Alert archive / Michigan / Areal Flood Warnings in 2017

Areal Flood Warning 2, NWS Grand Rapids, MI

October 14, 2017Calhoun County, Kalamazoo County, Van Buren County, Michigan

NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued this areal flood warning at Oct 14, 2017, 4:06 PM EDT for Calhoun County, Kalamazoo County, Van Buren County, Michigan. It was in force for 65 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 14, 2017, 4:06 PM EDT (20:06 UTC)
Expired
Oct 17, 2017, 8:57 AM EDT
In force
65 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Calhoun County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Van Buren County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2017-10-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2017-10-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 79 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
817 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
79 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Rapids, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood warning went out at Oct 14, 3:27 PM EDT, 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 14, 3:27 PM EDT, 39 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 14, 3:52 AM EDT, 12 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
352 AM EDT Sat Oct 14 2017

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-150800-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Clare-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-Isabella-Muskegon-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Ottawa-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-Allegan-Barry-Eaton-
Ingham-Van Buren-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
352 AM EDT Sat Oct 14 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest Lower
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Small stream and urban flooding is possible through tonight.
Rainfall rates over a half inch per hour will accompany the
heaviest downpours. Leaves could clog drains enhancing the urban
flood risk.

A slight risk for severe thunderstorms exists into tonight.
Damaging winds are the main risks. An isolated tornado will be
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Flooding could linger into Sunday if enough rain falls. Larger
rivers are forecasted to experience steady rises.

Scattered power outages may occur on Sunday as gusty winds over 40
mph may occur.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed into tonight.

LMZ844>849-150800-
St Joseph to South Haven MI-South Haven to Holland MI-
Holland to Grand Haven MI-Grand Haven to Whitehall MI-
Whitehall to Pentwater MI-Pentwater to Manistee MI-
352 AM EDT Sat Oct 14 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest Lower
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms may pose a risk to mariners today and tonight. The
wind will increase going into tonight and gales may develop.
Boating will become hazardous.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Gale force winds look likely for Sunday. This will build the waves
to over 8 feet for much of the nearshore area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed into tonight.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 14, 2:01 PM EDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
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Local storm report, Oct 14, 2:06 PM EDT, 2 hours before
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Local storm report, Oct 14, 2:38 PM EDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
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Local storm report, Oct 14, 2:59 PM EDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before
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Local storm report, Oct 14, 3:19 PM EDT, 47 minutes before
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Local storm report, Oct 14, 3:35 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Rapids, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 14, 3:14 AM EDTFlood WatchGRRAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clinton, Eaton, Gratiot and 12 more24 hr
Oct 14, 10:26 AM EDTGale WarningGRR32 hr
Oct 14, 11:37 AM EDTWind AdvisoryGRRAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Clare, Clinton, Eaton and 17 more28 hr
Oct 14, 1:16 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGRRCalhoun, Kalamazoo, Van Buren24 hr
Oct 14, 5:08 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGRRAllegan, Barry, Eaton, Ingham, Jackson24 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2017Every areal flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.