Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2017

Red Flag Warning 13, NWS Grand Junction, CO

June 26, 201716 counties in Colorado; 4 counties in Utah

NWS Grand Junction, CO issued this red flag warning at Jun 26, 2017, 2:52 PM MDT for 16 counties in Colorado; 4 counties in Utah. It took effect at Jun 27, 2017, 11:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 9 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 26, 2017, 2:52 PM MDT (20:52 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 27, 2017, 11:00 AM MDT
Expired
Jun 27, 2017, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Junction, CO

Counties Delta County, CO, Dolores County, CO, Eagle County, CO, Garfield County, CO, Gunnison County, CO, Hinsdale County, CO, La Plata County, CO, Mesa County, CO, Moffat County, CO, Montezuma County, CO, Montrose County, CO, Ouray County, CO, Pitkin County, CO, Rio Blanco County, CO, Routt County, CO, San Miguel County, CO, Daggett County, UT, Grand County, UT, San Juan County, UT, Uintah County, UT

The radar

The Grand Junction radar (KGJX), 16 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 27, 1:37 PM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 515 Nw Mack, CO

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 37 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2017-06-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2017-06-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -20 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3617 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

115 
WWUS85 KGJT 262052
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service GRAND JUNCTION CO
252 PM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR COLORADO FIRE WEATHER 
ZONES 200, 202, 203, 207, 290, 291, 292 AND 294, AS WELL AS UTAH 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486, 487, 490 AND 491... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 202, 203, 207, 290, 291 AND 294, AS WELL
AS UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486, 487, 490 AND 491...

.A trough moving west to east through the area on Tuesday will 
cause west winds to increase. Relative humidities will become 
critically low by late morning and with a high Haines index, above
normal temperatures, and stronger winds, critical fire weather 
conditions are likely. Wildfires could start easily and grow 
rapidly becoming difficult to control. A stronger disturbance will
move through on Wednesday, leading to the potential for critical
fire weather conditions as well. 

COZ200-202-270600-
/O.UPG.KGJT.FW.A.0011.170627T1700Z-170628T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0013.170627T1700Z-170628T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.A.0012.170628T1800Z-170629T0200Z/
Little Snake Forecast Area-White River Forecast Area-
252 PM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200 
AND 202... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200 AND 202...

The National Weather Service in Grand Junction has issued a Red
Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is 
in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Tuesday. A Fire Weather Watch has
also been issued. This Fire Weather Watch for gusty winds and low
relative humidity is in effect from Wednesday afternoon through 
Wednesday evening. 

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 200 Little 
  Snake Forecast Area and Fire Weather Zone 202 White River 
  Forecast Area.

* WINDS...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which could be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ203-207-290-291-294-UTZ486-487-490-491-270600-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0013.170627T1700Z-170628T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.A.0012.170628T1800Z-170629T0200Z/
Lower Colorado River-Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area-
Paradox Valley Forecast Area-Northern San Juan Forecast Area-
Southwest Colorado Upper West Forecast Area-Eastern Uinta Basin-
Book Cliffs-Colorado River Basin-Southeast Utah-
252 PM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 203,
207, 290, 291, 294, 486, 487, 490 AND 491... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 203, 207, 290, 291, 294, 486, 487, 490 AND 
491...

The National Weather Service in Grand Junction has issued a Red
Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is 
in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Tuesday. A Fire Weather Watch has
also been issued. This Fire Weather Watch for gusty winds and low
relative humidity is in effect from Wednesday afternoon through 
Wednesday evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 203 Lower 
  Colorado River, Fire Weather Zone 207 Southwest Colorado Lower 
  Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 290 Paradox Valley Forecast 
  Area, Fire Weather Zone 291 Northern San Juan Forecast Area 
  and Fire Weather Zone 294 Southwest Colorado Upper West 
  Forecast Area. In Utah, Fire Weather Zone 486 Eastern Uinta 
  Basin, Fire Weather Zone 487 Book Cliffs, Fire Weather Zone 
  490 Colorado River Basin and Fire Weather Zone 491 Southeast 
  Utah.

