Alert archive / Minnesota / River Flood Warnings in 2017
River Flood Warning 15, NWS Grand Forks, ND
NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this river flood warning at Mar 28, 2017, 10:47 AM CDT for Marshall County, Minnesota. It was in force for 71 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 28, 2017, 10:47 AM CDT (15:47 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 31, 2017, 9:20 AM CDT
- In force
- 71 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Forks, ND
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Marshall County, MN
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Snake River (NW MN) above Warren (MKLM5). The gauge peaked at 68.02 ft at Mar 29, 2017, 11:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 66 ft
- Minor stage
- 67 ft
- Moderate stage
- 71 ft
- Major stage
- 75 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05085450, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
376 WGUS43 KFGF 281547 FLWFGF BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Warning National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 1047 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 ...The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a flood warning (new) for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... new flooding is forecast to occur at... * Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River...in Marshall County. new flooding is forecast to occur at... * Walhalla...on the Pembina River...in Pembina and Cavalier Counties. new flooding is forecast to occur at... * Neche...on the Pembina River...in Pembina County. . Observed and forecast melt rates are progressing a little faster than expected in these areas. The current crest forecast magnitude remains unchanged, but it is forecast to occur sooner. *** A follow-up flood statement with more detailed flooding information will be issued shortly. *** PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC089-281647- /O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0015.170328T1547Z-170329T2145Z/ /MKLM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.170328T1215Z.170328T1545Z.NO/ 1047 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a new Flood Warning for... * ...Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River * until Wednesday afternoon. * At 9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 67.1 feet. * Forecast...the river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by late Tuesday morning. && LAT...LON 4820 9684 4817 9681 4820 9664 4823 9666 $$ NDC019-067-281647- /O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0016.170403T2200Z-000000T0000Z/ /WLHN8.1.SM.170403T2200Z.170404T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1047 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a new Flood Warning for... * ...Walhalla...on the Pembina River * from Monday afternoon until further notice. * At 9:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 0.5 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 11.0 feet. * For the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Monday afternoon and continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by early Wednesday morning. && LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771 $$ NDC067-281647- /O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0017.170402T1800Z-000000T0000Z/ /NCEN8.1.SM.170402T1800Z.170404T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1047 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a new Flood Warning for... * ...Neche...on the Pembina River * from Sunday afternoon until further notice. * At 9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.9 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet. * For the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...rise above FLood Stage by Sunday early afternoon and continue to rise to near 18.7 feet by Monday evening. additional rises are possible thereafter. && LAT...LON 4900 9771 4891 9764 4889 9722 4900 9723 $$
9 follow-up statements
761 WGUS83 KFGF 281613 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 1113 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Pembina...on the Red River ...in Kittson and Pembina Counties * Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River ...in Marshall County * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County * Grafton...on the Park River ...in Walsh County * Walhalla...on the Pembina River ...in Pembina and Cavalier Counties * Neche...on the Pembina River ...in Pembina County . Recent above freezing temperatures are starting to produce snow melt runoff across northeast North Dakota. As a result, river levels are expected to rise above flood stage Wednesday and Thursday at Grafton and Pembina. At Grafton the river is expected to rise into the major category with a crest between 14.5 feet and 16 feet by Saturday. Ice jams here are common and could cause a rapid rise that occurs with minimal warning. At Pembina the river will continue to slowly rise this week and into the weekend with a crest expected early next week. At Hallock minor flooding continues as area streams and releases from Lake Bronson keep the river in the 804 to 806 range this week. At Walhalla the crest forecast magnitude remains unchanged, but it is forecast to occur sooner now. A crest of 13-14 feet is expected around April 6. At Neche a forecast crest of 21-21.5 ft is anticipated around April 7th. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation between April 1st and October 1st, and 48 hours otherwise. However, depending on the situation, they may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-NDC067-291613- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0013.170331T0447Z-000000T0000Z/ /PBNN8.1.ER.170331T0447Z.170403T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1113 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Pembina...on the Red River. * from Thursday evening until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 33.7 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 39.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday night and continue to rise to near 43.9 feet by Monday early afternoon. additional rises are possible thereafter. * Impact Statement(s) - At 44.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Red River Pembina 35.4 37.6 39.7 41.2 42.5 43.6 43.9 LAT...LON 4900 9700 4900 9740 4877 9732 4874 9701 $$ MNC089-291613- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170329T2145Z/ /MKLM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.170328T1215Z.170328T1545Z.NO/ 1113 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River. * until Wednesday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 67.1 feet. * This river location is experiencing Minor flooding. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 67.5 feet sometime Thursday evening. The river will fall below Flood Stage late Tuesday morning. * Forecast...the river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by late Tuesday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 67.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...MINOR. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Snake River Upstream of Warr 67.2 67.3 67.5 67.1 66.5 65.8 65.4 LAT...LON 4820 9684 4817 9681 4820 9664 4823 9666 $$ MNC069-291613- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HLLM5.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170331T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1113 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 804.7 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 802.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 805.5 feet sometime Wednesday evening then begin falling. * The river is forecast to crest at 805.5 on Friday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 806.0 feet, Moderate FLood Stage. Storm sewers start backing up. Storm sewer valve at T.H. 175 Bridge closed. Lift Pump inspected. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Two Rivers River Hallock 805.3 805.5 805.4 805.0 804.6 804.1 803.6 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$ NDC099-291613- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0014.170330T0130Z-000000T0000Z/ /GRNN8.3.ER.170330T0130Z.170401T1800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 1113 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Grafton...on the Park River. * from Wednesday evening until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.0 feet. * Major Flood Stage is 14.5 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday evening and continue to rise to near 15.5 feet by Saturday evening. * The river is forecast to crest at 15.5 on Saturday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 15.0 feet, Storm sewer drains...Armory. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Park River Grafton 11.1 12.5 14.1 15.3 15.3 14.6 13.7 LAT...LON 4850 9749 4839 9750 4842 9716 4851 9715 $$ NDC019-067-291613- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0016.170403T2200Z-000000T0000Z/ /WLHN8.1.SM.170403T2200Z.170404T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1113 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Walhalla...on the Pembina River. * from Monday afternoon until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.2 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 11.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Monday afternoon and continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by early Wednesday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 11.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...Minor. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Pembina River Walhalla 8.3 10.1 11.8 12.4 12.7 13.0 13.2 LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771 $$ NDC067-291613- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0017.170402T1800Z-000000T0000Z/ /NCEN8.1.SM.170402T1800Z.170404T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1113 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Neche...on the Pembina River. * from Saturday afternoon until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.9 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 18.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Saturday early afternoon and continue to rise to near major flood stage by Saturday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * Impact Statement(s) - At 19.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. At 20.5 feet, Major Flood Stage. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Pembina River Neche 13.6 16.1 18.7 20.5 21.1 21.2 21.3 LAT...LON 4900 9771 4891 9764 4889 9722 4900 9723 $$
