Alert archive / Maine / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Gray, ME

August 4, 2017Cumberland County, Maine

NWS Gray, ME issued this special weather statement at Aug 4, 2017, 3:39 PM EDT for Cumberland County, Maine. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 4, 2017, 3:39 PM EDT (19:39 UTC)
Expired
Aug 4, 2017, 4:15 PM EDT
In force
36 min
Issued by
NWS Gray, ME

County Cumberland County, ME

The radar

The Portland,ME radar (KGYX), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Gray, ME (KGYX), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 29 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2017-08-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 161 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2017-08-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 33 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
161 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-87 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
981 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
33 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
42 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gray, ME wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 4, 3:13 PM EDT, 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 4, 3:13 PM EDT, 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
313 PM EDT Fri Aug 4 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A warm humid air mass will remain over the northeast tonight
into Saturday.  A low pressure system moving through Quebec
Saturday will help to drive a cold front through the region late
in the day. The front will be the focus for a more organized
area of showers and thunderstorms...some of which could be on
the strong side. High pressure will build south of the region on
Sunday and will hold south of the region Sunday night. Another
system approaches from the Great Lakes early next week bringing
a return to unsettled weather, mainly Monday afternoon into
early Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Satellite imagery shows a widespread area of low clouds/fog
lurking along the immediate coast and offshore from an area
PMW-RKD. This area will move west to coastal and inland areas by
this evening as the light southeast flow continues through the
night. Elsewhere the scattered evening showers/thunderstorms
will come to an end late this evening. Dewpoint will continue
to be on the rise so a warm muggy night can be expected.
Overnight lows will be in the 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
An upper trof over the Great Lakes will be moving east across
the region Sat producing widespread showers and scattered
thunderstorms. Some of the storms could be strong due to
increased shear. SPC has put the area in a "Marginal Risk" for
severe storms. High PWATS will also guarantee heavy tropical
downpours with some of the showers and storms, especially in the
afternoon. The associated FROPA will move off the coast by late
afternoon or early evening. Clearing will take place behind the
FROPA Sat night with cooler and drier to move in. Models show
overnight lows dropping into the 50s over most areas except
along the coast where low temps will be near 60.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Sunday looks like the winner of the weekend as we'll be in a dry
post frontal air mass. Temps in the 70s, low dewpoints, and
sunny. The only blemish (if you want to call it that) will be a
westerly breeze with winds gusting to around 25 mph.

Things start to change in a hurry Monday through as low pressure
rapidly approaches from the southwest. There is some question as
to how much precipitation this low will bring with it since
there is convection involved with it upstream. At this time, a
steady rain looks to develop from southwest to northeast during
the day Monday. It's possible the rain could be heavy at times
Monday night across southern zones where some convective
elements could come into play that could deliver and inch or two
of rain. Rain comes to an end early Tuesday. Fair weather is
then expected for much of the rest of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Short Term...A solid area of stratus/fog just offshore will
overspread coastal and inland areas from KPWM-KRKD and inland to
KAUG this evening and continue into Sat morning. Elsewhere VFR
conditions except briefly MVFR in any sct -shra/tsra into this
evening. Areas of low clouds may also form in some of the
valleys and coastal areas further south. Widespread MVFR/IFR
conditions Sat in showers and sct thunderstorms due to the
approaching upper trof. Conditions become VFR behind the FROPA
Sat evening from west to east.

Long Term...VFR Sunday becoming MVFR Monday then IFR Monday
night into Tuesday morning in rain. VFR Wed.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...Winds/Seas remain blo SCA through
Saturday night.

Long Term...SCA conditions will be possible Monday night into
Tuesday with low pressure.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...Marine
SHORT TERM...Marine
LONG TERM...Ekster
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 4, 3:03 AM EDT, 12 hours 36 minutes before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 4, 2:58 PM EDT, 41 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gray ME
258 PM EDT FRI AUG 4 2017

MEZ012-019-020-041930-
Southern Oxford-Androscoggin-Interior Cumberland-
258 PM EDT FRI AUG 4 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL OXFORD...
SOUTHWESTERN ANDROSCOGGIN AND NORTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES...

At 257 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Bridgton,
moving northeast at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Bridgton, Mechanic Falls, Naples, Hiram, Waterford, Raymond, Casco,
Harrison, Denmark, Otisfield, Norway, Poland, Oxford, Sebago, Baldwin
and Sweden.

This also includes...
  Pleasant Mountain and Long Lake.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 4387 7077 4400 7088 4427 7060 4403 7035
TIME...MOT...LOC 1857Z 236DEG 17KT 4399 7070

Legro
Special weather statement, Aug 4, 3:39 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Gray ME
339 PM EDT FRI AUG 4 2017

MEZ012-019-020-042015-
Southern Oxford-Androscoggin-Interior Cumberland-
339 PM EDT FRI AUG 4 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL OXFORD...
SOUTHWESTERN ANDROSCOGGIN AND NORTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES...

At 339 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Naples, moving
northeast at 10 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Bridgton, Naples, Gray, Raymond, Casco, Harrison, Denmark, Sebago,
Otisfield, Oxford, Baldwin, Poland and New Gloucester.

This includes Interstate 95 near mile marker 69.

This also includes...
  Long Lake and Douglas Mountain.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 4385 7071 4397 7078 4417 7054 4396 7031
TIME...MOT...LOC 1939Z 231DEG 11KT 4395 7063

Legro

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gray, ME issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 4, 2:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGYXAndroscoggin32 min
Aug 4, 4:16 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGYXCumberland119 min
Aug 4, 3:51 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGYXHillsborough24 min
Aug 4, 4:14 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGYXRockingham31 min
Aug 4, 5:05 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGYXBelknap, Merrimack, Rockingham, Strafford25 min
Aug 4, 5:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGYXBelknap, Strafford32 min
Aug 4, 6:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCarroll55 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Maine, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.