Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Kansas City, MO

862 
WWUS53 KEAX 010120
SVSEAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
720 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

MOC195-010130-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170301T0215Z/
Saline MO-
720 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN SALINE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 100 AM CST for central and
north central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3925 9232 3928 9292 3946 9292 3960 9230
TIME...MOT...LOC 0120Z 253DEG 51KT 3938 9282 

$$

MOC041-089-175-010215-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170301T0215Z/
Chariton MO-Randolph MO-Howard MO-
720 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHARITON...RANDOLPH AND NORTHEASTERN HOWARD
COUNTIES...

At 720 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located over Salisbury,
moving east at 60 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Moberly, Salisbury, Huntsville, Higbee, Clark, Cairo, Armstrong,
Renick and Clifton Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 100 AM CST for central and
north central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3925 9232 3928 9292 3946 9292 3960 9230
TIME...MOT...LOC 0120Z 253DEG 51KT 3938 9282 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CDB

675 
WWUS53 KEAX 010133
SVSEAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
733 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

MOC041-089-010143-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170301T0215Z/
Chariton MO-Howard MO-
733 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHARITON AND
NORTHEASTERN HOWARD COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 100 AM CST for central and
north central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3930 9232 3932 9271 3951 9270 3960 9230
TIME...MOT...LOC 0133Z 254DEG 45KT 3942 9264 

$$

MOC175-010215-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170301T0215Z/
Randolph MO-
733 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CST
FOR RANDOLPH COUNTY...

At 733 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Huntsville,
moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Moberly, Huntsville, Higbee, Cairo, Renick and Clifton Hill. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 100 AM CST for central and
north central Missouri.

LAT...LON 3930 9232 3932 9271 3951 9270 3960 9230
TIME...MOT...LOC 0133Z 254DEG 45KT 3942 9264 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CDB

198 
WWUS53 KEAX 010142
SVSEAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
742 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

MOC175-010215-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170301T0215Z/
Randolph MO-
742 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CST
FOR NORTHEASTERN RANDOLPH COUNTY...

At 742 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Moberly, moving
east at 60 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Moberly, Huntsville and Cairo. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 100 AM CST for north central
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3935 9232 3939 9258 3952 9257 3960 9230
TIME...MOT...LOC 0142Z 253DEG 51KT 3946 9248 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CDB

471 
WWUS53 KEAX 010202
SVSEAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
802 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

MOC175-010212-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170301T0215Z/
Randolph MO-
802 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN RANDOLPH COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 100 AM CST for north central
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3935 9232 3939 9258 3952 9257 3960 9230
TIME...MOT...LOC 0200Z 253DEG 51KT 3954 9213 

$$

CDB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
509 PM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

.Discussion...
Issued at 339 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

There is a lot of activity going on over the next 12 hours with
several different weather issues to look at, though we will start by
looking at the big picture across the Nation. Water vapor imagery
shows a large trough moving east across the Rocky mountains, which
has helped focus a plumb of Pacific moisture across the Southern and
Central Plains within a southwest flow. Closer to the surface, a
cold front is slowly sagging south today as the associated surface
low shifts northeast into Iowa. Currently, the front is in the far
northwest corner of Missouri; roughly around Maryville. The front is
not expected to push southeast very fast this afternoon or this
evening as the flow at the surface and aloft is parallel to the
boundary.

For today...severe weather threat...will focus on the areas along
and ahead of the cold front as it settles southeast late this
afternoon and this evening. Currently, the instability ahead of the
front (MUCAPE values > 500 J/KG) is well removed from the front;
currently analyzed across east central Kansas into northeast
Missouri. As a result, activity is bubbling up across southern
Missouri in an uncapped environment. Shear along the front, back in
our area, is very strong, with 0-6KM shear values of 60+ knots from
the southwest. This late in the day, and given the cloud cover,
thoughts are that instability along the front will remain rather
limited in our portion of Kansas and Missouri; which points at a
limited, but not zero, potential for severe storms late this
afternoon and this evening.

As for the modes of severe weather, with the flow parallel to the
front, large hail and strong damaging winds are the primary hazards
that will accompany storms in our area tonight. However, the
potential is there for storms to develop a quick tornado spin up on
the leading edge of the advancing storms due to QLCS processes,
though this threat looks higher the farther into eastern and
southern Missouri you move. We expect storms to start bubbling up on
the southern side of Kansas City and along a line northeast towards
Macon between 5 and 7 PM this eveing, which is when we think the low
level jet with ramp up; resulting in a window for severe storms this
evening as a quick shot elevated instability advects north.
Otherwise, given the speed with which the front will settle this
evening, the threat of strong to severe storms should end in our
forecast area before midnight.

For today...issues other than severe weather...strong winds
ahead of the frontal boundary have already resulted in near to wind
advisory criteria in areas from southern Kansas City east into
central Missouri. Expect the winds to decouple and ease up a little
as the sunsets this evening. Thus will be allowing the short lived
wind advisory to expire at 6 PM this evening. Additionally, there
was some fire weather concerns for the rest of the afternoon hours
due to the potential for dry air to mix down to the surface along
with the strong winds. However, humidity values have not dropped that
much, therefore will cancel the fire warning early.

Otherwise, expect cooler temperatures to prevail through the rest of
the work week as a northwest flow persists aloft allowing cool air
to ooze across the Plains. Next chance for rain looks to be late
Sunday into Monday.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 503 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

Southwest winds will quickly turn northwesterly behind the passage
of a cold front during the early evening hours. While thunderstorm
development is still on track along the frontal boundary, storms
look to remain south of the terminals through the evening. Thus,
have included VCTS transitioning to VCSH as instability decreases
tonight. A brief window of MVFR ceilings is possible behind the
boundary, though this stratus layer should quickly erode as dry
air filters into the area behind the front, in addition to
increased mixing by the mid morning Wednesday.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for KSZ057-060.

MO...Wind Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for MOZ025-032-033-
     038>040-043>046-053-054.

&&

Discussion...Cutter
Aviation...Welsh

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
533 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-011145-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
533 AM CST Tue Feb 28 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Heightened fire weather concerns exist for this afternoon as gusty
winds combine with dry conditions. For this evening into tonight,
thunderstorms may develop along and ahead of a cold front with some
storms potentially becoming strong to severe. Primary hazards with
any stronger storm that develops will be gusty to damaging winds and
hail.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 http://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

 No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 http://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
600 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0553 PM     HAIL             BLUE SPRINGS            39.02N 94.28W
02/28/2017  E1.00 INCH       JACKSON            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JWELSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
612 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0559 PM     HAIL             LEE'S SUMMIT            38.91N 94.38W
02/28/2017  E1.00 INCH       JACKSON            MO   PUBLIC

            REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA

&&

JWELSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
622 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0621 PM     HAIL             2 SW LEXINGTON          39.16N 93.90W
02/28/2017  E1.00 INCH       LAFAYETTE          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JWELSH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
629 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HAIL             OAK GROVE               39.01N 94.13W
02/28/2017  E1.75 INCH       JACKSON            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JWELSH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
630 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

MOZ030-037-038-010100-
Ray MO-Lafayette MO-Jackson MO-
630 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN RAY...NORTHWESTERN
LAFAYETTE AND EAST CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM CST...

At 630 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Levasy, or near Buckner, moving northeast at 55 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Blue Springs, Grain Valley, Oak Grove, Lexington, Wellington, Levasy
and Napoleon.

This includes Interstate 70 in Missouri between mile markers 21 and
27.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 100 AM CST for west central
Missouri.

LAT...LON 3899 9424 3904 9427 3911 9419 3925 9386
      3911 9384
TIME...MOT...LOC 0030Z 244DEG 48KT 3910 9411

CDB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
707 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     HAIL             2 SE MIAMI              39.30N 93.20W
02/28/2017  E1.00 INCH       SALINE             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            BRIEF PERIOD OF QUARTER SIZE HAIL

&&

JWELSH