Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2017

Gale Warning 31, NWS Detroit, MI

October 29, 2017

NWS Detroit, MI issued this gale warning at Oct 29, 2017, 3:44 PM EDT. It took effect at Oct 30, 2017, 10:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 29, 2017, 3:44 PM EDT (19:44 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 30, 2017, 10:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 31, 2017, 10:00 AM EDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI

The text

As transmitted.

832 
WHUS73 KDTX 291944
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
344 PM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...WESTERLY GALES TO DEVELOP ON LAKE HURON MONDAY...

.LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING AS A A QUICK PASSING 
RIDGE AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CROSSES THE GREAT LAKES. THE REGION 
WILL BE IN THE MIDDLE OF TWO PHASING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS. ONE OF 
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND AND 
THE OTHER SWINGING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH ONTARIO. THE RESULT WILL BE 
INCREASING WIND FIELDS OUT OF THE WEST/SOUTHWEST ACROSS MUCH OF LAKE 
HURON. GUSTS TO GALES ARE LIKELY AND A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT 
STARING TOMORROW MORNING AND LASTING THROUGH LATE TOMORROW NIGHT. 
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING SURFACE PRESSURE 
GRADIENT LOOSENS UP.

LHZ362-363-421-422-441-462>464-300745-
/O.UPG.KDTX.GL.A.0026.171030T1400Z-171031T0800Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0031.171030T1400Z-171031T0800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
344 PM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 4 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 4 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 16 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-300745-
/O.NEW.KDTX.GL.W.0031.171030T1400Z-171031T0800Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
344 PM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 4 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 4 AM EDT TUESDAY.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 34 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-300745-
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.171030T1400Z-171031T0800Z/
LAKE ST CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
344 PM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 4 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 4 AM
EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 AM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

CB
7 follow-up statements
383 
WHUS73 KDTX 300204
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1004 PM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...WESTERLY GALES TO DEVELOP ON LAKE HURON MONDAY...

.STRONG WESTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP ON MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE
CROSSES THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES AND PUSHES A STRONG COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE AREA. GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE MAJORITY OF
LAKE HURON IN ANTICIPATION OF WESTERLY GALES DEVELOPING MONDAY
MORNING AND PERSISTING INTO MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL THEN EASE
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS A RIDGE OF RIDGE PRESSURE BUILDS
THROUGH THE REGION.

LHZ362-363-421-422-441>443-462>464-301500-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0031.171030T1400Z-171031T0800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
1004 PM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 4 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 32 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 39 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 16 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-301500-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.171030T1400Z-171031T0800Z/
LAKE ST CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
1004 PM EDT SUN OCT 29 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO
4 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DG
316 
WHUS73 KDTX 300745
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
345 AM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...GUSTS TO GALES TODAY...

.GALE WARNINGS FOR LAKE HURON AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR LAKE ST 
CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE ERIE REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR TODAY THROUGH 
TONIGHT. THIS WILL BE DUE TO STRONG WESTERLY WIND PICKING UP AS LOW 
PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES AND MERGES WITH A 
LARGER SYSTEM OVER QUEBEC. FREQUENT GUSTS OF 35-40 KNOTS WILL BE 
POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL LAKE HURON AND TO 30 KNOTS OVER LAKE ST 
CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE ERIE DURING THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A 
DIMINISHING TREND BELOW GALES OVERNIGHT BUT SOLID 25-30 KNOT GUSTS 
REMAIN LIKELY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE OHIO 
VALLEY WILL THEN BRING IMPROVED CONDITIONS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO 
WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ORGANIZES OVER THE PLAINS 
STATES. THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE UNSETTLED WEATHER AND MODERATE 
SOUTHERLY WIND SHIFTING TO THE WEST AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT 
LAKES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE FRIDAY.

