Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 135, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

July 9, 2017Lyon County, Minnesota

NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 9, 2017, 9:35 PM CDT for Lyon County, Minnesota. It was in force for 25 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 9, 2017, 9:35 PM CDT (02:35 UTC)
Expired: Jul 9, 2017, 10:00 PM CDT
In force: 25 min
Issued by: NWS Sioux Falls, SD
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Lyon County, MN

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 9, 9:57 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	6 Ne Minneota, MN	SEVERAL LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN.
Jul 9, 10:05 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	6 Wsw Cottonwood, MN	TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
Jul 9, 10:08 PM CDT	HAIL 1.75	5 Nne Marshall, MN

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 22 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 627 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -187 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1764 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 222 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 278 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 3.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

637 
WUUS53 KFSD 100235
SVRFSD
MNC083-100300-
/O.NEW.KFSD.SV.W.0135.170710T0235Z-170710T0300Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
935 PM CDT SUN JUL 9 2017

The National Weather Service in Sioux Falls has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Lyon County in southwestern Minnesota...

* Until 1000 PM CDT

* At 935 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Minneota, or
  14 miles northwest of Marshall, moving south at 55 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Marshall, Tracy, Minneota, Cottonwood, Balaton, Ghent, Russell,
  Taunton, Camden State Park, Lynd and Garvin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service
office in Sioux Falls.

&&

LAT...LON 4419 9559 4420 9597 4463 9609 4463 9560
TIME...MOT...LOC 0235Z 340DEG 47KT 4464 9590 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Ferguson

1 follow-up statement

837 
WWUS53 KFSD 100242
SVSFSD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
942 PM CDT SUN JUL 9 2017

MNC083-100300-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0135.000000T0000Z-170710T0300Z/
Lyon MN-
942 PM CDT SUN JUL 9 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR LYON COUNTY...

At 942 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Minneota, or 14
miles north of Marshall, moving south at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Golf ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Marshall, Tracy, Minneota, Cottonwood, Balaton, Ghent, Russell,
Taunton, Camden State Park, Lynd and Garvin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Sioux Falls.

&&

LAT...LON 4419 9559 4420 9597 4463 9609 4463 9560
TIME...MOT...LOC 0242Z 339DEG 36KT 4464 9590 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Ferguson

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sioux Falls, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 9, 3:26 PM CDT, 6 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 9, 3:26 PM CDT, 6 hours 9 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
326 PM CDT Sun Jul 9 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 326 PM CDT Sun Jul 9 2017

A fairly strong northwest upper level jet max was moving into
Minnesota early this afternoon with diminishing high based showers
ahead of it. Temperatures were soaring in central SD with dew points
falling. At 2 pm temperatures were near 100 with dew points in the
mid 50s. This was creating an environment in which thunderstorm
development will be difficult, but not impossible. The latest model
soundings suggest that somewhere close to 105 will allow for
possible surface based convection, however CAPE values are generally
less than 1000 J/kg. So if thunderstorms can develop will need to
watch for strong winds with the inverted v sounding. The other area
to watch will have a higher probability for severe thunderstorms but
will see a strong cap likely suppress development. Expect
thunderstorms to develop in central parts of MN late afternoon and
early evening, then progress south or southeast through the evening.
The tail end of instability will stretch west into southwest MN and
if enough cooling aloft or an outflow boundary can work into the
area a few strong to severe storms will be possible. CAPE a little
closer to 2000 J/kg and deep layer shear running about 50 knots. The
best chance will be from about 7 pm through 11 pm along and east of
the Buffalo Ridge. While exceedingly unlikely there may be a small
area east of the Buffalo Ridge where enhanced low level shear could
allow a brief tornado but confidence right now too low to mention.

After this threat diminishes late this evening Monday appears to be
dry. Temperatures may end up a little cooler on Monday as a strong
outflow from the MN MCS will drop a boundary south into Nebraska.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 326 PM CDT Sun Jul 9 2017

Upper level over the northern Plains continues to break down Monday
night as a shortwave tracks east. Models still uncertain on where
exactly this wave will track, however the general agreement takes
this feature along the SD and NE border late Monday night into
Tuesday morning. Frontal boundary also likely to be draped near the
area, possibly near the Missouri Valley into northwest Iowa. Best
chance for storms will be along and south of I-90 however if the
boundary or wave moves further north or south, this could be
adjusted.

Second wave digs across the SD/ND border Tuesday evening, but again,
models differ in how far south the energy from this wave dips. Looks
like the bulk of the forcing remains to our north, however a weak
boundary potentially drops across the area Tuesday evening into the
overnight hours, which could help spark a few thunderstorms mainly
in the evening.

