periodic significant rainfall events are expected this week.
Grassland fire danger is expected to remain low to moderate.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    46  63  45  66 /  80  10   0  40
Hutchinson      43  63  43  64 /  80  10   0  50
Newton          44  61  43  64 /  80  10   0  30
ElDorado        46  62  44  67 /  90  20   0  20
Winfield-KWLD   48  64  45  68 /  80  10   0  30
Russell         39  64  41  61 /  60   0   0  70
Great Bend      40  64  42  61 /  60   0   0  70
Salina          43  63  42  64 /  80  10   0  40
McPherson       43  62  42  63 /  80  10   0  40
Coffeyville     51  63  43  70 /  80  30   0  10
Chanute         49  61  43  68 /  90  40   0   0
Iola            49  61  43  67 /  90  50   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    50  62  43  69 /  80  40   0  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...KED
LONG TERM...KED
AVIATION...KED
FIRE WEATHER...KED

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
338 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-272045-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
338 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected this evening across
south central and southeast Kansas. Nickel to half dollar size hail
will be the main threat. Locally damaging winds to 60 mph and a
brief tornado will be possible close to the Oklahoma border.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Periods of thunderstorms and heavy rainfall can be expected
from late Tuesday through Thursday. Strong storms and minor
flooding will be possible by mid-week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible through the evening across south
central Kansas and parts of southeast Kansas, especially closer
to the Oklahoma border.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
421 PM CDT SUN MAR 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             WNW GENESEO             38.52N 98.16W
03/26/2017  E0.25 INCH       RICE               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CWH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
422 PM CDT SUN MAR 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0421 PM     HAIL             DERBY                   37.55N 97.26W
03/26/2017  E0.25 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   PUBLIC

            COURTESY KFDI

&&

CWH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
539 PM CDT SUN MAR 26 2017

KSZ091-262315-
Harper KS-
539 PM CDT SUN MAR 26 2017

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Northwestern Harper County in south central Kansas...

* Until 615 PM CDT

* At 537 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm near Attica...moving northeast at 45
  mph.

hail up to the size of dimes...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Attica and Crystal Springs.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3738 9835 3738 9806 3721 9807 3710 9835
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 223DEG 37KT 3723 9831

LAWSON

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
611 PM CDT SUN MAR 26 2017

KSZ082-091-262345-
Harper KS-Kingman KS-
611 PM CDT SUN MAR 26 2017

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Harper County in south central Kansas...
  Southeastern Kingman County in south central Kansas...

* Until 645 PM CDT

* At 610 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking strong thunderstorms along a line extending from 9 miles
  northwest of Harper to 8 miles south of Attica...and moving
  northeast at 35 mph.

hail up to the size of dimes...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with these storms.

* Locations impacted include...
  Anthony, Harper, Attica, Norwich, Spivey, Danville, Freeport,
  Corwin, Rago, Runnymede and Crystal Springs.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3728 9835 3745 9821 3753 9784 3713 9780
      3700 9832 3700 9835
TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 222DEG 29KT 3736 9817 3713 9819

LAWSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
637 PM CDT SUN MAR 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 SSW ANTHONY           37.10N 98.06W
03/26/2017  E65 MPH          HARPER             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KED

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