Severe Thunderstorm Warning 336, NWS Goodland, KS

186 
WWUS53 KGLD 062312
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
612 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

KSC039-153-NEC087-145-062345-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0336.000000T0000Z-171006T2345Z/
Rawlins KS-Decatur KS-Red Willow NE-Hitchcock NE-
612 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN RAWLINS...NORTHWESTERN DECATUR...SOUTHWESTERN RED
WILLOW AND SOUTHEASTERN HITCHCOCK COUNTIES...

At 607 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Herndon, or 12
miles northeast of Atwood, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. at 600 PM CDT, quarter size HAIL 
         was reported one mile north of Atwood. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Herndon, Traer and Cedar Bluffs. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3979 10091 3988 10096 4000 10095 4017 10059
      3987 10040
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 254DEG 35KT 3991 10083 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TL

460 
WWUS53 KGLD 062330
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
630 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

KSC039-153-NEC087-145-062345-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0336.000000T0000Z-171006T2345Z/
Rawlins KS-Decatur KS-Red Willow NE-Hitchcock NE-
630 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN RAWLINS...NORTHWESTERN DECATUR...SOUTHWESTERN RED
WILLOW AND SOUTHEASTERN HITCHCOCK COUNTIES...

At 629 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles west of
Danbury, or 11 miles north of Oberlin, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Herndon, Cedar Bluffs and Traer. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3983 10067 3990 10081 4008 10079 4017 10059
      3987 10040
TIME...MOT...LOC 2329Z 249DEG 37KT 3999 10055 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TL

543 
WWUS53 KGLD 062340
SVSGLD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
640 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

KSC039-153-NEC087-145-062350-
/O.EXP.KGLD.SV.W.0336.000000T0000Z-171006T2345Z/
Rawlins KS-Decatur KS-Red Willow NE-Hitchcock NE-
640 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN RAWLINS...
NORTHWESTERN DECATUR...SOUTHWESTERN RED WILLOW AND SOUTHEASTERN
HITCHCOCK COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 645 PM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and has exited the warned area. Therefore, the warning will
be allowed to expire.  However small hail, gusty winds and heavy rain
are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3983 10067 3990 10081 4008 10079 4017 10059
      3987 10040
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 249DEG 37KT 4003 10043 

$$

TL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
234 PM MDT Fri Oct 6 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 234 PM MDT Fri Oct 6 2017

Forecast updated for issuance of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 494
through 04z Saturday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 200 PM MDT Fri Oct 6 2017

Across the region this afternoon...mostly of the CWA remains mostly
cloudy to cloudy as a frontal boundary lies along the souther tier.
the veil of clouds is playing a role in area temps which are
currently in a range from the upper 50s north...to the lower and mid
70s south where sunshine most prevalent.

Some rw/trw activity is starting to get going and moving across
eastern Colorado. This activity firing up ahead of upper trough over
central Colorado. This system expected to shift east thru the Plains
overnight tonight. System still expected to interact with surface
front for the late afternoon/early evening hours...triggering
additional convection. Best primed areas where best instability sets
up will occur along the southern/southeastern zones where best
sunshine occurring. Despite extensive cloud cover over most of the
CWA...will continue mention of rw/trw across the CWA thru the
overnight period...tapering from west to east and ending by 12z
Saturday. This will be in tandem with exiting shortwave east of the
CWA. The interaction of the shortwave and front across the region
will put southern areas...south of Interstate 70...in best position
for strong to severe convection...should it develop. Best chances
21z-03z. SPC continues highlights for Slight/Marginal risks for much
of the area.

Strong increasing WNW flow will pick up overnight on the return flow
behind moving shortwave thru the region. Gusts 20-30 mph possible.
Looking for overnight lows mainly in the 40s...with a few upper 30s
in far western portions of NE Colorado.

For Saturday...WNW downslope flow over the region during the day
will provide dry conditions...sunny skies and near to above normal
high temps that will range in the lower to mid 70s. Before sunny
skies prevail...some lingering clouds from exiting system could
remain over eastern zones thru mid morning.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 144 AM MDT Fri Oct 6 2017

At the start of the period, an upper trough extends from the
northern Plains across the Rockies, placing the region under
southwest flow aloft. This trough pushes across the High Plains on
Monday, generating chances for light rain showers. Depending on how
cool temperatures get, a wintry mix could be observed in eastern
Colorado. The main story of the extended occurs on Monday night when
temperatures look to fall into the low to mid 30s across the region.
This could be the first frost/freeze of the season. Weak upper
ridging builds in behind the upper trough and dry conditions return
by Tuesday. With no noticeable disturbances through Thursday, kept
the forecast dry.

