Wind Chill Advisory 3, NWS Grand Forks, ND

Becker County, MN, Beltrami County, MN, Clay County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Kittson County, MN, Lake of the Woods County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Roseau County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Benson County, ND, Cass County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Steele County, ND, Towner County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND

784 
WWUS43 KFGF 080350
WSWFGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
950 PM CST SAT JAN 7 2017

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-081500-
/O.CON.KFGF.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-170108T1500Z/
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROOKSTON...EAST GRAND FORKS...ADA...
TWIN VALLEY...HALSTAD...MOORHEAD...HALLOCK...KARLSTAD...
LANCASTER...ROSEAU...WARROAD...GREENBUSH...BAUDETTE...WARREN...
STEPHEN...ARGYLE...NEWFOLDEN...MIDDLE RIVER...GRYGLA...RED LAKE...
REDBY...PONEMAH...THIEF RIVER FALLS...RED LAKE FALLS...FOSSTON...
FERTILE...MCINTOSH...ERSKINE...BAGLEY...CLEARBROOK...BEMIDJI...
MAHNOMEN...NAYTAHWAUSH...WAUBUN...ALIDA...EBRO...LAKE ITASCA...
LONG LOST LAKE...LOWER RICE LAKE...ROY LAKE...UPPER RICE LAKE...
PARK RAPIDS...DETROIT LAKES...WOLF LAKE...BRECKENRIDGE...
FERGUS FALLS...PERHAM...NEW YORK MILLS...PARKERS PRAIRIE...
HENNING...BATTLE LAKE...WADENA...MENAHGA...ELBOW LAKE...HOFFMAN...
ASHBY...HERMAN...BARRETT...CANDO...LANGDON...CAVALIER...
WALHALLA...DRAYTON...PEMBINA...NECHE...ST. THOMAS...FORT TOTTEN...
MADDOCK...LEEDS...MINNEWAUKAN...DEVILS LAKE...GRAFTON...
PARK RIVER...NEW ROCKFORD...LAKOTA...MCVILLE...ANETA...TOLNA...
GRAND FORKS...COOPERSTOWN...FINLEY...HOPE...MAYVILLE...
HILLSBORO...HATTON...PORTLAND...VALLEY CITY...FARGO...LISBON...
ENDERLIN...GWINNER...MILNOR...FORMAN...RUTLAND...WAHPETON...
EDINBURG...ADAMS...LANKIN
950 PM CST SAT JAN 7 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST SUNDAY...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...EXPECT WIND CHILLS TO RANGE FROM 20 BELOW
  ZERO TO 40 BELOW ZERO UNTIL 9 AM SUNDAY...WITH THE COLDEST WIND
  CHILLS OCCURRING JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS...THE COLD WIND CHILLS WILL CAUSE FROSTBITE IN AS 
  LITTLE AS 30 MINUTES TO EXPOSED SKIN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT COLD AIR AND THE WIND WILL
COMBINE TO CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. FROST BITE AND HYPOTHERMIA CAN
OCCUR IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