688 WGUS83 KFGF 281636 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 1136 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Pembina...on the Red River...in Kittson and Pembina Counties * Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River...in Marshall County * Grafton...on the Park River...in Walsh County * Walhalla...on the Pembina River...in Pembina and Cavalier Counties ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Drayton...on the Red River ...in Marshall...Walsh...Kittson and Pembina Counties * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County * Neche...on the Pembina River ...in Pembina County . Recent above freezing temperatures are starting to produce snow melt runoff across northeast North Dakota. As a result, river levels are expected to rise above flood stage Wednesday and Thursday at Grafton and Pembina. At Grafton the river is expected to rise into the major category with a crest between 14.5 feet and 16 feet by Saturday. Ice jams here are common and could cause a rapid rise that occurs with minimal warning. At Pembina the river will continue to slowly rise this week and into the weekend with a crest expected early next week. At Hallock minor flooding continues as area streams and releases from Lake Bronson keep the river in the 804 to 806 range this week. At Walhalla the crest forecast magnitude remains unchanged, but it is forecast to occur sooner now. A crest of 13-14 feet is expected around April 6. At Neche a forecast crest of 21-21.5 ft is anticipated around April 7th. At Drayton the river is forecast to reach minor flood stage by Monday April 3. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation between April 1st and October 1st, and 48 hours otherwise. However, depending on the situation, they may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-089-NDC067-099-291636- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0018.170403T0000Z-170405T0000Z/ /DRTN8.1.SM.170403T0000Z.170403T0000Z.170403T1800Z.NO/ 1136 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Drayton...on the Red River. * from Sunday evening to Tuesday April 04...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 26.9 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 32.0 feet. * Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near Flood Stage Sunday evening. * The river is forecast to crest at 32.0 on Sunday evening during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 32.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage... Minor. Agricultural Damage starts. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Red River Drayton 28.0 29.2 30.2 31.3 31.8 32.0 31.7 LAT...LON 4881 9734 4848 9725 4846 9705 4874 9702 $$ MNC069-NDC067-291636- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0013.170331T0335Z-000000T0000Z/ /PBNN8.1.ER.170331T0335Z.170404T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1136 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Pembina...on the Red River. * from Thursday evening until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 33.7 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 39.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday night and continue to rise to near 43.9 feet by Tuesday mid-morning. additional rises are possible thereafter. * Impact Statement(s) - At 44.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Red River Pembina 35.4 37.6 39.7 41.2 42.5 43.6 43.9 LAT...LON 4900 9700 4900 9740 4877 9732 4874 9701 $$ MNC089-291636- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170403T0000Z/ /MKLM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.170328T1215Z.170401T1800Z.NO/ 1136 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River. * until Sunday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 67.3 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 67.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 67.5 feet sometime Thursday evening. The river will fall below Flood Stage Saturday early afternoon. * The river is forecast to crest at 67.5 on Thursday evening during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 67.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...MINOR. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Snake River Upstream of Warr 67.2 67.3 67.5 67.1 66.5 65.8 65.4 LAT...LON 4820 9684 4817 9681 4820 9664 4823 9666 $$ MNC069-291636- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HLLM5.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170330T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1136 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 804.7 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 802.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 805.5 feet sometime Wednesday evening then begin falling. * The river is forecast to crest at 805.5 on Wednesday evening during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 806.0 feet, Moderate FLood Stage. Storm sewers start backing up. Storm sewer valve at T.H. 175 Bridge closed. Lift Pump inspected. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Two Rivers River Hallock 805.3 805.5 805.4 805.0 804.6 804.1 803.6 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$ NDC099-291636- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0014.170330T0400Z-000000T0000Z/ /GRNN8.3.ER.170330T0400Z.170402T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 1136 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Grafton...on the Park River. * from Wednesday evening until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.0 feet. * Major Flood Stage is 14.5 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday night and continue to rise to near 15.5 feet by Saturday evening. * The river is forecast to crest at 15.5 on Saturday evening during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 15.0 feet, Storm sewer drains...Armory. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Park River Grafton 11.1 12.5 14.1 15.3 15.3 14.6 13.7 LAT...LON 4850 9749 4839 9750 4842 9716 4851 9715 $$ NDC019-067-291636- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0016.170330T2248Z-000000T0000Z/ /WLHN8.1.SM.170330T2248Z.170404T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1136 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Walhalla...on the Pembina River. * from Thursday afternoon until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 0.0 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 11.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday afternoon and continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by early Wednesday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 14.5 feet, Flooding occurs along the left bank. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Pembina River Walhalla 8.3 10.1 11.8 12.4 12.7 13.0 13.2 LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771 $$ NDC067-291636- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0017.170331T0645Z-000000T0000Z/ /NCEN8.3.SM.170331T0645Z.170404T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1136 AM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Neche...on the Pembina River. * from late Thursday night until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.1 feet. * Major Flood Stage is 20.5 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by early Friday morning and continue to rise to near 21.3 feet by Monday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * Impact Statement(s) - At 21.4 feet, 2006 Spring Flood Crest. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Pembina River Neche 13.6 16.1 18.7 20.5 21.1 21.2 21.3 LAT...LON 4900 9771 4891 9764 4889 9722 4900 9723 $$
