Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Hastings, NE

092 
WWUS43 KGID 241802
WSWGID

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1202 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2017


NEZ039-040-250215-
/O.CON.KGID.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170125T1500Z/
VALLEY-GREELEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORD...GREELEY...SPALDING...SCOTIA...
WOLBACH
1202 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

* HAZARD...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE
  REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. BLOWING SNOW IS ALSO
  EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WHICH MAY CAUSE VISIBILITY
  ISSUES FOR THOSE TRAVELING.

* TIMING...THE HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO
  THE EVENING. SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF TONIGHT INTO
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...5 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW ARE FORECAST.

* WINDS...WINDS WILL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
  SPEEDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH. SPEEDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING
  AND TONIGHT AT 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH.

* IMPACT...ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AND SNOW-COVERED. STRONG 
  WINDS TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCTIONS IN 
  VISIBILITY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NEZ041-046>049-060>062-250215-
/O.CON.KGID.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-170125T1500Z/
NANCE-SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FULLERTON...GENOA...LOUP CITY...
SHERMAN RESERVOIR...LITCHFIELD...ST. LIBORY...CENTRAL CITY...
STROMSBURG...OSCEOLA...SHELBY...POLK...LEXINGTON...COZAD...
WILLOW ISLAND...GOTHENBURG...KEARNEY...GRAND ISLAND
1202 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

* HAZARD...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE REMAINDER OF THE
  AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. SOME SLEET MAY ALSO OCCUR EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...THE MOST LIKELY PERIOD FOR SNOW SHOULD BE THIS
  AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. SNOW WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF
  TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION...1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW ARE 
  FORECAST. THE HIGHEST TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS THE 
  NORTHERN HALF OF THESE COUNTIES. 

* WINDS...WINDS WILL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
  SPEEDS AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH. SPEEDS SHOULD INCREASE THIS EVENING
  AND TONIGHT AT 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 40 MPH.

* IMPACT...ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AND SNOW-COVERED. STRONG 
  WINDS TONIGHT WILL PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCTIONS IN 
  VISIBILITY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
EWALD

536 
WWUS43 KGID 242049
WSWGID

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
249 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2017


NEZ039-040-250500-
/O.CAN.KGID.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170125T1500Z/
/O.EXA.KGID.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-170125T1500Z/
VALLEY-GREELEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ORD...GREELEY...SPALDING...SCOTIA...
WOLBACH
249 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

* HAZARD...LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE REMAINDER OF THE
  AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE AND MAY CAUSE
  VISIBILITY ISSUES DUE TO BLOWING SNOW.

* PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION...1 TO 2 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW IS
  POSSIBLE. TOTAL SNOWFALL SHOULD BE BETWEEN 2 AND 5 INCHES. 

* WINDS...NORTH WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE
  EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. 

* IMPACT...ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AND SNOW-COVERED. STRONG WINDS
  TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO STRONG WINDS BLOWING SNOW
AROUND. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.


&&

$$

NEZ060>062-242200-
/O.CAN.KGID.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-170125T1500Z/
DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEXINGTON...COZAD...WILLOW ISLAND...
GOTHENBURG...KEARNEY...GRAND ISLAND
249 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO
TONIGHT. HOWEVER ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL SHOULD BE AN INCH OR LESS.
THUS THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.


$$

NEZ041-046>049-250500-
/O.CON.KGID.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-170125T1500Z/
NANCE-SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FULLERTON...GENOA...LOUP CITY...
SHERMAN RESERVOIR...LITCHFIELD...ST. LIBORY...CENTRAL CITY...
STROMSBURG...OSCEOLA...SHELBY...POLK
249 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST
WEDNESDAY...

* HAZARD...LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE REMAINDER OF THE
  AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. 

* PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATION...1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ARE FORECAST. 

* WINDS...NORTH WINDS AT 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE
  EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. 

* IMPACT...ROADS WILL BECOME SLICK AND SNOW-COVERED. STRONG WINDS
  TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
EWALD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1135 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 354 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

Due to the shortness of the hour and that much of the afternoon
was dedicated to extensive fcst collaboration...this AFD will be
brief. Please refer to the fcst HWO and WSW for details as
currently envisioned.

