Alert archive / New Mexico / Winter Storm Warnings in 2017

Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS El Paso, TX

February 11, 20174 counties in New Mexico

NWS El Paso, TX issued this winter storm warning at Feb 11, 2017, 3:35 PM MST for 4 counties in New Mexico. It took effect at Feb 12, 2017, 12:00 PM MST. It was in force for 27 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 11, 2017, 3:35 PM MST (22:35 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 12, 2017, 12:00 PM MST
Expired
Feb 13, 2017, 2:30 PM MST
In force
27 hr
Issued by
NWS El Paso, TX

Counties Grant County, NM, Luna County, NM, Otero County, NM, Sierra County, NM

The radar

The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Santa Teresa, NM at 12:00Z on 2017-02-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Santa Teresa, NM at 12:00Z on 2017-02-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -4 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3172 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
58 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

215 
WWUS44 KEPZ 112235
WSWEPZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
335 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...HEAVY MOUNTAIN SNOW AND POSSIBLE LOWLAND SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

.AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
UNITED STATES SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY PRODUCING HEAVY SNOW OVER
THE MOUNTAIN AREAS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND LIGHTER SNOW AMOUNTS
OVER THE HIGHER LOWLANDS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS.
SNOW MOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 INCHES FOR LOCATIONS ABOVE
7500 FEET WITH 4 TO 9 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS. SOME LOWLAND
LOCATIONS COULD SEE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW. THE HEAVY SNOWS WILL
CREATE DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS AND THE MOUNTAINS OF THE GILA WILDERNESS REGION DUE TO
ICY SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN A
QUARTER MILE.

NMZ414>416-120700-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.WS.A.0003.170212T1900Z-170214T1900Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.WS.W.0003.170212T1900Z-170214T1900Z/
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of...Mescalero...Timberon...Mountain Park...
Cloudcroft...Sunspot...Apache Summit...Mayhill...Pinon...
Sacramento
335 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO NOON MST
TUESDAY...

The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a Winter Storm
Warning for HEAVY SNOW...which is in effect from noon Sunday to
noon MST Tuesday. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 INCHES
  ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 4 TO 9 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL BEGIN MAINLY DURING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE
  SLOWLY DIMINISHING LATER TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY
  SLIPPERY ROADS. BLOWING SNOW MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY
  TO LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor
the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

NMZ402-403-408-120700-
/O.UPG.KEPZ.WS.A.0003.170213T0100Z-170214T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.WS.W.0003.170213T0100Z-170214T1300Z/
Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-
Including the cities of...Silver City...Lake Roberts...Kingston...
Fort Bayard...Mimbres...Hurley...Faywood...Grant County Airport...
Hillsboro...Winston
335 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO 6 AM MST
TUESDAY...

The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a Winter Storm
Warning for HEAVY SNOW...which is in effect from 6 PM Sunday to 6
AM MST Tuesday.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 9 TO 12 INCHES
  ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 3 TO 8 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS.

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL BEGIN MAINLY DURING SUNDAY EVENING AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING
  BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS... DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY FALLING TO LESS
  THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest
forecasts.

&&

$$

NMZ409-417-TXZ420>422-120700-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.WW.Y.0003.170213T0500Z-170214T1800Z/
Sierra County Lakes-Otero Mesa-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Including the cities of...Truth Or Consequences...Derry...
Spaceport...Crow Flats...Hueco Tanks...Loma Linda...Cornudas...
Dell City...Salt Flat...Sierra Blanca
335 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO 11 AM
MST TUESDAY...

The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for SNOW...which is in effect from 10 PM Sunday
to 11 AM MST Tuesday.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE A TRACE TO 1 INCH.
  HOWEVER SOME LOCATIONS WILL SEE SNOW AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES.

* TIMING...RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW LATE SUNDAY EVENING. THE BEST
  CHANCES FOR Accumulating SNOW WILL OCCUR MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
  TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS... DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY FALLING TO LESS
  THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow...sleet...or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities...and use caution while
driving.