* WINDS...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 to 10 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which could be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ292-270600-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0013.170627T1700Z-170628T0200Z/
North Fork Forecast Area-
252 PM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
292...

The National Weather Service in Grand Junction has issued a Red
Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is 
in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM MDT Tuesday.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 292 North Fork 
  Forecast Area.

* WINDS...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8 to 13 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which could be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/gjt
6 follow-up statements
686 
WWUS85 KGJT 270608
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service GRAND JUNCTION CO
1208 AM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT TODAY FOR 
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR COLORADO FIRE WEATHER 
ZONES 200, 202, 203, 207, 290, 291, 292 AND 294 AND UTAH FIRE 
WEATHER ZONES 486, 487, 490 AND 491... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 202, 203, 207, 290, 291 AND 294, AS WELL 
AS UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486, 487, 490 AND 491...

.A trough moving through the area today will cause west winds to 
increase. Relative humidities will become critically low by late 
morning and with a high Haines index, above normal temperatures, 
and stronger winds, critical fire weather conditions will be met.
Wildfires could start easily and grow rapidly becoming difficult 
to control. A stronger disturbance will move through on Wednesday 
leading to the potential for critical fire weather conditions as 
well.

COZ200-202-203-207-290-291-294-UTZ486-487-490-491-280000-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.170627T1700Z-170628T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.A.0012.170628T1800Z-170629T0200Z/
Little Snake Forecast Area-White River Forecast Area-
Lower Colorado River-Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area-
Paradox Valley Forecast Area-Northern San Juan Forecast Area-
Southwest Colorado Upper West Forecast Area-Eastern Uinta Basin-
Book Cliffs-Colorado River Basin-Southeast Utah-
1208 AM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
TUESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 203, 207, 290, 291, 294, 486, 487, 490 AND 491...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 203, 207, 290, 291, 294, 486,
487, 490 AND 491...

* AFFECTED AREA...

 In Colorado

   Fire Weather Zone 200 Little Snake Forecast Area
   Fire Weather Zone 202 White River Forecast Area
   Fire Weather Zone 203 Lower Colorado River Area
   Fire Weather Zone 207 Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area
   Fire Weather Zone 290 Paradox Valley Forecast Area
   Fire Weather Zone 291 Northern San Juan Forecast Area
   Fire Weather Zone 294 Southwest Colorado Upper West Forecast 
   Area. 


 In Utah 

   Fire Weather Zone 486 Eastern Uinta Basin
   Fire Weather Zone 487 Book Cliffs
   Fire Weather Zone 490 Colorado River Basin
   Fire Weather Zone 491 Southeast Utah.

* WINDS...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 to 10 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires
  which will be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ292-280000-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.170627T1700Z-170628T0200Z/
North Fork Forecast Area-
1208 AM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT
TUESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 292...

* AFFECTED AREA...

  In Colorado

   Fire Weather Zone 292 North Fork Forecast Area.

* WINDS...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8 to 13 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which could be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/gjt
522 
WWUS85 KGJT 271942
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service GRAND JUNCTION CO
142 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT TODAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR COLORADO FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 200, 201, 200, 202, 203, 207, 290, 291, 292 AND 294 AND 
UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486, 487, 490 AND 491...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 202, 203, 207, 290, 291 AND 294, AS WELL
AS UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486, 487, 490 AND 491...

.A trough moving through the area today will cause west winds to
increase. Relative humidities will become critically low this
afternoon with a high Haines index, above normal temperatures, 
and stronger winds, critical fire weather conditions will be met. 
Wildfires could start easily and grow rapidly becoming difficult 
to control. A stronger disturbance will move through on Wednesday 
leading to the potential for critical fire weather conditions as 
well.

COZ201-205-280200-
/O.EXA.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170628T0200Z/
Routt Forecast Area-Colorado River Headwaters-
142 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 201 AND
205...

