Alert archive / Nebraska / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Hastings, NE

October 6, 2017Fillmore County, Nuckolls County, Thayer County, Nebraska

NWS Hastings, NE issued this special weather statement at Oct 6, 2017, 7:04 PM CDT for Fillmore County, Nuckolls County, Thayer County, Nebraska. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 6, 2017, 7:04 PM CDT (00:04 UTC)
Expired: Oct 6, 2017, 7:45 PM CDT
In force: 41 min
Issued by: NWS Hastings, NE

Counties Fillmore County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Thayer County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 571 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 156 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 374 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 6.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Oct 6, 3:28 PM CDT, 3 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 6, 3:28 PM CDT, 3 hours 36 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
328 PM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 310 PM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017

Clouds, drizzle and even a little light fog has persisted this
afternoon. A surface boundary has been drifting to the south through
the day and is in the vicinity of the Kansas/Nebraska state line. In
north central Kansas this afternoon, there has been some clearing in
the far southeast part of the forecast area and just to the south
and east. The combination of the boundary and clearing line will be
the focus for thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.

There is an upper level wave moving through the area through
tonight. Even if the front and clearing line will be the main focus
for thunderstorms, the upper level wave will also help to get a few
thunderstorms going. Therefore have the highest PoPs in the
east/southeast part of the area, but there should be a few across
the area.

There is around 2000 j/kg of MUCAPE and good shear during the
evening so there is a chance for some strong to severe thunderstorms
across the southeast part of the forecast area. In addition to hail
and wind there could be some areas with heavy rain. Will keep the
flood watch going through the evening.

Have kept a few lingering showers Saturday morning in the east, but
it should be moving out early in the morning. Behind the
precipitation, the skies should clear out and become mostly sunny.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 310 PM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017

Saturday night through Sunday there will be a break between systems.
There will be seasonable temperatures and some sunshine. A weak cold
front will move through the area Sunday but temperatures will still
be fairly seasonable. By Sunday night there is an upper level wave
that moves through and there is a chance for some showers.

After the precipitation moves out Monday night into Tuesday, cooler
air settles into the area. A surface high will settle into the area
and there will be temperatures in the mid 30s for much of the area.
There could be a little frost in the northwest part of the forecast
area. By Wednesday the surface high moves to the east and
temperatures start to warm up a little.

The period Wednesday night through Friday there is southwest flow
across the area. There are a few mainly weak waves that move through
and the models have different depictions of what is going to happen.
There are a few small parts of the area that will have a few showers
as temperatures slowly warm back up.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 18Z Saturday)
Issued at 1210 PM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017

The first few hours will be the most challenging part of the
forecast. Observations around the terminals have ceilings varying
from 300 ft to 1600 ft and visibilities from nearly a mile to 10
miles. Although the terminals have some higher ceilings or
visibilities at this time, there is enough of the lower readings
around that they probably will not continue that good. The next
concern will be when the lower ceilings move out. They should
start to move east of the terminals around midnight tonight.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Flood Watch until 1 AM CDT Saturday for NEZ064-076-077-085>087.

KS...Flood Watch until 1 AM CDT Saturday for KSZ006-007-018-019.

&&

SHORT TERM...JCB
LONG TERM...JCB
AVIATION...JCB

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 6, 3:28 PM CDT, 3 hours 36 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
328 PM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
071200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
328 PM CDT Fri Oct 6 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

A few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across much
of the outlook area this evening. The strongest storms will be to
the southeast of a line from Geneva, Nebraska, to Phillipsburg,
Kansas. Hail to the size of golf balls and wind gusts around 60
mph will be the primary threats.

In addition...A flood watch is in effect through late tonight for
areas along and southeast of a line extending from York, NE to
Osborne, KS. Please see the latest flood watch for more details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Low temperatures are expected to dip into the mid 30s Tuesday
morning. The coolest temperatures are generally expected west and
north of the tri-cities...where some patchy frost may develop.
Make plans to cover or move sensitive vegetation if you live
across this area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be possible primarily southeast of the
tri-cities late this afternoon and evening. Any reports of hail...
strong thunderstorm wind gusts...or localized flooding are always
appreciated.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 6, 6:30 PM CDT, 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
630 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0626 PM     HAIL             1 S DOWNS               39.49N 98.54W
10/06/2017  E1.50 INCH       OSBORNE            KS   PUBLIC

            A FEW OF UP TO PING PONG BALL SIZE...MOST
            SMALLER.

&&

PFANNKUCH

Special weather statement, Oct 6, 6:33 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
633 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

KSZ018-070000-
Osborne KS-
633 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN OSBORNE COUNTY UNTIL
700 PM CDT...

At 633 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Natoma, or 17 miles northeast of Emmeram, moving east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Natoma.

LAT...LON 3921 9905 3924 9905 3933 9875 3913 9868
      3913 9903
TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 257DEG 21KT 3918 9895

ADP

Local storm report, Oct 6, 6:46 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
646 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     HAIL             2 N HUNTER              39.26N 98.40W
10/06/2017  E1.75 INCH       MITCHELL           KS   PUBLIC

            HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.

&&

PFANNKUCH

Special weather statement, Oct 6, 6:57 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
657 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

KSZ018-070030-
Osborne KS-
657 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN OSBORNE COUNTY UNTIL
730 PM CDT...

At 657 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Luray, or 23 miles northeast of Russell, moving east at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southeastern
Osborne County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3924 9884 3937 9849 3913 9849 3913 9885
TIME...MOT...LOC 2357Z 255DEG 19KT 3917 9862

ADP

Local storm report, Oct 6, 6:59 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
659 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0648 PM     HAIL             3 W IONIA               39.67N 98.40W
10/06/2017  E1.00 INCH       JEWELL             KS   PUBLIC

&&

PFANNKUCH

Special weather statement, Oct 6, 7:04 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
704 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

NEZ064-076-077-086-087-070045-
Thayer NE-Nuckolls NE-Clay NE-York NE-Fillmore NE-
704 PM CDT FRI OCT 6 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CLAY...EASTERN
NUCKOLLS...SOUTHERN YORK...FILLMORE AND THAYER COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM
CDT...

At 703 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Sutton to near Ruskin. Movement was
northeast at 35 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
York, Geneva, Superior, Hebron, Sutton, Deshler, Exeter, Fairmont,
Edgar, Nelson, McCool Junction, Shickley, Davenport, Milligan,
Bruning, Alexandria, Grafton, Ruskin, Ohiowa and Carleton.

This includes Interstate 80 between mile markers 352 and 364.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 4004 9738 4001 9811 4057 9801 4066 9793
      4070 9783 4081 9765 4092 9737
TIME...MOT...LOC 0003Z 221DEG 28KT 4062 9780 4010 9791

ADP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 6, 7:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Nuckolls, Webster	23 min
Oct 6, 7:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Thayer	30 min
Oct 6, 7:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Mitchell	37 min
Oct 6, 7:13 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	GID	Mitchell, Osborne	4 hr
Oct 6, 7:16 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Mitchell	29 min
Oct 6, 7:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Mitchell	32 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Nebraska, 2017 Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.