Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 159, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

May 28, 2017Dimmit County, Maverick County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 28, 2017, 9:28 PM CDT for Dimmit County, Maverick County, Texas. It was in force for 18 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 28, 2017, 9:28 PM CDT (02:28 UTC)
Expired: May 28, 2017, 9:46 PM CDT
In force: 18 min
Issued by: NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Dimmit County, TX, Maverick County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 28, 3:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDLF), launched 00:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 124 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1948 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -120 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1390 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

524 
WUUS54 KEWX 290228
SVREWX
TXC127-323-290330-
/O.NEW.KEWX.SV.W.0159.170529T0228Z-170529T0330Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
928 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

The National Weather Service in Austin San Antonio has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southeastern Maverick County in south central Texas...
  Western Dimmit County in south central Texas...

* Until 1030 PM CDT

* At 927 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
  extending from 7 miles west of Cometa to 15 miles west of Chupadera
  Ranch Airport, moving east at 20 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Carrizo Springs, El Indio, Winter Haven, Carrizo Hill and Farias
  Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 2823 10022 2824 10026 2828 10029 2831 10028
      2840 10035 2845 10034 2848 10037 2848 10035
      2850 10033 2852 10039 2865 10038 2864 9975
      2820 9998 2820 10021
TIME...MOT...LOC 0227Z 281DEG 18KT 2864 10013 2824 10032 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BMW

1 follow-up statement

266 
WWUS54 KEWX 290246
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
946 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

TXC127-323-290256-
/O.CAN.KEWX.SV.W.0159.000000T0000Z-170529T0330Z/
Maverick TX-Dimmit TX-
946 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MAVERICK AND
WESTERN DIMMIT COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
            
The storms which prompted the warning have weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.  However heavy rain is
still possible with these thunderstorms.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CDT for
south central Texas.

LAT...LON 2823 10022 2824 10026 2828 10029 2831 10028
      2840 10035 2845 10034 2848 10037 2848 10035
      2850 10033 2852 10039 2865 10038 2864 9975
      2820 9998 2820 10021
TIME...MOT...LOC 0243Z 281DEG 18KT 2862 10004 2822 10023 

$$

BMW

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 28, 6:57 PM CDT, 2 hours 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 28, 6:57 PM CDT, 2 hours 31 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
657 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017

.AVIATION...
Scattered to Numerous SHRA/TSRA continued across the Hill Country,
Central Texas, and the Austin area. These will gradually push to the
E/SE across the remainder of South Central Texas as a surface trough
currently developing between San Antonio and Del Rio shifts E. Have
gone with TSRA at KAUS to start the TAF period, TEMPO at KDRT for
00Z-02Z, and KSAT/KSSF for 02Z-06Z. After that chances are uncertain
as surface trough focuses best chances southeast of I-35. VFR CIGs
will prevail, except brief MVFR CIGs/VSBYs in SHRA/TSRA. Some areas
of MVFR/IFR CIGs may develop overnight into Monday morning. CIGs will
lift to VFR midday on Monday. Wind gusts up to 60 KTs and GR/GS are
possible in the strongest TSRA, otherwise winds will be 10 KTs or
less.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 320 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017/

UPDATE...
We've issued a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for the entire CWA until 10
pm. Storms have developed along the front and will continue into the
evening. We have already issued a couple of Severe Thunderstorm
Warnings and expect this to continue.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 250 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017/

SHORT TERM (Tonight through Monday Night)...
Upper air analysis this morning showed west-southwesterly flow over
TX with a trough from central Canada to the Four Corners. At the
surface, a cold front was moving into our northwestern counties.
Winds ahead of the front were from the east to southeast and dewpoint
temperatures were in the lower to middle 70s. The upper level trough
will move across TX during this period. With the upper flow nearly
parallel to the front, it will move slowly through the area tonight
and Monday. This will mean showers and thunderstorms will be likely
tonight and Monday. At the start of the period, model soundings show
CAPE around 4000 j/kg, but with 0-6 km wind shear only 20-30 kts.
This could produce strong to severe thunderstorms with large hail as
the mostly likely threat this evening. Atmosphere is fairly uniform
across the CWA, so where storms are worst will depend on how things
develop with small scale features that are not well resolved now.
Storms should weaken below severe strength by midnight. Expect
convection to continue overnight and during the day Monday. Monday
night chances will decrease with slight to low chance POPs.

