Severe Thunderstorm Warning 36, NWS Hastings, NE

348 
WWUS53 KGID 190403
SVSGID

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1103 PM CDT TUE APR 18 2017

NEC181-190412-
/O.CAN.KGID.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-170419T0415Z/
Webster NE-
1103 PM CDT TUE APR 18 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WEBSTER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has stayed out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3987 9793 3981 9794 3991 9836 4000 9829
      4000 9827 4002 9827 4007 9824 3999 9793
TIME...MOT...LOC 0402Z 218DEG 4KT 3996 9823 

$$

KSC089-NEC129-190415-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-170419T0415Z/
Jewell KS-Nuckolls NE-
1103 PM CDT TUE APR 18 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN JEWELL AND SOUTHWESTERN NUCKOLLS COUNTIES...

At 1102 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Bostwick, or
33 miles west of Belleville, and is nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect damage 
         to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. 

Locations impacted include...
Superior, Webber, Bostwick and Lovewell State Park. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3987 9793 3981 9794 3991 9836 4000 9829
      4000 9827 4002 9827 4007 9824 3999 9793
TIME...MOT...LOC 0402Z 218DEG 4KT 3996 9823 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

Heinlein

062 
WWUS53 KGID 190413
SVSGID

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1113 PM CDT TUE APR 18 2017

KSC089-NEC129-190422-
/O.EXP.KGID.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-170419T0415Z/
Jewell KS-Nuckolls NE-
1113 PM CDT TUE APR 18 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN JEWELL AND
SOUTHWESTERN NUCKOLLS COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1115 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However small hail
is still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3987 9793 3981 9794 3991 9836 4000 9829
      4000 9827 4002 9827 4007 9824 3999 9793
TIME...MOT...LOC 0412Z 218DEG 4KT 3997 9822 

$$

Heinlein

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
701 PM CDT Tue Apr 18 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 154 PM CDT Tue Apr 18 2017

Chances for thunderstorms are the main focus during the short term
periods.

The pattern aloft featured fairly zonal flow across the interior
CONUS with embedded shortwave wave troughs. A wave which crossed
the plains overnight brought a cool front into our northern zones
this morning, while to the south a warm front was lifting north
from Kansas. A surface low will deepen along the high plains
tonight with the main front to the south lifting north into south
central Nebraska tonight. Short term models are in decent
agreement that while a storm may try to develop in our southern
zones this evening, the better chances for convection exist
tonight as the lowlevel jet strengthens overnight and another
shortwave trough translates across South Dakota and northern
Nebraska. Given the frontal position, orientation of the low level
jet and track of the wave, our Nebraska zones (especially the
eastern and northern zones) have the better chances for
precipitation overnight. A strong to severe storm may occur with
large hail the primary hazard given decent instability and good
shear.

Chances for convection linger into Wednesday until a cold frontal
boundary moves through and scours the low level moisture. Our
southeast zones remain in a SPC Day 2 slight risk, for storm
development along the cold front in the late afternoon/eve. The
latest models are trending faster/farther south with the frontal
position Wednesday and would not be surprised to see the slight risk
shifted a little farther southeast as well. Given the progged
frontal position, while not completely ruling out a brief couple
hour window of opportunity for a storm or two, convection should
move out of our area pretty quickly in the evening. If front does
slow, a strong to severe storm is possible again with large
hail/damaging winds the primary hazards.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 154 PM CDT Tue Apr 18 2017

The forecast dries out Wednesday night through Thursday as drier air
and surface ridging settles in behind the boundary. An upper trough
moves into the Rockies Thursday with a widespread rain developing
and spreading east of the high plains late Thursday night and
through the workweek. The latest track of the system into
Kansas/Oklahoma provides the best chances for rain across western
Nebraska and then across Kansas. Instability is not zero Friday,
but is not high either and maintained shower wording.

The system departs Friday night or early Saturday with dry weather
for the weekend with ridging behind the departing upper low.
Temperatures remain cool through Saturday with highs just near 60,
then Saturday night will need to monitor lows as temperatures may
trend cold enough for a mention of frost in our western counties.
The dry pattern continues into the first part of next week with
temperatures averaging in the 60s/70s for highs.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 654 PM CDT Tue Apr 18 2017

Main issue tonight will be lowering ceilings north of a stalled
front as a low-level jet develops. There is a small chance of
thunderstorms, some possibly strong, but again, chances are small,
so this will be handles with VCTS. Ceilings may perhaps be a bit
lower at KGRI compared to KEAR. If a thunderstorm were to POP up
over or near a terminal, visibility may be lower than VFR, but
predictability is too low to put this in the forecast for now. I
may need to amend the forecast to increase wind speeds a bit
overnight.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Fay
LONG TERM...Fay
AVIATION...Heinlein

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1139 AM CDT Tue Apr 18 2017

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
191200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
1139 AM CDT Tue Apr 18 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Thunderstorms are forecast tonight, primarily across south central
Nebraska after midnight. A few strong to severe storms are
possible which may produce hail the size of quarters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorm chances linger into Wednesday morning, then there is
a chance for a strong to severe storm Wednesday afternoon for
locations southeast of a line from Geneva, Nebraska to Osborne,
Kansas. Large hail and damaging winds will be the primary hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation should not be needed through tonight.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings