Beach Hazards Statement 11, NWS Gray, ME

940 
WHUS41 KGYX 281425
CFWGYX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1025 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2017

...INCREASED RISK FOR HYPOTHERMIA TODAY...

.WARM TEMPERATURES AND FAIR WEATHER ARE EXPECTED TODAY. WITH
PEOPLE OUT ENJOYING THE WATER AND WATER TEMPERATURES REMAINING
ONLY IN THE UPPER 50S...THERE WILL BE A HEIGHTENED RISK FOR 
HYPOTHERMIA FOR THOSE NOT PROPERLY PREPARED FOR COLD WATER.

MEZ023>028-NHZ014-282230-
/O.CON.KGYX.BH.S.0011.000000T0000Z-170729T0000Z/
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-
COASTAL WALDO-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
1025 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...SEACOAST OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND THE SOUTHWEST AND 
  MIDCOAST OF MAINE.

* BEACH HAZARD...THE WARM AIR TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO NEAR 80
  MAY CAUSE PEOPLE TO UNDERESTIMATE THE DANGERS OF THE COLD WATER
  TEMPERATURES WHICH ARE CURRENTLY ONLY IN THE UPPER 50S TO NEAR 
  60 DEGREES.

* TIMING...THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE COLD WATER TEMPERATURES CAN QUICKLY CAUSE 
  HYPOTHERMIA TO ANYONE IMMERSED IN THE WATER. ANYONE ON BOATS 
  OR PADDLECRAFT SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION TO AVOID THIS THREAT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS ISSUED ON DAYS WHEN A SIGNIFICANT
NUMBER OF BOATS AND PADDLECRAFT ARE EXPECTED TO BE OUT ON THE
WATER AND WHEN WARM AIR TEMPERATURES MAY CAUSE PEOPLE TO
UNDERESTIMATE THE DANGER OF THE COLD WATER. PADDLE SMART FROM THE
START. ALWAYS WEAR YOUR LIFEJACKET. BE AWARE OF WIND CONDITIONS,
TIDES AND LOCALIZED CURRENTS.

&&

$$

718 
WHUS41 KGYX 281854
CFWGYX

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
254 PM EDT FRI JUL 28 2017



MEZ023>028-NHZ014-282000-
/O.CAN.KGYX.BH.S.0011.000000T0000Z-170729T0000Z/
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-
COASTAL WALDO-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
254 PM EDT FRI JUL 28 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS CANCELLED THE BEACH
HAZARDS STATEMENT.

WATER TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED TO 60 DEGREES OR WARMER AND THUS
THE BEACH HAZARD STATEMENT IS NO LONGER NEEDED.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
937 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will move across the area this evening. This will
result in scattered showers and possibly a few thunderstorms.
Weak high pressure will nose into the region Friday and into the
weekend as a low pressure moves south of the area. This high
will remain established over the Northeast through early next
week with an extended period of pleasant weather.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
938 PM Update...Forecast update at this hour mainly for PoPs
based on latest mesoscale model guidance as well the radar
trends. Much of the precipitation is done for the night, however
we cannot rule out an isolated showers across western and
northern NH through midnight. Otherwise, partly cloudy skies are
expected overnight along with the development of fog, which
could be locally dense.

635 PM Update...Have updated the forecast mainly to adjust PoPs
a bit based on latest radar imagery and trends. There's really
only 1 spot in the CWA getting measurable rain at the moment and
that is associated with a thunderstorm in Kennebec County. That
storm will continue moving eastward then likely dissipate or
move offshore by 8 PM. Otherwise, A line of fairly weak
thunderstorms across VT may affect western NH between 7 and 9 pm
with some heavy downpours and perhaps some gusty winds. However,
most locations will likely remain dry.

Previously...

