Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Dodge City, KS

937 
WWUS43 KDDC 280914
WSWDDC

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
414 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

KSZ085-282100-
/O.EXA.KDDC.WS.A.0002.170429T1200Z-170501T0000Z/
Stevens-
Including the city of Hugoton
414 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a Winter
Storm Watch, which is in effect from Saturday morning through
Sunday evening. 

* TIMING...The event will start as all rain late Friday night 
  and into Saturday morning. A transition from rain to all snow 
  is expected Saturday afternoon and evening as colder air works 
  in from the northwest. The snow axis will spread to the east 
  Sunday with additional accumulation possible during this 
  period. Winds will also increase through the weekend with 
  strong northerly winds late Saturday and continuing through 
  Sunday. 

* MAIN IMPACT...Heavy wet snow with strong winds could result in 
  downed tree limbs and possible power outages. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...Travel could become hazardous with slick roads 
  and reduced visibilities. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 to 8 inches with locally higher amounts 
  to 10 inches. These amounts will be fine tuned as the event 
  draws near and certainty increases. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow...sleet...or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

KSZ043-061-062-074-075-084-282100-
/O.CON.KDDC.WS.A.0002.170429T1200Z-170501T0000Z/
Scott-Hamilton-Kearny-Stanton-Grant-Morton-
Including the cities of Scott City, Scott State Lake, Syracuse, 
Lakin, Deerfield, Johnson City, Ulysses, and Elkhart
414 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017 /314 AM MDT Fri Apr 28 2017/

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

* TIMING...The event will start as all rain late Friday night 
  and into Saturday morning. A transition from rain to all snow 
  is expected Saturday afternoon and evening as colder air works 
  in from the northwest. The snow axis will spread to the east 
  Sunday with additional accumulation possible during this 
  period. Winds will also increase through the weekend with 
  strong northerly winds late Saturday and continuing through 
  Sunday. 

* MAIN IMPACT...Heavy wet snow with strong winds could result in 
  downed tree limbs and possible power outages. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...Travel could become hazardous with slick roads 
  and reduced visibilities. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 to 8 inches with locally higher amounts 
  to 10 inches. These amounts will be fine tuned as the event 
  draws near and certainty increases. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow...sleet...or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

331 
WWUS43 KDDC 281505
WSWDDC

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1005 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

KSZ063-076-086-282315-
/O.EXA.KDDC.WS.A.0002.170429T1200Z-170501T0000Z/
Finney-Haskell-Seward-
Including the cities of Garden City, Sublette, Satanta, 
and Liberal
1005 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a Winter
Storm Watch, which is in effect from Saturday morning through
Sunday evening. 

* TIMING...The event will start as all rain late Friday night 
  and into Saturday morning. A transition from rain to all snow 
  is expected Saturday afternoon and evening as colder air works 
  in from the northwest. The snow axis will spread to the east 
  Sunday with additional accumulation possible during this 
  period. Winds will also increase through the weekend with 
  strong northerly winds late Saturday and continuing through 
  Sunday. 

* MAIN IMPACT...Heavy wet snow with strong winds could result in 
  downed tree limbs and possible power outages. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...Travel could become hazardous with slick roads 
  and reduced visibilities. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 to 8 inches with locally higher amounts 
  to 10 inches. These amounts will be fine tuned as the event 
  draws near and certainty increases. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow...sleet...or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

KSZ043-061-062-074-075-084-085-282315-
/O.CON.KDDC.WS.A.0002.170429T1200Z-170501T0000Z/
Scott-Hamilton-Kearny-Stanton-Grant-Morton-Stevens-
Including the cities of Scott City, Scott State Lake, Syracuse, 
Lakin, Deerfield, Johnson City, Ulysses, Elkhart, and Hugoton
1005 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017 /905 AM MDT Fri Apr 28 2017/

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

* TIMING...The event will start as all rain late Friday night 
  and into Saturday morning. A transition from rain to all snow 
  is expected Saturday afternoon and evening as colder air works 
  in from the northwest. The snow axis will spread to the east 
  Sunday with additional accumulation possible during this 
  period. Winds will also increase through the weekend with 
  strong northerly winds late Saturday and continuing through 
  Sunday. 

* MAIN IMPACT...Heavy wet snow with strong winds could result in 
  downed tree limbs and possible power outages. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...Travel could become hazardous with slick roads 
  and reduced visibilities. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 to 8 inches with locally higher amounts 
  to 10 inches. These amounts will be fine tuned as the event 
  draws near and certainty increases. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow...sleet...or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

741 
WWUS43 KDDC 281538 CCA
WSWDDC

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1038 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

KSZ063-076-086-290345-
/O.COR.KDDC.WS.A.0002.170429T1200Z-170501T0000Z/
Finney-Haskell-Seward-
Including the cities of Garden City, Sublette, Satanta, 
and Liberal
1038 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a Winter
Storm Watch, which is in effect from Saturday morning through
Sunday evening. 

