Severe Thunderstorm Warning 94, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

289 
WWUS53 KFSD 280339
SVSFSD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
1039 PM CDT TUE JUN 27 2017

SDC023-280347-
/O.CAN.KFSD.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-170628T0415Z/
Charles Mix SD-
1039 PM CDT TUE JUN 27 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CHARLES MIX
COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
south central South Dakota.

LAT...LON 4350 9837 4350 9832 4352 9832 4362 9801
      4354 9797 4350 9797 4350 9794 4331 9784
      4324 9826 4330 9845 4343 9854
TIME...MOT...LOC 0337Z 247DEG 36KT 4334 9831 

$$

SDC035-043-067-280415-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-170628T0415Z/
Davison SD-Douglas SD-Hutchinson SD-
1039 PM CDT TUE JUN 27 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN DAVISON...DOUGLAS AND NORTHWESTERN HUTCHINSON
COUNTIES...

At 1037 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Armour, or 16
miles west of Parkston, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

This severe storm will be near...
  Delmont around 1045 PM CDT. 
  Parkston around 1100 PM CDT. 
  Dimock around 1105 PM CDT. 
  Ethan around 1110 PM CDT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4350 9837 4350 9832 4352 9832 4362 9801
      4354 9797 4350 9797 4350 9794 4331 9784
      4324 9826 4330 9845 4343 9854
TIME...MOT...LOC 0337Z 247DEG 36KT 4334 9831 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Hanko

210 
WWUS53 KFSD 280357
SVSFSD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
1057 PM CDT TUE JUN 27 2017

SDC035-280406-
/O.CAN.KFSD.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-170628T0415Z/
Davison SD-
1057 PM CDT TUE JUN 27 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN DAVISON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for
south central and southeastern South Dakota.

LAT...LON 4347 9834 4350 9815 4350 9794 4331 9784
      4324 9826 4330 9845 4343 9847
TIME...MOT...LOC 0356Z 257DEG 26KT 4334 9819 

$$

SDC043-067-280415-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-170628T0415Z/
Douglas SD-Hutchinson SD-
1057 PM CDT TUE JUN 27 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN DOUGLAS AND NORTHWESTERN HUTCHINSON COUNTIES...

At 1056 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Delmont, or 11
miles west of Parkston, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. At 1043 PM CDT half dollar hail was 
         reported in Armour. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

This severe storm will be near...
  Parkston and Dimock around 1115 PM CDT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4347 9834 4350 9815 4350 9794 4331 9784
      4324 9826 4330 9845 4343 9847
TIME...MOT...LOC 0356Z 257DEG 26KT 4334 9819 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Hanko

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
358 PM CDT Tue Jun 27 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 357 PM CDT Tue Jun 27 2017

Focus through tonight remains on convective timing/location and
associated severe threat. Gusty southerly winds across the region
are beginning to draw boundary layer moisture northward into the
area, though surface dew points in the mid-upper 40s still quite
prevalent in our forecast area as of 19Z. Exception extends from
south central South Dakota eastward along the Missouri River, where
dew points in the mid-upper 50s are more common.

Advection of this moisture is expected to continue into the evening,
as the southerly winds continue beneath an increasing low level jet.
Otherwise the forecast soundings depict plenty of dry air above
850mb in advance of the storms, leading to the enhanced wind threat
as indicated by SPC into our far southern zones. Still concerned
that fairly deep stable layer beneath 850mb will limit strongest
winds from reaching the surface, but with 50+ kts of wind flow
within 1000-1500ft AGL, and 0-3km bulk shear vectors oriented nearly
perpendicular to expected north-south line, accelerating storms
should be able to tap this and bring potential for severe gusts to
the surface as the storms progress eastward.