The National Weather Service in Grand Junction has issued a Red
Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect until 8 PM MDT this evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 201 Routt 
  Forecast Area and Fire Weather Zone 205 Colorado River 
  Headwaters.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which will be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ200-202-203-207-290-291-294-UTZ486-487-490-491-280345-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170628T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.A.0012.170628T1800Z-170629T0200Z/
Little Snake Forecast Area-White River Forecast Area-
Lower Colorado River-Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area-
Paradox Valley Forecast Area-Northern San Juan Forecast Area-
Southwest Colorado Upper West Forecast Area-Eastern Uinta Basin-
Book Cliffs-Colorado River Basin-Southeast Utah-
142 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200,
202, 203, 207, 290, 291, 294, 486, 487, 490 AND 491...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 202, 203, 207, 290, 291, 294, 486, 487,
490 AND 491...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 200 Little 
  Snake Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 202 White River 
  Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 203 Lower Colorado River, 
  Fire Weather Zone 207 Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area, 
  Fire Weather Zone 290 Paradox Valley Forecast Area, Fire 
  Weather Zone 291 Northern San Juan Forecast Area and Fire 
  Weather Zone 294 Southwest Colorado Upper West Forecast Area. 
  In Utah, Fire Weather Zone 486 Eastern Uinta Basin, Fire 
  Weather Zone 487 Book Cliffs, Fire Weather Zone 490 Colorado 
  River Basin and Fire Weather Zone 491 Southeast Utah.

* WINDS...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 to 10 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which will be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ292-280200-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170628T0200Z/
North Fork Forecast Area-
142 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 292 North Fork 
  Forecast Area.

* WINDS...West 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8 to 13 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which could be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/gjt
569 
WWUS85 KGJT 271950 CCA
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
National Weather Service GRAND JUNCTION CO
150 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

Corrected headline below to add zone 205

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR COLORADO 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 201, 200, 202, 203, 205, 207, 290, 291, 
292 AND 294 AND UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486, 487, 490 AND 491...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 202, 203, 207, 290, 291 AND 294, AS WELL
AS UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486, 487, 490 AND 491...

.A trough moving through the area today will cause west winds to
increase. Relative humidities will become critically low this
afternoon with a high Haines index, above normal temperatures, 
and stronger winds, critical fire weather conditions will be met. 
Wildfires could start easily and grow rapidly becoming difficult 
to control. A stronger disturbance will move through on Wednesday 
leading to the potential for critical fire weather conditions as 
well.

COZ201-205-280200-
/O.EXA.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170628T0200Z/
Routt Forecast Area-Colorado River Headwaters-
150 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 201 AND
205...

The National Weather Service in Grand Junction has issued a Red
Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect until 8 PM MDT this evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 201 Routt 
  Forecast Area and Fire Weather Zone 205 Colorado River 
  Headwaters.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which will be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ200-202-203-207-290-291-294-UTZ486-487-490-491-280345-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170628T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.A.0012.170628T1800Z-170629T0200Z/
Little Snake Forecast Area-White River Forecast Area-
Lower Colorado River-Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area-
Paradox Valley Forecast Area-Northern San Juan Forecast Area-
Southwest Colorado Upper West Forecast Area-Eastern Uinta Basin-
Book Cliffs-Colorado River Basin-Southeast Utah-
150 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200,
202, 203, 207, 290, 291, 294, 486, 487, 490 AND 491...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 202, 203, 207, 290, 291, 294, 486, 487,
490 AND 491...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 200 Little 
  Snake Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 202 White River 
  Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 203 Lower Colorado River, 
  Fire Weather Zone 207 Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area, 
  Fire Weather Zone 290 Paradox Valley Forecast Area, Fire 
  Weather Zone 291 Northern San Juan Forecast Area and Fire 
  Weather Zone 294 Southwest Colorado Upper West Forecast Area. 
  In Utah, Fire Weather Zone 486 Eastern Uinta Basin, Fire 
  Weather Zone 487 Book Cliffs, Fire Weather Zone 490 Colorado 
  River Basin and Fire Weather Zone 491 Southeast Utah.

* WINDS...Southwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 to 10 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which will be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ292-280200-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170628T0200Z/
North Fork Forecast Area-
150 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 292 North Fork 
  Forecast Area.