514 
WWUS43 KFGF 081019
WSWFGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
419 AM CST SUN JAN 8 2017

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-081500-
/O.CON.KFGF.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-170108T1500Z/
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROOKSTON...EAST GRAND FORKS...ADA...
TWIN VALLEY...HALSTAD...MOORHEAD...HALLOCK...KARLSTAD...
LANCASTER...ROSEAU...WARROAD...GREENBUSH...BAUDETTE...WARREN...
STEPHEN...ARGYLE...NEWFOLDEN...MIDDLE RIVER...GRYGLA...RED LAKE...
REDBY...PONEMAH...THIEF RIVER FALLS...RED LAKE FALLS...FOSSTON...
FERTILE...MCINTOSH...ERSKINE...BAGLEY...CLEARBROOK...BEMIDJI...
MAHNOMEN...NAYTAHWAUSH...WAUBUN...ALIDA...EBRO...LAKE ITASCA...
LONG LOST LAKE...LOWER RICE LAKE...ROY LAKE...UPPER RICE LAKE...
PARK RAPIDS...DETROIT LAKES...WOLF LAKE...BRECKENRIDGE...
FERGUS FALLS...PERHAM...NEW YORK MILLS...PARKERS PRAIRIE...
HENNING...BATTLE LAKE...WADENA...MENAHGA...ELBOW LAKE...HOFFMAN...
ASHBY...HERMAN...BARRETT...CANDO...LANGDON...CAVALIER...
WALHALLA...DRAYTON...PEMBINA...NECHE...ST. THOMAS...FORT TOTTEN...
MADDOCK...LEEDS...MINNEWAUKAN...DEVILS LAKE...GRAFTON...
PARK RIVER...NEW ROCKFORD...LAKOTA...MCVILLE...ANETA...TOLNA...
GRAND FORKS...COOPERSTOWN...FINLEY...HOPE...MAYVILLE...
HILLSBORO...HATTON...PORTLAND...VALLEY CITY...FARGO...LISBON...
ENDERLIN...GWINNER...MILNOR...FORMAN...RUTLAND...WAHPETON...
EDINBURG...ADAMS...LANKIN
419 AM CST SUN JAN 8 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS
MORNING...

* WIND CHILL VALUES...EXPECT WIND CHILLS TO RANGE FROM 25 BELOW
  ZERO TO 40 BELOW ZERO UNTIL 9 AM SUNDAY...WITH THE COLDEST WIND
  CHILLS OCCURRING THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS.

* IMPACTS...THE COLD WIND CHILLS WILL CAUSE FROSTBITE IN AS 
  LITTLE AS 30 MINUTES TO EXPOSED SKIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT COLD AIR AND THE WIND WILL
COMBINE TO CREATE LOW WIND CHILLS. FROST BITE AND HYPOTHERMIA CAN
OCCUR IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

612 
WWUS43 KFGF 081501
WSWFGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
901 AM CST SUN JAN 8 2017

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-081615-
/O.EXP.KFGF.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-170108T1500Z/
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CROOKSTON...EAST GRAND FORKS...ADA...
TWIN VALLEY...HALSTAD...MOORHEAD...HALLOCK...KARLSTAD...
LANCASTER...ROSEAU...WARROAD...GREENBUSH...BAUDETTE...WARREN...
STEPHEN...ARGYLE...NEWFOLDEN...MIDDLE RIVER...GRYGLA...RED LAKE...
REDBY...PONEMAH...THIEF RIVER FALLS...RED LAKE FALLS...FOSSTON...
FERTILE...MCINTOSH...ERSKINE...BAGLEY...CLEARBROOK...BEMIDJI...
MAHNOMEN...NAYTAHWAUSH...WAUBUN...ALIDA...EBRO...LAKE ITASCA...
LONG LOST LAKE...LOWER RICE LAKE...ROY LAKE...UPPER RICE LAKE...
PARK RAPIDS...DETROIT LAKES...WOLF LAKE...BRECKENRIDGE...
FERGUS FALLS...PERHAM...NEW YORK MILLS...PARKERS PRAIRIE...
HENNING...BATTLE LAKE...WADENA...MENAHGA...ELBOW LAKE...HOFFMAN...
ASHBY...HERMAN...BARRETT...CANDO...LANGDON...CAVALIER...
WALHALLA...DRAYTON...PEMBINA...NECHE...ST. THOMAS...FORT TOTTEN...
MADDOCK...LEEDS...MINNEWAUKAN...DEVILS LAKE...GRAFTON...
PARK RIVER...NEW ROCKFORD...LAKOTA...MCVILLE...ANETA...TOLNA...
GRAND FORKS...COOPERSTOWN...FINLEY...HOPE...MAYVILLE...
HILLSBORO...HATTON...PORTLAND...VALLEY CITY...FARGO...LISBON...
ENDERLIN...GWINNER...MILNOR...FORMAN...RUTLAND...WAHPETON...
EDINBURG...ADAMS...LANKIN
901 AM CST SUN JAN 8 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

WITH RISING TEMPERATURES WIND CHILL VALUES WILL CLIMB INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS BELOW ZERO. THIS IS ABOVE ADVISORY
CRITERIA.  