372 WGUS83 KFGF 290111 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 811 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in North Dakota... * Walhalla...on the Pembina River...in Pembina and Cavalier Counties * Neche...on the Pembina River...in Pembina County ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Drayton...on the Red River ...in Marshall...Walsh...Kittson and Pembina Counties * Pembina...on the Red River ...in Kittson and Pembina Counties * Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River ...in Marshall County * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County * Grafton...on the Park River ...in Walsh County .Warm temperatures are forecast over northeastern North Dakota and northwest Minnesota this week with high temperatures well above freezing and low temperatures near or above freezing. There is a lot of uncertainty with these forecasts. There is some uncertainty about how much water is available for runoff. Most of the snow in the area fell in December and has experienced several warmups since then. There may have been some melt and infiltration or even losses to sublimation. We have been monitoring snow measurements in the area, and the amount of water we have in our model is consistent with recent NOHRSC Gamma Surveys. Our forecasts only include 48 hours of QPF. Some of the met models are indicating the possibility of some rain events during the first week of April. This rain may coincide with the initial crest timing in the Pembina River Basin, and any rainfall around that time could exacerbate the flooding. The melt rates in our models are highly dependent on the temperature forecast used. If these forecasts change over time or are not realized, that will also impact the river forecast. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-089-NDC067-099-301311- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0018.170403T0000Z-170405T0000Z/ /DRTN8.1.SM.170403T0000Z.170403T0000Z.170403T1800Z.NO/ 811 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Drayton...on the Red River. * from Sunday evening to Tuesday April 04...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 27.5 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 32.0 feet. * Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near Flood Stage Sunday evening. * The river is forecast to crest between 31 and 33 ft around April 2. * Impact Statement(s) - At 32.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage... Minor.Agricultural Damage starts. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Drayton 28.6 29.7 30.7 31.6 32.0 31.9 31.5 LAT...LON 4881 9734 4848 9725 4846 9705 4874 9702 $$ MNC069-NDC067-301310- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0013.170331T0335Z-000000T0000Z/ /PBNN8.1.ER.170331T0335Z.170404T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 811 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Pembina...on the Red River. * from Thursday evening until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 34.4 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 39.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday night and continue to rise to near 43.9 feet by Tuesday mid-morning. additional rises are possible thereafter. * Crest 43-45 ft around April 3. * Impact Statement(s) - At 44.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Pembina 36.5 38.7 40.5 41.9 43.1 43.8 43.9 LAT...LON 4900 9700 4900 9740 4877 9732 4874 9701 $$ MNC089-301310- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170403T0000Z/ /MKLM5.1.SM.170329T0132Z.000000T0000Z.170401T1800Z.NO/ 811 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River. * until Sunday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 6:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 67.0 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 67.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Tuesday evening and continue to rise to near 67.5 feet by early Friday morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Saturday early afternoon. * The river is forecast to crest at 67.5 ft. on early Friday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 67.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...MINOR. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Upstream of Warr 67.1 67.4 67.3 66.9 66.1 65.5 65.2 LAT...LON 4820 9684 4817 9681 4820 9664 4823 9666 $$ MNC069-301310- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HLLM5.1.ER.000000T0000Z.170330T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 811 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 805.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 802.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 805.5 feet sometime Wednesday evening then begin falling. * Impact Statement(s) - At 806.0 feet, Moderate FLood Stage.Storm sewers start backing up.Storm sewer valve at T.H. 175 Bridge closed. Lift Pump inspected. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Hallock 805.5 805.5 805.4 804.9 804.4 803.9 803.4 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$ NDC099-301310- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0014.170330T0400Z-000000T0000Z/ /GRNN8.3.ER.170330T0400Z.170402T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/ 811 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Grafton...on the Park River. * from Wednesday evening until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.4 feet. * Major Flood Stage is 14.5 feet. * Crest 14.5-16 ft (4700-6200 cfs) around April 1. Based on field observations and satellite imagery most of the snow has melted in the downstream half of the basin. Even though the snow has melted, little of that water has made it into the river. Field reports indicate that there is lots of ice remaining in the field drains and ditches waiting to be released into the river system. There is still a snow cover in the upstream portions of the basin, although some of it has melted. Ice jams are common at this location and can cause rapid rises that we are not able to forecast. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Wednesday night and continue to rise to near 15.5 feet by Saturday evening. * Impact Statement(s) - At 15.0 feet, Storm sewer drains...Armory. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Grafton 11.8 13.3 14.9 15.5 15.0 14.2 13.3 LAT...LON 4850 9749 4839 9750 4842 9716 4851 9715 $$ NDC019-067-301310- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0016.170330T2136Z-000000T0000Z/ /WLHN8.1.SM.170330T2136Z.170404T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 811 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Walhalla...on the Pembina River. * from Thursday afternoon until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 0.6 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 11.0 feet. Observed and forecast melt rates are progressing a little faster than expected, so these forecasts are rising more rapidly than yesterday's. The crest forecast magnitude remains unchanged, but it is forecast to occur sooner now. Crest 13-14 ft (8000-10,000 cfs) around April 6. The crest coming from Windygates will be driving the crest here at Walhalla. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday afternoon and continue to rise to near 13.2 feet by Tuesday early afternoon. additional rises are possible thereafter. * Impact Statement(s) - At 14.5 feet, Flooding occurs along the left bank. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Walhalla 9.1 11.2 12.3 12.5 12.8 13.0 13.2 LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771 $$ NDC067-301310- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0017.170331T0651Z-000000T0000Z/ /NCEN8.3.SM.170331T0651Z.170403T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 811 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Neche...on the Pembina River. * from late Thursday night until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 6:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.5 feet. * Major Flood Stage is 20.5 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by early Friday morning and continue to rise to near 21.3 feet by Monday early afternoon. additional rises are possible thereafter. * Impact Statement(s) - At 21.4 feet, 2006 Spring Flood Crest. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/29 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 Neche 15.1 17.3 19.8 21.0 21.2 21.3 21.3 LAT...LON 4900 9771 4891 9764 4889 9722 4900 9723 $$
456 WGUS83 KFGF 291236 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 736 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota... * Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River...in Marshall County ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation between April 1st and October 1st, and 48 hours otherwise. However, depending on the situation, they may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC089-301236- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170403T1800Z/ /MKLM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.170402T1200Z.NO/ 736 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River. * until Monday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 6:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 67.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 67.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 68.1 feet sometime Thursday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage Sunday mid-morning. * Fluctuations of 1 to 2 feet are possible due to ice action. * Impact Statement(s) - At 67.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...MINOR. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Snake River Upstream of Warr 67.9 68.1 67.7 67.0 66.3 65.9 65.6 LAT...LON 4820 9684 4817 9681 4820 9664 4823 9666 $$ MNC069-301236- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HLLM5.2.ER.000000T0000Z.170330T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 736 AM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 805.9 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 807.0 feet sometime Thursday mid-morning then begin falling. * Fluctuations of 1 to 2 feet are possible due to ice action. * Impact Statement(s) - At 807.0 feet, Storm sewer valves at 175 bridge, 4th Street South and the Cemetery, are closed and portable pumps are set up. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Two Rivers River Hallock 807.0 806.9 806.6 806.2 805.5 804.8 804.1 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
