Alert archive / Colorado / Flash Flood Watches in 2017

Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Grand Junction, CO

July 21, 201718 counties in Colorado; 4 counties in Utah

NWS Grand Junction, CO issued this flash flood watch at Jul 21, 2017, 2:52 AM MDT for 18 counties in Colorado; 4 counties in Utah. It took effect at Jul 21, 2017, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2017, 2:52 AM MDT (08:52 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 21, 2017, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Jul 22, 2017, 12:00 AM MDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Junction, CO
Flood severity
None
All 22 counties

Archuleta County, CO, Delta County, CO, Dolores County, CO, Eagle County, CO, Garfield County, CO, Gunnison County, CO, Hinsdale County, CO, La Plata County, CO, Mesa County, CO, Moffat County, CO, Montezuma County, CO, Montrose County, CO, Ouray County, CO, Pitkin County, CO, Rio Blanco County, CO, Routt County, CO, San Juan County, CO, San Miguel County, CO, Daggett County, UT, Grand County, UT, San Juan County, UT, Uintah County, UT

The radar

The Grand Junction radar (KGJX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Salt Lake City I, UT (KSLC), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 393 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Salt Lake City I, UT at 00:00Z on 2017-07-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 783 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Salt Lake City I, UT at 00:00Z on 2017-07-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 26 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
783 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-21 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2771 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
26 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
107 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jul 20, 4:55 PM MDT, 9 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 20, 4:55 PM MDT, 9 hours 57 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 20, 4:16 AM MDT, 22 hours 36 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service GRAND JUNCTION CO
416 AM MDT Thu Jul 20 2017

COZ003-006>009-011-017-020>022-UTZ022-025-027>029-211030-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
Southeast Utah-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
416 AM MDT Thu Jul 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northwest
Colorado...southwest Colorado...west central Colorado...east
central Utah and southeast Utah.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A flash flood watch is in effect for the area this afternoon
through midnight tonight. Monsoonal moisture remains in place and
will bring an increase in thunderstorm coverage by the afternoon.
Flooding due to heavy rainfall rates will become more likely,
especially over areas that are already saturated from recent
rainfall. Some storms will also be capable of producing gusty
outflow winds but every storm will have the potential to create
dangerous cloud to ground lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Moisture shifts eastward with potential for heavy rainfall
lasting through Friday. Some drier air works in from the
northwest on Saturday for a downturn in storm activity this
weekend into early next week. Another surge of moisture moves in
by the middle of next week, increasing the thunderstorm coverage.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

COZ001-002-004-005-010-012>014-018-019-023-UTZ023-024-211030-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Elkhead and Park Mountains-Upper Yampa River Basin-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-
Upper Gunnison River Valley-Northwest San Juan Mountains-
Southwest San Juan Mountains-San Juan River Basin-
Eastern Uinta Mountains-Eastern Uinta Basin-
416 AM MDT Thu Jul 20 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northwest
Colorado...southwest Colorado...west central Colorado and
northeast Utah.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Monsoonal moisture remains in place and will bring an increase in
thunderstorm coverage by the afternoon. Localized flooding due to
heavy rainfall rates will become more likely, especially over
areas that are already saturated from recent rainfall. Some
storms will also be capable of producing gusty outflow winds but
every storm will have the potential to create dangerous cloud to
ground lightning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Moisture shifts eastward with potential for heavy rainfall
lasting through Friday. Some drier air works in from the
northwest on Saturday for a downturn in storm activity this
weekend into early next week. Another surge of moisture moves in
by the middle of next week, increasing the thunderstorm coverage.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Junction, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 6:25 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTMontezuma35 min
Jul 20, 6:41 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTRio Blanco49 min
Jul 21, 1:53 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGJTGarfield, Mesa3 hr
Jul 21, 2:20 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTMoffat40 min
Jul 21, 2:34 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTMoffat41 min
Jul 21, 2:42 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGJTMoffat3 hr
Jul 21, 3:21 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTDolores24 min
Jul 21, 4:47 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTMesa43 min
Jul 21, 4:48 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTRio Blanco42 min
Jul 21, 5:12 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGJTMesa3 hr
Jul 20, 11:03 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTDaggett42 min
Jul 21, 1:33 AM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGJTDaggett, Uintah3 hr
Jul 21, 12:55 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGJTGrand, Uintah3 hr
Jul 21, 5:01 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementGJTGrand44 min
Jul 21, 5:24 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGJTGrand5 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Colorado, 2017Flash Flood Watches in Utah, 2017Every flash flood watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.