Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 83, NWS El Paso, TX
NWS El Paso, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 1, 2017, 5:25 PM MDT for Hudspeth County, Texas. It was in force for 50 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 1, 2017, 5:25 PM MDT (23:25 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 1, 2017, 6:15 PM MDT
- In force
- 50 min
- Issued by
- NWS El Paso, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.5 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
County Hudspeth County, TX
The radar
The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 186 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 186 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 56 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -401 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2946 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 19 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -8 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 0 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
697
WUUS54 KEPZ 012325
SVREPZ
TXC229-020015-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.SV.W.0083.170701T2325Z-170702T0015Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service El Paso TX
525 PM MDT SAT JUL 1 2017
The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Southeastern Hudspeth County in southwestern Texas...
* Until 615 PM MDT
* At 524 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Frenchman
Canyon, or 21 miles southeast of Sierra Blanca, and is nearly
stationary.
HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail
damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect
wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees.
* Locations impacted include...
Frenchman Canyon.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
This storm is producing large hail. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy
structure and stay away from windows!
Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3076 10511 3089 10533 3111 10516 3099 10491
3096 10491
TIME...MOT...LOC 2324Z 038DEG 2KT 3090 10517
HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
GRZYWACZ1 follow-up statement
677
WWUS54 KEPZ 020009
SVSEPZ
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
609 PM MDT SAT JUL 1 2017
TXC229-020019-
/O.EXP.KEPZ.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-170702T0015Z/
Hudspeth TX-
609 PM MDT SAT JUL 1 2017
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 615 PM MDT...
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire. However heavy rain
is still possible with this thunderstorm.
LAT...LON 3076 10511 3089 10533 3111 10516 3099 10491
3096 10491
TIME...MOT...LOC 0009Z 038DEG 2KT 3088 10519
$$
GRZYWACZWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 1, 2:53 PM MDT, 2 hours 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 1, 2:53 PM MDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 253 PM MDT Sat Jul 1 2017 .SYNOPSIS... Warm to hot conditions continue as high pressure remains over the Southwestern U.S. Gulf moisture has pushed in from the east to the Rio Grande valley giving areas to the east of the Rio a shot at evening thunderstorms. Slight storm chances and warm temperatures continue across the region through Wednesday as weak high pressure aloft keeps marginal moisture locked in over the area and daytime heating sparks some daily storms. Late in the week deeper east winds move in as high pressure aloft lifts north. This pattern chance will result in increasing moisture with better rain and storms chances going into next weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Mostly zonal flow aloft with flat ridging extending west to east across the southern tier of the U.S. Just enough heat and dry air to flirt with 100 degree lowland max temps for the next several days. Especially as the upper high begins to center and strengthen over the region Sunday through Wednesday. This feature will slowly track north as the pattern amplifies. By late this upcoming week the high circulation center will be to our north to help initiate a pattern change. Overnight and this morning we watched a frontal boundary, with associated Gulf moisture, push in from the Central U.S. Plains. Based on sfc dewpoints it made it as far as Deming...but already this afternoon the shallow moisture west of the Rio Grande is mixing out with SSW winds. Over the Rio Grande and areas east the moisture is deeper and winds continue SE. Thus dewpoints are holding in the 50s. PWs are proged near .5" west...near 1.0" east. Stability charts show negative LIs and large CAPEs east of the Rio. SPC has introduced our eastern zones into "Marginal" severe tstm risk...and even "Slight" risk over the Sacs for this aftn/eve. To the west of the Rio few to no storms expected. Threats with storm to the east will be large hail, damaging wind. For Sunday a bit more westerly flow is expected across the region, and thus the models indicate minor moisture loss in our environment. This pattern will hold steady through TUE/WED with dewpoints in the 30s-40s and PWs averaging around .75". The high pressure aloft will suppress a lot of activity, but it will also cause above normal surface heating which will likely initiate isolated storms each afternoon/eve through this period. Temperatures are expected to top out near 100 degrees for many lowland locations each afternoon. Wednesday looks to bring a pattern change that will stick with us at least through the next weekend. The upper high centers over the eastern Great Basin and allows for some easterly component in the mid and upper flow. At the surface high pressure expands from the SE U.S. across the gulf states into central Texas. This pattern opens up the flow pattern to advect increasing Gulf moisture into the region on deep, surface-based, SE flow. Thus from late Wednesday onward through the next weekend we see what appears to be improving chances for rain and thunderstorms. To help generate convection we will have to watch for impulses (inverted waves/ disturbance that may track in from the east and provide better dynamics aloft for more organized convective development by next FRI-SAT-SUN. With the ridge bounced to the north, and more moisture in the air, temperatures will be back down to normal and maybe slightly below for the later forecast periods. 14-Bird && .AVIATION...Valid 02/00Z-03/00Z... VFR conditions should continue at all terminals thru the period with P6SM SKC-SCT100 as limited low level moisture lingers across the region. Expect winds 5-15 KTS from the south overnight before veering to the west after 12Z. Meanwhile areas east of local terminals will see a few isolated area of MVFR or IFR ceilings in showers or storms 00z thru roughly 03Z. 27-Laney && .FIRE WEATHER... Moisture continues to stream into the region behind an early morning frontal passage. While some storms will remain possible the next few days as a result of the moist push, a building ridge aloft will keep the activity isolated to scattered at best. With temps staying a bit above normal the next few days, lowland Min RH values will drop to or below critical levels most afternoons. Meanwhile, a better push of moisture from the east after mid week will signal slightly cooler high temps, improved Min RH values, and better chances for wetting precip late week and next weekend. 