A cold front is moving into the area from the west this
afternoon. A line of showers has developed ahead of it, with the
possibility for a few thunderstorms as it tracks across the
northern part of the forecast area. Instability is fairly weak
so we are not expecting much excitement other than a few rumbles
of thunder and perhaps a heavy downpour and brief wind gust.
Behind the front, an area of cold advection showers has begun
developing over Quebec and may bring a few more showers to
northern areas before dissipating this evening, but the more
focused convection will be along the front. Any rain should be
dissipating this evening and over by midnight. Lows fall into
the upper 50s to low 60s. Fog may form especially in areas that
see some rain this evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Light offshore northwest wind expected on Friday behind the
front with slightly drier air moving in. Wind speeds will be
light enough to allow a sea breeze to push inland from the coast
in the afternoon. Temperatures will likely top out in the upper
70s to near 80 degrees under substantial sunshine.

Low pressure tracks eastward to the south of New England Friday
night. Any rain with this feature should stay to our south,
while most of our area remains in the clear with temperatures
falling into the 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
In the upper levels of the atmosphere an east coast trough/cut off
low will be present for much of the extended. The position of
this feature appears to be just far enough south and east of
Northern New England to keep us out of the bulk of the unsettled
weather.

Early in the period global models continue to show good
consistency with the evolution and track of low pressure
tracking just south of New England. With the forecast track
being east northeast, the northern extent of the rain shield
should stay just south of the region. A slight drift to the
north in track could result in some rain grazing south coastal
areas. With the models being consistent with keeping the rain
just south we will continue with a dry forecast for Saturday.
The latest 12km NAM also supports keeping the rain south of the
area.

For Sunday the the area of low pressure will continue to move east
over the Atlantic. High pressure will build over the area Sunday
into Monday. A second area of Low pressure will form along the mid
Atlantic Coast early next week. Models once again keep this system
mostly just south and east of the region...however southern and
coastal areas may get clipped by the precipitation shield late
Monday Night into Tuesday.

Weak high pressure will be over the area Wednesday. A weak front may
approach the area late Wednesday into Thursday. This could trigger a
few showers/thunderstorms especially over the Mountains.

High temperatures will gradually warm from the 70's this weekend
to the 80s early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Short Term...Rain this evening could moisten the low levels
just enough to produce some fog overnight, but there remains
some uncertainty on this. MVFR ceilings may persist through the
night at Whitefield and Lebanon which would limit the low level
cooling necessary for fog formation. Thus the potential for fog
in our usual locations is more uncertain than normal. Any fog
will dissipate Friday morning with VFR conditions becoming the
rule areawide. A sea breeze is likely along the immediate
coastline around midday Friday.

Long Term...
Expect VFR to MVFR Saturday through Monday. Patchy valley fog is
possible Saturday Night. A system approaching from the Mid
Atlantic Region on Tuesday may result in MVFR to IFR
conditions.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...South to southwest flow should remain just under
advisory levels this evening. A cold front moves into the Gulf
of Maine tonight with a shift to west or northwest winds. This
will fizzle out with the developing sea breeze circulation on
Friday.

Long Term...
Saturday into Sunday slow moving low pressure to our south will
produce winds just below SCA levels over the southern waters.
The slow movement of this system may result in waves building to
SCA levels later Saturday into Sunday.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
NH...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

NEAR TERM...Ekster
SHORT TERM...Kimble
LONG TERM...Lulofs

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gray ME
236 AM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>022-NHZ001>013-015-290645-
Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-Southern Oxford-
Southern Franklin-Southern Somerset-Interior York-
Interior Cumberland-Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo-
Northern Coos-Southern Coos-Northern Grafton-Northern Carroll-
Southern Grafton-Southern Carroll-Sullivan-Merrimack-Belknap-
Strafford-Cheshire-Eastern Hillsborough-Interior Rockingham-
Western And Central Hillsborough-
236 AM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Maine, south central Maine,
southwest Maine, west central Maine, western Maine, New Hampshire,
central New Hampshire, northern New Hampshire and southern New
Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MEZ023>028-NHZ014-290645-
Coastal York-Coastal Cumberland-Sagadahoc-Lincoln-Knox-Coastal Waldo-
Coastal Rockingham-
236 AM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Maine,
southwest Maine and southern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ150>154-290645-
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Penobscot Bay-
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out 25 NM-
Casco Bay-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
236 AM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.