River Flood Warning 142, NWS Kansas City, MO

665 
WGUS83 KEAX 230701
FLSEAX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
201 AM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017



...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Kansas...

  Tomahawk Creek at Roe Avenue affecting Johnson County.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

KSC091-230731-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0142.000000T0000Z-170724T0703Z/
/TCRK1.1.ER.170723T0335Z.170723T0432Z.170723T0533Z.UU/
201 AM CDT Sun Jul 23 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Tomahawk Creek at Roe Avenue.
* At  1:47 AM Sunday the stage was 8.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 12:33 AM Sunday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 4 feet by 7 am.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Tomahawk Creek
  Roe Avenue      13    8.5   Sun 02 AM    8.5 after midnight this 
morning
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 3889 9466 3891 9466 3894 9463 3893 9461 3890 9463

  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
643 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017

.Discussion...
Issued at 345 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017

I'd like to say this is the last day of hot weather, but since it's
summer I'll limit the opening line here to...it's the last day of
obnoxiously high heat index values --around 110-- for a day or two.

Forecast remains on track for today and tonight with a surface front
starting to push south across the forecast area this afternoon.
Currently, the front is roughly along a line from just south of St
Joseph east northeast to near Kirksville. Visible satellite imagery
backs this up as cumulus clouds are noted developing along the
leading edge of the front, though their flat nature at the moment
indicates that the CAP aloft, noted on the morning TOP upper air
sounding, is currently holding. However, visible satellite imagery
also shows a nice cumulus field bubbling up across western Oklahoma
into south central Kansas, ahead of the dry line. Thoughts are that
as the front moves south, it will run into the moisture axis across
south central Kansas, and that is likely where convection will begin
along the front this afternoon. Given the lack of notable surface
convergence along the front is eastern Kansas and northern Missouri,
thoughts are that storms will start to our west this afternoon and
then slowly shift east. All this will be occurring in an environment
with CAPE values over 4000 J/KG and little shear, thus while storms
likely will start off pulsing up and be rather strong, though
widespread, or abundant, severe weather is not expected as the
storms will likely collapse, with the outflow helping generate new
storms. As a result, expect locally strong and gusty winds to the
primary hazard beyond the lightning and torrential rain that will
accompany these storms. Current hi-res model timing has the storms
developing in the not to distant future, around 4 to 5 PM this
evening, shifting east into our forecast area around 6 PM, with the
general trend seeing the storms slowly shifting from west to east
along, and maybe, just behind the front as the front continues to
settle south.

Sunday into the beginning of the work week...convection may
lingering into the post sunrise hour along and south of the Missouri
River, but the chances of that are slim as the front should be
across southern Missouri, putting the focus for activity south of
our area of concern. OTherwise for Sunday, temperatures, and more
importantly dew points, will be a little lower; not a lot, just a
little. But, after the past week of high heat index values any
relief is welcome. Expect temperatures to still be ranging in the
low 90s with heat index values around 100 for areas south of highway
36. Temperatures will continua there slight downward trend going
into Monday, but currently it starting to look like the seasonal
temperatures, in the upper half of the 80s, that where expected for
Monday and Tuesday wont stick around long as high by Tuesday likely
get back into the 90s across much of the region. Additionally, looks
like the chances for storms in the forecast are now shifting towards
the end of the work week as the ridge quickly moves back in to
dominate our local weather.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday Evening)
Issued at 641 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017

VFR conditions are expected for the forecast period; however,
there is the potential for storms this evening across the area.
Storms have already developed and are expected to continue to
develop along the cold front, which extends from near Kirksville,
southwest over the KC Metro area. Storms will be scattered in
nature and will eventually move to the southeast with the front
through the overnight hours. Right now, storms and the front
should be south and east of a line from MKC to Moberly around
midnight. Near dawn, the front and precipitation should be south
of the forecast area. The rest of the forecast period should be
dry with winds veering to the west in the afternoon.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for KSZ025-
     057-060-102>105.

MO...Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for
     MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054.

&&

Discussion...Cutter
Aviation...Grana

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
330 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-232030-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
330 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

 An Excessive Heat Warning remains in effect for the entire area
 through this evening. Highs will be in the upper 90s with heat
 index values between 108 and 112 this afternoon.

 Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected this evening and
 overnight, particularly near and south of I-70. A few storms could
 produce gusty winds and locally heavy rain.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

 No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1042 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1042 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BLUE SPRINGS            39.02N 94.28W
07/22/2017                   JACKSON            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1045 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0942 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E LINWOOD             39.00N 95.00W
07/22/2017                   LEAVENWORTH        KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TWO TREES BLOWN DOWN. BOTH 8 INCHES IN DIAMETER. FELL
            OVER THE ROADWAY

&&

SGRANA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1046 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1032 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PLEASANT VALLEY         39.22N 94.48W
07/22/2017                   CLAY               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

&&

SGRANA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1057 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 W GREENWOOD           38.85N 94.39W
07/22/2017  M2.20 INCH       JACKSON            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SGRANA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1059 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1042 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NORTH KANSAS CITY       39.13N 94.56W
07/22/2017                   CLAY               MO   PUBLIC

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN

1030 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S KANSAS CITY KANSAS  39.09N 94.63W
07/22/2017                   WYANDOTTE          KS   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREES BLOCKING STREETS

1041 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BLUE SPRINGS            39.02N 94.28W
07/22/2017                   JACKSON            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN

1045 PM     TSTM WND DMG     PLEASANT VALLEY         39.22N 94.48W
07/22/2017                   CLAY               MO   PUBLIC

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN

1048 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SUGAR CREEK             39.11N 94.44W
07/22/2017                   JACKSON            MO   PUBLIC

            LARGE TREE DOWN

1050 PM     TSTM WND GST     NW LIBERTY              39.25N 94.42W
07/22/2017  E80 MPH          CLAY               MO   PUBLIC

            RIPPED BLADES OFF PORCH CEILING FAN

1040 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 S KANSAS CITY         39.03N 94.58W
07/22/2017                   JACKSON            MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            NUMEROUS TREES AND LARGE LIMBS DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTRY
            CLUB PLAZA AND WARD PARKWAY AREAS

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1112 PM CDT SAT JUL 22 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1047 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GRAIN VALLEY            39.01N 94.20W
07/22/2017                   JACKSON            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREES DOWN

&&