A cool down is anticipated to begin the extended period, with highs
only in the 40s to mid 50s on Monday. Temperatures gradually warm,
returning to the upper 60s on Thursday. Lows follow suit, warming
from the low/mid 30s Monday night to the 40s Wednesday night.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1123 AM MDT Fri Oct 6 2017

IFR cloud cover(BKN-OVC008) will give way to a VFR/MVFR mix after
22z this afternoon. By 22z...chances for trw increase especially
for KGLD and points south...ending by 03z-04z Saturday. Winds
northerly thru 03z-04z this evening then shifting to the WNW.
Overall 10-20kts with gusts to 30 kts especially after 22z. LLWS
for KGLD 22z-04z 340@30kts and 11z Saturday onward 320@30kts. For
KMCK...00z-03z Saturday 340@35kts.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...JN
SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...JBH
AVIATION...JN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
214 PM MDT Fri Oct 6 2017

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-072015-
Yuma County-Kit Carson County-Cheyenne County-Cheyenne-Rawlins-
Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-
Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
214 PM MDT Fri Oct 6 2017 /314 PM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

There are marginal and slight risks for severe thunderstorms this
afternoon and early evening for much of the Tri State region. Some
storms may produce large hail, damaging winds and a brief tornado.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Colder temperatures will be arriving early next week. The first
freeze of the season may occur Monday night and Tuesday night,
mainly in northeast Colorado and adjacent areas of northwest Kansas
and southwest Nebraska, where temperatures may fall into the lower
30s.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
514 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

KSZ001-002-062245-
Rawlins KS-Cheyenne KS-
514 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL CHEYENNE AND
NORTHWESTERN RAWLINS COUNTIES IN NORTHWESTERN KANSAS UNTIL 545 PM
CDT...

At 514 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Bird City, or 13 miles east of St. Francis, moving northeast at 35
mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Bird City, McDonald and Beardsley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3979 10116 3967 10158 3985 10168 4000 10129
      4000 10128
TIME...MOT...LOC 2214Z 246DEG 32KT 3981 10155

TL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
425 PM MDT FRI OCT 6 2017

KSZ027-028-062300-
Wallace KS-Logan KS-
425 PM MDT FRI OCT 6 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WALLACE AND
SOUTHWESTERN LOGAN COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM MDT/600 PM CDT/...

At 425 PM MDT/525 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 4 miles southeast of Wallace, or 11 miles east of Sharon
Springs, moving east at 45 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Wallace and Russell Springs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT/1100
PM CDT/ for west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3871 10165 3902 10162 3901 10099 3870 10103
      3870 10133
TIME...MOT...LOC 2225Z 271DEG 39KT 3887 10155

TL

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
433 PM MDT FRI OCT 6 2017

KSZ001-002-013-014-062300-
Rawlins KS-Thomas KS-Sherman KS-Cheyenne KS-
433 PM MDT FRI OCT 6 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHEYENNE...
NORTHWESTERN THOMAS...SOUTHWESTERN RAWLINS AND EASTERN SHERMAN
COUNTIES IN NORTHWESTERN KANSAS UNTIL 500 PM MDT/600 PM CDT/...

At 432 PM MDT/532 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 6 miles northeast of Goodland, moving east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Goodland, Brewster and Edson.

This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 15 and 35.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT/1100
PM CDT/ for northwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3931 10179 3962 10165 3960 10128 3919 10145
TIME...MOT...LOC 2232Z 282DEG 34KT 3943 10165

TL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
434 PM MDT FRI OCT 06 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0433 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 N GOODLAND            39.36N 101.71W
10/06/2017  M53 MPH          SHERMAN            KS   ASOS

&&

JLUNDQUIST

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
538 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

KSZ002-NEZ080-062315-
Rawlins KS-Hitchcock NE-
538 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN RAWLINS AND SOUTHEASTERN
HITCHCOCK COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM CDT...

At 538 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles west of Atwood, moving east at 45 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Atwood, Herndon, Ludell, Blakeman and Beardsley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3992 10074 3983 10074 3975 10126 3991 10135
      4009 10083
TIME...MOT...LOC 2238Z 253DEG 37KT 3986 10120

TL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
454 PM MDT FRI OCT 06 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     HAIL             7 NW ATWOOD             39.88N 101.13W
10/06/2017  E1.25 INCH       RAWLINS            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LASTED 10 MINUTES THEN TRANSITIONED TO HEAVY RAINFALL.

&&

JLUNDQUIST