Alert archive / Michigan / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 3, NWS Detroit, MI

April 5, 2017Bay County, Saginaw County, Michigan

NWS Detroit, MI issued this river flood warning at Apr 5, 2017, 2:31 PM EDT for Bay County, Saginaw County, Michigan. It took effect at Apr 6, 2017, 10:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 7 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 5, 2017, 2:31 PM EDT (18:31 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 6, 2017, 10:00 AM EDT
Expired
Apr 13, 2017, 12:28 AM EDT
In force
7 days
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Bay County, MI, Saginaw County, MI

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Saginaw River at Saginaw (SAGM4).

Action stage
16 ft
Minor stage
17 ft
Moderate stage
19 ft
Major stage
24 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04157000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

914 
WGUS43 KDTX 051831
FLWDTX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 
231 PM EDT WED APR 5 2017

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...

  Saginaw River

.A long duration precipitation event is beginning this afternoon and 
will persist into early Friday morning. It will begin as rain before 
mixing with or change to snow late tonight through Thursday. Total 
liquid equivalent precipitation from this system is expected to 
range from 2 to 3 inches over about 36 hours over the Saginaw River 
basin. This amount of precipitation combined with recent rainfall has
lead to swollen rivers and streams across the region. In addition to 
rainfall runoff, prolonged strong northeast winds on Saginaw Bay is 
likely to slow the discharge of water from the Saginaw River. This 
will only add to the elevated river levels.

MIC017-145-060231-
/O.NEW.KDTX.FL.W.0003.170406T1400Z-170409T1559Z/
/SAGM4.1.ER.170406T1400Z.170407T1800Z.170409T0959Z.NO/
231 PM EDT WED APR 5 2017

The National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac has issued a

* Flood warning for 
  the Saginaw River at Saginaw.
* From now until further notice. 
* At 2 PM Wednesday the stage is 15.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning...
  and crest around 18.3 feet Friday early afternoon.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest
  of 17.1 feet on May 17 2014.  

&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$
28 follow-up statements
342 
WGUS83 KDTX 060302
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1102 PM EDT WED APR 5 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Saginaw River

.Storm system will bring rain and snow across the drainage basin
through Friday morning.  Total precip amounts of 1.5 to 2.0 liquid evquivalence is expected and is incorportated in the forecast.  Strong northeast winds continue to raise Saginaw Bay and back water up the Saginaw River enhancing the rise.

MIC017-145-061102-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.170407T0000Z-170411T0000Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170407T0000Z.170408T1800Z.170410T1800Z.NO/
1102 PM EDT WED APR 5 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 10 PM Wednesday the stage is 16.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* minor flooding is forecast.  Moderate flooding is possible.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by Thursday tevening...
  and crest near 19.0 feet Saturday afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$
157 
WGUS43 KDTX 061441
FLWDTX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 
1041 AM EDT THU APR 6 2017

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...

  Cass River...Kearsley Creek...Saginaw River...Swartz Creek
  

.Heavy rainfall around 1 inch from last night in combination with very wet conditions from the early spring has resulted in significant rises in the Cass and Saginaw Rivers as well as Kearsley and Swartz Creeks.

MIC049-062241-
/O.NEW.KDTX.FL.W.0005.170406T2200Z-170407T1400Z/
/FLSM4.3.ER.170406T2200Z.170407T0000Z.170407T0800Z.NR/
1041 AM EDT THU APR 6 2017

The National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac has issued a

* Flood warning for 
  the Swartz Creek in Flint.
* From now until further notice. 
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage is 9.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by this evening...
  and crest around 10.1 feet this evening.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest
  of 9.8 feet on May 4 2012.  

&&

LAT...LON 4288 8367 4288 8374 4297 8380 4300 8372
      4298 8370 4296 8373             

$$

MIC017-145-062241-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.170406T1435Z-170410T1200Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170407T0600Z.170410T0600Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT THU APR 6 2017

The National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac has issued a

* Flood warning for 
  the Saginaw River at Saginaw.
* From now until further notice. 
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage is 18.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to crest around 19.3 feet after midnight tomorrow.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest
  of 20.1 feet on Apr 30 2011.  

&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC049-062241-
/O.NEW.KDTX.FL.W.0006.170406T1702Z-170408T0600Z/
/DAVM4.1.ER.170406T1702Z.170407T0000Z.170408T0000Z.NR/
1041 AM EDT THU APR 6 2017

The National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac has issued a

* Flood warning for 
  the Kearsley Creek near Davison.
* From now until further notice. 
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage is 9.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by this afternoon...
  and crest around 10.3 feet this evening.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest
  of 10.4 feet on May 16 2014.  

&&

LAT...LON 4306 8365 4300 8350 4294 8351 4303 8365


$$

MIC145-062241-
/O.NEW.KDTX.FL.W.0007.170408T0000Z-170409T0800Z/
/FRNM4.1.ER.170408T0000Z.170408T1200Z.170409T0200Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT THU APR 6 2017

The National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac has issued a

* Flood warning for 
  the Cass River from Frankenmuth downstream to Bridgeport.
* From now until further notice. 
* At 10 AM Thursday the stage is 14.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening...
  and crest around 17.2 feet Saturday morning.
* Flood history...This crest compares to a previous crest
  of 17.2 feet on May 16 2014.  