&&

$$

BIRD
6 follow-up statements
169 
WWUS44 KEPZ 120639
WSWEPZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1139 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...HEAVY MOUNTAIN SNOW AND POSSIBLE LOWLAND SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

.AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
UNITED STATES SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY PRODUCING HEAVY SNOW OVER
THE MOUNTAIN AREAS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND LIGHTER SNOW
AMOUNTS OVER THE HIGHER LOWLANDS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR
WEST TEXAS. SNOW MOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 INCHES FOR
LOCATIONS ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 4 TO 9 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS.
SOME LOWLAND LOCATIONS COULD SEE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW. THE HEAVY
SNOWS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS AND THE MOUNTAINS OF THE GILA WILDERNESS
REGION DUE TO ICY SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY
OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE.

NMZ414>416-121500-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WS.W.0003.170212T1900Z-170214T1900Z/
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of...Mescalero...Timberon...Mountain Park...
Cloudcroft...Sunspot...Apache Summit...Mayhill...Pinon...
Sacramento
1139 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO
NOON MST TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 
  INCHES ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 4 TO 9 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL BEGIN MAINLY DURING SUNDAY AFTERNOON 
  AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT 
  BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING LATER TUESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS. BLOWING SNOW MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY 
  OCCASIONALLY TO LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE 
  REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor
the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

NMZ402-403-408-121500-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WS.W.0003.170213T0100Z-170214T1300Z/
Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-
Including the cities of...Silver City...Lake Roberts...Kingston...
Fort Bayard...Mimbres...Hurley...Faywood...Grant County Airport...
Hillsboro...Winston
1139 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO
6 AM MST TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 9 TO 12 
  INCHES ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 3 TO 8 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL BEGIN MAINLY DURING SUNDAY EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING 
  BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS... DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY FALLING TO LESS 
  THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest
forecasts.

&&

$$

NMZ409-417-TXZ420>422-121500-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WW.Y.0003.170213T0500Z-170214T1800Z/
Sierra County Lakes-Otero Mesa-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Including the cities of...Truth Or Consequences...Derry...
Spaceport...Crow Flats...Hueco Tanks...Loma Linda...Cornudas...
Dell City...Salt Flat...Sierra Blanca
1139 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM SUNDAY TO
11 AM MST TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE A TRACE TO 1 
  INCH. HOWEVER SOME LOCATIONS WILL SEE SNOW AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 
  INCHES. 

* TIMING...RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW LATE SUNDAY EVENING. THE BEST 
  CHANCES FOR Accumulating SNOW WILL OCCUR MONDAY MORNING 
  THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS... DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY FALLING TO LESS 
  THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow...sleet...or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities...and use caution while
driving.

&&

$$
731 
WWUS44 KEPZ 121208
WSWEPZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
508 AM MST Sun Feb 12 2017

...HEAVY MOUNTAIN SNOW AND POSSIBLE LOWLAND SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

.AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
UNITED STATES TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY PRODUCING HEAVY SNOW OVER THE
MOUNTAIN AREAS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND LIGHTER SNOW AMOUNTS
OVER THE HIGHER LOWLANDS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST
TEXAS. SNOW MOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 INCHES FOR LOCATIONS
ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 4 TO 9 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS. SOME LOWLAND
LOCATIONS COULD SEE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW. THE HEAVY SNOWS WILL
CREATE DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS AND THE MOUNTAINS OF THE GILA WILDERNESS REGION DUE TO
ICY SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN A
QUARTER MILE.

NMZ414>416-122300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WS.W.0003.170212T1900Z-170214T1900Z/
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of...Mescalero...Timberon...Mountain Park...
Cloudcroft...Sunspot...Apache Summit...Mayhill...Pinon...
Sacramento
508 AM MST Sun Feb 12 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON
MST TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 
  INCHES ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 4 TO 9 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL BEGIN MAINLY DURING THIS AFTERNOON AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE
  SLOWLY DIMINISHING LATER TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS. BLOWING SNOW MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY 
  OCCASIONALLY TO LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE 
  REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor
the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

NMZ402-403-408-122300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WS.W.0003.170213T0100Z-170214T1300Z/
Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-
Including the cities of...Silver City...Lake Roberts...Kingston...
Fort Bayard...Mimbres...Hurley...Faywood...Grant County Airport...
Hillsboro...Winston
508 AM MST Sun Feb 12 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM MST TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 9 TO 12 
  INCHES ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 3 TO 8 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL BEGIN MAINLY DURING THIS EVENING AND
  CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING BEFORE SLOWLY
  DIMINISHING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS... DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY FALLING TO LESS 
  THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest
forecasts.

&&

$$

NMZ409-417-TXZ420>422-122300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WW.Y.0003.170213T0500Z-170214T1800Z/
Sierra County Lakes-Otero Mesa-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Including the cities of...Truth Or Consequences...Derry...
Spaceport...Crow Flats...Hueco Tanks...Loma Linda...Cornudas...
Dell City...Salt Flat...Sierra Blanca
508 AM MST Sun Feb 12 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 11 AM MST TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE A TRACE TO 1 
  INCH. HOWEVER SOME LOCATIONS WILL SEE SNOW AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 
  INCHES. 

* TIMING...RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW LATE SUNDAY EVENING. THE BEST 
  CHANCES FOR Accumulating SNOW WILL OCCUR MONDAY MORNING 
  THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS... DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY FALLING TO LESS 
  THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow...sleet...or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities...and use caution while
driving.

&&

$$

ROGASH
698 
WWUS44 KEPZ 122103
WSWEPZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
203 PM MST Sun Feb 12 2017

...HEAVY MOUNTAIN SNOW AND POSSIBLE LOWLAND SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

.AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
UNITED STATES TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY PRODUCING HEAVY SNOW OVER THE
MOUNTAIN AREAS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND LIGHTER SNOW AMOUNTS
OVER THE HIGHER LOWLANDS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST
TEXAS. SNOW MOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 INCHES FOR LOCATIONS
ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 4 TO 9 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS. SOME LOWLAND
LOCATIONS COULD SEE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW. THE HEAVY SNOWS WILL
CREATE DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS AND THE MOUNTAINS OF THE GILA WILDERNESS REGION DUE TO
ICY SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN
A QUARTER MILE.

NMZ414>416-130515-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170214T1900Z/
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of...Mescalero...Timberon...Mountain Park...
Cloudcroft...Sunspot...Apache Summit...Mayhill...Pinon...
Sacramento
203 PM MST Sun Feb 12 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MST
TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 
  INCHES ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 4 TO 9 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL BEGIN MAINLY DURING THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE 
  SLOWLY DIMINISHING LATER TUESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS. BLOWING SNOW MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY 
  OCCASIONALLY TO LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE 
  REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor
the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

NMZ402-403-408-130515-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WS.W.0003.170213T0100Z-170214T1300Z/
Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-
Including the cities of...Silver City...Lake Roberts...Kingston...
Fort Bayard...Mimbres...Hurley...Faywood...Grant County Airport...
Hillsboro...Winston
203 PM MST Sun Feb 12 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM MST TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 9 TO 12 
  INCHES ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 3 TO 8 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL BEGIN MAINLY DURING THIS EVENING AND 
  CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING BEFORE SLOWLY 
  DIMINISHING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS... DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY FALLING TO LESS 
  THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest
forecasts.

&&

$$

NMZ409-417-TXZ420>422-130515-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WW.Y.0003.170213T0500Z-170214T1800Z/
Sierra County Lakes-Otero Mesa-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Including the cities of...Truth Or Consequences...Derry...
Spaceport...Crow Flats...Hueco Tanks...Loma Linda...Cornudas...
Dell City...Salt Flat...Sierra Blanca
203 PM MST Sun Feb 12 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 11 AM MST TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE A TRACE TO 1 
  INCH. HOWEVER SOME LOCATIONS WILL SEE SNOW AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 
  INCHES. 