* TIMING...Beginning early Saturday morning west of Highway 83 to
  Colorado border. Beginning Saturday midday or afternoon along 
  and east of Highway 83.

* MAIN IMPACT...Heavy wet snow with strong winds could result in 
  downed tree limbs and possible power outages. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...Travel could become hazardous with slick roads 
  and reduced visibilities. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 to 8 inches with locally higher amounts 
  to 10 inches. These amounts will be fine tuned as the event 
  draws near and certainty increases. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow...sleet...or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

KSZ043-061-062-074-075-084-085-290345-
/O.COR.KDDC.WS.A.0002.170429T1200Z-170501T0000Z/
Scott-Hamilton-Kearny-Stanton-Grant-Morton-Stevens-
Including the cities of Scott City, Scott State Lake, Syracuse, 
Lakin, Deerfield, Johnson City, Ulysses, Elkhart, and Hugoton
1038 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017 /938 AM MDT Fri Apr 28 2017/

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

* TIMING...Beginning early Saturday morning west of Highway 83 to
  Colorado border. Beginning Saturday midday or afternoon along 
  and east of Highway 83.

* MAIN IMPACT...Heavy wet snow with strong winds could result in 
  downed tree limbs and possible power outages. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...Travel could become hazardous with slick roads 
  and reduced visibilities. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...4 to 8 inches with locally higher amounts 
  to 10 inches. These amounts will be fine tuned as the event 
  draws near and certainty increases. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow...sleet...or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

592 
WWUS43 KDDC 282035
WSWDDC

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
335 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

KSZ061-062-074-075-084-085-290900-
/O.UPG.KDDC.WS.A.0002.170429T1200Z-170501T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KDDC.WS.W.0001.170429T0900Z-170501T0000Z/
Hamilton-Kearny-Stanton-Grant-Morton-Stevens-
Including the cities of Syracuse, Lakin, Deerfield, Johnson City,
Ulysses, Elkhart, and Hugoton
335 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017 /235 PM MDT Fri Apr 28 2017/

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/
SATURDAY TO 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a Winter
Storm Warning for Heavy Snow, which is in effect from 4 AM CDT /3
AM MDT/ Saturday to 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ Sunday. The Winter Storm 
Watch is no longer in effect. 

* TIMING...Beginning early Saturday morning. Snow may mix with or
  temporarily change to rain in the afternoon. Heaviest snow
  Saturday Night and Sunday.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 to 12 inches with locally higher amounts.
 
* WIND...North at 25 to 40 mph, gusting to 55 mph Sunday.
 
* MAIN IMPACT...Severe impacts likely! Widespread tree damage
  possible due to loading on trees from heavy, wet snow. Lateral
  wind load will exacerbate loading issues on vulnerable trees
  with significant foliage. Expect power outages.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring.  Significant amounts of
snow are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in
an emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight...
food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

KSZ030-031-044-045-064-077-078-087-290900-
/O.EXA.KDDC.WS.A.0002.170429T1200Z-170501T0000Z/
Trego-Ellis-Lane-Ness-Hodgeman-Gray-Ford-Meade-
Including the cities of Wakeeney, Pheifer, Hays, Dighton, 
Ness City, Jetmore, Hanston, Cimarron, Montezuma, Dodge City, 
Meade, Plains City, and Fowler
335 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a Winter
Storm Watch, which is in effect from Saturday morning through
Sunday evening. 

* TIMING...Beginning Saturday evening. Heaviest snow during the
  day Sunday.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 to 7 inches.
 
* WIND...North at 25 to 40 mph, gusting to 55 mph Sunday.
 
* MAIN IMPACT...Significant impacts likely! Expect some tree limb
  damage due to loading on trees from heavy, wet snow. Lateral
  wind load will exacerbate loading issues on vulnerable trees
  with significant foliage. Some power interruptions possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow...sleet...or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

KSZ043-063-076-086-290900-
/O.CON.KDDC.WS.A.0002.170429T1200Z-170501T0000Z/
Scott-Finney-Haskell-Seward-
Including the cities of Scott City, Scott State Lake, 
Garden City, Sublette, Satanta, and Liberal
335 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

* TIMING...Beginning during the day Saturday. Snow may mix with 
  or temporarily change to rain in the afternoon. Heaviest snow 
  Saturday Night and Sunday.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 to 12 inches with locally higher amounts.
 