LHZ362-363-421-422-441>443-462>464-302015-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0031.171030T1400Z-171031T0800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
345 AM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM
EDT TUESDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-302015-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.171030T1400Z-171031T0800Z/
LAKE ST CLAIR-
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
345 AM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 4 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 4 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JVC
041 
WHUS73 KDTX 301057
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
657 AM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...WESTERLY GALES DEVELOPING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...
...LOW WATER LEVEL ON WESTERN LAKE ERIE TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.GALE WARNINGS FOR LAKE HURON AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR LAKE ST 
CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE ERIE REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR TODAY THROUGH 
TONIGHT. THIS WILL BE DUE TO STRONG WESTERLY WIND PICKING UP AS LOW 
PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES AND MERGES WITH A 
LARGER SYSTEM OVER QUEBEC. FREQUENT GUSTS OF 35-40 KNOTS WILL BE 
POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL LAKE HURON AND TO 30 KNOTS OVER LAKE ST 
CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE ERIE DURING THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A 
DIMINISHING TREND BELOW GALES OVERNIGHT BUT SOLID 25-30 KNOT GUSTS 
REMAIN LIKELY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE OHIO 
VALLEY WILL THEN BRING IMPROVED CONDITIONS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO 
WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ORGANIZES OVER THE PLAINS 
STATES. THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE UNSETTLED WEATHER AND MODERATE 
SOUTHERLY WIND SHIFTING TO THE WEST AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT 
LAKES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE FRIDAY.

LHZ362-363-421-422-441>443-462>464-302300-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0031.171030T1400Z-171031T0800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
657 AM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM
EDT TUESDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-302300-
/O.NEW.KDTX.LO.Y.0004.171030T1200Z-171031T0200Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.171030T1400Z-171031T0800Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
657 AM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 4 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A LOW
WATER ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING. 

* WATER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO DROP RAPIDLY DURING THE MORNING.
  READINGS AROUND 25 INCHES ABOVE CHART DATUM WILL DROP TO ABOUT 1
  INCH ABOVE CHART DATUM BY EARLY AFTERNOON. A GRADUAL RECOVERY
  BACK UP TO RECENT AVERAGE LEVEL IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 
  4 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 3 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 2 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-302300-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.171030T1400Z-171031T0800Z/
LAKE ST CLAIR-
657 AM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 4 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

BT
938 
WHUS73 KDTX 302005
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
405 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...WESTERLY GALES CONTINUE TONIGHT...
...LOW WATER LEVEL ON WESTERN LAKE ERIE THROUGH TONIGHT...

.COLD FRONT CROSSING THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES THIS AFTERNOON, WITH 
POST FRONTAL SOUTHWEST-WEST GALES STILL EXPECTED FOR THE MAJORITY OF 
LAKE HURON. WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 KNOTS EVEN APPEAR POSSIBLE OVER THE 
OPEN WATERS OF LAKE HURON. WIND GUSTS AROUND 30 KNOTS WILL BE MORE 
COMMON OVER LAKE ST. CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE ERIE THROUGH THIS 
EVENING, AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT. THERE WILL BE A 
SLOW DIMINISHING TREND BELOW GALES OVERNIGHT BUT SOLID 25-30 KNOT 
GUSTS REMAIN LIKELY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE 
OHIO VALLEY WILL THEN BRING IMPROVED CONDITIONS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO 
WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ORGANIZES OVER THE PLAINS 
STATES. THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE UNSETTLED WEATHER AND MODERATE 
SOUTHERLY WIND SHIFTING TO THE WEST AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT 
LAKES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE FRIDAY.

LHZ362-363-421-422-441>443-462>464-310800-
/O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-171031T0800Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
405 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 29 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 37 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 1 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-310800-
/O.CON.KDTX.LO.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-171031T0200Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-171031T0800Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
405 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WATER LEVELS...WILL REMAIN NEAR THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE
  NAVIGATION WHICH IS 13 INCHES ABOVE LOW WATER DATUM. WATER
  LEVELS WILL RISE ABOVE THE CRITICAL MARK THROUGH THE EVENING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  28 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-310800-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-171031T0800Z/
LAKE ST CLAIR-
405 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EDT MONDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AA
338 
WHUS73 KDTX 310131
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
931 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...WESTERLY GALES TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...