146 WGUS83 KFGF 291726 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 1226 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Drayton...on the Red River...in Marshall...Walsh...Kittson and Pembina Counties * Grafton...on the Park River...in Walsh County * Walhalla...on the Pembina River...in Pembina and Cavalier Counties * Neche...on the Pembina River...in Pembina County ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Oslo...on the Red River ...in Marshall...Walsh...Polk and Grand Forks Counties * Pembina...on the Red River ...in Kittson and Pembina Counties * Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River ...in Marshall County * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County . Main challenge for this update is the Park River and the area around Grafton. This morning the pool at Homme Dam has leveled off around 1801 ft. This seems to be the crest and not just a slowing down of the melt runoff with cooling temperatures overnight. Based on the response at Homme Dam, it appears that there were significant losses in the basin. However, the crest range at this time is forecast to be around 13.5 to 15 feet. For Pembina, the forecast is based on current trends in river stage and the results of hydrologic and hydraulic routing models. At this time, the forecast crest range is 43 to 45 feet. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation between April 1st and October 1st, and 48 hours otherwise. However, depending on the situation, they may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC089-119-NDC035-099-301726- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0019.170330T1630Z-170406T1200Z/ /OSLM5.1.SM.170330T1630Z.170401T1800Z.170405T0600Z.NO/ 1226 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Oslo...on the Red River. * from Thursday morning to Thursday April 6...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 24.5 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 26.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by late Thursday morning and continue to rise to near 27.5 feet by Saturday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage by early Wednesday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 27.5 on Saturday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 26.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...minor. County road 2 south of Oslo is closed in sections 2 and 11 of Pulaski Township. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Red River Oslo 25.7 26.8 27.4 27.4 27.0 26.4 25.9 LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725 $$ MNC069-089-NDC067-099-301725- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0018.170401T2100Z-000000T0000Z/ /DRTN8.1.SM.170401T2100Z.170403T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1226 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Drayton...on the Red River. * from Saturday afternoon until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 28.8 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 32.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to near 32.5 feet by Sunday evening. * The river is forecast to crest at 32.5 on Sunday evening during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 32.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage... Minor. Agricultural Damage starts. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Red River Drayton 29.9 31.0 31.8 32.3 32.5 32.4 32.0 LAT...LON 4881 9734 4848 9725 4846 9705 4874 9702 $$ MNC069-NDC067-301725- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0013.170331T0200Z-000000T0000Z/ /PBNN8.2.SM.170331T0200Z.170404T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1226 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Pembina...on the Red River. * from Thursday evening until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 36.0 feet. * Moderate Flood Stage is 44.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday night and continue to rise to near 44.5 feet by early Tuesday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 44.5 on early Tuesday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 45.0 feet, Urban damage to Saint Vincent. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Red River Pembina 37.7 39.9 42.0 43.5 44.1 44.5 44.3 LAT...LON 4900 9700 4900 9740 4877 9732 4874 9701 $$ MNC089-301725- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170403T1800Z/ /MKLM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.170402T1200Z.NO/ 1226 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River. * until Monday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 67.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 67.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 68.1 feet sometime Thursday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage Sunday mid-morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 68.1 on Thursday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 67.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...MINOR. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Snake River Upstream of Warr 67.9 68.1 67.7 67.0 66.3 65.9 65.6 LAT...LON 4820 9684 4817 9681 4820 9664 4823 9666 $$ MNC069-301725- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HLLM5.2.ER.000000T0000Z.170330T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1226 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 806.1 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days... Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 807.0 feet sometime Thursday mid-morning then begin falling. * The river is forecast to crest at 807.0 on Thursday mid-morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 807.0 feet, Storm sewer valves at 175 bridge, 4th Street South and the Cemetery, are closed and portable pumps are set up. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Two Rivers River Hallock 807.0 806.9 806.6 806.2 805.5 804.8 804.1 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$ NDC099-301725- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0014.170330T0824Z-170405T0600Z/ /GRNN8.3.ER.170330T0824Z.170401T0600Z.170404T0000Z.UU/ 1226 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Grafton...on the Park River. * from late tonight to Wednesday April 5...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.8 feet. * Major Flood Stage is 14.5 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday morning and continue to rise to near 14.5 feet by early Saturday morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Monday evening. * The river is forecast to crest at 14.5 on early Saturday morning during this 7-day period. * The river is forecast to crest between 13.5 and 15.0 Feet Early/Later/Next/This Week. * Impact Statement(s) - At 14.5 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding on 300 block of Noben Avenue. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Park River Grafton 12.3 14.0 14.4 13.5 12.4 11.6 11.0 LAT...LON 4850 9749 4839 9750 4842 9716 4851 9715 $$ NDC019-067-301725- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0016.170330T1912Z-000000T0000Z/ /WLHN8.1.SM.170330T1912Z.170405T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1226 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Walhalla...on the Pembina River. * from Thursday afternoon until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 8.4 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 11.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday early afternoon and continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by early Wednesday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 14.5 feet, Flooding occurs along the left bank. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Pembina River Walhalla 10.4 11.9 12.4 12.8 13.1 13.4 13.5 LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771 $$ NDC067-301725- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0017.170330T2300Z-000000T0000Z/ /NCEN8.3.SM.170330T2300Z.170405T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1226 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Neche...on the Pembina River. * from Thursday evening until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 11:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.0 feet. * Major Flood Stage is 20.5 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday evening and continue to rise to near 21.4 feet by early Wednesday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 21.4 feet, 2006 Spring Flood Crest. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Pembina River Neche 17.0 19.1 20.6 21.1 21.2 21.3 21.4 LAT...LON 4900 9771 4891 9764 4889 9722 4900 9723 $$