&&

LAT...LON 4336 8370 4328 8370 4338 8391 4342 8390


$$
144 
WGUS83 KDTX 062113
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
513 PM EDT THU APR 6 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Saginaw River

.Heavy rainfall around 1 inch from last night in combination with very wet conditions from the early spring has resulted in significant rises in the Saginaw River. Adding to the high river level is the
strong northeast winds on Saginaw Bay will continue to slow the discharge of water from the river.

MIC017-145-070513-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170410T1200Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170407T0600Z.170410T0600Z.NO/
513 PM EDT THU APR 6 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Thursday the stage is 18.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to crest around 19.3 feet after midnight tomorrow.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$
066 
WGUS83 KDTX 070148
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
948 PM EDT THU APR 6 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Saginaw River

.Heavy rainfall amounts approaching 1.5 inches last night and today 
in combination with very wet conditions from the early spring has 
resulted in significant rises in area rivers and creeks.

MIC017-145-070948-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170410T1912Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T1800Z.170410T1312Z.NO/
948 PM EDT THU APR 6 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage is 18.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to crest around 19.8 feet Saturday early afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$
142 
WGUS83 KDTX 070843
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
443 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Cass River...Flint River...Kearsley Creek...Saginaw River...
Shiawassee River...Swartz Creek...Tittabawassee River

.Heavy rainfall yesterday approaching 1.5 inches resulted in significant
rises in area rivers and creeks. Dry weather is expected Today 
and through the Weekend.

MIC049-071643-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-170408T0200Z/
/FLSM4.3.ER.170406T1822Z.170407T1200Z.170407T2000Z.NR/
443 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Swartz Creek in Flint. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 AM Friday the stage is 10.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 10.5 feet at 2 AM Friday
  and should fall below flood stage late this afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4288 8367 4288 8374 4297 8380 4300 8372
      4298 8370 4296 8373             

$$

MIC017-145-071643-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170410T1912Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T1800Z.170410T1312Z.NO/
443 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 AM Friday the stage is 18.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to crest around 19.8 feet tomorrow early afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC145-155-071643-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170411T0000Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T1200Z.170410T1800Z.NR/
443 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 AM Friday the stage is 8.7 feet and nearly steady.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is at crest and should being 
  falling and go below flood stage Monday early afternoon.
* Forecast...the river crested at 8.7 feet at 3 AM Friday
  and should fall below flood stage by Monday.


&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC049-071643-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-170408T1800Z/
/DAVM4.1.ER.170406T1625Z.170407T0800Z.170408T1200Z.NR/
443 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Kearsley Creek near Davison. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 AM Friday the stage is 10.5 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is at crest and should go below 
  flood stage by 4 AM Saturday.


&&

LAT...LON 4306 8365 4300 8350 4294 8351 4303 8365


$$

MIC049-145-071643-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170407T2100Z/
/FLTM4.1.ER.170407T0237Z.170407T0800Z.170407T1500Z.NO/
443 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Flint River in Flint. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 AM Friday the stage is 13.2 feet and nearly steady.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 13.2 feet at 4 AM Friday
  and should fall below flood stage by Noon.


&&

LAT...LON 4304 8364 4299 8375 4304 8389 4308 8382
      4305 8372 4308 8367             

$$

MIC145-071643-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170409T0700Z/
/FRNM4.1.ER.170407T0341Z.170407T1800Z.170409T0100Z.NO/
443 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Cass River from Frankenmuth downstream to Bridgeport. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 AM Friday the stage is 17.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast is to crest around 18.3 feet this afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4336 8370 4328 8370 4338 8391 4342 8390


$$

MIC111-145-071643-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0009.170407T1800Z-170408T1800Z/
/MIDM4.1.ER.170407T1800Z.170408T0000Z.170408T1200Z.NO/
443 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Tittabawassee River from Midland downstream into Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 2 AM Friday the stage is 23.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by this afternoon...
  and crest around 24.3 feet this evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4366 8438 4367 8432 4362 8421 4344 8398
      4341 8401 4360 8427             

$$
615 
WGUS83 KDTX 071527
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1127 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Cass River...Flint River...Kearsley Creek...Saginaw River...
Shiawassee River...Tittabawassee River

.Recent rainfall has lead to flooding along these rivers.  No significant rainfall is expected through the weekend to effect current forecasts.

MIC017-145-072327-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170410T1912Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T1800Z.170410T1312Z.NO/
1127 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 11 AM Friday the stage is 18.4 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to crest around 20.0 feet tomorrow afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC145-155-072327-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170409T1800Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170409T1200Z.NR/
1127 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 11 AM Friday the stage is 8.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 8.7 feet at 5 AM Friday
  and should fall below flood stage Sunday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC049-072327-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-170408T1200Z/
/DAVM4.1.ER.170406T1625Z.170407T0800Z.170408T0600Z.NR/
1127 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Kearsley Creek near Davison. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 11 AM Friday the stage is 10.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 10.5 feet at 2 AM Friday
  and should fall below flood stage tonight.


&&

LAT...LON 4306 8365 4300 8350 4294 8351 4303 8365


$$

MIC049-145-072327-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170408T0000Z/
/FLTM4.1.ER.170407T0237Z.170407T1030Z.170407T1800Z.NO/
1127 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Flint River in Flint. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 11 AM Friday the stage is 13.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 13.2 feet at 7 AM Friday
  and should fall below flood stage this afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4304 8364 4299 8375 4304 8389 4308 8382
      4305 8372 4308 8367             

$$

MIC145-072327-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170409T0700Z/
/FRNM4.1.ER.170407T0341Z.170407T1800Z.170409T0100Z.NO/
1127 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Cass River from Frankenmuth downstream to Bridgeport. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 11 AM Friday the stage is 18.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is nr crest and should being 
  falling and go below flood stage tomorrow evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4336 8370 4328 8370 4338 8391 4342 8390


$$

MIC111-145-072327-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0009.170407T1523Z-170408T1800Z/
/MIDM4.1.ER.170407T1512Z.170408T0000Z.170408T1200Z.NO/
1127 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Tittabawassee River from Midland downstream into Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 9 AM Friday the stage is 23.9 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by late this morning...
  and crest around 24.5 feet this evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4366 8438 4367 8432 4362 8421 4344 8398
      4341 8401 4360 8427             

$$
488 
WGUS83 KDTX 072055
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
455 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Cass River...Kearsley Creek...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River...
Tittabawassee River

.River forecasts are based on previous rainfall and future 24 hour
rainfall.  No significant rain fall expected over the weekend.

MIC017-145-080455-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170410T1912Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T1800Z.170410T1312Z.NO/
455 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Friday the stage is 18.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to crest around 20.0 feet tomorrow afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC145-155-080455-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170409T1800Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170409T1200Z.NR/
455 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Friday the stage is 8.4 feet and slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage Sunday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC049-080455-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-170408T1200Z/
/DAVM4.1.ER.170406T1625Z.170407T0800Z.170408T0600Z.NR/
455 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Kearsley Creek near Davison. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Friday the stage is 10.3 feet and slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage tonight.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 8365 4300 8350 4294 8351 4303 8365


$$

MIC145-080455-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170409T0700Z/
/FRNM4.1.ER.170407T0341Z.170407T1945Z.170409T0100Z.NO/
455 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Cass River from Frankenmuth downstream to Bridgeport. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Friday the stage is 18.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 18.4 feet at 4 PM Friday
  and should fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4336 8370 4328 8370 4338 8391 4342 8390


$$

MIC111-145-080455-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170408T1800Z/
/MIDM4.1.ER.170407T1445Z.170408T0000Z.170408T1200Z.NO/
455 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Tittabawassee River from Midland downstream into Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 2 PM Friday the stage is 24.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river will crest 24.5 feet this evening
  then should fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4366 8438 4367 8432 4362 8421 4344 8398
      4341 8401 4360 8427             

$$
352 
WGUS83 KDTX 080109
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
909 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Cass River...Kearsley Creek...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River...
Tittabawassee River

.River forecasts are based on previous rainfall and future 24 hour
rainfall.  No significant rainfall expected over the weekend.

MIC017-145-080909-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170411T0000Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T1800Z.170410T1800Z.NO/
909 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Friday the stage is 18.8 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will crest at 19.1 feet early Saturday. 

&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC145-155-080908-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170410T0600Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170410T0000Z.NR/
909 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Friday the stage is 8.2 feet and slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage Sunday evening.

&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC049-080908-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-170408T1200Z/
/DAVM4.1.ER.170406T1625Z.170407T0800Z.170408T0600Z.NR/
909 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Kearsley Creek near Davison. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Friday the stage is 10.2 feet and slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage early Saturday
  morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4306 8365 4300 8350 4294 8351 4303 8365


$$

MIC145-080908-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170409T1300Z/
/FRNM4.1.ER.170407T0341Z.170408T0600Z.170409T0700Z.NO/
909 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Cass River from Frankenmuth downstream to Bridgeport. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 9 PM Friday the stage is 18.7 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is at crest and should begin 
  falling and go below flood stage Sunday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4336 8370 4328 8370 4338 8391 4342 8390


$$

MIC111-145-080908-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170408T1930Z/
/MIDM4.1.ER.170407T1445Z.170407T2215Z.170408T1330Z.NO/
909 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Tittabawassee River from Midland downstream into Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 6 PM Friday the stage is 24.4 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is cresting at 24.4 feet this evening
  and should fall below flood stage late Saturday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4366 8438 4367 8432 4362 8421 4344 8398
      4341 8401 4360 8427             

$$
159 
WGUS83 KDTX 080818
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
418 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Cass River...Kearsley Creek...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River...
Tittabawassee River

.Rises on area rivers occurred as a result of recent heavy rainfall. 
No rainfall is expected over the weekend.

MIC017-145-081618-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170411T0000Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T1800Z.170410T1800Z.NO/
418 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage is 19.0 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will crest at 19.1 feet early this morning 
  and should then begin to fall and go below flood stage Monday early afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC145-155-081618-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170410T0600Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170410T0000Z.NR/
418 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 3 AM Saturday the stage is 7.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 8.7 feet at 5 AM Friday
  and should fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC145-081618-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170409T1300Z/
/FRNM4.1.ER.170407T0341Z.170408T0700Z.170409T0700Z.NO/
418 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Cass River from Frankenmuth downstream to Bridgeport. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 AM Saturday the stage is 18.8 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 18.8 feet at 3 AM Saturday
  and should fall below flood stage early tomorrow.

&&

LAT...LON 4336 8370 4328 8370 4338 8391 4342 8390


$$

MIC111-145-081618-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170408T1930Z/
/MIDM4.1.ER.170407T1445Z.170407T2300Z.170408T1330Z.NO/
418 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Tittabawassee River from Midland downstream into Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 2 AM Saturday the stage is 24.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 24.4 feet at 1 AM Saturday
  and should fall below flood stage late this morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4366 8438 4367 8432 4362 8421 4344 8398
      4341 8401 4360 8427             

$$
238 
WGUS83 KDTX 081458
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1058 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Cass River...Huron River...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River

.No significant rain fall which would effect the rivers is expected
through the weekend.  The next chance for rain comes late Monday into
Tuesday.

MIC017-145-082258-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170410T1930Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T1800Z.170410T1330Z.NO/
1058 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage is 19.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is nearing crest and should being 
  falling and go below flood stage Monday afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC093-082258-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.170408T2136Z-170415T0000Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.170408T2136Z.170411T0000Z.170414T1800Z.NR/
1058 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Huron River near Hamburg.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage is 6.4 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast is to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon...
  and crest around 6.8 feet Monday evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4250 8376 4245 8374 4243 8381 4243 8393


$$

MIC145-155-082258-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170410T0600Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170410T0000Z.NR/
1058 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage is 7.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood
  stage tomorrow evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC145-082258-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170409T1424Z/
/FRNM4.1.ER.170407T0341Z.170408T0700Z.170409T0824Z.NO/
1058 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Cass River from Frankenmuth downstream to Bridgeport. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage is 18.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 18.8 feet at 3 AM Saturday
  and should fall below flood stage early tomorrow.


&&

LAT...LON 4336 8370 4328 8370 4338 8391 4342 8390


$$
205 
WGUS83 KDTX 082000
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
400 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Cass River...Huron River...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River

.No significant rainfall is excpect through the weekend.

MIC017-145-090400-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170410T1930Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170409T0000Z.170410T1330Z.NO/
400 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Saturday the stage is 19.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is at crest and should being 
  falling and go below flood stage late Monday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC093-090400-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.170408T1957Z-170415T0000Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.170408T1915Z.170411T0000Z.170414T1800Z.NR/
400 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Huron River near Hamburg.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Saturday the stage is 6.5 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast is to crest around 6.8 feet Monday evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4250 8376 4245 8374 4243 8381 4243 8393


$$

MIC145-155-090400-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170410T0600Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170410T0000Z.NR/
400 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Saturday the stage is 7.5 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood
  stage tomorrow evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC145-090400-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170409T1424Z/
/FRNM4.1.ER.170407T0341Z.170408T0700Z.170409T0824Z.NO/
400 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Cass River from Frankenmuth downstream to Bridgeport. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Saturday the stage is 18.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage early tomorrow.


&&

LAT...LON 4336 8370 4328 8370 4338 8391 4342 8390


$$

drc
231 
WGUS83 KDTX 090049
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
849 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Cass River...Huron River...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River

.No significant rainfall is expected through the weekend.

MIC017-145-090849-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170411T0130Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170410T1930Z.NO/
849 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage is 19.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is at crest this evening and should
  begin falling tonight and Sunday.  The river is forecast 
  to go below flood stage Monday afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC093-090849-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.170408T1915Z.170410T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
849 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Huron River near Hamburg.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage is 6.5 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast is to crest around 6.8 feet Monday afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4250 8376 4245 8374 4243 8381 4243 8393


$$

MIC145-155-090849-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170410T1200Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170410T0600Z.NR/
849 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage is 7.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage early Monday 
morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC145-090849-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170409T1300Z/
/FRNM4.1.ER.170407T0341Z.170408T0700Z.170409T0700Z.NO/
849 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Cass River from Frankenmuth downstream to Bridgeport. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage is 17.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage early Sunday.



&&

LAT...LON 4336 8370 4328 8370 4338 8391 4342 8390


$$
829 
WGUS83 KDTX 090805
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
405 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Huron River...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River

.Dry weather today with rain returning by Monday Evening. 

MIC017-145-091605-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170411T0130Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170410T1930Z.NO/
405 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 3 AM Sunday the stage is 19.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 19.5 feet at 3 AM Sunday
  and should fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC093-091605-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.170408T1915Z.170410T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
405 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Huron River near Hamburg.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 3 AM Sunday the stage is 6.6 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast is to crest around 6.8 feet tomorrow early afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4250 8376 4245 8374 4243 8381 4243 8393


$$

MIC145-155-091604-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170410T1200Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170410T0600Z.NR/
405 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 3 AM Sunday the stage is 7.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage 
this Evening.

&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$
962 
WGUS83 KDTX 091406
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1006 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Huron River...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River

.Dry weather will persist today. The next chance 
for rain is Monday.

MIC017-145-092206-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170411T0130Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170410T1930Z.NO/
1006 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 9 AM Sunday the stage was 19.3 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 19.4 feet at 8 AM Sunday
  and should fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC093-092206-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170415T1800Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.170408T1915Z.170410T1200Z.170415T1200Z.NR/
1006 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Huron River near Hamburg.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 9 AM Sunday the stage was 6.6 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast is to crest around 6.8 feet Monday and Tuesday.


&&

LAT...LON 4250 8376 4245 8374 4243 8381 4243 8393


$$

MIC145-155-092205-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170410T0600Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170410T0000Z.NR/
1006 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 9 AM Sunday the stage is 7.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is at crest and should being 
  falling and go below flood stage this evening.
* Forecast...the river crested at 7.2 feet at 4 AM Sunday
  and should fall below flood stage this evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$
660 
WGUS83 KDTX 092103
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
503 PM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Huron River...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River

.No rainfall is expected through Monday. The next chance 
of rain is Monday night.  

MIC017-145-100503-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170411T0130Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170410T1930Z.NO/
503 PM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Sunday the stage is 19.2 feet and slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage Monday 
afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC093-100503-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170415T1800Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.170408T1915Z.170410T1200Z.170415T1200Z.NR/
503 PM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Huron River near Hamburg.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Sunday the stage is 6.6 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast is to crest around 6.8 feet Monday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4250 8376 4245 8374 4243 8381 4243 8393


$$

MIC145-155-100503-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170410T0600Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170410T0000Z.NR/
503 PM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Sunday the stage is 7.1 feet and slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage by late 
this evening.

&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$
673 
WGUS83 KDTX 100058
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
858 PM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Huron River...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River

.No rainfall is expected through Monday. The next chance 
of rain is Monday night.  

MIC017-145-100858-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170411T1330Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170411T0730Z.NO/
858 PM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage is 19.1 feet and slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage Tuesday 
morning.

&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

MIC093-100858-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170415T1200Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.170408T1915Z.170411T1200Z.170415T0600Z.NR/
858 PM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Huron River near Hamburg.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage is 6.6 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast is to crest around 6.8 feet Tuesday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4250 8376 4245 8374 4243 8381 4243 8393


$$

MIC145-155-100858-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170411T1200Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170411T0600Z.NR/
858 PM EDT SUN APR 9 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage is 7.1 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage early Tuesday 
morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$
660 
WGUS83 KDTX 100835
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
435 AM EDT MON APR 10 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Huron River...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River

.Thunderstorms will bring locally heavy rainfall this evening
which may slow the decline in river levels to some extent.

MIC093-101635-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170415T1200Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.170408T1915Z.170411T1200Z.170415T0600Z.NR/
435 AM EDT MON APR 10 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Huron River near Hamburg.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 AM Monday the stage is 6.6 feet and rising slowly.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast is to crest around 6.8 feet tomorrow morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4250 8376 4245 8374 4243 8381 4243 8393


$$

MIC145-155-101635-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170411T1200Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170411T0600Z.NR/
435 AM EDT MON APR 10 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 AM Monday the stage is 7.1 feet and very slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage by around
midnight tonight.


&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC017-145-101635-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170411T1330Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170411T0730Z.NO/
435 AM EDT MON APR 10 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 AM Monday the stage is 18.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage early tomorrow.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$
149 
WGUS83 KDTX 101350
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
950 AM EDT MON APR 10 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Huron River...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River

.Showers and thunderstorms are expected tonight.  Some local amounts nr an inch are possible in thunderstorms other wise expect generally a quarter to half inch average over the basins.  This may cause rises in the rivers or slow the fall over the next few days.

MIC093-102150-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170413T2100Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.170408T1915Z.170410T1800Z.170413T1500Z.NR/
950 AM EDT MON APR 10 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Huron River near Hamburg.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 9 AM Monday the stage is 6.6 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast is to crest around 6.7 feet this afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4250 8376 4245 8374 4243 8381 4243 8393


$$

MIC145-155-102150-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170412T0600Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170412T0000Z.NR/
950 AM EDT MON APR 10 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 9 AM Monday the stage is 7.1 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage tomorrow
  evening.

&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC017-145-102150-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170411T1559Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170411T0959Z.NO/
950 AM EDT MON APR 10 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 9 AM Monday the stage is 18.5 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage Tuesday.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$
482 
WGUS83 KDTX 102122
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
521 PM EDT MON APR 10 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Huron River...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River

.Showers and thunderstorms, some with heavy rainfall will be
moving though this evening and night.  Heaviest widespread
rainfall is expected over the Thumb and Saginaw Valley where
some locations could see 1 to 2 inches of rain.  Over all
basin average rainfall is expected to be up to an half inch
over the Huron River basin and around an inch across the Shiawassee
and Saginaw.  This rainfall may cause temporary rise in the rivers
tomorrow or slow the fall over the next few days.

MIC093-110521-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170413T2100Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.170408T1915Z.170410T1730Z.170413T1500Z.NR/
521 PM EDT MON APR 10 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Huron River near Hamburg.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 5 PM Monday the stage is 6.7 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river crested at 6.7 feet at 4 PM Monday
  and should fall below flood stage late Thursday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4250 8376 4245 8374 4243 8381 4243 8393


$$

MIC145-155-110521-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170412T0600Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170412T0000Z.NR/
521 PM EDT MON APR 10 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 5 PM Monday the stage is 7.1 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage tomorrow
  evening.



&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC017-145-110521-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170412T0842Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170412T0242Z.NO/
521 PM EDT MON APR 10 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 5 PM Monday the stage is 18.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  evening.



&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$
505 
WGUS83 KDTX 110116
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
916 PM EDT MON APR 10 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Huron River...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River

.Showers and thunderstorms, some with heavy rainfall will be
moving though this evening and night.  Heaviest widespread
rainfall is expected over the Thumb and Saginaw Valley where
some locations could see 1 to 2 inches of rain.  Over all
basin average rainfall is expected to be up to an half inch
over the Huron River basin and around an inch across the Shiawassee
and Saginaw.  This rainfall may cause a temporary rise in the 
rivers tomorrow or slow the fall over the next few days.

MIC093-110916-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170413T1800Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.170408T1915Z.170410T2100Z.170413T1200Z.NR/
916 PM EDT MON APR 10 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Huron River near Hamburg.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Monday the stage is 6.6 feet and slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage Thursday 
morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4250 8376 4245 8374 4243 8381 4243 8393


$$

MIC145-155-110916-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170412T1200Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170412T0600Z.NR/
916 PM EDT MON APR 10 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Monday the stage is 7.1 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage  
Wednesday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC017-145-110916-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170414T2159Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170414T1559Z.NO/
916 PM EDT MON APR 10 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 8 PM Monday the stage is 18.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage  
Friday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$
760 
WGUS83 KDTX 110827
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
427 AM EDT TUE APR 11 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Huron River...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River

.Locally heavy rainfall from Monday evening thunderstorms has
slowed the decline of river levels. However, with little to 
no additional rain this week, levels should not rise markedly
and will begin a steady fall over the next day or two.

MIC093-111627-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170413T1800Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.170408T1915Z.170410T2100Z.170413T1200Z.NR/
427 AM EDT TUE APR 11 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Huron River near Hamburg.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage is 6.6 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage Thursday 
morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4250 8376 4245 8374 4243 8381 4243 8393


$$

MIC145-155-111627-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170412T1200Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170412T0600Z.NR/
427 AM EDT TUE APR 11 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage is 7.1 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage after midnight 
tomorrow.


&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC017-145-111627-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170414T2159Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170414T1559Z.NO/
427 AM EDT TUE APR 11 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 AM Tuesday the stage is 18.3 feet and slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage late Friday 
morning.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$
517 
WGUS83 KDTX 111441
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1041 AM EDT TUE APR 11 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Huron River...Saginaw River...Shiawassee River

.No significant rainfall is expected for the rest of the week.

MIC093-112241-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170413T0000Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.170408T1915Z.170410T2100Z.170412T1800Z.NR/
1041 AM EDT TUE APR 11 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Huron River near Hamburg.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage is 6.6 feet and slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage tomorrow
  afternoon.



&&

LAT...LON 4250 8376 4245 8374 4243 8381 4243 8393


$$

MIC145-155-112241-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170412T0000Z/
/OWOM4.1.ER.170406T1210Z.170407T0600Z.170411T1800Z.NR/
1041 AM EDT TUE APR 11 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Shiawassee River at Owosso. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage is 7.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage this afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 4313 8423 4313 8412 4301 8413 4297 8400
      4293 8400 4298 8423             

$$

MIC017-145-112241-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170414T2100Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170414T1500Z.NO/
1041 AM EDT TUE APR 11 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage is 18.2 feet and nr steady.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage late Friday
  morning.



&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$
739 
WGUS83 KDTX 112038
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
438 PM EDT TUE APR 11 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Huron River...Saginaw River

.No significant rainfall is expected the rest of the 
week to effect the current forecast.

MIC093-120438-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170413T0000Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.170408T1915Z.170410T2100Z.170412T1800Z.NR/
438 PM EDT TUE APR 11 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Huron River near Hamburg.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Tuesday the stage is 6.6 feet and slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage tomorrow 
  afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 4250 8376 4245 8374 4243 8381 4243 8393


$$

MIC017-145-120438-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170413T0800Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170413T0200Z.NO/
438 PM EDT TUE APR 11 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Tuesday the stage is 17.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage tomorrow
  evening.

&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$
278 
WGUS83 KDTX 120443
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1243 AM EDT WED APR 12 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Huron River...Saginaw River

.River levels will continue to fall as no significant rainfall
is expected the rest of the week.

MIC093-121243-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0010.000000T0000Z-170413T0600Z/
/HMGM4.1.ER.170408T1915Z.170410T2100Z.170413T0000Z.NR/
1243 AM EDT WED APR 12 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Huron River near Hamburg.. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 12 AM Wednesday the stage is 6.5 feet and slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage this evening.


&&

LAT...LON 4250 8376 4245 8374 4243 8381 4243 8393


$$

MIC017-145-121243-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170414T0300Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170413T2100Z.NO/
1243 AM EDT WED APR 12 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 12 AM Wednesday the stage is 17.4 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river is at crest and should being 
  falling and go below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$
808 
WGUS83 KDTX 121135
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
735 AM EDT WED APR 12 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Saginaw River

.The river level will continue to fall as no significant rainfall
is expected the rest of the week.

MIC017-145-121935-
/O.CON.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170414T0300Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170413T2100Z.NO/
735 AM EDT WED APR 12 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 7 AM Wednesday the stage is 17.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river will go below flood stage from
tonight into tomorrow.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$
051 
WGUS83 KDTX 121457
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1057 AM EDT WED APR 12 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Saginaw River
    
.The river level will continue to fall as no significant rainfall
is expected the rest of the week.

MIC017-145-122257-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170413T0900Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170413T0300Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT WED APR 12 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage is 17.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage tonight.

&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$
880 
WGUS83 KDTX 122028
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
428 PM EDT WED APR 12 2017

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING...

    Saginaw River

.Some rain is possible through the rest of the week but not 
significant enough to cause the river to begin rising again.


MIC017-145-130428-
/O.EXT.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170413T0700Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170413T0100Z.NO/
428 PM EDT WED APR 12 2017

A flood warning continues for 
  Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* From now until further notice. 
* At 4 PM Wednesday the stage is 17.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...the river should fall below flood stage tonight.

&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$
792 
WGUS83 KDTX 130428
FLSDTX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1228 AM EDT THU APR 13 2017



...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE FOLLOWING...
   
   Saginaw River
    

.Some rain will be possible late this week into the weekend,
but enough to cause additional rises in the river level.

MIC017-145-130458-
/X.CAN.KDTX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170413T0700Z/
/SAGM4.2.ER.170406T0721Z.170408T2224Z.170413T0353Z.NO/
1228 AM EDT THU APR 13 2017

Flood warning discontinued for 
Saginaw River at Saginaw. 
* At 12 AM Thursday the stage is 16.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 12 AM Thursday and will 
continue to fall...therefore...the warning has been cancelled.


&&

LAT...LON 4341 8399 4365 8387 4363 8378 4339 8389


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 5, 11:20 AM EDT, 3 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 5, 11:20 AM EDT, 3 hours 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
1120 AM EDT Wed Apr 5 2017

.UPDATE...

Update to the forecast addresses both the high based reflectivity
returns that are currently pushing across southeastern Michigan and
the forecast rainfall trends for later this afternoon.

The initial activity is being forced along the lead edge of the
700-600 mb system relative isentropic ascent. Antecedent low level
dry air has made it difficult for the precipitation to reach the
ground, with cloud bases only really lowering into the 7.0 to 8.0 kft
agl layer to this point. Additionally, model data does show a very
dominant anticylonic curvature to flow trajectories yet. Not really
expecting much of anything for the next few hours but did include a
chance PoP through the early afternoon hours.

The potential for likely to categorical PoPs will then increase
significantly during the late afternoon and early evening hours as
the apex of the 700mb theta e ridge and system relative isentropic
ascent overspreads the northwestern 1/2 of the cwa. The widespread
measuring rain that is over far southwestern lower Michigan is
associated with that particular forcing. Used RAP output, almost
exclusively, for the timing of precipitation with prior ARW-NMM
strikingly lacking with precipitation onset prior to 00Z. Worked a
significant gradient in PoPs to the southeast, with just a chance PoP
for much of the Detroit Metro area before 00Z. Also worked the same
significant gradient to QPF amounts with upwards of .4 to .5 of inch
actually possible ahead of 00Z. Dry air will likely prove very
stubborn initially and should limit eastward extent of the coverage
in rain.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
Issued at 747 AM EDT Wed Apr 5 2017

AVIATION...

Some light/high-based showers will make it into SE Michigan during
the mid to late morning as the initial surge of moisture arrives
from low pressure over Missouri. VFR is expected to hold with this
activity before conditions begin a downward trend late in the day
through tonight. The main surge of showers is projected to arrive
during the evening and bring IFR visibility followed by ceiling as
the primary limiting factor overnight, especially in the DTW area
where LIFR is likely as low slides by near Lake Erie. The proximity
of the low will also keep the wind speed lower at DTW tonight while
gradient flow ramps up considerably toward MBS where wind and a
combination of rain and snow will have higher impact through
Thursday morning.

For DTW...VFR is now expected to hold through mid afternoon while
some light rain moves through the region. Increasing easterly wind
may require NE traffic operations during the afternoon. Ceiling will
then also quickly lower below 5000 ft mid to late afternoon and will
continue to progress downward into IFR in moderate showers during
the evening. Monitoring for thunderstorm potential.

//DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

* High for ceiling 5000 ft or less mid afternoon through tonight.

* Low for thunderstorms at DTW tonight.

PREV DISCUSSION...
Issued at 433 AM EDT Wed Apr 5 2017

DISCUSSION...
Intense spring/winter like storm to effect the area through Friday
morning with rain, possible snow accumulations and high winds. Only
minor flooding if any expect (refer to hydro discussion below).

Models are all in pretty good agreement with the progression of this
system.  The overall scenario is a deep mid and upper level trough
and associated low pressure system currently centered over Missouri.
This system will move slowly northeastward while gradually
deepening. The closed mid and upper circulation will be centered
over southeastern Michigan by around daybreak Thursday morning while
the surface low tracks to western Lake Erie.  Strong isentropic
ascent up the elevated warm front combined with strengthening upper
jet diffluence will spread rain into the area today reaching the
western fringes of the cwa late this morning then quickly expand
northeast across the rest of the area during the afternoon. Rain
will continue into the night but will mix with or change to snow
across the Saginaw Valley and Thumb as the thermal gradient begins
to tighten as the system deepens.  Snow will be wet and heavy and
have good clumping ability so some accumulations are possible
especially on elevated and grassy areas.  Surface temperatures will
drop to the mid 30s so snow accumulations would be slow to melt.
Further south boundary layer should remain warm enough for just
rain.

During the day Thursday, as the system continues to deepen and
slowly move east, cold air will gradually wrap in behind it bringing
below freezing temps down below 925mb, however diurnal heating will
keep boundary layer warm enough for basically all rain except for a
mixture continuing far northwestern counties.  By Thursday evening
the system will have gone through more deepening as it occludes over
Lake Ontario becoming vertically stacked.  This will continue to
produce an expansive precip shield back across southeastern Michigan
and allow colder air yet to infiltrate across the whole area.  Snow
will begin to mix with then totally change over from the north in
the evening and work its way across the entire cwa.  QPF amounts in
this period expect to range from about a quarter inch far west to
half an inch far east.  At this point, snow accumulations depends
on how soon precip goes to totally snow and when surface temps reach
freezing but snow amounts 1-2 inches are possible with higher
amounts in the Thumb.

Other major factor with this system will be the wind. Low level
gradient will become very tight.  Easterly winds today will slowly
increase to 10 to 20 mph today then back to the northeast increasing
to 20 to 30 mph through Thursday night with gusts to 40mph and to 50
mph in the counties bordering lake Huron and Saginaw Bay. Refer to
High Wind Watch.

AFter this system surface high pressure and upper level ridging will
bring fair weather and mild temperature for the weekend with highs
in the 60s by Sunday.  Next system will effect the area for Monday
and Tuesday with a chance for rain and mild temps in the 60s and
possibly 70s.