.COLD FRONT CROSSING THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES THIS AFTERNOON, WITH 
POST FRONTAL SOUTHWEST-WEST GALES STILL EXPECTED FOR THE MAJORITY OF 
LAKE HURON. WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 KNOTS EVEN APPEAR POSSIBLE OVER THE 
OPEN WATERS OF LAKE HURON. WIND GUSTS AROUND 30 KNOTS WILL BE MORE 
COMMON OVER LAKE ST. CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE ERIE THROUGH THIS 
EVENING, AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT. THERE WILL BE A 
SLOW DIMINISHING TREND BELOW GALES OVERNIGHT BUT SOLID 25-30 KNOT 
GUSTS REMAIN LIKELY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE 
OHIO VALLEY WILL THEN BRING IMPROVED CONDITIONS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO 
WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ORGANIZES OVER THE PLAINS 
STATES. THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE UNSETTLED WEATHER AND MODERATE 
SOUTHERLY WIND SHIFTING TO THE WEST AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT 
LAKES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE FRIDAY.

LHZ422-442-443-311400-
/O.CAN.KDTX.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-171031T0800Z/
/O.EXB.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
931 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ362-363-421-441-462>464-311200-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-171031T1200Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
931 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 31 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 38 
  KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET 
  WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 5 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-311400-
/O.EXT.KDTX.LO.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-171031T0800Z/
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
931 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...LOW WATER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE LOW WATER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WATER LEVELS...WILL REMAIN NEAR THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE
  NAVIGATION, WHICH IS 13 INCHES ABOVE CHART DATUM UNTIL LATE
  TONIGHT.

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EDT MONDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-311400-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
LAKE ST CLAIR-
931 PM EDT MON OCT 30 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
TUESDAY. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 12 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

DG
278 
WHUS73 KDTX 310741
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
341 AM EDT TUE OCT 31 2017

...GUSTS TO LOW END GALES THIS MORNING...

.WESTERLY WIND WILL CONTINUE GUSTING FREQUENTLY TO GALE FORCE OVER 
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LAKE HURON DURING THE MORNING. THE WIND WILL BE 
ENHANCED AHEAD OF A SURFACE PRESSURE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE 
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES AND THEN BEGIN TO EASE DURING THE AFTERNOON 
AFTER THE TROUGH EXITS THE REGION. WIND GUSTS NEAR 30 KNOTS OVER 
LAKE ST. CLAIR AND WESTERN LAKE ERIE WILL ALSO REQUIRE A SMALL CRAFT 
ADVISORY REMAIN IN EFFECT DURING THE MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING 
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY WILL THEN BRING IMPROVED WIND CONDITIONS FOR 
ALL AREAS TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
ORGANIZING OVER THE PLAINS STATES WILL BRING A HIGH CHANCE OF RAIN 
TO MARINE AREAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY ALONG WITH MODERATE 
SOUTHERLY WIND SHIFTING TO THE WEST AS THE LOW MOVES THROUGH THE 
GREAT LAKES. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN HIGH PRESSURE 
BY FRIDAY THAT WILL HOLD INTO SATURDAY.

LHZ362-363-421-441-462>464-311400-
/O.EXT.KDTX.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
341 AM EDT TUE OCT 31 2017

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED 
  WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 36 KNOTS. 
  THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 9 FEET WITH A 
  POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 13 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ444-311400-
/O.EXT.KDTX.LO.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
341 AM EDT TUE OCT 31 2017

...LOW WATER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THE LOW WATER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

* WATER LEVELS...WILL REMAIN NEAR THE CRITICAL MARK FOR SAFE
  NAVIGATION, WHICH IS 13 INCHES ABOVE CHART DATUM UNTIL LATE
  TONIGHT.

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  31 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EDT MONDAY
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-311400-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
LAKE ST CLAIR-
341 AM EDT TUE OCT 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 28 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 3 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 AM EDT TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ422-311400-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
341 AM EDT TUE OCT 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 27 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 7 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-311400-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
341 AM EDT TUE OCT 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  27 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EDT TUESDAY 
  WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 3 AM EDT TUESDAY. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JVC
049 
WHUS73 KDTX 311402
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1002 AM EDT TUE OCT 31 2017

...WIND AND WAVES DECREASING TODAY...

.HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE OHIO VALLEY WILL THEN BRING 
IMPROVED WIND CONDITIONS FOR ALL AREAS TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THE
NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ORGANIZING OVER THE PLAINS STATES WILL 
BRING A HIGH CHANCE OF RAIN TO MARINE AREAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND 
THURSDAY ALONG WITH MODERATE SOUTHERLY WIND SHIFTING TO THE WEST 
AS THE LOW MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES. THE ASSOCIATED COLD 
FRONT WILL USHER IN HIGH PRESSURE BY FRIDAY THAT WILL HOLD INTO 
SATURDAY.

LHZ421-441-312000-
/O.EXP.KDTX.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0073.171031T1402Z-171031T2000Z/
OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER
SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-
1002 AM EDT TUE OCT 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 6 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 8 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY. 

THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ362-363-462>464-311515-
/O.EXP.KDTX.GL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND
5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF
SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE-
1002 AM EDT TUE OCT 31 2017

...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

LEZ444-312000-
/O.EXP.KDTX.LO.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
/O.EXP.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0073.171031T1402Z-171031T2000Z/
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI-
1002 AM EDT TUE OCT 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 4 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 5 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY. 

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE LOW WATER
ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LCZ460-312000-
/O.EXP.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0073.171031T1402Z-171031T2000Z/
LAKE ST CLAIR-
1002 AM EDT TUE OCT 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 22 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  26 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 3 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY. 

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ422-312000-
/O.EXP.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0073.171031T1402Z-171031T2000Z/
INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI-
1002 AM EDT TUE OCT 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 24 KNOTS FROM THE WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  32 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 
  FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY. 

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-312000-
/O.EXP.KDTX.SC.Y.0072.000000T0000Z-171031T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0073.171031T1402Z-171031T2000Z/
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI-
1002 AM EDT TUE OCT 31 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...EXPECT 
  SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 21 KNOTS FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS 
  UP TO 28 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL 
  BE 3 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 4 FEET. 

* TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 AM EDT 
  TUESDAY. 

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 29, 2:19 PM EDT, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 29, 2:19 PM EDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
219 PM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017

.AVIATION...

Trough axis is starting to shift to the east with subsidence
beginning to clear out the clouds from NW to SE across southeast
Michigan. Mostly low end VFR conditions expect through the rest of
the afternoon under W/NW winds around 10 kts or less. Gradual wind
shift to the west remaining light this evening through the to the
overnight as clouds begin to break up. Increasing clouds and gusty
winds out of the W/SW expected by tomorrow morning ahead of an
approaching cold front. Gusts up to 20-30 knots will be possibly
throughout the afternoon. Lake enhanced showers are possible
throughout the morning, but do not expect enough coverage at this
time to mention in the TAFs.

For DTW... CIGS below 5kft will persist through the afternoon before
clouds break up later this evening. Sub 5kft cloud deck will return
in the morning as a cold front approaches and winds increase out of
the west southwest at 10-20 knots with gusts between 20-30 knots.

//DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

* High confidence in cigs aob 5kft through this afternoon and again
  Monday morning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
Issued at 357 AM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017

DISCUSSION...

Mid level subsidence will continue to take hold over lower Michigan
today as the moisture starved upper trough moves eastward and is
replaced by the short wave ridge between systems. At the same time,
boundary layer moisture is adequate for residual low level cyclonic
flow to maintain a muddled low cloud pattern during the early
morning with a boost from Lake Michigan. This is already weakly
forced and will remain so as the surface trough fills in favor of
weak high pressure by late in the day. This progression will result
in dry conditions for SE Michigan but leave a wide variation of
cloud cover, especially during the morning, before daytime surface
heating fills in some of the breaks. There is some confidence in the
diurnal component of cloud generation as the low level thermal
trough will linger over the region, both of which will limit high
temperatures to the 40s once again.

