Special Weather Statement, NWS Wichita, KS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
242 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 242 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

Upper low was pinwheeling over southwest Kansas at mid-afternoon
and will continue steadily eastward across Kansas tonight. While
the rowdiest convection will stay south over Oklahoma thru this
evening, the latest RAP/NAM continue to show elevated moisture
transport resulting in MLCAPE values in the 750-1100 j/kg range
developing along the Oklahoma border counties from south central
into southeast Kansas. The accompanying lift and cloud bearing
shear of 40-50kts should support strong to severe convection per
the going forecast with large hail the primary threat. Scattered
to numerous showers and embedded thunder is also expected further
north into central Kansas early this evening, before waning after
midnight. Showers will linger longest across southeast Kansas into
early Monday morning before exiting by midday or early afternoon.
The mid-week periods still look very wet and occasionally stormy,
as the next upper trof/closed low which develops over the
southwest CONUS thru early this week migrates slowly east across
the central/southern Plains Tuesday night through Thursday. While
a few strong storms will be possible on Wednesday, it looks like
some healthy and widespread QPF with heavy rainfall potential
will become the main concern for some flooding.

Darmofal

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Sunday)
Issued at 242 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

Yet another upper trof/closed low look to develop over
the southwest CONUS late in the week which could eventually affect
Kansas next weekend.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

A warm front will drape across the KS and OK border this afternoon
and evening. This along with a decent upper system will be the
trigger for storms and showers. Low cigs will slowly erode across
the southern half of KS this afternoon and hang on to the north.
We will see a variance from lifr to mvfr for much of this forecast
period. The storms along the border have the best potential for
severe weather. With the upper system passage, the low clouds of
ifr to lifr will filter back in before a slight erosion late
tomorrow morning.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 242 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

Periodic significant rainfall events are expected this week.
Grassland fire danger is expected to remain low to moderate.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    46  63  44  66 /  80  10   0  40
Hutchinson      43  63  43  64 /  80  10   0  50
Newton          44  61  43  64 /  80  10   0  30
ElDorado        46  62  44  67 /  90  20   0  20
Winfield-KWLD   48  64  45  68 /  80  10   0  30
Russell         39  64  41  61 /  60   0   0  70
Great Bend      40  64  42  61 /  60   0   0  70
Salina          43  63  42  64 /  80  10   0  40
McPherson       43  62  42  63 /  80  10   0  40
Coffeyville     51  63  43  70 /  80  30   0  10
Chanute         49  61  43  68 /  90  40   0   0
Iola            49  61  43  67 /  90  50   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    50  62  43  69 /  80  40   0  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...KED
LONG TERM...KED
AVIATION...CWH
FIRE WEATHER...KED

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
338 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-272045-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
338 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected this evening across
south central and southeast Kansas. Nickel to half dollar size hail
will be the main threat. Locally damaging winds to 60 mph and a
brief tornado will be possible close to the Oklahoma border.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Periods of thunderstorms and heavy rainfall can be expected
from late Tuesday through Thursday. Strong storms and minor
flooding will be possible by mid-week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible through the evening across south
central Kansas and parts of southeast Kansas, especially closer
to the Oklahoma border.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
http://weather.gov/wichita/hwo/

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
412 PM CDT SUN MAR 26 2017

KSZ093-262145-
Cowley KS-
412 PM CDT SUN MAR 26 2017

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Northwestern Cowley County in south central Kansas...

* Until 445 PM CDT

* At 411 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm near Udall...moving northeast at 60
  mph.

hail up to the size of nickels...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Udall, Rock and Winfield City Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be prepared to take shelter in the event the storms intensify and
become severe...or a warning is issues by the National Weather
Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3727 9712 3733 9714 3747 9712 3747 9686
      3740 9674
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 204DEG 50KT 3737 9704

LAWSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
417 PM CDT SUN MAR 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0414 PM     HAIL             EAST WICHITA            37.68N 97.26W
03/26/2017  E0.25 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   PUBLIC

            COLLEGE HILL AREA.

&&

CWH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
421 PM CDT SUN MAR 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     HAIL             WNW GENESEO             38.52N 98.16W
03/26/2017  E0.25 INCH       RICE               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CWH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
422 PM CDT SUN MAR 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0421 PM     HAIL             DERBY                   37.55N 97.26W
03/26/2017  E0.25 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   PUBLIC

            COURTESY KFDI

&&

CWH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
539 PM CDT SUN MAR 26 2017

KSZ091-262315-
Harper KS-
539 PM CDT SUN MAR 26 2017

The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a

* Significant Weather Advisory for...
  Northwestern Harper County in south central Kansas...

* Until 615 PM CDT

* At 537 PM CDT...National Weather Service meteorologists were
  tracking a strong thunderstorm near Attica...moving northeast at 45
  mph.

hail up to the size of dimes...and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be
possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Attica and Crystal Springs.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3738 9835 3738 9806 3721 9807 3710 9835
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 223DEG 37KT 3723 9831

LAWSON