Quasi-zonal flow continues into Wednesday, followed by strengthening
of the ridge over the Rockies and High Plains into the upcoming
weekend. Models bring some skittish precipitation chances during
this period, as some waves dive southeast through the northern
Plains. Again, models not in good agreement during this period, so
uncertainty in the timing or track of any one event is very high.
Temperatures remain primarily in the mid 80s to mid 90s during this
period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1209 PM CDT Sun Jul 9 2017

VFR through the period with a chance for low end VFR ceilings
along and west of Interstate 29. There will also be a small threat
for thunderstorms. One area will be in central SD late afternoon
and early evening but developing dry air will likely keep
thunderstorms from developing. The other area will be in southwest
MN, especially east of the Buffalo Ridge. While the activity is
most likely to remain north and east of Marshall and Windom if
storms can get into southwest MN they may be severe.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
IA...None.
NE...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...08

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 9, 3:30 AM CDT, 18 hours 5 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
330 AM CDT Sun Jul 9 2017

IAZ001-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ098-NEZ013-014-SDZ040-055-056-
062-066-067-069>071-100830-
Lyon IA-Sioux-O'Brien-Clay IA-Plymouth-Cherokee-Buena Vista-
Woodbury-Ida-Rock-Dixon-Dakota-Brookings-Lake-Moody-Minnehaha-
Turner-Lincoln SD-Yankton-Clay SD-Union-
330 AM CDT Sun Jul 9 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Iowa,
west central Iowa, southwest Minnesota, northeast Nebraska, east
central South Dakota, and southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Temperatures will climb into the lower to middle 90s across the
area. Heat index values will approach 95 degrees. Hot and dry
conditions, combined with breezy winds will lead to an elevated
fire danger concern today. Those outside should use extra caution
with fires, grills, or farm equipment.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

While no widespread rain chances are on the horizon. Widely
scattered thunderstorms could be possible from Monday night
through Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

SDZ038-039-050-052>054-057>061-063>065-068-100830-
Beadle-Kingsbury-Gregory-Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Brule-Aurora-
Davison-Hanson-McCook-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Bon Homme-
330 AM CDT Sun Jul 9 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central South
Dakota, east central South Dakota, south central South Dakota,
and southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Temperatures will climb into the upper 90s across the area. Heat
index values will approach 100 degrees. Hot and dry conditions,
combined with breezy winds will lead to an elevated to high fire
danger concern today. Those outside should use extra caution with
fires, grills, or farm equipment.

An approaching front late this afternoon may aid in developing
isolated thunderstorms. While the risk of severe storms is low,
strong thunderstorms could produce marginal hail and strong winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Warm temperatures will continue through the upcoming week, with
daily heat index values between 90 and 95 degrees.

While no widespread rain chances are on the horizon. Widely
scattered thunderstorms could be possible from Monday night
through Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

IAZ002-003-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-100830-
Osceola-Dickinson-Lincoln MN-Lyon MN-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-
Jackson-Pipestone-
330 AM CDT Sun Jul 9 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Iowa
and southwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Temperatures will climb into the upper 80s to lower 90s, with heat
index values into the middle 90s.

Thunderstorms may form across north central Minnesota later this
afternoon. These thunderstorms may move to the south and southeast
overnight and could extend westward into Southwest Minnesota and
Northern Iowa along the Buffalo Ridge this evening. While the
highest risk for thunderstorms will be east of the outlook area,
if storms do track into the area they may bring the risk for
strong winds of 60 mph and half dollar size hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

Warm temperatures will continue through the upcoming week, with
daily heat index values between 90 and 95 degrees.

While no widespread rain chances are on the horizon. Widely
scattered thunderstorms could be possible from Monday night
through Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 9, 6:05 PM CDT, 3 hours 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
605 PM CDT SUN JUL 9 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0552 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 WSW FAIRFAX           43.02N 98.90W
07/09/2017  M73 MPH          GREGORY            SD   MESONET

            CWOP STATION E7290.

&&

AF

Local storm report, Jul 9, 6:07 PM CDT, 3 hours 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
607 PM CDT SUN JUL 9 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     HAIL             PLATTE                  43.38N 98.85W
07/09/2017  E0.88 INCH       CHARLES MIX        SD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

AF

Local storm report, Jul 9, 6:08 PM CDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
608 PM CDT SUN JUL 9 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0438 PM     HAIL             2 WNW PLATTE            43.40N 98.88W
07/09/2017  E0.88 INCH       CHARLES MIX        SD   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

AF

Local storm report, Jul 9, 6:25 PM CDT, 3 hours 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
625 PM CDT SUN JUL 9 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSE FAIRFAX           43.02N 98.88W
07/09/2017                   GREGORY            SD   PUBLIC

            4 TO 6 INCH DIAMETER TREE BRANCHES DOWN.

&&

JC

Local storm report, Jul 9, 6:29 PM CDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
629 PM CDT SUN JUL 9 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E FAIRFAX             43.03N 98.87W
07/09/2017                   GREGORY            SD   PUBLIC

            GRAIN BIN DESTROYED. DOORS TORN OFF TWO
            OUTBUILDINGS.

&&

JC

Local storm report, Jul 9, 6:39 PM CDT, 2 hours 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
639 PM CDT SUN JUL 9 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     HAIL             PLATTE                  43.38N 98.85W
07/09/2017  E1.00 INCH       CHARLES MIX        SD   PUBLIC

            TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

AF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 9, 9:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Lyon	49 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2017 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.