Severe Thunderstorm Warning 141, NWS Hastings, NE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1239 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

An isolated strong to severe thunderstorm is possible today
between 5 pm and 8 pm along and southeast of a line from Osborne,
KS to Geneva, NE. The main threats are quarter size hail and
isolated 60 mph wind gusts.

After 8 pm, scattered thunderstorms are expected to redevelop.
The highest coverage of storms is expected to be south of I-80.
Some of these storms could be severe with up to golf ball size
hail and 60 mph wind gusts. Localized heavy rainfall and flooding
are also possible.

The MCS could disrupt things for Thursday, but we could have yet
another shot at severe weather with the boundary(ies) around.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 252 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

Cool down finally for Friday/Saturday, but yet more moisture
return for Sunday/Monday with more storms possible, with best
chance of severe looking like Sunday evening. Still looks like it
should dry out by July 4th.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 06Z Friday)
Issued at 1220 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

My expectation is that the line of thunderstorms south of the
terminals will remain there as they propagate eastward and build
southward into the low-level jet. There is an area of rain showers
that will likely affect both EAR and GRI over the next few hours
though.

Later tonight, scattered thunderstorms may move into the terminals
from western Nebraska. This will likely be a pretty short window
before we clear out shortly after dawn.

Thunderstorm redevelopment is possible Thursday afternoon. At this
time, the best chances appear to be farther east. Therefore I
included VCTS in GRI, but left it out of EAR for now.

Aside from any thunderstorms, winds should remain pretty light and
variable through the TAF period.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Heinlein
LONG TERM...Heinlein
AVIATION...Mangels

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
251 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
291200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
251 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

An isolated strong to severe thunderstorm is possible today
between 5 pm and 8 pm along and southeast of a line from Osborne,
KS to Geneva, NE. The main threats are quarter size hail and
isolated 60 mph wind gusts.

After 8 pm, scattered thunderstorms are expected to redevelop.
The highest coverage of storms is expected to be south of I-80.
Some of these storms could be severe with up to golf ball size
hail and 60 mph wind gusts. Localized heavy rainfall and flooding
are also possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Severe thunderstorms will again be possible across portions of
the outlook area mainly Thursday afternoon into Thursday night
with the greatest potential for severe thunderstorms from 5 pm to
midnight. The primary severe weather threats will be large hail to
the size of golf balls and damaging wind gusts to 70 mph.

Saturday night through Monday evening, there will be periodic
chances for thunderstorms across portions of the outlook area.
The best chance for more widespread stronger storms will be
Sunday evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed late this afternoon through the
night.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

Heinlein

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1041 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

KSZ007-290415-
Jewell KS-
1041 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL JEWELL COUNTY UNTIL
1115 PM CDT...

At 1040 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Courtland, or 15 miles west of Belleville, moving northeast at 20
mph.

Nickel size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Formoso and Lovewell State Park.

LAT...LON 3970 9794 3987 9808 3996 9793 3970 9793
TIME...MOT...LOC 0340Z 239DEG 18KT 3985 9793

JCB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1056 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

NEZ087-290445-
Thayer NE-
1056 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN THAYER COUNTY UNTIL
1145 PM CDT...

At 1056 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Republic, or 8 miles northwest of Belleville, moving northeast at 30
mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Chester, Alexandria, Byron, Hubbell and Gilead.

LAT...LON 4000 9737 4000 9778 4026 9738 4024 9737
TIME...MOT...LOC 0356Z 236DEG 26KT 3992 9774

Rossi

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1139 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

NEZ084-085-290530-
Franklin NE-Webster NE-
1139 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN WEBSTER AND NORTHERN
FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 AM CDT...

At 1139 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Campbell to near Hildreth. Movement was east at
20 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Blue Hill, Hildreth, Campbell, Bladen, Upland and Rosemont.

LAT...LON 4019 9833 4019 9909 4035 9909 4035 9833
TIME...MOT...LOC 0439Z 270DEG 16KT 4028 9871 4027 9901

Rossi

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1144 PM CDT WED JUN 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 PM     HAIL             CHESTER                 40.01N 97.62W
06/28/2017  E0.88 INCH       THAYER             NE   PUBLIC

            PICTURE FROM FACEBOOK. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR.

&&

MANGELS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1221 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

NEZ083-084-290600-
Franklin NE-Harlan NE-
1221 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL FRANKLIN AND NORTHEASTERN
HARLAN COUNTIES UNTIL 100 AM CDT...

At 1221 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Huntley, or 18 miles south of Holdrege, moving east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Alma, Franklin, Republican City, Upland, Bloomington and Huntley.

LAT...LON 4035 9891 4035 9886 4009 9882 4008 9937
      4026 9940
TIME...MOT...LOC 0521Z 262DEG 20KT 4019 9930

Rossi

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
102 AM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 AM     HAIL             3 WNW GUIDE ROCK        40.09N 98.38W
06/29/2017  M1.75 INCH       WEBSTER            NE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL 1 N AND 2.5 W OF GUIDE
            ROCK.

&&