Flash Flood Warning 7, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

928 
WGUS72 KGSP 040023
FFSGSP

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
823 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2017

NCC119-040215-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170704T0215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Mecklenburg NC-
823 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EDT FOR
CENTRAL MECKLENBURG COUNTY...

At 820 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated 
that heavy rain was subsiding across the warned area.  Flash 
flooding is already occurring along Briar Creek, however flood 
waters are expected to recede by 9 to 10 PM.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
The Plaza, Hidden Valley, East Charlotte, Central Charlotte and
Northeast Charlotte.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. Do not attempt to cross
water-covered roadways, bridges, or low-level crossings. Only a few
inches of rapidly flowing water can carry away your vehicle. It is
not worth the risk. Please TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN.

When it is safe to do so, please report flood waters or landslides
flowing over roads or threatening property to the National Weather
Service by calling toll free, 1, 800, 2 6 7, 8 1 0 1, by posting on
our Facebook page, or via Twitter using hashtag NWSGSP. Your message
should describe the event and the specific location where it
occurred, including roadways, nearby cross streets, stream names and
other landmarks.

&&

LAT...LON 3529 8074 3524 8072 3520 8080 3522 8082
      3526 8079

$$

CDG

546 
WGUS72 KGSP 040209
FFSGSP

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1009 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2017

NCC119-040218-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170704T0215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Mecklenburg NC-
1009 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2017

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CENTRAL MECKLENBURG COUNTY WILL EXPIRE
AT 1015 PM EDT...

The heavy rain has ended. Flood waters have receded. Flooding is no
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed any
remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3529 8074 3524 8072 3520 8080 3522 8082
      3526 8079

$$

CDG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
440 PM EDT Mon Jul 3 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will remain centered over the western Atlantic
while a broad upper level trough persists over the eastern part
of the nation for the better part of this week. A weak cold front
will linger over the region through midweek, helping to focus the
development of showers and thunderstorms. An upper level disturbance
later in the week will initiate pattern change, leading to drier
and somewhat cooler conditions late in the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 440 PM EDT: PoPs have been increased slightly along the I-40
corridor in western NC, and also around KCLT and the lower SC
Upstate piedmont. Outflows are becoming active and driving coverage
up in these areas.

Otherwise, the forecast remains on track with the weather pattern
consisting of a broad weak trough over the eastern CONUS with
numerous, small embedded shortwaves and a very diffuse surface
trough along the Appalachians. Surface flow is very light and
variable, with the main focus for convection being orographic
effects. A second surface trough exists southeast of Charlotte late
this afternoon. MLCAPEs are around 500 to 1000 j/kg with little wind
shear. Downdraft parameters are also weak with low DCAPE and
delta-theta e. Severe outflows are possible, but would be low-end,
with some localized flooding from periods of torrential rain more
likely as PWATs remain near 2 inches and storms are slow-moving.

The general pattern does not change much over the next 36 hours. The
main feature of interest is a better-defined shortwave currently
over western TN that will approach the area overnight, with most of
the energy passing by the GSP CWA to the north. This feature will
keep a good chance for afternoon thunderstorms going again for
Tuesday. Temperatures will remain seasonally warm and humid with
lows a little above normal and highs near normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 200 PM Monday: Short wave ridging aloft will gradually develop
over the region during the short term, while weak E/W-oriented
surface boundary and lee side/thermal troughs will linger through at
least Wed. These features will provide additional focus for
development of scattered afternoon/evening showers and storms (in
addition to the usual ridge top convergence/differential heating
effects) on Wed and Thu.

By the end of Thursday, an anomalously strong short wave trough is
forecast to be moving across the TN and Ohio Valleys. Although model
solutions offer slight variations in location/timing, it would
appear that any forcing associated with this feature would most
likely impact the forecast area well after peak heating Thu night.
However, strengthening wind fields aloft will result in improving
shear profiles, which could support some low-end organization of
convective clusters, and severe weather potential slightly higher
than the run-of-the-mill early summer pulse activity. Temps are
expected to remain near to slightly above climo through the period.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 210 PM Monday: Low-amplitude long wave troughing will become
established across the East early in the medium range, and persist
through the period. Transitory short wave troughs passing near the
forecast area and attendant weak frontal passages are anticipated
Friday, and again in the Sunday/Monday time frame. These days are
therefore expected to see some degree of enhancement of diurnal
convective chances. In fact, timing of the initial short wave (Thu
night/early Friday) and attendant establishment of a LLJ Thu night
may allow convection to linger well beyond the typical diurnal
cycle. Otherwise, wind profiles should remain a bit stronger than
typical for the time of year, so the potential for low-end
organization of convection will persist each afternoon. Temps will
generally remain around normal through the period.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere:  Weakly forced tropical conditions will
continue again with late afternoon thunderstorms and generally light
and variable surface winds away from the storms. The mountains are
the main focus for initiating showers this afternoon with coverage
increasing into the evening as showers move slowly southeast into
piedmont areas, and then decrease around sunset. However, a
secondary maximum will line up along the I-40 corridor near KHKY and
also east of KCLT in low level convergence. Any thunderstorms will
temporarily produce greatly degraded ceiling, visibility, and
low-level wind shear conditions. Shallow fog and some low overcast
are possible again in the morning, especially at KAVL, and any areas
receiving appreciable rainfall this afternoon.  Similar conditions
will be in-place on Tuesday as general weather pattern changes
little.

Outlook: Moist and unsettled weather will continue through most of
the week. Nocturnal restrictions can be expected in locations
receiving heavy rainfall.

Confidence Table...

            20-02Z        02-08Z        08-14Z        14-18Z
KCLT       High 100%     High 100%     High  95%     High 100%
KGSP       High  97%     High 100%     High 100%     High  98%
KAVL       High 100%     High  95%     High 100%     High  94%
KHKY       High 100%     High 100%     High  98%     High 100%
KGMU       High 100%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAND       High  97%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CSH
NEAR TERM...HG/WJM
SHORT TERM...JDL
LONG TERM...JDL
AVIATION...HG/WJM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
531 PM EDT Mon Jul 3 2017

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-042145-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Avery-Alexander-
Iredell-Davie-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-
Rowan-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Chester-Greenwood-
531 PM EDT Mon Jul 3 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms and heavy rain showers will continue to
develop across the area into the evening hours. The main threats will
be from locally very heavy rainfall and cloud to ground lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

..Tuesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Wednesday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Thursday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Friday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Saturday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
..Sunday...No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

Lane

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
407 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2017

SCZ012-032030-
Laurens SC-
407 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL LAURENS COUNTY
UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

At 407 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles east of Laurens, or over Clinton, moving northeast at 10 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Clinton.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail will be possible in these
areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall may flood areas with poor drainage, such as
ditches and underpasses. Avoid these areas and do not cross flooded
roads. Water levels of small streams may also rise rapidly. Seek
higher ground if threatened by flood waters. Do not drive across
flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3449 8197 3459 8187 3458 8186 3459 8186
      3460 8184 3459 8183 3448 8171 3441 8190
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 235DEG 8KT 3448 8187

CDG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
527 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2017

NCZ071-032200-
Mecklenburg NC-
527 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH INTENSE LIGHTNING WILL IMPACT CENTRAL
MECKLENBURG COUNTY UNTIL 600 PM EDT...

At 527 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm with
intense lightning near Uptown Charlotte, or near Central Charlotte,
moving east at 5 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Uptown Charlotte, Central Charlotte, South Charlotte, Southwest
Charlotte, East Charlotte, Freedom Park, The Plaza, Charlotte Douglas
Airport, The Arboretum and Hidden Valley.

In addition to intense lightning, wind gusts up to 45 mph and pea
size hail will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall may flood areas with poor drainage, such as
ditches and underpasses. Avoid these areas and do not cross flooded
roads. Water levels of small streams may also rise rapidly. Seek
higher ground if threatened by flood waters. Do not drive across
flooded roads.

