Severe Thunderstorm Warning 260, NWS Dodge City, KS

709 
WWUS53 KDDC 072342
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
642 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

KSC033-080000-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0260.000000T0000Z-170708T0000Z/
Comanche KS-
642 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN COMANCHE COUNTY...

At 641 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located very near
Buttermilk, or 10 miles south of Coldwater, moving southeast at 20
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Coldwater, Buttermilk and Lake Coldwater. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 9945 3728 9937 3718 9901 3700 9928
      3700 9947
TIME...MOT...LOC 2341Z 314DEG 17KT 3712 9930 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

RUSSELL

745 
WWUS53 KDDC 072352
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
652 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

KSC033-080002-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0260.000000T0000Z-170708T0000Z/
Comanche KS-
652 PM CDT FRI JUL 7 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN COMANCHE COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 700 PM CDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 3720 9945 3728 9937 3718 9901 3700 9928
      3700 9947
TIME...MOT...LOC 2352Z 314DEG 17KT 3708 9925 

$$

RUSSELL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
303 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 255 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

A surface-850 mb frontal zone spreading southward later this
afternoon will allow for boundary layer moisture pooling just ahead
of it, mainly over south southern into west central counties. This
will be the favored area for isolated to a few strong to severe
storms in the 23-02Z timeframe. HRRR remains ambitious with
convective development this afternoon, while the morning runs of
WRF/NMM/ARW have backed off significantly from this surface based
development, while maintaining the solutions of all models for more
widespread convective development, aided by a shortwave exiting the
central Rockies very late evening and overnight.

Combination of post synoptic front and possible modified surface air
from convection could keep temperatures Saturday as much as 10
degrees cooler than this afternoon, although reality may only bring
about 5 degrees off. The thunderstorms risk appears similar late
Saturday with possibility of isolated widely scattered hail/wind
storm late day or evening with any minor vort max dropping though
the northwest flow.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 255 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

Pattern adjusts by Sunday with strong southwest 850 mb downslope
surface flow over the entire area. This will bring an end to the 60s
dew points in the forecast area, although dew points may still be
in the 50s across south central Kansas counties. The drier air
will also mean hotter temperatures heading into midweek, with very
low chances for organized thunderstorms as the upper high across
the southwest states extends it's influence into the central and
southern plains.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

A narrow band of higher cape will be focused along a south moving
cold front late this afternoon, where isolated/widely scattered
thunderstorms may be focused with some severe potential for
golfball hail and locally damaging winds. Thunderstorms with more
areal coverage are possible after midnight through the overnight
hours as a shortwave exits the Rockies into the Central High
Plains.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  67  89  68  97 /  60  20  20  10
GCK  65  91  65  98 /  60  10  20   0
EHA  64  94  66  97 /  50  10  20  10
LBL  66  94  68  98 /  50  10  20  10
HYS  63  88  67  97 /  50  20  20   0
P28  70  88  70  96 /  70  30  10  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...Russell
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...Russell

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
414 AM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-080915-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
414 AM CDT Fri Jul 7 2017 /314 AM MDT Fri Jul 7 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

There is a chance of thunderstorms this afternoon and evening.
A few of these storms could be severe with hail as large as
golf balls and wind gusts to 60 mph.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Hail: Limited risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Limited risk
* Flooding: Limited risk
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

There is a small chance of thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and
evening. These storms could be severe with hail as large as half
dollars and wind gusts to 60 mph.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Saturday
  - Flooding: Limited risk
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Thursday
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

jf