747 WGUS83 KFGF 300059 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 759 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Oslo...on the Red River...in Marshall...Walsh...Polk and Grand Forks Counties * Drayton...on the Red River...in Marshall...Walsh...Kittson and Pembina Counties * Grafton...on the Park River...in Walsh County ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Pembina...on the Red River ...in Kittson and Pembina Counties * Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River ...in Marshall County * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County * Walhalla...on the Pembina River ...in Pembina and Cavalier Counties * Neche...on the Pembina River ...in Pembina County . This update has local runoff coming in a bit faster along the Park and Pembina River drainages since temperatures over the past 12 hours have been a bit warmer than originally forecast. The expected crest ranges in the watersheds remain the same as in the previous forecast. Along the mainstem Red River there are backwater effects from the river ice downstream from East Grand Forks through Pembina. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation between April 1st and October 1st, and 48 hours otherwise. However, depending on the situation, they may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC089-119-NDC035-099-311259- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0019.170331T0000Z-170406T1800Z/ /OSLM5.1.SM.170331T0000Z.170401T1800Z.170405T1200Z.NO/ 759 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Oslo...on the Red River. * from Thursday evening to Thursday April 06...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 24.5 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 26.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday evening and continue to rise to near 27.5 feet by Saturday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Wednesday mid-morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 27.5 on Saturday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 26.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...minor. County road 2 south of Oslo is closed in sections 2 and 11 of Pulaski Township. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Oslo 26.0 27.2 27.5 27.3 26.9 26.3 25.7 LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725 $$ MNC069-089-NDC067-099-311259- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0018.170401T2100Z-170406T1800Z/ /DRTN8.1.SM.170401T2100Z.170403T0000Z.170405T1200Z.NO/ 759 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Drayton...on the Red River. * from Saturday afternoon to Thursday April 06...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 5:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 29.2 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 32.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Saturday afternoon and continue to rise to near 32.5 feet by Sunday evening. * The river is forecast to crest at 32.5 on Sunday evening during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 32.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage... Minor.Agricultural Damage starts. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Drayton 30.4 31.4 32.1 32.5 32.5 32.2 31.8 LAT...LON 4881 9734 4848 9725 4846 9705 4874 9702 $$ MNC069-NDC067-311259- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0013.170331T0200Z-000000T0000Z/ /PBNN8.2.SM.170331T0200Z.170404T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 759 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Pembina...on the Red River. * from Thursday evening until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 37.0 feet. * Moderate Flood Stage is 44.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday night and continue to rise to near 44.5 feet by early Tuesday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 44.5 on early Tuesday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 45.0 feet, Urban damage to Saint Vincent. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Pembina 38.8 41.0 42.8 43.8 44.4 44.5 44.3 LAT...LON 4900 9700 4900 9740 4877 9732 4874 9701 $$ MNC089-311259- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170403T1800Z/ /MKLM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.170402T1200Z.NO/ 759 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River. * until Monday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 6:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 67.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 67.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 68.0 feet sometime Thursday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage Sunday mid-morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 68.0 on Thursday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 67.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...MINOR. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Upstream of Warr 68.0 67.9 67.3 66.6 66.0 65.7 65.5 LAT...LON 4820 9684 4817 9681 4820 9664 4823 9666 $$ MNC069-311259- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HLLM5.2.ER.000000T0000Z.170331T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 759 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 806.6 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days... Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 807.0 feet sometime Thursday evening then begin falling. * The river is forecast to crest at 807.0 on Thursday evening during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 807.0 feet, Storm sewer valves at 175 bridge, 4th Street South and the Cemetery, are closed and portable pumps are set up. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Hallock 807.0 807.0 806.7 806.2 805.4 804.6 803.8 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$ NDC099-311259- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0014.170330T0925Z-170405T0600Z/ /GRNN8.3.ER.170330T0925Z.170401T0600Z.170404T0000Z.UU/ 759 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Grafton...on the Park River. * from late tonight to Wednesday April 05...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 6:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.2 feet. * Major Flood Stage is 14.5 feet. * Forecast...rise above Moderate Flood Stage by Thursday morning and continue to rise to near 14.5 feet by early Saturday morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Monday evening. * The river is forecast to crest between 13.5 and 15.0 Feet this weekend. * Impact Statement(s) - At 14.5 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding on 300 block of Noben Avenue. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Grafton 13.3 14.4 14.1 13.0 12.0 11.3 10.8 LAT...LON 4850 9749 4839 9750 4842 9716 4851 9715 $$ NDC019-067-311259- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /WLHN8.1.SM.170330T0541Z.170405T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 759 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Walhalla...on the Pembina River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.3 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 11.0 feet. * Forecast...Flucuate above flood stage and continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by early Wednesday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 14.5 feet, Flooding occurs along the left bank. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Walhalla 12.1 12.2 12.5 12.9 13.2 13.4 13.5 LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771 $$ NDC067-311258- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0017.170330T1900Z-000000T0000Z/ /NCEN8.3.SM.170330T1900Z.170405T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 759 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Neche...on the Pembina River. * from Thursday afternoon until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 6:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 16.5 feet. * Major Flood Stage is 20.5 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday early afternoon and continue to rise to near 21.4 feet by Wednesday mid-morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 21.4 feet, 2006 Spring Flood Crest. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/30 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 Neche 18.5 20.4 21.1 21.1 21.3 21.3 21.4 LAT...LON 4900 9771 4891 9764 4889 9722 4900 9723 $$ Gust
893 WGUS83 KFGF 301603 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 1103 AM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Oslo...on the Red River...in Marshall...Walsh...Polk and Grand Forks Counties * Drayton...on the Red River...in Marshall...Walsh...Kittson and Pembina Counties * Pembina...on the Red River...in Kittson and Pembina Counties * Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River...in Marshall County * Grafton...on the Park River...in Walsh County * Neche...on the Pembina River...in Pembina County ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Alvarado...on the Snake River ...in Marshall County * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County * Walhalla...on the Pembina River ...in Pembina and Cavalier Counties .Flood warnings continue for area rivers north of Highway 2 as warm weather and above freezing overnight temperatures allow runoff to enter riverine systems. Alvarado has been added to the river point warning list with this issuance. Many points along these rivers will still be prone to ice jams over the next couple of days. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. These river forecasts use 48 hours of forecast precipitation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC089-119-NDC035-099-311603- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0019.170330T1539Z-170406T1200Z/ /OSLM5.1.SM.170330T1418Z.170401T0600Z.170405T0600Z.NO/ 1103 AM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Oslo...on the Red River. * until Thursday April 06...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 26.0 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 26.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by this afternoon and continue to rise to near 28.2 feet by early Saturday morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage by early Wednesday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 28.2 on early Saturday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 30.0 feet, Moderate Flood Stage. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Red River Oslo 27.7 28.2 27.9 27.3 26.5 25.8 25.2 LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725 $$ MNC069-089-NDC067-099-311603- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0018.170331T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /DRTN8.1.SM.170331T0000Z.170404T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1103 AM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Drayton...on the Red River. * from this evening until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 5:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 29.2 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 32.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by this evening and continue to rise to near 34.5 feet by Tuesday mid-morning. * The river is forecast to crest between 34 and 35 Feet next week. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Red River Drayton 32.6 33.3 33.8 34.3 34.5 34.3 34.0 LAT...LON 4881 9734 4848 9725 4846 9705 4874 9702 $$ MNC069-NDC067-311603- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0013.170330T1539Z-000000T0000Z/ /PBNN8.2.SM.170330T1403Z.170406T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1103 AM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Pembina...on the Red River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 39.2 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 44.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest between 45 and 46 feet by late next week. * Impact Statement(s) - At 46.0 feet, General rural flooding. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Red River Pembina 41.9 43.5 44.4 44.9 45.3 45.4 45.5 LAT...LON 4900 9700 4900 9740 4877 9732 4874 9701 $$ MNC089-311603- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170403T1500Z/ /MKLM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.170402T0900Z.NO/ 1103 AM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River. * until Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 67.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 67.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will fall below Flood Stage Sunday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 67.7 feet this afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 67.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...MINOR. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Snake River Upstream of Warr 67.7 67.3 66.9 66.3 65.9 65.5 65.3 LAT...LON 4820 9684 4817 9681 4820 9664 4823 9666 $$ MNC089-311603- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0020.170331T0600Z-170402T0600Z/ /ALVM5.1.ER.170331T0600Z.170331T0600Z.170401T0000Z.NO/ 1103 AM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Alvarado...on the Snake River. * from late tonight to late Saturday night...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 105.8 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 106.0 feet. * Forecast...the river is expected to rise to near Flood Stage early Friday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 106.0 on early Friday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 106.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage... Minor.Storm sewer flood gates are closed. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Snake River Alvarado 106.0 105.8 105.4 105.0 104.4 103.8 103.2 LAT...LON 4846 9713 4831 9712 4814 9702 4817 9679 $$ MNC069-311603- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HLLM5.2.ER.000000T0000Z.170331T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 1103 AM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 807.9 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days... Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest between 809 and 810 feet sometime Friday mid-morning then begin falling. * Fluctuations of 1 to 2 feet are possible due to ice action. * Impact Statement(s) - At 810.0 feet, Major Flood Stage. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Two Rivers River Hallock 809.5 809.3 808.8 808.2 807.4 806.6 805.6 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$ NDC099-311603- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170407T0900Z/ /GRNN8.3.ER.170330T1300Z.170401T0600Z.170406T0300Z.UU/ 1103 AM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Grafton...on the Park River. * until Friday April 07...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 12.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Major flooding is forecast. * Major Flood Stage is 14.5 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 14.5 feet sometime early Saturday morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage Wednesday night. * The river is forecast to crest between 14 and 15 feet on early Saturday morning during this 7-day period. * Ice jamming may cause fluctuations of 1 to 2 feet. * Impact Statement(s) - At 14.5 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding on 300 block of Noben Avenue. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Park River Grafton 14.0 14.5 14.3 13.7 13.0 12.4 11.7 LAT...LON 4850 9749 4839 9750 4842 9716 4851 9715 $$ NDC019-067-311602- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /WLHN8.1.SM.170330T1712Z.170406T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1103 AM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Walhalla...on the Pembina River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 2.0 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 11.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by this afternoon and continue to rise to a crest near 14.2 feet by Wednesday. * River may briefly fall before rising in response to Canadian meltwater. Overnight precipitation and some rain expected Friday night have been reflected in a slightly increased crest projection. * Impact Statement(s) - At 14.5 feet, Flooding occurs along the left bank. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Pembina River Walhalla 12.6 12.6 13.4 13.7 14.0 14.1 14.2 LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771 $$ NDC067-311602- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0017.170330T1539Z-000000T0000Z/ /NCEN8.3.SM.170330T0920Z.170403T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1103 AM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Neche...on the Pembina River. * from this morning until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:45 AM Thursday the stage was 18.7 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Major flooding is forecast. * Major Flood Stage is 20.5 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 21.4 feet sometime Monday morning then begin falling. * Impact Statement(s) - At 21.4 feet, 2006 Spring Flood Crest. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Pembina River Neche 21.1 21.3 21.3 21.4 21.4 21.4 21.4 LAT...LON 4900 9771 4891 9764 4889 9722 4900 9723 $$
