Flash Flood Warning 51, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1244 PM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1019 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017/

..Catastrophic and life-threatening flooding expected due to
prolonged heavy rainfall from Harvey...

UPDATE...
Harvey continue to drift inland. The main rain area around the
storm was affecting the southwestern set of counties where
moderate to heavy rainfall was accompanied by wind gusts over
tropical storm force. A large outer rain band was moving inland
from the Gulf of Mexico across Galveston and Chambers counties
north- northwest across Walker, Grimes, Brazos and Madison
counties. Very gusty winds, isolated tornadoes, and heavy rainfall
will accompany the outer rain band. Southeasterly winds were
piling water along the western shores of Galveston Bay.

Updates have been issued.

40

&&

.AVIATION...
The messy forecast will persist as thunderstorm bands from Harvey
continue to move across SE TX. While the latest band is nudging E
of I-45 another appears to be forming and moving in from the west
for the latter part of the afternoon. Given the progs of the rem-
nants of Harvey lingering over the region through the near future
there is a lot of uncertainty with when things will be ending. As
such, have gone with prevailing TSRA UFN. 41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      80  73  79  71  81 / 100  80  80  70  60
Houston (IAH)              81  75  80  72  81 / 100 100  80  80  80
Galveston (GLS)            84  78  83  77  82 / 100  80  80  80  80

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Tropical Storm Warning for the following zones: Austin...
     Brazoria...Chambers...Colorado...Fort Bend...Galveston...
     Harris...Jackson...Liberty...Matagorda...Waller...Wharton.

     Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday evening for the following
     zones: Austin...Brazoria...Brazos...Burleson...Chambers...
     Colorado...Fort Bend...Galveston...Grimes...Harris...
     Houston...Jackson...Liberty...Madison...Matagorda...
     Montgomery...Polk...San Jacinto...Trinity...Walker...
     Waller...Washington...Wharton.

GM...Tropical Storm Warning for the following zones: Coastal waters
     from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM...
     Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport out 20 NM...
     Galveston Bay...Matagorda Bay...Waters from Freeport to the
     Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from High
     Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

Discussion...99
Aviation/Marine...41

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
741 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017

GMZ330-335-350-355-370-375-TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-
227-235>238-271100-
Austin-Brazoria-Brazos-Burleson-Chambers-
Coastal waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel out
20 NM-Coastal waters from High Island to Freeport out 20 NM-
Colorado-Fort Bend-Galveston-Galveston Bay-Grimes-Harris-Houston-
Jackson-Liberty-Madison-Matagorda-Matagorda Bay-Montgomery-Polk-
San Jacinto-Trinity-Walker-Waller-Washington-
Waters from Freeport to the Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to
60 NM-Waters from High Island to Freeport from 20 to 60 NM-
Wharton-
741 AM CDT Sat Aug 26 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Rainbands from Harvey will produce gusty winds, locally heavy rainfall
and associated flooding, and isolated tornadoes. Flooding will occur
as rainfall totals could approach or exceed 10 to 15 inches.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Harvey is expected to meander in and around the Southeast Texas area
for several days and produce round after round of showers and thunderstorms.
Rainfall totals (including today's and tonight's 10 to 15 inches) will
be adding up with event amounts of 15 to 30 inches expected and isolated
maximum totals of 40 inches possible. The greatest threat area is expected
to be generally along and south of a line from Brenham to Conroe to
High Island. Rainfall of this magnitude will cause catastrophic and
life-threatening flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters will be needed over the weekend and through at least the
first half of the week.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1013 AM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 AM     TORNADO          1 WSW KATY              29.79N  95.84W
08/26/2017                   WALLER             TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO A RV... BOAT AND STORAGE FACILITY

&&

EVENT NUMBER HGX1700338

47

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1059 AM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 AM     TORNADO          4 W ARCOLA              29.49N  95.53W
08/26/2017                   FORT BEND          TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HOMES DAMAGE ON VIEUX CARRE MINOR INJURIES AND
            RESPONDING DEPUTY BLOWN OFF THE ROAD.

&&

CORRECTED LOCATION

EVENT NUMBER HGX1700336

MH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1223 PM CDT SAT AUG 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1216 PM     COASTAL FLOOD    2 NE CLEAR LAKE SHORES  29.57N  95.01W
08/26/2017                   HARRIS             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER TODDVILLE ROAD BETWEEN HAMMER ROAD AND 10TH
            STREET NEAR 146.

&&

EVENT NUMBER HGX1700339

41