$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1219 PM CST Sat Jan 7 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1219 PM CST Sat Jan 7 2017

Tweaked temperatures slightly to match trends. Otherwise...
forecast looks on track. Allowed Wind Chill Advisory to expire.
However, wind chills of -25 to -40 are expected again tonight.

UPDATE Issued at 922 AM CST Sat Jan 7 2017

Updated sky in the Lake of the Woods area for today to account for
the clouds moving in from the northwest. Based on obs upstream...a
few flurries are possible as well. Otherwise, the rest of the
forecast looks on track.

UPDATE Issued at 653 AM CST Sat Jan 7 2017

The clouds that have been dropping SSE from Manitoba continue to
dry up as they enter far NW MN and the far northern RRV. The
earlier clouds in NW/WC MN have moved out. Thus what is left is a
clear sky in most areas. With that temps have lowered quite a bit
with most sties in the teens below zero with Devils Lake area 20s
below zero. Other than tweaking current temps and sky cover, no
changes.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 317 AM CST Sat Jan 7 2017

500 mb low over NW Ontario moving south-southeast. Areas of clouds
on the west and southwest side of the system moving SSE through
the RRV and nrn MN. Overall expect the cloud patches to diminish
thru the day as the system moves east. Not seeing much of a
surface cold air surge behind it but at 850 mb most cooling is
over Lake of the Woods-Bemidji area and east. High pressure in wrn
ND will move southeast today with the sfc ridge over ern nd late
today/this evening with a light south winds returning overnight.
Expect to see high temperatures not a lot different than on Friday
with most sites either side of zero. Should be fairly cold tonight
with the light winds. Though may see some high clouds move in
overnight limiting degree of temp fall. Will need to watch ern
fcst area for best cooling due to sfc ridge over that area
overnight and lightest winds.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 317 AM CST Sat Jan 7 2017

A bit milder air on Sunday with increasing clouds. A weak sfc
trough will move through late in the day. A broad 500 mb system
will move east into the Plains Monday with a sfc low over southern
South Dakota and inverted trough north. Models differ on strength
and moisture with this system. Overall looking like a 1-3 inch
type snowfall event for our area..heaviest in the south...for late
Monday afternoon & night.

Tuesday through Friday...
Long wave upper level ridge over AK shifts west into eastern Russia
through the period. Long wave upper low off the BC coast weakens
through the period and moves into the Northern Plains by late Wed.
Split flow remain across North America with northern stream over
Canada and southern stream over the States. Short waves move through
both streams. A relatively active period with chance of precip tue
and Wed.

The GFS was faster than the ECMWF. Both models were in reasonably
good agreement through Wed. The GFS becomes progressively faster
than the ECMWF in both streams after Wed.  The ECMWF was trending
slower while the GFS was trending faster. Will blend the models.

High temperatures were decreased one or two degrees for Tue, Thu and
Fri and increased two to four degrees on Wed compared to yesterdays
forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1219 PM CST Sat Jan 7 2017

MVFR cigs currently exist in northwest to north central MN...and
are moving southeast. KBJI has had a deck around 2000 ft but cigs
are a little higher to the north. This deck will move off to the
east late this afternoon. Otherwise...quiet night expected with
fair skies and light winds.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

UPDATE...Knutsvig
SHORT TERM...Riddle
LONG TERM...Hoppes/Riddle
AVIATION...Knutsvig

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
418 AM CST SAT JAN 7 2017

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-081030-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
418 AM CST SAT JAN 7 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA, WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIND CHILLS THIS MORNING WILL BE 25 BELOW TO 35 BELOW ZERO. WIND
CHILLS WILL RISE ABOVE ADVISORY CRITERIA THIS AFTERNOON BUT SHOULD DROP
BACK INTO THE ADVISORY RANGE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY. A FAST MOVING SYSTEM WI.L
BRING PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY ACROSS THE
AREA WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR 1 TO 3 INCHES. LOW WIND CHILLS WILL
LIKELY RETURN MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

DTR