Severe Thunderstorm Warning 77, NWS State College, PA

533 
WWUS51 KCTP 231931
SVSCTP

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
331 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

PAC055-231941-
/O.CAN.KCTP.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-170623T2000Z/
Franklin PA-
331 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the county. Therefore, the warning for Franklin county has been 
cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for
south central Pennsylvania.

LAT...LON 4013 7759 4018 7762 4021 7761 4023 7761
      4022 7764 4023 7765 4026 7765 4026 7767
      4028 7766 4053 7720 4048 7704 4022 7700
      4012 7756
TIME...MOT...LOC 1931Z 252DEG 38KT 4020 7747 

$$

PAC041-099-232000-
/O.CON.KCTP.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-170623T2000Z/
Cumberland PA-Perry PA-
331 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN CUMBERLAND AND PERRY COUNTIES...

At 331 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Newville,
moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines. 

Locations impacted include...
Carlisle, Mechanicsburg, Newport, Newville, Bloserville, Duncannon,
Wertzville, Plainfield, Loysville and Hogestown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4013 7759 4018 7762 4021 7761 4023 7761
      4022 7764 4023 7765 4026 7765 4026 7767
      4028 7766 4053 7720 4048 7704 4022 7700
      4012 7756
TIME...MOT...LOC 1931Z 252DEG 38KT 4020 7747 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Dangelo

794 
WWUS51 KCTP 231950
SVSCTP

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
350 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

PAC041-099-232000-
/O.CON.KCTP.SV.W.0077.000000T0000Z-170623T2000Z/
Cumberland PA-Perry PA-
350 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN CUMBERLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN PERRY COUNTIES...

At 350 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Carlisle,
moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and power lines. 

Locations impacted include...
Carlisle, Mechanicsburg, Newville, Bloserville, Duncannon,
Wertzville, Plainfield, Hogestown, New Kingstown and Schlusser.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread
significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately
likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of
a building. This storm may cause serious injury and significant
property damage.

&&

LAT...LON 4013 7759 4048 7704 4022 7700 4012 7756
TIME...MOT...LOC 1950Z 260DEG 41KT 4022 7723 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Dangelo

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
258 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
The combination of an approaching frontal system and the
remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy will funnel a plume of deep
tropical moisture into the region today and tonight.
The cold front will push east across the region during the
morning Saturday, followed by drier and cooler air with
comfortable humidity that will last through much of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Showers are becoming more numerous once again as the leading
edge of the deep plume of tropical moisture begins to nose into
western PA.

Additionally on the southern edge of the clouds over the lower
Susq Valley, temperatures have warmed into the 80s. Combined
with dewpoints in the low to mid 70s, ML CAPEs have cooked up
to between 500 and 1000J. Moderate to strong deep layer shear
also is supporting a large area of EHI's over 1 m2s-2, with
much of the lower Susq in excess of 2 m2s-2. So before the heavy
rain threat evolves, we could be dealing with severe storms
with the potential for supercells. SPC has expanded their Slight
Risk to cover much of SRN PA as a result. A Severe Thunderstorm
Watch has been issued for much of southern PA.

Analysis shows PWATs exceeding 2" (2-4 sigma) in a wide plume
from the Louisiana Gulf Coast up into central PA, and moisture
transport vectors indicate a continued advection of this
tropical airmass into our region.