* WINDS...West 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...8 to 13 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which could be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/gjt
831 
WWUS85 KGJT 272108
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service GRAND JUNCTION CO
308 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR COLORADO
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 201, 200, 202, 203, 205, 207, 290, 291,
292 AND 294 AND UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486, 487, 490 AND 491...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 201, 202, 203, 205, 207, 290, 291, 292, 
294 and 295, AS WELL AS UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486, 487, 490 AND
491...

.Relative humidities will remain critically low this afternoon.
Combined with a high Haines index, above normal temperatures, and
stronger winds, critical fire weather conditions will be met. 
Wildfires could start easily and grow rapidly becoming difficult 
to control. A stronger disturbance will move through on Wednesday 
leading to another round of critical fire weather conditions
during the afternoon and early evening.

COZ200-202-203-207-290-291-294-UTZ486-487-490-491-280515-
/O.UPG.KGJT.FW.A.0012.170628T1800Z-170629T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0014.170628T1800Z-170629T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170628T0200Z/
Little Snake Forecast Area-White River Forecast Area-
Lower Colorado River-Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area-
Paradox Valley Forecast Area-Northern San Juan Forecast Area-
Southwest Colorado Upper West Forecast Area-Eastern Uinta Basin-
Book Cliffs-Colorado River Basin-Southeast Utah-
308 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200,
202, 203, 207, 290, 291, 294, 486, 487, 490 AND 491...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 202,
203, 207, 290, 291, 294, 486, 487, 490 AND 491...

The National Weather Service in Grand Junction has issued a Red
Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Wednesday. The Fire Weather Watch is
no longer in effect. A Red Flag Warning will go into effect again
from noon Wednesday through 8 PM MDT Wednesday evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 200 Little 
  Snake Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 202 White River 
  Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 203 Lower Colorado River, 
  Fire Weather Zone 207 Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area, 
  Fire Weather Zone 290 Paradox Valley Forecast Area, Fire 
  Weather Zone 291 Northern San Juan Forecast Area and Fire 
  Weather Zone 294 Southwest Colorado Upper West Forecast Area. 
  In Utah, Fire Weather Zone 486 Eastern Uinta Basin, Fire 
  Weather Zone 487 Book Cliffs, Fire Weather Zone 490 Colorado 
  River Basin and Fire Weather Zone 491 Southeast Utah.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 to 10 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which will be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ201-205-292-280515-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0014.170628T1800Z-170629T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170628T0200Z/
Routt Forecast Area-Colorado River Headwaters-
North Fork Forecast Area-
308 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 201,
205 AND 292...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 201,
205 AND 292...

The National Weather Service in Grand Junction has issued a Red
Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Wednesday. A Red Flag Warning remains
in effect until 8 PM MDT this evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 201 Routt 
  Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 205 Colorado River Headwaters 
  and Fire Weather Zone 292 North Fork Forecast Area.

* WINDS...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which could be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ293-295-280515-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0014.170628T1800Z-170629T0200Z/
Gunnison Basin Forecast Area-
Southwest Colorado Upper East Forecast Area-
308 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 293 AND
295...

The National Weather Service in Grand Junction has issued a Red
Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Wednesday.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 293 Gunnison 
  Basin Forecast Area and Fire Weather Zone 295 Southwest 
  Colorado Upper East Forecast Area.

* WINDS...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...9 to 14 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which could be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/gjt
039 
WWUS85 KGJT 272147 CCA
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
National Weather Service GRAND JUNCTION CO
347 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR COLORADO FIRE 
WEATHER ZONES 200, 201, 202, 203, 205, 207, 290, 291, 292 AND 294 
AND UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486, 487, 490 AND 491...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 201, 
202, 203, 205, 207, 290, 291, 292, 293, 294 and 295, AS WELL AS 
UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486, 487, 490 AND 491...

.Relative humidities will remain critically low this afternoon.
Combined with a high Haines index, above normal temperatures, and
stronger winds, critical fire weather conditions will be met. 
Wildfires could start easily and grow rapidly becoming difficult 
to control. A stronger disturbance will move through on Wednesday 
leading to another round of critical fire weather conditions
during the afternoon and early evening.