* TIMING...RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW LATE SUNDAY EVENING. THE BEST 
  CHANCES FOR Accumulating SNOW WILL OCCUR MONDAY MORNING 
  THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS... DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY FALLING TO LESS 
  THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow...sleet...or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities...and use caution while
driving.

&&

$$
515 
WWUS44 KEPZ 130521
WSWEPZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1021 PM MST Sun Feb 12 2017

...HEAVY MOUNTAIN SNOW AND POSSIBLE LOWLAND SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

.AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
UNITED STATES TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY PRODUCING HEAVY SNOW OVER
THE MOUNTAIN AREAS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND LIGHTER SNOW AMOUNTS
OVER THE HIGHER LOWLANDS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST
TEXAS. SNOW MOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 INCHES FOR LOCATIONS
ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 3 TO 9 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS. SOME LOWLAND
LOCATIONS COULD SEE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW. THE HEAVY SNOWS WILL
CREATE DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS AND THE MOUNTAINS OF THE GILA WILDERNESS REGION DUE TO
ICY SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN A
QUARTER MILE.

NMZ414>416-131330-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170214T1900Z/
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of...Mescalero...Timberon...Mountain Park...
Cloudcroft...Sunspot...Apache Summit...Mayhill...Pinon...
Sacramento
1021 PM MST Sun Feb 12 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MST
TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 
  INCHES ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 4 TO 9 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...MONDAY
  AND MONDAY NIGHT BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING LATER TUESDAY
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS. BLOWING SNOW MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY 
  OCCASIONALLY TO LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE 
  REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring.  Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an
emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight...food...and
water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

NMZ402-403-408-131330-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170214T1300Z/
Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-
Including the cities of...Silver City...Lake Roberts...Kingston...
Fort Bayard...Mimbres...Hurley...Faywood...Grant County Airport...
Hillsboro...Winston
1021 PM MST Sun Feb 12 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MST
TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 9 TO 12 
  INCHES ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 3 TO 8 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY AND MONDAY
  EVENING BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS... DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY FALLING TO LESS 
  THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of
snow is expected or occurring. Strong winds are also possible.
This will make travel very hazardous or impossible.

&&

$$

NMZ409-417-TXZ420>422-131330-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-170214T1800Z/
Sierra County Lakes-Otero Mesa-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Including the cities of...Truth Or Consequences...Derry...
Spaceport...Crow Flats...Hueco Tanks...Loma Linda...Cornudas...
Dell City...Salt Flat...Sierra Blanca
1021 PM MST Sun Feb 12 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST
TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE A TRACE TO 1 
  INCH. HOWEVER SOME LOCATIONS WILL SEE SNOW AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 
  INCHES. 

* TIMING...RAIN WILL MIX WITH SNOW LATE TONIGHT. THE BEST CHANCES
  FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS... DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY FALLING TO LESS 
  THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow...sleet...or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities...and use caution while
driving.

&&

$$
725 
WWUS44 KEPZ 131310
WSWEPZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
610 AM MST Mon Feb 13 2017

...HEAVY MOUNTAIN SNOW AND POSSIBLE LOWLAND SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

.AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
UNITED STATES TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING PRODUCING HEAVY SNOW
OVER THE MOUNTAIN AREAS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND LIGHTER SNOW
AMOUNTS OVER THE HIGHER LOWLANDS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR
WEST TEXAS. SNOW MOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 INCHES FOR
LOCATIONS ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 3 TO 9 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS.
SOME LOWLAND LOCATIONS COULD SEE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW. THE HEAVY
SNOWS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS AND THE MOUNTAINS OF THE GILA WILDERNESS
REGION DUE TO ICY SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY
OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE.