LONG TERM (Tuesday through Sunday)...
The pattern will remain unsettled through the week with west-
southwesterly flow aloft. A series of short wave troughs will move
through the pattern bringing chances for convection. Wednesday night
and Thursday a stronger short wave will bring a better chance for
showers and thunderstorms and some higher rainfall totals. The
overall pattern will change little toward the end of the period and
low chances for convection will remain in the forecast until the end
of the forecast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              70  82  67  85  68 /  70  50  30  40  30
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  69  81  66  85  67 /  70  50  30  40  30
New Braunfels Muni Airport     70  80  66  84  68 /  70  60  30  40  30
Burnet Muni Airport            67  80  65  83  66 /  60  40  20  30  30
Del Rio Intl Airport           70  84  69  84  70 /  60  30  30  30  40
Georgetown Muni Airport        68  81  65  83  67 /  70  40  30  40  30
Hondo Muni Airport             69  83  68  86  68 /  70  40  30  40  30
San Marcos Muni Airport        70  80  66  85  68 /  70  60  30  40  30
La Grange - Fayette Regional   71  81  68  85  69 /  70  70  30  40  30
San Antonio Intl Airport       70  82  68  85  70 /  70  50  30  40  30
Stinson Muni Airport           72  80  69  84  70 /  70  50  30  40  30

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Mesoscale/Aviation...04
Synoptic/Grids...05
Public Service/Data Collection...33

Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 4:37 AM CDT, 16 hours 51 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
437 AM CDT Sun May 28 2017

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-291100-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
437 AM CDT Sun May 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today And Tonight.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon
and tonight. Strong to severe storms are possible along with
locally heavy rainfall. Main threats will be large hail and
damaging winds. Heavy rainfall from the storms may cause localized
flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Rounds of thunderstorms are forecast Monday through Saturday.
Strong storms and locally heavy rains are possible through the
period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 28, 8:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
815 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0756 PM     HAIL             KNIPPA                  29.30N 99.63W
05/28/2017  E1.75 INCH       UVALDE             TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

            PICTURE OF A GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL IN KNIPPA...TIME
            ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.

&&

TREEWX

Local storm report, May 28, 8:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
820 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NNW BOERNE            29.85N 98.74W
05/28/2017                   KENDALL            TX   PUBLIC

            RECEIVED TWITTER PHOTO OF WIND DAMAGE IN
            BOERNE AT THE END OF RODEO DRIVE. PHOTO
            SHOWED LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN.

&&

TB3

Special weather statement, May 28, 8:41 PM CDT, 47 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
841 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

TXZ183-290245-
Val Verde TX-
841 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL VAL VERDE COUNTY UNTIL
945 PM CDT...

At 840 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Shumla, or 7 miles northeast of Langtry, moving east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Shumla and Bakers Crossing.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
south central Texas.

LAT...LON 2992 10157 3010 10109 2984 10099 2976 10140
      2977 10140 2977 10141 2975 10145 2977 10146
      2978 10145 2979 10146 2976 10151
TIME...MOT...LOC 0140Z 251DEG 22KT 2986 10146

BMW

Local storm report, May 28, 9:01 PM CDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
901 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 PM     LIGHTNING        AUSTIN                  30.27N 97.74W
05/28/2017                   TRAVIS             TX   NEWSPAPER

            AUSTIN AMERICAN STATESMAN REPORTED A
            LIGHTNING STRIKE CAUSING A HOUSE FIRE AROUND
            7 PM AT 1142 DELORES AVENUE IN AUSTIN.

&&

TB3

Local storm report, May 28, 9:02 PM CDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
902 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0834 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N MARTINDALE          29.86N 97.84W
05/28/2017                   CALDWELL           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            REPORT OF TREES DOWN IN AND AROUND MARTINDALE FROM THE
            SHERIFF DEPARTMENT.

&&

TREEWX

Local storm report, May 28, 9:11 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
911 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0757 PM     HAIL             KNIPPA                  29.30N 99.63W
05/28/2017  E2.00 INCH       UVALDE             TX   PUBLIC

            PICTURES OF HEN EGG SIZED HAIL IN KNIPPA POSTED ON SOCIAL
            MEDIA.

&&

TREEWX

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 28, 7:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Bastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Travis	60 min
May 28, 7:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Blanco, Comal, Kendall	38 min
May 28, 7:08 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Travis, Williamson	3 hr
May 28, 7:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Kinney, Maverick	57 min
May 28, 7:27 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Frio, Medina, Uvalde, Zavala	4 hr
May 28, 7:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Val Verde	19 min
May 28, 7:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Caldwell, Comal, Guadalupe, Hays	49 min
May 28, 7:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Frio, Medina, Uvalde, Zavala	45 min
May 28, 7:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Dimmit, Frio, Zavala	72 min
May 28, 7:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Lee	52 min
May 28, 8:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Bastrop, Lee	20 min
May 28, 8:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Kinney, Maverick	66 min
May 28, 8:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Bastrop, Caldwell, Hays	47 min
May 28, 8:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Zavala	53 min
May 28, 8:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Val Verde	64 min
May 28, 8:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Zavala	47 min
May 28, 9:00 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Dimmit, Maverick, Zavala	3 hr
May 28, 9:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Dimmit, Maverick, Zavala	23 min
May 28, 9:59 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Travis	2 hr
May 29, 12:07 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	DeWitt	38 min
May 29, 12:47 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Frio	43 min
May 29, 12:51 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Gonzales	39 min
May 29, 12:59 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Edwards	46 min
May 29, 2:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Val Verde	52 min
May 29, 3:24 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Val Verde	36 min
May 29, 4:34 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Edwards	26 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2017 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.