Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

January 15, 2017Val Verde County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this special weather statement at Jan 15, 2017, 4:42 PM CST for Val Verde County, Texas. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 15, 2017, 4:42 PM CST (22:42 UTC)
Expired
Jan 15, 2017, 5:30 PM CST
In force
48 min
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

County Val Verde County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDLF), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 44 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2017-01-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 48 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2017-01-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 299 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
48 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-160 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
686 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
299 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
400 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jan 15, 3:05 PM CST, 1 hour 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 3:05 PM CST, 1 hour 37 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
305 PM CST Sun Jan 15 2017

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Monday Night)...
Strong to severe convection is about to enter the western boundary of
our forecast area, northwest of Del Rio. This convection is being
generated by a strong shortwave trough, unstable Gulf air, and a
slowly northward moving warm front. High resolution mesoscale models
have been consistent in depicting a thin MCS with embedded supercell
structures. The Texas Tech and NSSL WRFs have verified best so far
with timing and linear mode, with recent HRRR runs showing a more
broken line of supercells. Overall, prior forecasts are on track and
we expect the line to sweep across the area, generally along and
north of U.S. 90. The line should weaken with time, and reach the
I-35 corridor around 05-06Z. While one or two brief tornadoes are
possible, the main severe threats will be large hail and damaging
winds. Rainfall will average 1/2 to 1 inch, although some locations
in the Edwards Plateau, Hill Country, and Metro Austin could receive
up to 2-3 inches by daybreak Monday. Showers and thunderstorms will
linger on the coastal plains Monday, but rainfall amounts should be
1/4 inch or less.

&&

.LONG TERM (Tuesday through Sunday)...
Highly amplified and progressive flow will continue across the CONUS
through the next 7-10 days. This will bring a progression of fairly
sharp shortwave troughs through a general longwave trough over the
Plains. The net result for our area will be a cold front bringing
colder conditions Wednesday and Thursday, then back to above normal
temperatures Friday through Sunday before another cold front. PoPs
will be in the forecast through Friday, although rainfall should be
light. Just beyond this forecast period is another strong front and
the potential for strong convection, then a colder, drier period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              61  71  51  57  49 /  80  40  30  60  50
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  62  71  52  58  49 /  80  40  30  60  50
New Braunfels Muni Airport     62  72  54  58  51 /  70  40  40  60  50
Burnet Muni Airport            55  69  46  55  46 /  90  10  20  50  50
Del Rio Intl Airport           50  72  51  60  50 /  60   0  -   40  30
Georgetown Muni Airport        58  69  48  56  47 /  90  30  30  50  50
Hondo Muni Airport             60  75  55  60  51 /  70  10  20  60  50
San Marcos Muni Airport        62  72  53  59  50 /  70  40  40  60  50
La Grange - Fayette Regional   66  72  57  61  53 /  70  60  50  50  50
San Antonio Intl Airport       62  74  55  60  52 /  70  20  30  60  50
Stinson Muni Airport           62  74  57  61  53 /  70  20  30  50  50

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Mesoscale/Aviation...24
Synoptic/Grids...26
Public Service/Data Collection...Williams
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 15, 4:58 AM CST, 11 hours 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
458 AM CST SUN JAN 15 2017

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-161100-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
458 AM CST SUN JAN 15 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS..

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE ALONG
AND WEST OF I-35. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...ISOLATED TORNADOES...AND
LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE HILL COUNTRY AND MAY CAUSE SOME FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER AND EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 15, 2:57 PM CST, 1 hour 45 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
257 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017

TXZ183-152145-
Val Verde TX-
257 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN VAL VERDE COUNTY
UNTIL 345 PM CST...

At 255 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles north of Pumpville, or 20 miles northwest of Langtry, moving
northeast at 35 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Pumpville, Pandale and Hackberry Crossing.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for
south central Texas.

LAT...LON 3029 10176 3029 10129 3017 10123 2987 10176
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 239DEG 46KT 3007 10173

PLATT
Special weather statement, Jan 15, 4:22 PM CST, 20 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
422 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017

TXZ183-152300-
Val Verde TX-
422 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL VAL VERDE COUNTY UNTIL
500 PM CST...

At 422 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Seminole Canyon State Park, or near Comstock, moving northeast at 25
mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Comstock and Seminole Canyon State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for
south central Texas.

LAT...LON 2995 10112 2974 10091 2953 10126 2957 10124
      2962 10125 2963 10127 2958 10128 2957 10129
      2958 10131 2961 10131 2965 10130 2966 10135
      2965 10136 2969 10137
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 234DEG 22KT 2966 10127
Special weather statement, Jan 15, 4:42 PM CST, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
442 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017

TXZ183-152330-
Val Verde TX-
442 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL VAL VERDE COUNTY
UNTIL 530 PM CST...

At 442 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Comstock, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Comstock, Devils River State Natural Area and Pafford Crossing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CST for
south central Texas.

LAT...LON 2958 10114 2972 10122 3001 10086 2977 10071
TIME...MOT...LOC 2242Z 240DEG 27KT 2971 10109

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 15, 2:57 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementEWXVal Verde48 min
Jan 15, 4:22 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementEWXVal Verde38 min
Jan 15, 4:52 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXVal Verde38 min
Jan 15, 5:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards43 min
Jan 15, 5:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards33 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.