NMZ414>416-132300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170214T1900Z/
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of...Mescalero...Timberon...Mountain Park...
Cloudcroft...Sunspot...Apache Summit...Mayhill...Pinon...
Sacramento
610 AM MST Mon Feb 13 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MST
TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15 
  INCHES ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 4 TO 9 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
  BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS. BLOWING SNOW MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY 
  OCCASIONALLY TO LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE 
  REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring.  Significant amounts of
snow are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in
an emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight...
food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

NMZ402-403-408-132300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170214T1300Z/
Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-
Including the cities of...Silver City...Lake Roberts...Kingston...
Fort Bayard...Mimbres...Hurley...Faywood...Grant County Airport...
Hillsboro...Winston
610 AM MST Mon Feb 13 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MST
TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 9 TO 12 
  INCHES ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 3 TO 8 INCHES LOWER ELEVATIONS. 

* TIMING...THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE
  SLOWLY DIMINISHING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS... DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY FALLING TO LESS 
  THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow is
expected or occurring. Strong winds are also possible. This will
make travel very hazardous or impossible.

&&

$$

NMZ409-417-TXZ420>422-132300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-170214T1800Z/
Sierra County Lakes-Otero Mesa-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Including the cities of...Truth Or Consequences...Derry...
Spaceport...Crow Flats...Hueco Tanks...Loma Linda...Cornudas...
Dell City...Salt Flat...Sierra Blanca
610 AM MST Mon Feb 13 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST
TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE A TRACE TO 1 
  INCH. HOWEVER SOME LOCATIONS WILL SEE SNOW AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 
  INCHES. 

* IMPACTS... DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY FALLING TO LESS 
  THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow...sleet...or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities...and use caution while
driving.

&&

$$

ROGASH
278 
WWUS44 KEPZ 132130
WSWEPZ

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
230 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2017

...ADDITIONAL MOUNTAIN SNOW AND POSSIBLE LOWLAND SNOW EXPECTED
ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS TODAY THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

.AN UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
UNITED STATES TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY
SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE MOUNTAIN AREAS OF SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND
LIGHTER SNOW AMOUNTS OVER THE HIGHER LOWLANDS OF SOUTHERN NEW
MEXICO. ADDITIONAL SNOW AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE BETWEEN 3 AND 5
INCHES FOR LOCATIONS ABOVE 7500 FEET WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES LOWER
ELEVATIONS. THE HEAVY SNOWS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS AND THE MOUNTAINS OF
THE GILA WILDERNESS REGION DUE TO ICY SNOW COVERED ROADS OVERNIGHT
AND EARLY TUESDAY ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL LOW VISIBILITY
OF LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE.

NMZ402-403-408-140530-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170214T1300Z/
/O.EXB.KEPZ.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-170214T1500Z/
Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-
Including the cities of...Silver City...Lake Roberts...Kingston...
Fort Bayard...Mimbres...Hurley...Faywood...Grant County Airport...
Hillsboro...Winston
230 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM MST TUESDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for SNOW...which is in effect until 8 AM MST
Tuesday. The Winter Storm Warning has been cancelled.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE 2 TO 3 INCHES.
  HOWEVER SOME LOCATIONS WILL SEE SNOW AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.

* IMPACTS... DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY FALLING TO LESS 
  THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities...and use caution while
driving.

&&

$$

NMZ414>416-140530-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170214T1900Z/
/O.EXA.KEPZ.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-170214T1800Z/
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Including the cities of...Mescalero...Timberon...Mountain Park...
Cloudcroft...Sunspot...Apache Summit...Mayhill...Pinon...
Sacramento
230 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST TUESDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for SNOW...which is in effect until 11 AM MST
Tuesday. The Winter Storm Warning has been cancelled.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE 2 TO 3 INCHES.
  HOWEVER SOME LOCATIONS WILL SEE SNOW AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.