* WIND...North at 25 to 40 mph, gusting to 55 mph Sunday.
 
* MAIN IMPACT...Severe impacts likely! Widespread tree damage
  possible due to loading on trees from heavy, wet snow. Lateral
  wind load will exacerbate loading issues on vulnerable trees
  with significant foliage. Expect power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow...sleet...or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

705 
WWUS43 KDDC 290253
WSWDDC

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
953 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

KSZ061-062-074-075-084-085-291100-
/O.CON.KDDC.WS.W.0001.170429T0900Z-170501T0000Z/
Hamilton-Kearny-Stanton-Grant-Morton-Stevens-
Including the cities of Syracuse, Lakin, Deerfield, Johnson City,
Ulysses, Elkhart, and Hugoton
953 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017 /853 PM MDT Fri Apr 28 2017/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM CDT /3 AM
MDT/ SATURDAY TO 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ SUNDAY...

* TIMING...Rain will change to snow Saturday morning and persist
  through Sunday. Snow will be heavy at times.
  

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 to 12 inches with locally higher amounts.

* WIND...North at 25 to 40 mph, gusting to 55 mph Sunday.

* MAIN IMPACT...Severe impacts likely! Widespread tree damage 
  possible due to loading on trees from heavy, wet snow. Lateral 
  wind load will exacerbate loading issues on vulnerable trees 
  with significant foliage. Expect power outages. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring.  Significant amounts of
snow are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in
an emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight...
food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

KSZ030-031-043>045-063-064-076>078-086-087-291100-
/O.CON.KDDC.WS.A.0002.170429T1200Z-170501T0000Z/
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Finney-Hodgeman-Haskell-Gray-Ford-
Seward-Meade-
Including the cities of Wakeeney, Pheifer, Hays, Scott City, 
Scott State Lake, Dighton, Ness City, Garden City, Jetmore, 
Hanston, Sublette, Satanta, Cimarron, Montezuma, Dodge City, 
Liberal, Meade, Plains City, and Fowler
953 PM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

* TIMING...Beginning Saturday evening. Heaviest snow during the 
  day Sunday. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 to 7 inches.

* WIND...North at 25 to 40 mph, gusting to 55 mph Sunday.

* MAIN IMPACT...Significant impacts likely! Expect some tree 
  limb damage due to loading on trees from heavy, wet snow. 
  Lateral wind load will exacerbate loading issues on vulnerable 
  trees with significant foliage. Some power interruptions 
  possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow...sleet...or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.

&&

$$

047 
WWUS43 KDDC 290858
WSWDDC

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
358 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

KSZ030-044-292100-
/O.UPG.KDDC.WS.A.0002.170429T1200Z-170501T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KDDC.WS.W.0001.170430T0000Z-170501T0000Z/
Trego-Lane-
Including the cities of Wakeeney and Dighton
358 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
CDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a Winter
Storm Warning for Heavy Snow, which is in effect from 7 PM this 
evening to 7 PM CDT Sunday. The Winter Storm Watch is no longer in
effect.


* TIMING...Beginning early tonight. The steadiest and heaviest
  snow will late tonight through Sunday.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 to 9 inches with locally higher amounts.

* WIND...North at 25 to 40 mph, gusting to 55 mph Sunday.

* MAIN IMPACT...Significant impacts likely! Expect tree limb
  damage due to loading on trees from heavy, wet snow and strong
  gusty winds. Power interruptions possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring.  Significant amounts of
snow are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in
an emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight...
food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.


&&

$$

KSZ043-063-076-292100-
/O.UPG.KDDC.WS.A.0002.170429T1200Z-170501T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KDDC.WS.W.0001.170429T0900Z-170501T0000Z/
Scott-Finney-Haskell-
Including the cities of Scott City, Scott State Lake, 
Garden City, Sublette, and Satanta
358 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a Winter
Storm Warning for heavy snow, which is in effect until 7 PM CDT 
Sunday. The Winter Storm Watch is no longer in effect. 

* TIMING...Rain will change to snow this morning and persist 
  through Sunday. Snow will be heavy at times.
  

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 to 12 inches with locally heavier amounts.

* WIND...North at 25 to 40 mph, gusting to 55 mph Sunday.