27-Laney && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 74 102 75 99 / 30 10 10 10 Sierra Blanca 70 96 72 95 / 30 20 20 10 Las Cruces 69 100 70 97 / 20 10 0 10 Alamogordo 67 98 69 97 / 30 20 10 10 Cloudcroft 46 76 53 75 / 40 40 20 30 Truth or Consequences 69 98 71 96 / 10 10 0 10 Silver City 63 96 65 92 / 0 10 10 20 Deming 67 101 69 100 / 0 10 0 10 Lordsburg 67 101 69 98 / 0 0 10 10 West El Paso Metro 74 101 75 98 / 20 10 0 10 Dell City 68 100 70 99 / 30 20 20 10 Fort Hancock 72 101 74 99 / 30 10 10 10 Loma Linda 69 95 71 93 / 30 10 10 20 Fabens 72 102 74 99 / 30 0 10 10 Santa Teresa 71 100 72 98 / 20 10 0 10 White Sands HQ 72 99 73 97 / 30 20 10 10 Jornada Range 61 99 68 97 / 20 10 0 10 Hatch 67 100 69 99 / 10 10 0 10 Columbus 70 102 71 100 / 0 10 10 10 Orogrande 71 99 72 97 / 30 10 10 10 Mayhill 52 84 59 83 / 40 30 20 20 Mescalero 51 86 57 84 / 40 30 20 20 Timberon 52 84 58 82 / 40 30 20 20 Winston 58 92 60 89 / 20 20 10 20 Hillsboro 63 97 66 94 / 10 10 0 20 Spaceport 60 99 66 97 / 30 10 0 10 Lake Roberts 53 93 56 90 / 20 20 10 20 Hurley 63 97 65 94 / 0 10 10 20 Cliff 52 101 62 98 / 0 10 10 10 Mule Creek 52 99 66 96 / 0 10 10 20 Faywood 61 97 64 95 / 0 10 0 20 Animas 68 100 69 99 / 0 10 20 10 Hachita 67 102 70 99 / 0 10 10 10 Antelope Wells 69 99 69 96 / 0 20 20 10 Cloverdale 66 96 67 95 / 0 20 20 10 && .EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...None. TX...None. && 14/27
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 1, 12:36 PM MDT, 4 hours 49 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 1236 PM MDT Sat Jul 1 2017 NMZ408>417-TXZ418>424-021845- Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes- Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley- Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin- West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet- Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet- East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa- Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County- Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin- Southern Hudspeth Highlands- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties- Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County- 1236 PM MDT Sat Jul 1 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Increased moisture and instability moves over most of the areas east of the Continental Divide overnight. This region is under a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms today and this evening. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected with some possibly producing damaging winds and large hail. A few storms may also bring heavy rain and local flash flooding. Desert area may see local blowing dust which could make for brief dangerous travel conditions. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday Hot afternoon temperatures around 100 degrees across the lower elevations through Tuesday may cause some heat related problems especially for those involved with strenuous outside activities. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected Sunday through Wednesday. Increasing rain/storm chances begin Thursday with more scattered coverage expected late week. Some storms may produce strong gusty winds...small hail and brief heavy rainfall. Flooding may be the main threat across the region beyond Wednesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to contact the NWS office with real time reports of significant weather and hazardous impacts. NMZ401>407-021845- Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range- Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley- Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel- Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin- 1236 PM MDT Sat Jul 1 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest New Mexico. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight No significant hazardous weather is expected. However hot afternoon temperatures around 100 degrees across the lower elevations may cause some heat related problems especially for people involved with strenuous outside activities. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday Hot afternoon temperatures around 100 degrees across the lower elevations through Tuesday may cause some heat related problems especially for those involved with strenuous outside activities. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected Sunday through Wednesday. Increasing rain/storm chances begin Thursday with more scattered coverage expected late week. Some storms may produce strong gusty winds...small hail and brief heavy rainfall. Flooding may be the main threat across the region beyond Wednesday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. Bird
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 1, 2:46 PM MDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service El Paso TX
246 PM MDT SAT JUL 1 2017
NMZ414>416-012115-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet NM-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet NM-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet NM-
246 PM MDT SAT JUL 1 2017
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL OTERO COUNTY UNTIL
315 PM MDT...
At 244 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6
miles east of Apache Summit, or 10 miles southeast of Ruidoso. This
storm was moving east at 8 mph.
Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Apache Summit and Lake Mescalero.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 3330 10572 3331 10532 3312 10532 3311 10567
3331 10583 3334 10572
TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 271DEG 1KT 3321 10557
NOVLANSpecial weather statement, Jul 1, 3:34 PM MDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
Special Weather Statement National Weather Service El Paso TX 334 PM MDT SAT JUL 1 2017 NMZ409-410-012215- Northern Dona Ana County NM-Sierra County Lakes NM- 334 PM MDT SAT JUL 1 2017 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL SIERRA AND NORTHWESTERN DONA ANA COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM MDT... At 333 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7 miles northeast of Arrey, or 7 miles southeast of Caballo, moving east at 5 to 10 mph. Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm. Locations impacted include... Caballo, Upham, Arrey, Derry and Caballo Lake State Park. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle. && LAT...LON 3277 10730 3298 10744 3317 10704 3280 10691 TIME...MOT...LOC 2133Z 271DEG 14KT 3290 10721 NOVLAN
The office that day
Everything else NWS El Paso, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 4:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Hudspeth | 27 min |
| Jul 1, 4:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Hudspeth | 47 min |
| Jul 1, 5:24 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | El Paso | 30 min |
| Jul 1, 5:42 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | El Paso | 48 min |
| Jul 1, 5:54 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EPZ | Hudspeth | 3 hr |
| Jul 1, 5:58 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | El Paso | 47 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2017Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.