* IMPACTS... DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY FALLING TO LESS 
  THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow
will cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow
covered roads and limited visibilities...and use caution while
driving.

&&

$$

NMZ417-TXZ420>422-132230-
/O.CAN.KEPZ.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-170214T1800Z/
Otero Mesa-Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Including the cities of...Crow Flats...Hueco Tanks...Loma Linda...
Cornudas...Dell City...Salt Flat...Sierra Blanca
230 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in El Paso has cancelled the Winter
Weather Advisory. 

WHILE SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW AT
TIMES OVERNIGHT...VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL
IS EXPECTED.

$$

NMZ409-140530-
/O.EXT.KEPZ.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-170214T1500Z/
Sierra County Lakes-
Including the cities of...Truth Or Consequences...Derry...
Spaceport
230 PM MST Mon Feb 13 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM MST TUESDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE A TRACE TO 1 
  INCH. HOWEVER SOME LOCATIONS WILL SEE SNOW AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 
  INCHES. 

* IMPACTS... DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR FROM ICY 
  SLIPPERY ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY OCCASIONALLY FALLING TO LESS 
  THAN A QUARTER MILE. ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE REQUIRED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow will cause
travel difficulties. Be prepared for slippery roads and limited
visibilities...and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 11, 3:04 PM MST, 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 3:04 PM MST, 31 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
304 PM MST Sat Feb 11 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Nice weather and fairly mild temps are in store for Saturday
night across the Borderland just before major changes will take
place. A very strong cold front will sweep into the area from the
east Sunday morning bringing very strong and gusty winds
especially on west slopes and passes Sunday into Monday.
Following record high temperatures Saturday, temperatures will
plunge some 35 to 40 degrees by Monday and Tuesday. Aloft, an
upper level low pressure system will be moving into our area from
the southwest Sunday through Tuesday. The combination of the
surface and upper air features will generate widespread rain
showers or rain mixed with snow across the lower elevations along
with areas of heavy snow across the mountains later Sunday through
Tuesday afternoon. A few lowland locations may get some light
accumulations. Even an isolated thunderstorm or two is possible
with some small hail and sleet. Next Wednesday high pressure and
westerly winds aloft will produce warmer and dry weather to
prevail though Friday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A Deep upper low continues to develop and dig off the  southern
California coast by MOnday combine with a cold Polar backdoor
front to bring major changes to the borderland. Record high temps
at KELP today and temps in the upper nineties to 100 in SW
oklahoma serve as a proxy to the strength of our future storm
system. What goes up must come down and it will with a vengeance
starting Sunday afternoon. The record heat and dryness resulted
from a very deep surface low over the Texas and Oklahoma
panhandles today.

Major changes will start Sunday. A strong Canadian cold front
will move to the southwest across the CWA tomorrow morning with
east to northeast winds behind the boundary advecting much cooler
air( 30-40 degrees colder by Tuesday). A  very tight pressure
gradients at low levels (16 mb at the surface) will also support
strong winds across the southern zones with wind advisories and
high wind warnings are in effect.

Snow levels may start around 7000 feet Sunday but by Late MOnday
into Tuesday morning may be as low as 5000 feet or locally lower
in a few locations.

Some Synoptic Features:
All models in good agreement out 60 hours with the closed low
farther south (Nam) and farther north (ECMWF) and GFS in the
middle with a total spread of only about 60 miles. Low overhead
ELP arn 00z Tuesday (-20 H5) Strong Polar Jet will position itself
to give us (more or less) in the Left front Quadrant Monday
afternoon. Nam and GFS forecast soundings suggest some ELEVATED
cape (100-300 J) Sunday and Monday afternoons could cause isolated
tstms (SPC has us under a tstm risk). Also associated with the PFJ
models forecast differential vorticity advection both Sunday and
Monday afternoons which will be the mechanism to set off the
elevated convection. Low levels are forecast to remain fairly warm
until about 00z Tues so most precip will be rain rain/snow mix
lowlands. Precip water forecasts remain very consistent at the .5
- .6 level for the lowlands. Dew point forecasts in the lower 30s
will support evaporative cooling in the lowlands.

