Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS State College, PA

July 28, 2017Cambria County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this special weather statement at Jul 28, 2017, 4:07 PM EDT for Cambria County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 28, 2017, 4:07 PM EDT (20:07 UTC)
Expired
Jul 28, 2017, 4:30 PM EDT
In force
23 min
Issued by
NWS State College, PA

County Cambria County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2017-07-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 161 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2017-07-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -73 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
161 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-48 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
747 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-73 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 28, 3:09 PM EDT, 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 28, 3:09 PM EDT, 58 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
309 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure system will pass to the south of the state tonight
and push off the coast early Saturday. Behind this system, high
pressure over Great Lakes will build into the region into early
next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
Heavy rain in showers now covers most of the southern tier.
Right in place as they should be/have been expected. PWATs are
near 1.5 in the central Cos and slightly over 2" in the S -
where it has been raining for a few hours already. Flash flood
watch is well- placed. Not much time for more thoughts. Flood
threat is high, but the precip should be much lighter north of
I-80 and some northern tier locations may stay totally dry.
River flooding generally not expected, but some of the smaller
tribs to the Juniata and Lower Main Stem Susq need to be watched
closely.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
Dry air at the sfc makes a quick entry from the north on Sat as
the low pressure deepens to our south. Any showers in the
morning in the srn tier should slink off to the SE. Will linger
a small chc for the lower Susq into the aftn. Temps will be
chillier than normal, but perhaps not quite record mini-maxes.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Weather highlights during the period look rather benign in the
wake of rare July rainstorm more reminiscent of the cool season.
Light rain is still expected to clear out of the far southeast
counties by early Saturday night. High pressure and accompanying
push of abnormally dry/below normal PW air will work into the
area by Sunday with dry and pleasant wx continuing early next
week. Sunday morning minimum temps should feel refreshingly cool
in the mid 40s to mid 50s. Air/water temperature spread should
promote valley fog especially over the northwest Alleghenies.

Looking ahead into next week, the models and ensemble means
show good consensus in depicting a persistent/deepening mean
trough over the eastern U.S. in response to strong/amplifying
upper ridge centered over the Great Basin. A stray shower to
T'storm is possible Tue-Wed as subtle shortwaves rotate ahead of
the main trough axis and warmer temperatures and higher
dewpoints return to the area. A signal is emerging in the latest
guidance for an increasing risk for showers/storms during the
second half of the week as a front progresses east from the
northern Plains. Temperatures should trend warmer Sun-Tue and
peak a few degrees above early August climo values in the warm
sector around midweek.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Mostly VFR at 19Z. However, widespread SHRA/TSRA over the srn
tier will eventually spread into the terminals. Have made
mentions of TS in most of the TAFs except BFD. Heavy rain and
poor vis/cigs are poss even in showers without thunder. Have
mentioned very little IFR for now, and will allow for more
specificity in the fcst for >6hrs.

Dry air does work down from the N early tonight in the nrn tier,
and in the morning in IPT/UNV/AOO. MDT and LNS will have
showers linger longest into Saturday - perhaps even into the
early aftn.

Dry wx with no restrictions should start late Sat.

.OUTLOOK...

Sun...FG/low cigs poss AM. Otherwise no sig wx.

Mon-Wed...No sig wx.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for PAZ024>028-
033>036-056-057-059-063>066.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Dangelo
NEAR TERM...Dangelo
SHORT TERM...Dangelo
LONG TERM...Steinbugl
AVIATION...Dangelo
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 28, 4:56 AM EDT, 11 hours 11 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
456 AM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-058-290900-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-
Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill-
456 AM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ024>028-033-034-290900-
Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-
456 AM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Some storms could contain gusty winds and small hail this afternoon
and evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ035-036-056-057-059-063>066-290900-
Fulton-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-
Lancaster-
456 AM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

Some storms could contain gusty winds and small hail this afternoon
and evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 28, 4:07 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
407 PM EDT FRI JUL 28 2017

PAZ017-024-282030-
Clearfield PA-Cambria PA-
407 PM EDT FRI JUL 28 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PARTS OF CLEARFIELD AND CAMBRIA
COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...

At 407 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm over
Northern Cambria, moving east at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible.

Locations impacted include...
Patton, Blandburg, Carrolltown, Prince Gallitzin State Park, Northern
Cambria, Hastings, Chest Springs, Coalport, Irvona, Westover, Glen
Hope and Ashville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4072 7880 4074 7881 4081 7843 4072 7835
      4065 7840 4064 7844 4060 7844 4056 7847
      4057 7888
TIME...MOT...LOC 2007Z 261DEG 21KT 4065 7875

Jung

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 27, 11:04 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPDauphin26 min
Jul 28, 3:09 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPDauphin3 hr
Jul 28, 12:15 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPAdams, Franklin3 hr
Jul 28, 2:46 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPCambria119 min
Jul 28, 3:07 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPAdams, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, York3 hr
Jul 28, 4:10 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPBedford65 min
Jul 28, 4:22 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPBedford, Blair, Cambria, Fulton, Huntingdon, Somerset113 min
Jul 28, 4:41 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPCambria, Clearfield2 hr
Jul 28, 5:03 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPColumbia, Montour, Northumberland, Snyder, Union57 min
Jul 28, 5:14 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPBedford, Fulton, Huntingdon3 hr
Jul 28, 6:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPSomerset60 min
Jul 28, 6:46 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPBlair, Cambria, Clearfield, Huntingdon119 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Pennsylvania, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.