COZ200-202-203-207-290-291-294-UTZ486-487-490-491-280515-
/O.UPG.KGJT.FW.A.0012.170628T1800Z-170629T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0014.170628T1800Z-170629T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170628T0200Z/
Little Snake Forecast Area-White River Forecast Area-
Lower Colorado River-Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area-
Paradox Valley Forecast Area-Northern San Juan Forecast Area-
Southwest Colorado Upper West Forecast Area-Eastern Uinta Basin-
Book Cliffs-Colorado River Basin-Southeast Utah-
347 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200,
202, 203, 207, 290, 291, 294, 486, 487, 490 AND 491...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 202,
203, 207, 290, 291, 294, 486, 487, 490 AND 491...

The National Weather Service in Grand Junction has issued a Red
Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Wednesday. The Fire Weather Watch is
no longer in effect. A Red Flag Warning will go into effect again
from noon Wednesday through 8 PM MDT Wednesday evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 200 Little 
  Snake Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 202 White River 
  Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 203 Lower Colorado River, 
  Fire Weather Zone 207 Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area, 
  Fire Weather Zone 290 Paradox Valley Forecast Area, Fire 
  Weather Zone 291 Northern San Juan Forecast Area and Fire 
  Weather Zone 294 Southwest Colorado Upper West Forecast Area. 
  In Utah, Fire Weather Zone 486 Eastern Uinta Basin, Fire 
  Weather Zone 487 Book Cliffs, Fire Weather Zone 490 Colorado 
  River Basin and Fire Weather Zone 491 Southeast Utah.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 to 10 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which will be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ201-205-292-280515-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0014.170628T1800Z-170629T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170628T0200Z/
Routt Forecast Area-Colorado River Headwaters-
North Fork Forecast Area-
347 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 201,
205 AND 292...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 201,
205 AND 292...

The National Weather Service in Grand Junction has issued a Red
Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Wednesday. A Red Flag Warning remains
in effect until 8 PM MDT this evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 201 Routt 
  Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 205 Colorado River Headwaters 
  and Fire Weather Zone 292 North Fork Forecast Area.

* WINDS...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 to 15 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which could be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ293-295-280515-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0014.170628T1800Z-170629T0200Z/
Gunnison Basin Forecast Area-
Southwest Colorado Upper East Forecast Area-
347 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 293 AND
295...

The National Weather Service in Grand Junction has issued a Red
Flag Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from noon to 8 PM MDT Wednesday.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 293 Gunnison 
  Basin Forecast Area and Fire Weather Zone 295 Southwest 
  Colorado Upper East Forecast Area.

* WINDS...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...9 to 14 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which could be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/gjt
406 
WWUS85 KGJT 280157
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service GRAND JUNCTION CO
757 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200, 201, 
202, 203, 205, 207, 290, 291, 292, 293, 294 and 295, AS WELL AS 
UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486, 487, 490 AND 491...

.Another round of critical fire weather conditions can be expected
Wednesday afternoon and early evening. Relative humidities will 
remain critically low in the afternoon, combined with a high 
Haines index, above normal temperatures, and stronger winds. 
Fire start could easily and grow rapidly becoming difficult to 
control in these conditions. 

COZ200>203-205-207-290>292-294-UTZ486-487-490-491-281000-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170628T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0014.170628T1800Z-170629T0200Z/
Little Snake Forecast Area-Routt Forecast Area-
White River Forecast Area-Lower Colorado River-
Colorado River Headwaters-Southwest Colorado Lower Forecast Area-
Paradox Valley Forecast Area-Northern San Juan Forecast Area-
North Fork Forecast Area-
Southwest Colorado Upper West Forecast Area-Eastern Uinta Basin-
Book Cliffs-Colorado River Basin-Southeast Utah-
757 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 200, 201, 202, 203, 205, 207, 290, 291, 292, 294, 486, 487,
490 AND 491...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 200 Little 
  Snake Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 201 Routt Forecast Area,
   Fire Weather Zone 202 White River Forecast Area, Fire Weather 
  Zone 203 Lower Colorado River, Fire Weather Zone 205 Colorado 
  River Headwaters, Fire Weather Zone 207 Southwest Colorado 
  Lower Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 290 Paradox Valley 
  Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 291 Northern San Juan 
  Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 292 North Fork Forecast Area 
  and Fire Weather Zone 294 Southwest Colorado Upper West 
  Forecast Area. In Utah, Fire Weather Zone 486 Eastern Uinta 
  Basin, Fire Weather Zone 487 Book Cliffs, Fire Weather Zone 
  490 Colorado River Basin and Fire Weather Zone 491 Southeast 
  Utah.