* MAIN IMPACT...Significant impacts likely! Expect tree limb
  damage due to loading on trees from heavy, wet snow and strong
  gusty winds. Power interruptions possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an 
emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight... 
food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

KSZ061-062-074-075-084-085-292100-
/O.CON.KDDC.WS.W.0001.170429T0900Z-170501T0000Z/
Hamilton-Kearny-Stanton-Grant-Morton-Stevens-
Including the cities of Syracuse, Lakin, Deerfield, Johnson City,
Ulysses, Elkhart, and Hugoton
358 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017 /258 AM MDT Sat Apr 29 2017/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT /6 PM
MDT/ SUNDAY...

* TIMING...Rain will change to snow this morning and persist 
  through Sunday. Snow will be heavy at times. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...8 to 12 inches with locally higher amounts.

* WIND...North at 25 to 40 mph, gusting to 55 mph Sunday.

* MAIN IMPACT...Significant impacts likely! Expect tree limb
  damage due to loading on trees from heavy, wet snow and strong
  gusty winds. Power interruptions possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring.  Significant amounts of
snow are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in
an emergency. If you must travel...keep an extra flashlight...
food...and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

KSZ031-045-064-077-078-086-087-292100-
/O.UPG.KDDC.WS.A.0002.170429T1200Z-170501T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KDDC.WW.Y.0003.170430T0000Z-170501T0000Z/
Ellis-Ness-Hodgeman-Gray-Ford-Seward-Meade-
Including the cities of Pheifer, Hays, Ness City, Jetmore, 
Hanston, Cimarron, Montezuma, Dodge City, Liberal, Meade, 
Plains City, and Fowler
358 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM CDT SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a Winter
Weather Advisory for snow, which is in effect from 7 PM this 
evening to 7 PM CDT Sunday. The Winter Storm Watch is no longer in
effect.


* TIMING...Beginning early this evening. Heaviest likely after
  sunset through Sunday afternoon

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...2 to 5 inches.

* WIND...North at 25 to 40 mph, gusting to 55 mph Sunday.

* MAIN IMPACT...Heavy wet snow with strong winds could result in 
  downed tree limbs and possible power outages. 

* OTHER IMPACTS...Travel could become hazardous with slick roads 
  and reduced visibilities. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Winter Weather Advisory for snow means that periods of snow will 
cause primarily travel difficulties. Be prepared for snow covered 
roads and limited visibilities...and use caution while driving.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1200 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...updated aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 105 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

Thick cloud cover across SW Kansas this afternoon along with
breezy SE winds. HRRR model generates scattered convection across
the western zones by 4-5 pm, then subsequently moving eastward
across the CWA this evening. Storms may intensify some along with
some linear segments, allowing for some cold pool generation and
strong outflow winds. Moisture and instability are limited, but
high-based thunderstorms will pose a primary risk of wind gusts of
50-60 mph through this evening. Strongest cores may have nickel to
quarter size hail, but this is a secondary concern. As shortwave
energy rotates through tonight, shower activity and embedded
thunder will rotate NE into northern Kansas. Dry with partial
clearing expected by sunrise Friday, with lows ranging from the
upper 30s NW to upper 40s SE.

Much of Friday will be dry, as strong closed low sinks south to
the Four Corners by evening. Enough sunshine expected for the
first half of the day to allow for afternoon temperatures well
into the 60s. Diffluence aloft will begin increasing during the
afternoon, with increasing clouds, and scattered rain showers and
embedded thunder across western zones by late afternoon. Any
rainfall through 7 pm Friday appears insignificant. Widespread
stratiform rain, moderate to heavy at times, is expected to arrive
Friday evening/night.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 250 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

...Strong and wet late season winter storm expected this
weekend...

Yet another beneficial rainfall event is on its way to SW Kansas.
Widespread rain, moderate to heavy at times, is expected Friday
night through Saturday morning. Warm advection/isentropic lift
will be intense during this timeframe, with around an inch of rain
likely during Friday night alone. SW Kansas will be entrenched in
the cold conveyor belt, with not enough elevated instability to
warrant a thunder mention. Still, mesoscale bands of heavy rain
are expected. Minor flooding and ponding issues. Parent upper low
expected to be in NW New Mexico 7 am Saturday.

Upper low digs SE during the day on Saturday, ending up in SE New
Mexico by 7 pm. With this more southerly track, dynamic lift will
continue to support rain, albeit at gradually lessening intensity,
throughout the day Saturday. While there may be a few breaks in
the rain late in the day, Saturday will generally be a washout
with another 0.25-0.75 of QPF. Rain may mix with wet snow at times
on the higher terrain of the western counties early Saturday
morning, but no accumulations are expected...yet. Unseasonably
cold, with strong NE winds and cold air advection and rain holding
temperatures in the 38-45 range. The record coldest high
temperature at Dodge City for April 29th is 39/1994, and we won't
be much warmer than that.