The surface ridge axis will be slow to exit eastward tonight despite
the next low pressure system closing in on the Great Lakes from
central Canada. A modest decrease in low clouds during the evening
will then be quickly replaced by thickening high clouds as warm
advection ramps up aloft. The low to mid level theta-e advection
will lead to a wedge of warmer air within the occlusion over lower
Michigan as the surface low arrives over Lake Superior. This favors
an all rain scenario for the light precipitation field that will be
possible before the mid level dry slot surges in during Monday
morning. At this point, the GFS is taken as the most representative
forecast sounding when considering the character of the incoming
theta-e ridge. It offers a 1000 ft warm layer with above freezing
surface temperatures in the Tri Cities where precipitation will be
possible first. There is a wide range of output in model soundings
that indicate enough additional wet bulb cooling potential for a mix
of snow. That being said, the precipitation rate and duration is
still only generating mid chance POPs and is expected to render wet
bulb cooling less effective in this case.

Strong wind gusts will be the main concern by Monday afternoon. The
rapid advancement of the mid level dry slot Monday morning will
coincide with modest low level cold advection, enough to deepen the
mixed layer to about 800 mb. This will occur as the wind field ramps
up through the day due to the merger of the Great Lakes low with the
large and strongly deepening Atlantic system moving through the New
England states into southern Quebec. Expect surface wind gusts will
easily reach 35 mph over SE Michigan land areas before slowly
decoupling during Monday evening. Also, not too surprising trialing
an occluded front, the incoming low level air mass will be relatively
moist. This will allow scattered showers to materialize through the
afternoon, especially after convection gets a boost from Lake
Michigan. A chance POP is maintained from the morning moisture
pattern just transitioning into shower potential after the dry slot
eases up on larger scale subsidence. There is some indication in high
res model output, such as the 3km NAM, that shower potential will be
adequate for locally stronger wind gusts.

The Quebec system will pull away enough by Tuesday to ease up on the
wind over the Great Lakes while leaving a surface trough/cold front
over the region. A series of weak short waves are then projected to
interact with the trough Tuesday and Tuesday night for a low chance
of light rain during the warmest portion of the afternoon and
evening. These short waves will move through a long wave pattern
gradually shifting the upper trough westward into the Plains by
Wednesday before trending more zonal Thursday. The net result in the
Great Lakes will be an active precipitation pattern within an
overall warming trend ahead of the next cold front still on schedule
to arrive Friday. There is loose agreement among the global models
on solutions that show that front stalling in the Ohio valley at the
surface while the mid levels remain active enough for a chance of
rain during the weekend over lower Michigan.

MARINE...

Light northerly flow will dominate today as weak high pressure
builds in from the west. By late this evening a cyclone will rapidly
deepen off the Mid-Atlantic coast and wrap inland over Interior New
England by Monday morning. A depression in the surface pressure
field will then extend westward across the Great Lakes as this storm
phases with an approaching Canadian low. The result will be winds
rapidly backing to the southwest on Monday morning and ramping up to
sustained near-gales by Monday evening. Gusts to gales are likely
throughout this time. The gale watch remains in effect and has been
expanded to include Saginaw Bay and the tip of the Thumb. An upgrade
to a gale warning is likely later today.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
Lake Huron...Gale Watch from Monday morning through late Monday night for LHZ362-
     363-421-422-441-462>464.

Lake St Clair...NONE.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...NONE.
&&

AVIATION.....AA
DISCUSSION...BT
MARINE.......JVC

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 29, 4:20 AM EDT, 11 hours 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
420 AM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-300830-
Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-
St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
420 AM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for southeast Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-300830-
Lake St Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
Lake Huron from 5NM east of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Lt
beyond 5 NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Point MI beyond 5NM
off shore-
Lake Huron from Sturgeon Point to Alabaster MI beyond 5NM off shore-
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner Saginaw
Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron beyond 5NM Off Shore-
420 AM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Huron and Lake St Clair.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

A gale watch is in effect Monday and Monday night for Saginaw Bay and
Lake Huron south of Presque Isle. Small craft advisories also will
likely be needed for Lake St Clair and western Lake Erie. Please see
the latest marine forecasts for details.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.

BT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 29, 3:44 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryDTX42 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Michigan, 2017Every gale warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.