MARINE...

The focus for marine interests will be on the next low pressure
system set to move into the Ohio valley by tonight and toward the
west end of Lake Erie by Thursday morning. This system is projected
to strongly intensify during Thursday as the center moves toward
western New York by Thursday evening resulting in high end gales
over all marine areas with a good chance of storm force gusts across
Saginaw Bay and southern Lake Huron during this period. Expect entry
level 35 knot northeast gales to develop even tonight over the Bay
and central Lake Huron but stability will be a limiting factor
before sunrise Thursday. After that, model soundings indicate colder
air moving in through the low levels over the Bay and southern Lake
Huron that will produce an unstable profile and enough mixing for
storm force gust potential by late Thursday morning through Thursday
night while direction gradually backs toward the north. The headline
summary is for a small craft advisory for western Lake Erie in
developing easterly flow this afternoon and evening and a gale
warning tonight for Saginaw Bay and central Lake Huron. A storm
watch is then in effect Thursday through Friday morning for Saginaw
Bay and for Lake Huron south of Presque Isle. Gale watches remain in
effect for all other marine areas to the north and south of the
storm watch.

HYDROLOGY...

A long duration precipitation event is forecast to begin this
afternoon and persist into early Friday morning. It will begin as
rain and then become mixed with or change to snow late tonight
through Thursday. Total liquid equivalent precipitation from this
system is expected to range from 1 to 2 inches over about 36 hours
with the higher totals expected across the Saginaw Valley and Thumb
regions. This amount of precipitation combined with recent rainfall
will bring another round of rises in streams and rivers across the
region and a low chance for stages to approach and/or exceed flood
stage late in the week. Even if the bulk of the precipitation falls
as snow across the Saginaw Valley, it will rapidly melt Fri into
Saturday, so rises on rivers are still expected.

In addition to rainfall runoff, prolonged strong northeast winds on
Saginaw Bay is likely to slow the discharge of water from the
Saginaw River. This may result in minor flooding along the river
Thursday and Thursday night.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...High Wind Watch from Thursday morning through Friday morning for
     MIZ048-049-054-055-063.

     Lakeshore Flood Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Friday
     for MIZ048-054.

     Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Friday morning for
     MIZ047-048-053.

     Lakeshore Flood Advisory from 11 AM Thursday to 8 PM EDT Friday for
     MIZ063.

Lake Huron...Storm Watch from Thursday morning through Friday morning for LHZ362-
     363-441>443-462>464.

     Gale Warning from 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Thursday for LHZ362-
     363-421-422-441-442-462-463.

     Gale Watch from Thursday morning through Friday morning for LHZ361.

     Storm Watch from Thursday morning through Friday morning for LHZ421-
     422.

Lake St Clair...Gale Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday morning for
     LCZ460.

Michigan waters of Lake Erie...Gale Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday morning for
     LEZ444.

     Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EDT this
     evening for LEZ444.

&&

UPDATE.......SC
AVIATION.....BT
DISCUSSION...DRC
MARINE.......BT
HYDROLOGY....BT

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 5, 4:44 AM EDT, 9 hours 47 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
444 AM EDT Wed Apr 5 2017

MIZ060>062-068>070-075-076-082-083-060845-
Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-
Lenawee-Monroe-
444 AM EDT Wed Apr 5 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

A strong low pressure system will track through the region Wednesday
through Friday bringing a mix of precipitation to the area. Rain of 1
to 2 inches over a 36 hour period may produce minor flooding in
already water logged areas and streams. Strong northeast winds with
gusts to 40 mph Thursday and Thursday night possible. Rain changing
to snow Thursday night may produce a couple inches of accumulation.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

MIZ047>049-053>055-063-060845-
Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-St. Clair-
444 AM EDT Wed Apr 5 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

A strong low pressure system will track through the region Wednesday
through Friday bringing a mix of precipitation to the area. High wind
watch is in effect Thursday and Thursday for northeast wind gusts to
50mph. One to two inches of rain is possible that may lead to minor
flooding. Snow accumulations of several inches is possible Thursday
and Thursday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-060845-
Lake St. Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
Lake Huron from 5NM east of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Lt
beyond 5 NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Point MI beyond 5NM
off shore-
Lake Huron from Sturgeon Point to Alabaster MI beyond 5NM off shore-
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner Saginaw
Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron beyond 5NM Off Shore-
444 AM EDT Wed Apr 5 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Huron and Lake St Clair.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Gale warning for Lake Huron in effect tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Gale warning continues in effect for Thursday and Thursday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.

DRC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 5, 3:57 AM EDTHigh Wind WatchDTXBay, Huron, Saginaw, Saint Clair, Sanilac, Tuscola25 hr
Apr 5, 4:00 AM EDTGale WarningDTX60 hr
Apr 5, 4:00 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryDTX18 hr
Apr 5, 4:00 AM EDTStorm WatchDTX24 hr
Apr 5, 9:42 AM EDTWinter Storm WatchDTXBay, Huron, Midland, Saginaw, Shiawassee, Tuscola251 days
Apr 5, 10:39 AM EDTLakeshore Flood AdvisoryDTXBay, Saint Clair, Tuscola53 hr
Apr 5, 3:00 PM EDTFlood WatchDTXBay, Genesee, Huron, Lapeer, Livingston, Midland and 4 more14 hr
Apr 5, 4:05 PM EDTGale WarningDTX36 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Michigan, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.