Alert archive / North Dakota / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Grand Forks, ND

May 28, 2017Eddy County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this special weather statement at May 28, 2017, 1:49 PM CDT for Eddy County, North Dakota. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 28, 2017, 1:49 PM CDT (18:49 UTC)
Expired: May 28, 2017, 2:15 PM CDT
In force: 26 min
Issued by: NWS Grand Forks, ND

County Eddy County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 315 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 2208 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 153 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 28, 12:59 PM CDT, 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 28, 12:59 PM CDT, 50 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1259 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017

Adjusted weather/rain chances to reflect coverage of showers and
storms increasing this afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 332 AM CDT Sun May 28 2017

Well defined compact vort max is now moving into NW MN. Area of
showers with it is a bit smaller than earlier, but moving thru the
Bemidji area. The today and tonight period will be influenced by
upper level low in central Manitoba. This will drop south-
southeast slowly and do look for a couple of short waves to move
south on the west side of the upper low. The main one for today
appears to be in east central Saskatchewan at 08z. This will move
SSE into the RRV this aftn and generate a pretty good coverage of
showers. Enough for likely pops NE ND and NW MN this aftn/eve.
Gusty winds as well with about 35 kt to mix down. Sustained winds
15-25 mph with gusts to 30-35 mph seem reasonable in the main wind
corridor from north central ND into southeastern ND. Did go higher
than the model blend for winds per area office coordination.

Shower threat will diminish a bit overnight but still expect a few
showers to hang around thru the overnight, esp NE half of the fcst
area.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 332 AM CDT Sun May 28 2017

Upper level low will move southeast and be over northeastern
Minnesota Monday. Several short waves still to impact the area
so expect scattered showers. Coolest day Monday with temps in the
50s and continued gusty north-northwest wind.

Tuesday will see the upper trough gradually exit but still likely
a few aftn showers esp RRV and east.  Clearing Tues night.

Wednesday through Saturday...The models are in general agreement on
northwesterly flow aloft but differ on various shortwaves moving
through. The GFS brings a shortwave and weak frontal boundary
through on Thursday while the ECMWF has a more vigorous shortwave
coming through on Friday. With high uncertainty will keep the
blended solution going which has some low POPs late Friday and
Friday night and fits the ensemble probabilities better than either
of the deterministic models. Temps should be near average for the
period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1259 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017

Expect mostly low VFR cigs today, with some MVFR cigs associated
with scattered showers and thunderstorms across the area this
afternoon. Strong NW winds with gusts at 30-35 kts possible this
afternoon, especially in the DVL-FAR corridor. Showers and storms
will diminish this evening. MVFR cigs will spread through NW MN
overnight with possible IFR cigs along and north of a TVF-BJI line
overnight.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

UPDATE...BP
SHORT TERM...Riddle
LONG TERM...Riddle/JR
AVIATION...BP

Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 4:52 AM CDT, 8 hours 57 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
452 AM CDT Sun May 28 2017

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-291000-
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-
West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake-
East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Towner-Cavalier-
Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh County-Eddy-Nelson-
Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-
Richland-Western Walsh County-
452 AM CDT Sun May 28 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 28, 8:56 AM CDT, 4 hours 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
856 AM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 5 S DEVILS LAKE         48.04N 98.87W
05/27/2017  M68.00 MPH       RAMSEY             ND   MESONET

            THE WIND GUST WAS MEASURED BY A ND DOT SENSOR.

0626 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E CRARY               48.07N 98.62W
05/27/2017  M62.00 MPH       RAMSEY             ND   MESONET

            THE WIND GUST WAS MEASURED BY A NDAWN SENSOR.

&&

VGODON

Special weather statement, May 28, 1:12 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Eastern ND/Grand Forks ND
112 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

NDZ006-014-015-024-026-054-281915-
Nelson ND-Eddy ND-Benson ND-Towner ND-Western Walsh County ND-
Ramsey ND-
112 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BENSON...SOUTHEASTERN TOWNER...
NORTHWESTERN NELSON...RAMSEY...SOUTHWESTERN WALSH AND NORTHWESTERN
EDDY COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM CDT...

At 111 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Starkweather to near Esmond. Movement was
southeast at 30 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Starkweather and Garske around 115 PM CDT.
  Flora around 135 PM CDT.
  Edmore around 150 PM CDT.
  Oberon around 155 PM CDT.
  Lawton around 200 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Grand Forks.

&&

LAT...LON 4800 9981 4848 9892 4833 9787 4774 9899
      4782 9930 4785 9930 4785 9939 4796 9981
TIME...MOT...LOC 1811Z 286DEG 28KT 4842 9892 4801 9969

vg

Local storm report, May 28, 1:22 PM CDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
122 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0611 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 13 SW DEVILS LAKE       47.98N 99.07W
05/27/2017  E65 MPH          BENSON             ND   PUBLIC

            A TREE BLOWN DOWN BLOCKED THE ROAD AT SULLYS HILL GAME
            PRESERVE. REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

VGODON

Special weather statement, May 28, 1:49 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Eastern ND/Grand Forks ND
149 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

NDZ024-281915-
Eddy ND-
149 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN EDDY COUNTY UNTIL 215 PM
CDT...

At 148 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
New Rockford, or 30 miles southwest of Devils Lake, moving southeast
at 55 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  New Rockford around 150 PM CDT.
  Brantford around 205 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Grand Forks.

&&

LAT...LON 4774 9930 4784 9918 4759 9858 4759 9925
      4760 9927 4767 9927 4768 9930
TIME...MOT...LOC 1848Z 306DEG 47KT 4773 9917

vg

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 28, 2:49 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FGF	Norman	26 min
May 28, 3:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FGF	Becker	53 min
May 28, 4:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FGF	Clay, Grant, Otter Tail, Wilkin	52 min
May 28, 5:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FGF	Grant, Otter Tail	40 min
May 28, 1:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FGF	Benson, Ramsey	63 min
May 28, 2:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	FGF	Barnes, Cass, Ransom	59 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in North Dakota, 2017 Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.