483 WGUS83 KFGF 310253 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 953 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River...in Marshall County * Alvarado...on the Snake River...in Marshall County * Grafton...on the Park River...in Walsh County ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota...North Dakota... * Oslo...on the Red River ...in Marshall...Walsh...Polk and Grand Forks Counties * Drayton...on the Red River ...in Marshall...Walsh...Kittson and Pembina Counties * Pembina...on the Red River ...in Kittson and Pembina Counties * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County * Walhalla...on the Pembina River ...in Pembina and Cavalier Counties * Neche...on the Pembina River ...in Pembina County .Flood warnings continue for area rivers north of Highway 2 as warm weather and above freezing overnight temperatures allow runoff to enter riverine systems. The ice jam at Crookston was foruntately short lived and the river has fallen back below action stage, however, many points along these rivers will still be prone to ice jams over the next couple of days. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation between April 1st and October 1st, and 48 hours otherwise. However, depending on the situation, they may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC089-119-NDC035-099-011453- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-170406T1200Z/ /OSLM5.1.SM.170331T0252Z.170401T1800Z.170405T0600Z.NO/ 953 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Oslo...on the Red River. * until Thursday April 06...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:15 PM Thursday the stage was 26.0 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 26.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday night and continue to rise to near 27.5 feet by Saturday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage by early Wednesday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 27.5 on Saturday early afternoon. * Impact Statement(s) - At 26.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...minor. County road 2 south of Oslo is closed in sections 2 and 11 of Pulaski Township. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Oslo 27.1 27.5 27.3 26.8 26.2 25.6 24.9 LAT...LON 4810 9721 4807 9698 4846 9706 4848 9725 $$ MNC069-089-NDC067-099-011453- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /DRTN8.3.SM.170330T2054Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 953 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Drayton...on the Red River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:45 PM Thursday the stage was 30.2 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 32.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Thursday night and continue to rise to near 34.5 feet by Monday evening. * The river is forecast to crest between 34 and 35 Feet next week. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Drayton 33.7 34.1 34.4 34.5 34.4 34.2 33.9 LAT...LON 4881 9734 4848 9725 4846 9705 4874 9702 $$ MNC069-NDC067-011453- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /PBNN8.2.SM.170330T1403Z.170406T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 953 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Pembina...on the Red River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 40.6 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 44.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will continue rising to 45 to 46 feet by Thursday mid-morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter. * Impact Statement(s) - At 46.0 feet, General rural flooding. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Pembina 43.0 44.2 44.8 45.2 45.3 45.4 45.5 LAT...LON 4900 9700 4900 9740 4877 9732 4874 9701 $$ MNC089-010958- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170401T0958Z/ /MKLM5.1.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.170331T0358Z.NO/ 953 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River. * until late Friday night...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:45 PM Thursday the stage was 67.1 feet. * This river location is experiencing Minor flooding now... but is forecast to fall to below Flood Stage within the next 6 hours. * Forecast...the river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by Thursday night. * Impact Statement(s) - At 67.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...MINOR. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Upstream of Warr 66.6 66.5 66.2 65.9 65.5 65.2 65.0 LAT...LON 4820 9684 4817 9681 4820 9664 4823 9666 $$ MNC089-011453- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0020.170331T0235Z-170402T1800Z/ /ALVM5.1.SM.170330T2137Z.170331T1200Z.170401T1200Z.NO/ 953 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Alvarado...on the Snake River. * until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 106.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 106.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 106.3 feet sometime Friday mid-morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 106.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage... Minor. Storm sewer flood gates are closed. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Alvarado 106.2 105.7 105.3 104.8 104.3 103.8 103.4 LAT...LON 4846 9713 4831 9712 4814 9702 4817 9679 $$ MNC069-011453- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.000000T0000Z.170401T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 953 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 808.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days... Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 809.0 feet sometime early Saturday morning then begin falling. * The river is forecast to crest at 809.0 on early Saturday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 809.0 feet, City crew on shifts for manning of pumps and checking lift stations. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Hallock 808.9 809.0 808.6 808.0 807.4 806.7 805.6 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$ NDC099-011453- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-170406T1800Z/ /GRNN8.3.SM.170330T1300Z.170401T1200Z.170405T1200Z.UU/ 953 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Grafton...on the Park River. * until Thursday April 06...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 12.4 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Major flooding is forecast. * Major Flood Stage is 14.5 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 14.5 feet sometime Saturday mid-morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 14.5 feet, Major Flood Stage. Flooding on 300 block of Noben Avenue. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Grafton 14.1 14.5 14.0 13.2 12.4 11.7 11.0 LAT...LON 4850 9749 4839 9750 4842 9716 4851 9715 $$ NDC019-067-011453- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /WLHN8.1.SM.170331T0440Z.170331T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 953 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Walhalla...on the Pembina River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:15 PM Thursday the stage was 3.9 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 11.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage tonight and continue to rise to near 14.9 feet by early Friday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter. * Impact Statement(s) - At 14.5 feet, flooding occurs along the left bank. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Walhalla 13.8 13.7 14.0 14.2 14.4 14.4 14.4 LAT...LON 4900 9825 4887 9808 4884 9787 4892 9764 4900 9771 $$ NDC067-011452- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /NCEN8.3.SM.170330T0920Z.170331T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 953 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Neche...on the Pembina River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:45 PM Thursday the stage was 20.3 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Major flooding is forecast. * Major Flood Stage is 20.5 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 21.4 feet early Friday afternoon. * Impact Statement(s) - At 21.4 feet, 2006 Spring Flood Crest. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/31 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 Neche 21.4 21.4 21.4 21.4 21.4 21.4 21.4 LAT...LON 4900 9771 4891 9764 4889 9722 4900 9723 $$ Speicher
496 WGUS83 KFGF 311420 FLSFGF Flood Statement National Weather Service Eastern North Dakota/Grand Forks ND 920 AM CDT FRI MAR 31 2017 ...The flood warning is now cancelled for these river locations in Minnesota... * Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River...in Marshall County . The river level has receded below flood stage and continues to fall. Therefore...the flood warning has been canceled. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts use 24 hours of forecast precipitation between April 1st and October 1st, and 48 hours otherwise. However, depending on the situation, they may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. If necessary, move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in, or near, flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC089-311450- /O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170401T0958Z/ /MKLM5.1.SM.170331T0737Z.000000T0000Z.170331T0800Z.NO/ 920 AM CDT FRI MAR 31 2017 The Flood Warning is cancelled for... * ...Upstream of Warren...on the Snake River. * At 8:45 AM Friday the stage was 66.8 feet. * Fell below Flood Stage at 3:00 AM Friday. * Forecast...the river will continue to fall to 66.6 feet by Saturday mid-morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 66.8 on Friday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 67.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage...MINOR. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri (month/day) 04/01 04/02 04/03 04/04 04/05 04/06 04/07 Snake River Upstream of Warr 66.6 66.3 65.8 65.6 65.3 65.1 64.9 LAT...LON 4820 9684 4817 9681 4820 9664 4823 9666 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 28, 10:04 AM CDT, 43 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 28, 10:04 AM CDT, 43 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1004 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1004 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017
Fog continues to be dense in many spots across the
southwestern/southern CWA, especially in the Fargo/Moorhead area.