As far as timing, CAMs have been fairly consistent showing initial
discrete storm development over the Nebraska panhandle/far southwest
South Dakota mid-late afternoon. This activity gradually congeals
into a line from south central South Dakota into central Nebraska
through the early evening, with more isolated activity developing
northward into central South Dakota as the mid-upper level wave
translates eastward into the area. Leading edge of the line has been
projected to reach our far southwest corner by 01Z-02Z, developing
eastward into the I-29 corridor by 04Z-05Z, then continuing into
southwest Minnesota/northwest Iowa during the overnight hours. Most
favorable parameters for damaging wind threat wane or move southeast
of our forecast area by 08Z-09Z, though lagging showers and storms
will continue across eastern parts of the area through the early
morning hours Wednesday.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 357 PM CDT Tue Jun 27 2017

Relatively slow evolving pattern through the extended with large
trough intensifying over Alberta on Wednesday and then gradually
shifting east into the Great Lakes region over the weekend. Weak
surface ridge moves through the area on Wednesday night leading to
good radiational cooling and overnight lows a few degrees below
normal.

On Thursday, a shortwave train is expected to move across the area
leading to showers and storms.  While the main surface warm front
looks to be located close to I-80, much of the instability appears
to be focused further to the south.  With abundant cloud cover and
rain, have lowered forecast highs toward the cooler end of guidance.

Looks like a relatively cool weekend on the backside of the upper
trough across the Great Lakes region with northwest flow prevailing
over the Northern Plains.  A series of short waves are expected to
move from the Pacific Northwest on Saturday into the Central Plains
on Sunday night.  Low level moisture and instability looks fairly
limited, so for now just have general thunderstorm mention on Sunday
night.

Near seasonal temperatures with a warming trend is expected the
first half of next week as a weak upper level ridge builds into the
region.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1236 PM CDT Tue Jun 27 2017

Primary aviation concerns through the afternoon/early evening will
focus on gusty southerly winds, gusting to 25-35kt, especially
along and west of I-29 corridor. After 01Z, attention turns to
increasing convective threat in central South Dakota, with the
potential for thunderstorms spreading east across the forecast
area through the late evening and overnight. Greatest chances for
thunder look to be at KFSD/KSUX after 03Z-04z, with more spotty
activity during the mid-late evening for KHON. Isolated stronger
storms could produce wind gusts in excess of 45-50kt, with KSUX
currently having the greatest risk of these damaging winds. Areas
of MVFR-IFR conditions will accompany the thunderstorms.

Any lingering convection in northwest IA/southwest MN at daybreak
Wednesday should exit to the east by the end of this TAF period.
Areas MVFR ceilings could lag behind the exiting precipitation,
but confidence not high enough to include this in the TAFs at this
time.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
IA...None.
NE...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...JH
LONG TERM...BT
AVIATION...JH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
1200 PM CDT Tue Jun 27 2017

SDZ038-050-052>054-057>061-063>066-068-069-281700-
Beadle-Gregory-Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-
McCook-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Bon Homme-Yankton-
1200 PM CDT Tue Jun 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central South
Dakota, east central South Dakota, south central South Dakota,
and southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are expected to develop during the evening hours. A
few storms could be severe, with the main threats being large
hail up to the size of golf balls, and strong wind gusts of 60 to
70 mph. The greatest potential for large hail appears to be west
of the James River Valley, while the greatest threat for damaging
winds near and south of Interstate 90. An isolated tornado cannot
be ruled out, especially toward central South Dakota in the early
and evening hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible from 7 pm to midnight Tuesday
evening.

IAZ001>003-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-SDZ039-040-055-056-
062-281700-
Lyon IA-Osceola-Dickinson-Lincoln MN-Lyon MN-Murray-Cottonwood-
Nobles-Jackson-Pipestone-Rock-Kingsbury-Brookings-Lake-Moody-
Minnehaha-
1200 PM CDT Tue Jun 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Iowa,
southwest Minnesota, east central South Dakota, and southeast
South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are expected to develop very late this evening and
last until after midnight. A few storms could approach severe
limits, the main threats being large hail up to the size of
quarters, and strong wind gusts of 50 to 60 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

IAZ012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-SDZ067-070-071-281700-
Sioux-O'Brien-Clay IA-Plymouth-Cherokee-Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-
Dixon-Dakota-Lincoln SD-Clay SD-Union-
1200 PM CDT Tue Jun 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Iowa,
west central Iowa, northeast Nebraska, and southeast South
Dakota.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Thunderstorms are expected to develop during the late evening
hours and last into the overnight. A few storms may be severe,
with the main threats damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph. Areas near
the Interstate 29 corridor may also see large hail to the size of
quarters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible from 10 pm this evening until 3 am
early Wednesday.