First thing to say right out of the gate is confidence in the
precip fcst Tue-Tue night is below average. Just not sure how this
evolves. There are too many models depicting too many different
scenario's...especially the mesoscale models. Release of
convective instability and the associated release of latent heat
is resulting in bands of narrow but significant QPF and resulting
in the formation of a new low and/or altering the path of the
primary low.

This fcst is a broad-brush approach looking primarily at synoptic
features (track of 700 mb and 500 mb lows). However...the
mesoscale will play a role and that will necessitate changes to
the fcst that will have short lead-time.

We've hoisted a Winter Wx Advisory for all the counties along Neb
Hwy 92 north to include Valley/Greeley/Nance as well.

However...it is important to understand that this is just our
first swing at highlighting the potential with this system. I
would venture to say it is likely this advisory will be expanded.
There is even a chance part of the fcst area may need to be
upgraded to a warning with little advance notice.

Fcst issues...

1) Fog. Low stratus has lingered from GRI-AUH and conds are
favorable for it to rapidly expand across the fcst area this eve.
Would not be surprised to see dense fog (vsby 1/4 mi or less).

2) Frzg drzl. Confidence is low on this. The soundings have the
look...but do temps even radiate to frzg? Temps made it into the
40s and 50s over much of the fcst area. Does this warmth radiate
away before clouds move in? Nudge low temps up. Gut feeling is
that we may have over-played this threat. Watch temperatures.

3) Thunder? It's possible. There is enough elevated instability
that we could see some lightning late tonight. Mesoscale models
are indicating some mid-lvl convection after midnight tonight that
lifts across the fcst area in the morning.

4) A break? Much of the day could be dry tomorrow. Am concerned
the fcst sounds too wet.

5) We are unsure of how the snow evolves. We probably see a
significant band of snow develop over Nrn Neb during the day and
current expectation is that it will curl around the backside of
the 700mb low as it moves across the area in the late afternoon
hrs. Believe most of the snow will fall from 4 pm-4 am.

6) Snowfall amts: this advisory is a first shot...but it may not
fully encompass the area or the amounts correctly just yet. There
have been multiple runs of the NAM and RGEM that indicate a narrow
band of 4-8" of snow somewhere in cntrl Neb. Please allow us room
for fcst adjustments.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 354 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

Much of the above will cross over into this section. Please see
above.

After this system departs...temps much closer to normal will
settle over the region thru Sat...but more warm appears to be on
the horizon next week. Dry.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1130 PM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

Low confidence in the forecast for this TAF period. An upper level
low pressure system sliding across the region today will bring
less than ideal ceiling/visibility conditions to the terminal
areas, as well as precipitation chances. Am pretty pessimistic
with cigs/visby through the period, with sub-1000ft cigs
throughout. Visibilities will vary with precipitation moving
in/out of the area. Kept a mention of -fzdz this morning going,
but confidence in it actually occurring is not high. May see a
passing area of precip around 12Z or so, but then may have a bit
of a lull, before better chances return this afternoon and
evening. As far as winds go, current easterly winds look to stick
around well into the daytime hours, then later today/this evening,
switch to the north-northwest and start ramping up in speed.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Winter Weather Advisory from 3 AM Tuesday to 9 AM CST Wednesday
     for NEZ039>041-046>049.

KS...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Kelley
LONG TERM...Kelley
AVIATION...ADP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
339 PM CST MON JAN 23 2017

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
242145-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
339 PM CST MON JAN 23 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

FOG WILL EXPAND OVER MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA TONIGHT...REDUCING
THE VISIBILITY TO LESS THAN 1 MILE. DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITIES
ONE-QUARTER MILE OR LESS IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF FREEZING DRIZZLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

WIDESPREAD FOG WILL CONTINUE UNTIL NOON TUESDAY...AND IT COULD BE
ONE-QUARTER MILE OR LESS IN SOME LOCATIONS.

FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE UNTIL NOON TUESDAY. SNOW WILL
DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EXPAND ACROSS MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK
AREA FOR A TIME TUESDAY NIGHT. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...ALONG AND NORTH OF NEBRASKA
HIGHWAY 92 WHERE 1 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS LIKELY. LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. THIS ADVISORY MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED TO A
LARGER PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA AS THIS SYSTEM EVOLVES.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED 25 TO 30 MPH TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

KELLEY