Will extend the dense fog advisory until 17Z as short range model
visibilities start to improve by that point and we should have
better mixing from the winds. Will continue to keep highs we have
going in the 40s into the 50s, but may make some adjustments at
the next update for lingering cloud cover.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 320 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017
Dense fog and low clouds continue to be the main forecast
challenges. The area of dense fog is currently along and south of
a line from Maddock to Cooperstown ND to Ada MN, and is slowly
moving southward. Satellite imagery shows there are already
portions of Griggs/Steele/Traill counties that are clearing out,
while the fog is moving into the far southern Red River Valley
south of Wahpeton. So unlike last night, the fog may not be a long
term feature. As far as the clouds go, one clear hole has formed
from Rugby to Lakota to Cooperstown. There also appears to be
less cloud cover east of the Red River Valley. A few showers were
located just north of Grand Forks, but they finally appear to be
shrinking in coverage, so do not plan to mention any showers with
the 4 am forecast issuance. Models today shrink the fog from north
to south and also push it to the west. If this happens there will
be a lot more sun and warming along the Red River Valley and
points to the east, with more uncertainty to the west. Winds still
look to remain pretty weak today into tonight, but for once the
models are not anticipating much fog tonight.
.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 320 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017
The main question for Wednesday through Thursday night will be
whether any light pcpn will affect the far western or northern FA.
Guidance threw in some low pcpn chances for these areas, but if
anything falls it will be minimal. Sfc winds finally look to
increase a little Wednesday into Thursday too. Nothing too
substantial, but probably enough to keep the fog at bay.
The best chance for precipitation of the week looks to arrive on
Friday and linger into the early part of the weekend. Models
continue to depict a deep upper low coming out of the Four Corners
region and propagating across the southern CONUS while a decent
shortwave moves through the northern stream of the continued split
flow pattern, impacting the Northern Plains. Regardless, impacts
should be minimal as precipitation looks to be fairly light and
mostly rain with maybe a little bit of snow mixing in late Friday
night/early Saturday before exiting to the east.
Once the late week system exits, brief upper ridging looks to build
in for the remainder of the weekend. A weak cold front/wind shift
looks to move through the area on Saturday which will briefly keep
high temperatures just a bit cooler than the end of the work week
(upper 40s/low 50s) but will quickly warm back into the mid to upper
50s for Sunday.
Chances then increase for a more active pattern returning to the
area for next week. However, models continue to vary considerably so
not a lot of confidence at this point. Model blend precipitation
chances (mostly slight chance to chance) on and off for the first
half of the work week appear reasonable with above normal
temperatures continuing.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning)
Issued at 650 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017
KFAR is the only TAF site that still has dense fog and think it
will last there for a few more hours. After the fog is gone, think
there will only be mid level clouds around for the rest of the
TAF period. Winds stay light.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 320 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017
Impacts from snow melt runoff will begin to make its way into the
Grafton and Pembina areas this week. River levels are expected to
continue to quickly rise at Grafton into major levels with an
expected crest between 14.5 and 15.5 feet. Moderate flooding is
expected by the end of the week at Pembina as northern valley
tributaries combine to push the river into the 43 to 45 foot
range late this week.
Streams are beginning to show some response across the Devils Lake
basin and along the Pembina River due to field runoff. Most
culverts remain frozen however they should begin to slowly open
as the temperatures remain above freezing for all but a few hours
in the morning. As a result continued slow rises are expected on
the Pembina River and across the coulees and streams of the Devils
Lake basin.
&&
.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...Dense Fog Advisory until noon CDT today for NDZ038-039-049-052-
053.
MN...Dense Fog Advisory until noon CDT today for MNZ003-029.
&&
UPDATE...JR
SHORT TERM...Godon
LONG TERM...Godon/Lee
AVIATION...Godon
HYDROLOGY...JKHazardous weather outlook, Mar 28, 7:21 AM CDT, 3 hours 26 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 721 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017 MNZ001-002-004>009-013>017-022>024-027-028-030>032-040-NDZ006>008- 014>016-024-026>030-054-291230- West Polk-Norman-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-West Marshall- East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk- North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-South Clearwater-Hubbard- West Becker-East Becker-West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena- Grant-Towner-Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh County- Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Western Walsh County- 721 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. MNZ003-029-NDZ038-039-049-052-053-291230- Clay-Wilkin-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland- 721 AM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Dense fog will continue over the area through the morning hours, with visibilities less than a quarter mile. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 8:46 PM CDT | Dense Fog Advisory | FGF | Becker, Clay, Grant, Marshall, Norman, Otter Tail and 2 more | 15 hr |
| Mar 28, 11:28 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | FGF | Kittson, Marshall | 12 days |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Minnesota, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.