Impacts:
Thermal shock as temps go from 84 Saturday to 35 Late
Monday early Tuesday. Heavy snow above 6000 feet for the Gila and
Sacramento Mountains causing travel difficulties and hazards. High
winds (gusts 50-60 mph) west slopes and passes (Otero Mesa, west
El Paso, Hueco Tanks) may cause spotty damage along with cold
windchill temps. Overall rain/snow/sleet mix will contribute to
difficult and hazardous driving conditions. Blowing snow in
mountains areas and some lowland locations will cause windchill
and reduced visibilities posing hazards to travel. Very isolated
convection (tstm) may cause bursts of heavier precipitation with
small hail/sleet causing low temporary low visibilities and slick
roads.
Keep warm and and dry as the period of Sunday night
through Tuesday morning will be wet, cold, and blustery

Expect upper low center to move east of the cwa later Tuesday
morning resulting in a decrease in precipitation during the late
morning and only some backwash by afternoon. Northerly flow aloft
behind the low will be followed by westerly winds resulting result
in dry weather with warming temperatures Wednesday through Friday.
At this time a Pacific cold front is forecast to bring some wind
and precipitation to the Borderland by next Saturday.

&&
.AVIATION...Valid 12/00Z-13/00Z...
P6SM FEW-BKN200-250 through 09Z-12Z then SCT-BKN060-080 BKN150-200
for remainder of period. W to SW winds of 10-20G30KTS will
be decreasing shortly after sunset to AOB 12KTS but shift quickly
to the E to NE between 09Z-15Z and increase to 15-30G40KTS.
Isolated to scattered -TSRAGS BKN040 will start to develop by 18Z
with the greatest coverage west of divide.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Big changes are coming tonight with the passage of a cold front.
Gusty east to northeast winds will bring in much colder air with
highs going from upper 70s to lower 80s today into the mid 50s to
mid 60s for Sunday and into the 40s by Monday.  Rain/snow will be
widespread starting late Sunday through Monday.  Snow levels will
generally remain above 5000 feet but some mixed precip or sleet is
possible Monday over the lowlands. Over a foot of snow is
possible in the highest elevations of the Sacs. Drier weather
with a gradual warmup is expected for the remainder of the week
with highs again approaching 70 by Friday with light winds through
week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                 51  63  37  47 /   0  40  60  60
Sierra Blanca           52  60  33  43 /   0  20  60  60
Las Cruces              47  62  34  46 /   0  40  60  60
Alamogordo              49  54  35  49 /   0  30  60  60
Cloudcroft              36  42  20  33 /   0  30  70  90
Truth or Consequences   47  58  34  47 /   0  40  60  60
Silver City             42  55  32  43 /   0  60  70  70
Deming                  43  63  35  48 /   0  50  60  60
Lordsburg               43  66  33  49 /   0  50  60  50
West El Paso Metro      51  62  37  46 /   0  40  60  60
Dell City               47  57  30  45 /   0  20  60  60
Fort Hancock            53  64  35  50 /   0  30  60  60
Loma Linda              53  58  32  40 /   0  30  60  60
Fabens                  51  64  34  48 /   0  30  60  60
Santa Teresa            49  62  35  46 /   0  40  60  60
White Sands HQ          54  63  39  47 /   0  40  60  60
Jornada Range           40  62  33  47 /   0  40  60  60
Hatch                   48  62  36  47 /   0  40  60  60
Columbus                47  66  37  49 /   0  50  60  60
Orogrande               52  55  35  47 /   0  30  60  60
Mayhill                 40  48  23  36 /   0  30  70  70
Mescalero               39  47  24  39 /   0  30  70  80
Timberon                37  47  24  36 /   0  30  70  80
Winston                 36  50  26  42 /   0  40  70  70
Hillsboro               43  58  32  46 /   0  40  70  70
Spaceport               40  59  33  45 /   0  40  60  60
Lake Roberts            30  52  24  44 /   0  60  70  70
Hurley                  40  58  32  45 /   0  60  70  60
Cliff                   30  61  30  51 /   0  60  70  60
Mule Creek              31  60  33  49 /   0  60  70  60
Faywood                 41  58  32  46 /   0  60  70  70
Animas                  43  68  33  50 /   0  50  60  50
Hachita                 43  66  33  48 /   0  50  60  50
Antelope Wells          42  67  34  50 /   0  50  60  50
Cloverdale              42  64  34  47 /   0  50  60  50