* WINDS...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...5 to 10 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which could be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ293-295-281000-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0014.170628T1800Z-170629T0200Z/
Gunnison Basin Forecast Area-
Southwest Colorado Upper East Forecast Area-
757 PM MDT Tue Jun 27 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 293 AND 295...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 293 Gunnison 
  Basin Forecast Area and Fire Weather Zone 295 Southwest 
  Colorado Upper East Forecast Area.

* WINDS...West 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...9 to 14 percent.

* IMPACTS...Fire starts could lead to quickly spreading fires 
  which could be difficult or impossible to control.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/gjt

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jun 26, 2:19 PM MDT, 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 26, 2:19 PM MDT, 33 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service GRAND JUNCTION CO
219 PM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 207 PM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

Updated near term forecast to include isolated thunder over some
of the areas terrain.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 252 AM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

Little change as far as the short term period is concerned. High
pressure remains in control bringing another sunny and warm day to
eastern Utah and western Colorado. Once again, a few showers and
thunderstorms are possible over the San Juans but the best
instability and moisture looks to be just to the east of our
forecast area where more widespread convection is expected. The
eastern Uintas may also see an odd shower or storm this afternoon
but these will be very isolated in nature. Expect some gusty winds
to mix down near and under any convection. Outside of these two
areas, plenty of sun continues with a few clouds this afternoon.
High temperatures will increase a few degrees compared to
yesterday.

On Tuesday, the trough mentioned above will move over the CWA. A
bit more convection is possible with the passage of this
disturbance but even the GFS, which is usually very bullish when
it comes to convection, has downplayed precipitation. Looking
aloft, the nose of the upper level jet remains north of our area
and does support more precipitation for the northern Rockies while
we stay fairly dry. As the trough moves through, soundings
indicate good mixing to 500mb, if not higher, where winds of 25 to
35 kts can be found. These will likely mix to the surface,
especially up north, where some gustier winds are expected. With
such dry conditions in place, critical fire weather conditions now
come into play. Please see the fire weather discussion below for
more information.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 252 AM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

The shortwave trough looks to move through the region through
Tuesday evening, ushering in a moderating shot of colder air (with
700mb temperatures dropping some 1 to 3 degrees from Monday night to
the 12 to 16 degrees Celsius range). This will allow for daytime
highs on Wednesday to be slightly cooler, though temperatures will
still be above normal for this time of year. As far as fire weather
concerns go, if the trough exits the area on Tuesday as anticipated,
the upper level gradient will begin to lax behind the trough so
while the atmosphere will still remain exceptionally dry as
precipitable water values range from 0.10 to 0.30 inches, surface
winds do not look to meet critical fire weather criteria at this
time.

For Thursday, the parent upper level low responsible for the
aforementioned embedded trough will drift to the east which will
leave our forecast area in northwesterly flow through the first half
of the weekend as a transitional ridge of high pressure builds to
the south. Saturday evening and beyond, a Pacific trough looks to
dig into the Great Basin with southwesterly flow increasing across
eastern Utah and western Colorado. As the previous forecaster
mentioned, no indication that the dry spell will end anytime soon
which pairs well with the Climate Prediction Center's 6 to 10 day
outlook which shows odds favoring warmer and drier conditions
persisting through the end of the period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1041 AM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

VFR conditions will continue through the forecast period. A weak
frontal boundary will pass on Tuesday afternoon bringing a slight
uptick in westerly winds at all terminal locations.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 252 AM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

As the trough moves over the area Tuesday, decent mixing up to at
least 500mb will allow some stronger winds to reach the surface.
For the moment, our northern zones look to get the stronger winds
and with dry conditions continuing and very dry fuels, critical
fire weather conditions will likely be met Tuesday. Latest model
runs indicated the Grand Valley and areas of eastern Utah possibly
getting some gustier winds too. However, MOS guidance doesn't
support these winds while soundings certainly lend themselves to
the chance of it happening. Very borderline at the moment and with
confidence wavering between medium to medium high, will keep the
watches going allowing another model run to come in and see how
winds are looking.