Frequent lightning is occurring with this storm. If outdoors, try to
get indoors or into a hard topped vehicle. Otherwise, stay away from
open areas and isolated high objects such as trees. When indoors,
stay away from windows and doors and avoid using wired electronic
devices. Do not take a shower or bath. Try to unplug unnecessary
appliances before the storm approaches.

&&

LAT...LON 3514 8096 3526 8095 3531 8075 3509 8074
TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 267DEG 6KT 3520 8086

CDG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
547 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2017

NCZ036-056-069-071-032215-
Iredell NC-Lincoln NC-Mecklenburg NC-Catawba NC-
547 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CATAWBA...SOUTH
CENTRAL IREDELL...NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN AND NORTH CENTRAL MECKLENBURG
COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

At 546 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles northwest of Huntersville, or near Westport, moving east at 5
mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Cornelius, Westport, Lake Norman, Denver, Ramsey Creek Park,
Davidson, Mooresville, Terrell, Doolie and Sherrills Ford.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail will be possible in these
areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall may flood areas with poor drainage, such as
ditches and underpasses. Avoid these areas and do not cross flooded
roads. Water levels of small streams may also rise rapidly. Seek
higher ground if threatened by flood waters. Do not drive across
flooded roads.

Lake Norman is in the path of this storm. Cloud to ground lightning
and gusty winds will create dangerous boating conditions.
Move to shore immediately.

&&

LAT...LON 3547 8105 3560 8105 3562 8087 3545 8086
TIME...MOT...LOC 2146Z 268DEG 5KT 3553 8099

CDG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
625 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2017

SCZ007-008-032300-
Cherokee SC-Spartanburg SC-
625 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH INTENSE LIGHTNING WILL IMPACT EAST
CENTRAL SPARTANBURG AND CENTRAL CHEROKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

At 624 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm with
intense lightning 7 miles southwest of Gaffney, or 4 miles north of
Pacolet Mills, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Gaffney, Pacolet, Cowpens, Pacolet Mills and Thicketty.

In addition to intense lightning, wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea
size hail will be possible in these areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall may flood areas with poor drainage, such as
ditches and underpasses. Avoid these areas and do not cross flooded
roads. Water levels of small streams may also rise rapidly. Seek
higher ground if threatened by flood waters. Do not drive across
flooded roads.

Frequent lightning is occurring with this storm. If outdoors, try to
get indoors or into a hard topped vehicle. Otherwise, stay away from
open areas and isolated high objects such as trees. When indoors,
stay away from windows and doors and avoid using wired electronic
devices. Do not take a shower or bath. Try to unplug unnecessary
appliances before the storm approaches.

&&

LAT...LON 3501 8185 3513 8167 3493 8154 3492 8164
      3491 8168 3491 8171 3490 8173 3489 8178
TIME...MOT...LOC 2224Z 241DEG 14KT 3498 8173

CDG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
656 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2017

NCZ068-032330-
Cleveland NC-
656 PM EDT MON JUL 3 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN CLEVELAND COUNTY
UNTIL 730 PM EDT...

At 656 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles southwest of Shelby, or near Boiling Springs NC, moving
northeast at 5 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Boiling Springs NC, Lattimore, Mooresboro, Earl and Cliffside.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail will be possible in these
areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall may flood areas with poor drainage, such as
ditches and underpasses. Avoid these areas and do not cross flooded
roads. Water levels of small streams may also rise rapidly. Seek
higher ground if threatened by flood waters. Do not drive across
flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3534 8165 3521 8151 3517 8163 3518 8165
      3518 8174 3520 8177 3526 8175
TIME...MOT...LOC 2256Z 232DEG 5KT 3522 8167

CDG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
705 PM EDT MON JUL 03 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     FLOOD            4 NE CHARLOTTE          35.24N 80.77W
07/03/2017                   MECKLENBURG        NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            BRIAR CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS IN THE 3200 BLOCK OF
            SHAMROCK DR. STANDING WATER IN THE PARK SURROUNDING THE
            METHODIST HOME RECREATION CENTER.

&&

CARROLL