With the convection starting to surge into the area, the
remainder of the afternoon into the evening will just see an
increase in the extent and intensity of the rain. QPF on the
order of 1.00" to 2.50" looks reasonable with the usual embedded
areas of higher amounts which could cause flooding. The most
vulnerable area looks to be the Laurels where instability will
combine with terrain bringing enhanced lift causing localized
heavier amounts. As a result we have issued a Flash Flood Watch
for our SWRN 4 counties.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/...
Conditions will improve rapidly Saturday morning as the deep
moisture speeds eastward. NHC expects whatever is left of Cindy
to be on the MD coast by 8AM so the best of the rain will be
over with drier air sweeping in behind the departing low and
cold front.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Models have trended toward much better agreement with the
evolution of the seasonably strong large scale upper trough over
the Eastern U.S. A couple of shortwave impulses reflecting weak
surface fronts or troughs will provide a limited/mainly diurnal
opportunity for widely scattered showers/isolated low- topped
thunderstorms Sunday-Tuesday. However, much of the this period
will be pleasant and dry with below normal PW supporting low
humidity and below normal temperatures relative to late June
climatology.

The trough is fcst to lift out and leave a more zonal pattern by
the middle of the week, followed by a resurgence of the
Southeast U.S. upper ridge. Models and ensembles show the ridge
breaking down in the west as a trough shifts east across the
Rockies into the Plains. Southerly flow increasing ahead of its
attendant frontal system should result in an upward/warmer trend
in temperatures accompanied by low level moisture/humidity.
Expect max/min temps to get back to seasonal levels around
midweek and likely reaching above normal levels by next Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Widespread MVFR/IFR remains in place across central PA this
aftn, as the remnants of TS Cindy make their way across the
area. Showers are moving in from the west, some with locally
heavy downpours and sudden reductions in vsby. Thunderstorms
should develop as well, especially across srn PA where the sun
has come out. Storms may contain gusty winds.

Showers/storms will persist into this eve and tonight, with
localized downpours remaining likely. This will result in
significant reductions in both vsbys and cigs.

Gradual improvement to VFR is expected area-wide on Saturday,
as the system pulls east of the region.

.OUTLOOK...

Sat...Scattered restrictions in AM showers...otherwise
becoming VFR.

Sun...Mainly VFR.

Mon-Tue...Mainly VFR, but with a chance of SHRA/TSRA.

Tue-Wed...VFR.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
KCCX radar will be offline for approximately 4 days starting
Saturday, June 24th for technicians to install the first of 4
major service-life extension upgrades. The work on the radar has
been scheduled to minimize potential impacts to operations and
will be delayed if hazardous weather is forecast.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch from 6 PM EDT this evening through late
tonight for PAZ024-025-033-034.

&&

SYNOPSIS...La Corte
NEAR TERM...La Corte
SHORT TERM...La Corte
LONG TERM...Steinbugl
AVIATION...Evanego
EQUIPMENT...Steinbugl

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service State College PA
222 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-037-041-042-045-046-049-051-053-241830-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-
Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Montour-Columbia-
222 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Heavy rain may produce short-duration flooding in urban and poor
drainage areas. Road closures are possible. Small streams and creeks
are most susceptible to flooding.

Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ024-025-033-034-241830-
Cambria-Blair-Somerset-Bedford-
222 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 366 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ026>028-035-036-050-052-056>059-063>066-241830-
Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Snyder-Northumberland-
Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
222 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 366 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

Heavy rain may produce short-duration flooding in urban and poor
drainage areas. Road closures are possible. Small streams and creeks
are most susceptible to flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
218 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

PAZ024-025-033-034-231845-
Bedford PA-Somerset PA-Blair PA-Cambria PA-
218 PM EDT FRI JUN 23 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PARTS OF BEDFORD...SOMERSET...
BLAIR...AND CAMBRIA COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

At 217 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated a strong thunderstorm over
Dale, moving east at 55 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph are possible.

Locations impacted include...
Belmont, Johnstown, Windber, Westmont, Portage, Blue Knob State Park,
Salix-Beauty Line Park, Davidsville, Horseshoe Curve, Scalp Level,
Ski Gap, Dunlo, East Conemaugh, St. Michael, Lilly, South Fork,
Ehrenfeld, Queen, Paint and Gallitzin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4032 7903 4038 7898 4051 7846 4021 7847
      4020 7909
TIME...MOT...LOC 1817Z 253DEG 46KT 4030 7891

Evanego