On Wednesday, a second, stronger jet streak is progged to move
over eastern Utah and Colorado and if mixing remains good, these
higher wind speeds may be tapped and reach the surface causing
another day of critical fire weather. A few more model runs will
certainly help in this regard, too.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CO...Fire Weather Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening
     for COZ200-202.

UT...None.
&&

UPDATE...Larry
SHORT TERM...TGR
LONG TERM...MMS
AVIATION...MAC
FIRE WEATHER...TGR
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 26, 5:39 AM MDT, 9 hours 13 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service GRAND JUNCTION CO
539 AM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-271200-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-
Upper Gunnison River Valley-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
539 AM MDT Mon Jun 26 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern Utah and western
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

High pressure remains in control. Even so, a quick shower or storm
is possible over the San Juans and eastern Uinta mountains today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

A passing disturbance will allow winds to pick up some Tuesday and
Wednesday and with dry fuels in place and continued low
humidities, critical fire weather conditions may be met. Fire
Weather Watches have been issued for our northern Colorado fire
zones for Tuesday. This area may have to be extended depending on
how much wind reaches the surface. Gusty winds are possible again
on Thursday possibly bringing another critical fire day. Thursday
and beyond, high pressure will build back in bringing more sun and
dry weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 26, 1:39 PM MDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
139 PM MDT MON JUN 26 2017

COZ019-022-262015-
Animas River Basin CO-Southwest San Juan Mountains CO-
139 PM MDT MON JUN 26 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL LA PLATA COUNTY UNTIL 215
PM MDT...

At 139 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles north of Durango, moving southeast at 10 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Durango, Hermosa and Trimble.

This includes U.S. Highway 550 in Colorado between mile markers 25
and 33.

LAT...LON 3741 10795 3746 10788 3737 10770 3730 10773
      3726 10783
TIME...MOT...LOC 1939Z 316DEG 7KT 3739 10786

Charnick
Special weather statement, Jun 26, 2:29 PM MDT, 23 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
229 PM MDT MON JUN 26 2017

COZ019-022-262115-
Animas River Basin CO-Southwest San Juan Mountains CO-
229 PM MDT MON JUN 26 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL LA PLATA COUNTY UNTIL 315
PM MDT...

At 228 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Durango, moving south at 15 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Durango, Falfa and Trimble.

This includes the following highways...
 U.S. Highway 550 in Colorado between mile markers 12 and 31.
 U.S. Highway 160 in Colorado between mile markers 76 and 97.
 Colorado 172 between mile markers 19 and 24.

LAT...LON 3740 10798 3742 10775 3718 10767 3715 10801
TIME...MOT...LOC 2028Z 355DEG 9KT 3734 10786

Larry
Local storm report, Jun 26, 2:50 PM MDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
250 PM MDT MON JUN 26 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0246 PM     HAIL             1 NNW DURANGO           37.30N 107.87W
06/26/2017  E0.25 INCH       LA PLATA           CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTED PEA SIZE, HEAVY RAIN AND
            WIND TO 20 MPH. RAIN IS WASHING TRASH
            THROUGH THE SPOTTERS YARD.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Junction, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 26, 1:39 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTLa Plata36 min
Jun 26, 2:29 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTLa Plata46 min
Jun 26, 2:52 PM MDTFire Weather WatchGJTDolores, Garfield, Gunnison, Hinsdale, La Plata, Mesa and 6 more24 hr
Jun 26, 4:03 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGJTLa Plata3 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2017Red Flag Warnings in Utah, 2017Every red flag warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.