Strong upper low strengthens further Saturday night, ending up
near Childress at 7 am Sunday. This storm track will be ideal for
setting up the deformation zone over SW Kansas. With strong lift,
likely pops are warranted. The much harder part of the forecast is
one of thermodynamics and the expected phase change from cold rain
to wet snow. Concensus of models spreads the rain/snow line
eastward across the western 1/2 of the CWA through sunrise Sunday.
Some accumulations expected on grassy/elevated surfaces from Dodge
City westward, especially before sunrise. 12z ECMWF strongly
suggests a snow changeover for the western 2/3 of the CWA, with
850 mb temperatures falling to -2/-3C. This would get snowflakes
to the ground, but impacts on trees and powerlines will come down
to surface air temperatures, forecasted to be in the 30-35 range.
Areas with subfreezing surface temperatures in the heavy snow
bands may experience significant tree/power line damage, given
north winds will be gusting near 40 mph. Roads will remain wet to
at most occasionally slushy; still, a winter weather headline will
likely be required. Snow amount grids came up with 1-4 inches
across the western counties, and was accepted as a good start for
now.

Strongest forcing expected Sunday morning, as upper low
intensifies to near 544 dm near Medicine Lodge by 1 pm Sunday.
Pops are likely, and will need to be raised to categorical. Heavy
wet snow is expected to continue across the western 1/2 of the CWA
for several hours Sunday morning, rain elsewhere. All models show
deformation precipitation continuing, and changing back to rain,
through Sunday afternoon. This will be another wet cyclone for SW
Kansas, with stormtotalQPF grids for this event 1-2 inches
widespread. Wraparound rain finally ends across the NE zones
Sunday evening. Another cold day Sunday in the 40s, followed by
near freezing temperatures Monday morning. Winter isn't done with
us just yet!

Monday and Tuesday...Dry, with afternoon temperatures back in the
60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Fri Apr 28 2017

Mid level clouds will continue through the overnight. TSRA will be
possible as well at KHYS as a complex moves through early this morning.
Widespread RA is expected to impact the terminals late this evening
with MVFR or even IFR cigs possible. There will be a wind shift today
with the SE winds becoming NW to NE. Wind magnitudes will be fairly
light with such a light nondescript MSLP gradient.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  43  68  37  41 /  50  20  90  90
GCK  40  64  35  38 /  80  30  80  80
EHA  41  64  34  36 /  10  30  80  90
LBL  42  66  39  40 /  20  20  90  80
HYS  43  60  38  41 /  80  20  80  90
P28  48  72  44  48 /  70  10  80  90

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Turner
LONG TERM...Turner
AVIATION...Sugden

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
752 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-281015-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
752 AM CDT Thu Apr 27 2017 /652 AM MDT Thu Apr 27 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop late
this afternoon. A few storms could become severe along a warm
front extending from west central into south central Kansas
Thursday afternoon. Quarter to golf ball size hail and damaging
winds will be the main threats.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Limited risk
* Lightning: Elevated risk
* Fire weather: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------
A strong spring storm system will impact the central High Plains
by Friday night into the weekend. This storm is expected to
produce significant rainfall across the area. In addition, rain is
expected to mix with or change over to snow over parts of western
Kansas. Snowfall amounts are difficult to tell, especially given
the warm ground temperatures, but some locations near the Colorado
border could see upwards of 2 to 5 inches but locally higher
amounts may be possible in the higher elevations.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Freeze: Elevated risk
  - Snow: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Freeze: Significant risk
  - Snow: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Freeze: Significant risk
  - Snow: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Freeze: Elevated risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
903 PM CDT THU APR 27 2017

KSZ043-280300-
Scott KS-
903 PM CDT THU APR 27 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SCOTT COUNTY UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...

At 900 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 3
miles east of Modoc, or 5 miles west of Scott City, moving east at
30 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Scott City, Modoc, Grigston, Shallow Water, Pence, Manning, Scott
State Lake and The Tractor Elevator.

LAT...LON 3870 10069 3827 10069 3827 10112 3870 10112
TIME...MOT...LOC 0200Z 270DEG 60KT 3849 10102

TATRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1001 PM CDT THU APR 27 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             4 ESE SYRACUSE          37.97N 101.69W
04/27/2017  E1.50 INCH       HAMILTON           KS   STORM CHASER

            QUARTER TO PING PONG SIZE HAIL WAS OBSERVED
            ALONG HIGHWAY 400.

&&

MU