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Wind Advisory from 8 AM Sunday to midnight MST Sunday night for
     NMZ413.

     High Wind Warning from 10 AM Sunday to midnight MST Sunday night
     for NMZ417.

     Wind Advisory from 10 AM Sunday to midnight MST Sunday night for
     NMZ404>407-411.

     Winter Storm Warning from Sunday afternoon through Tuesday morning
     for NMZ414>416.

     Winter Storm Warning from Sunday evening through late Monday night
     for NMZ402-403-408.

     Winter Weather Advisory from Sunday evening through late Monday night
     for NMZ409-417-21.

TX...Wind Advisory from 8 AM Sunday to midnight MST Sunday night for
     TXZ419-421>424.

     High Wind Warning from 10 AM Sunday to midnight MST Sunday night
     for TXZ418-420.

&&

20/26 Novlan/Grzywacz
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 11, 5:50 AM MST, 9 hours 45 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
550 AM MST SAT Feb 11 2017

NMZ401>403-408-414>416-121300-
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila
Highlands/Black Range-Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-Eastern
Black Range Foothills-West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500
Feet-Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-East Slopes Sacramento
Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
550 AM MST SAT Feb 11 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
New Mexico and southwest New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather will occur. west winds will gust around 30 mph
this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

A winter storm with a cold front will bring windy and colder weather
Sunday with rain or rain mixed with snow over the lower elevations
and moderate to heavy snows over the higher mountains Sunday
afternoon through Tuesday morning. Snow amounts will be around 10 to
16 inches above 7500 feet with 4 to 9 inches lower elevations.
Winds will also gust around 30 to 40 mph Sunday afternoon and
evening.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required to report heavy snows Sunday
afternoon through Tuesday morning.

NMZ404>407-409>413-417-TXZ418>424-121300-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila
River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-Uplands of the Bootheel-
Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-Sierra County Lakes-Northern Dona Ana
County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-Central Tularosa
Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-Otero Mesa-Western El Paso County-
Eastern/Central El Paso County-Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco
Mountains-Salt Basin-Southern Hudspeth Highlands-Rio Grande Valley
of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-Rio Grande Valley of
Eastern Hudspeth County-
550 AM MST Sat Feb 10 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
New Mexico...southwest New Mexico and southwest Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather will occur. West winds will gust around 30 mph
this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Turning colder Sunday through Tuesday. Windy Sunday with east winds
gusting from 40 to 50 mph with strongest winds occurring along
western slopes.

Scattered to numerous rain showers Sunday through Tuesday morning
with the rain possibly mixing with or changing to snow. There will
also very isolated thunderstorms with small hail Sunday afternoon.
Up to 3 inches of total snowfall are possible for elevations above
5000 feet with little or no accumulations lower elevations.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

Rogash

The office that day

Everything else NWS El Paso, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 11, 4:38 AM MSTWind AdvisoryEPZDoña Ana, Grant, Hidalgo, Luna, Otero43 hr
Feb 11, 5:12 AM MSTWinter Storm WatchEPZGrant, Luna, Otero, Sierra10 hr
Feb 11, 2:53 PM MSTHigh Wind WarningEPZOtero23 hr
Feb 11, 3:35 PM MSTWinter Weather AdvisoryEPZGrant, Luna, Otero, Sierra55 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in New Mexico, 2017Every winter storm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.