Severe Thunderstorm Warning 11, NWS Cleveland, OH

739 
WWUS51 KCLE 010634
SVSCLE

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
134 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

OHC033-063-101-103-147-169-173-175-010644-
/O.CAN.KCLE.SV.W.0011.000000T0000Z-170301T0700Z/
Seneca OH-Medina OH-Marion OH-Wyandot OH-Crawford OH-Wayne OH-
Wood OH-Hancock OH-
134 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SENECA...SOUTHWESTERN
MEDINA...MARION...WYANDOT...CRAWFORD...WESTERN WAYNE...SOUTHEASTERN
WOOD AND CENTRAL HANCOCK COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 4027 8274 4035 8275 4036 8293 4042 8292
      4046 8287 4053 8285 4073 8272 4106 8256
      4127 8236 4108 8233 4106 8219 4070 8213
      4067 8213 4067 8222 4024 8220
TIME...MOT...LOC 0634Z 243DEG 73KT 4149 8245 4120 8190 4086 8173 

$$

OHC005-075-077-083-093-117-139-010700-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0011.000000T0000Z-170301T0700Z/
Huron OH-Richland OH-Ashland OH-Morrow OH-Lorain OH-Holmes OH-
Knox OH-
134 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN HURON...RICHLAND...ASHLAND...MORROW...SOUTHWESTERN
LORAIN...WESTERN HOLMES AND KNOX COUNTIES...

At 134 AM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 8 miles northwest of Vermilion to near Medina to near
Orrville, moving northeast at 85 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Mansfield, Ashland, Mount Vernon, Mount Gilead, Shelby, Ontario,
Lexington, Loudonville, Fredericktown, New London, Gambier,
Bellville, Centerburg, Danville, Hayesville, Savannah, Polk,
Chesterville, Sparta and Waterford.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4027 8274 4035 8275 4036 8293 4042 8292
      4046 8287 4053 8285 4073 8272 4106 8256
      4127 8236 4108 8233 4106 8219 4070 8213
      4067 8213 4067 8222 4024 8220
TIME...MOT...LOC 0634Z 243DEG 73KT 4149 8245 4120 8190 4086 8173 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Greenawalt

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1243 AM EST Wed Mar 1 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure over the central plains will move northeast across the
Great Lakes Wednesday pulling a cold front across the area followed
by a reinforcing cold front wednesday night. A weak clipper low will
drop southeast across the area Thursday night then high pressure
will push east across the region Friday night and Saturday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Strong to severe thunderstorms headed toward our area from two
different directions at this time on the nose of the upper level
jet maxima. We are watching a line of thunderstorms moving east
out of northwest Indiana and another cluster of thunderstorms
moving northeast through southern Indiana. Latest short term
models still showing activity gradually increasing in areal
coverage with time. Made some adjustments early tonight to
account for better timing of the thunderstorms as they arrive
and develop. Minor adjustments to temperatures as well and they
should remain nearly steady and then begin to rise toward
morning slowly.

Previous Discussion...
The airmass should support only sct convection this evening becoming
more numerous thru the night into Wednesday as a surface cold front
approaches and upper dynamics improve. Some of the storms could be
severe with damaging winds and large hail. There is also a threat
for an isolated tornado. The first of two cold fronts will push ese
across the cwa wed bringing the threat for tsra to an end as it
passes. However, a threat for shra will continue due to strong upper
level dynamics and the approach of the second front. The speed of
the tsra producing heavy rain should help to limit flooding
potential but there are still likely a few spots that see enough
training to probably have a few flood related issues.

Winds will increase to be gusting 30 to 40 mph tonight and wed.
Temps will be falling Wed afternoon but should not get cold enough
for a chg of rain to snow until tomorrow night.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
The reinforcing arctic front will push se across the cwa the first
half of Wed night changing rain to snow. Wrap moisture looks decent
Wed night into Thu so will increase accumulation a little more,
especially in the snowbelt.

A weak clipper type low will drop se across the area late Thu and
Thu night. This will disrupt the flow to limit the lake enhanced
snow showers but also lead to a more widespread snow that should
result in an inch or two for a good part of the cwa. After the
clipper has passed, a return to lake enhanced snow showers appears
likely for Fri. High pressure should push east into the area Fri
night to shut down the lake effect shsn but the models are quickly
showing a band of warm advection moisture and possible light snow
coming into the nw by the end of Fri night.

Warmer than normal temps thru Wed will shift to below normal the
rest of the period as the arctic air moves into the region starting
wed night.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Not many changes to the long term today.   High pressure will slide
across the area on Saturday so the area should be dry.  A weak
disturbance will pass to the northeast on Sunday and could bring
some very light precip to the east end of the area.  A warm front
from low pressure over the Plains will lift across the area for the
end of the weekend bringing precip chances back to the area Sunday
night and especially Monday.  Highs will be seasonable on Saturday
but much above normal weather is again expected for both Sunday and
Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/...
MVFR ceilings will continue tonight with local IFR ceilings.
Showers and thunderstorms will increase and expand in coverage
from the west through the early morning hours. Some storms will
be severe. Damaging winds will be the greatest threat although
large hail and an isolated tornado are possible. Additional
showers and possible thunderstorms will be develop on Wednesday
especially until the cold front moves across the area in the
afternoon. The greatest threat of severe weather may be with the
early morning activity but strong gusty winds of 40 knots or
more are possible with the cold frontal passage Wednesday
afternoon. Ceilings should improve to VFR on Wednesday but local
MVFR and IFR visibilities are likely in the heavier showers.

OUTLOOK...Non-VFR Wednesday night into Friday.

&&

.MARINE...
Southerly winds will gradually increase tonight ahead of an
approaching front.  The front will move across the lake on Wednesday
and will likely see westerly Gales behind the front.  Will go ahead
and issue the Gale Warning with the new package.  Winds will come
down quickly tomorrow so it will be short lived.  West to northwest
flow will continue into the start of the weekend.  A ridge will
cross the lake on Saturday returning the flow to a southerly
direction which will then continue through the end of the period.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EST Thursday for
     LEZ061-146>149-166>169.
     Gale Warning from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 PM EST this
     evening for LEZ142>145-162>165.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Adams
NEAR TERM...Adams/Lombardy
SHORT TERM...Adams
LONG TERM...Kubina
AVIATION...Kosarik
MARINE...Kubina

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
326 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-012030-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-
Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-
Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie-
326 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Thunderstorms are expected to push west to east across the area
tonight. Some storms could produce damaging wind gusts with a lesser
threat for large hail and isolated tornadoes. The greatest threat for
the severe storms will be over the southwest half of the area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorms are expected to continue moving east through northern
Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania Wednesday morning and early afternoon.
Some storms could produce damaging wind gusts.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible.

LEZ142>145-162>165-012030-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
Lake Erie open waters from The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
326 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-146>149-166>169-012030-
Lake Erie open waters from Ripley to Buffalo NY-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Lake Erie open waters from Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Lake Erie open waters from Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
326 PM EST Tue Feb 28 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
659 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2017

OHZ003-006-017-010100-
Wood-Hancock-Lucas-
659 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2017

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WOOD...HANCOCK AND
LUCAS COUNTIES...

At 655 PM EST, radar indicated strong thunderstorms along a line
extending from near Bronson to near Angola to near New Haven.
Movement was east at 50 mph. The thunderstorms have the potential to
produce large hail and gusty winds.

Two particularly strong storms will affect the area.  The northern
storm is expected to clip the northern portions of Lucas County
while another storm is expected to move into northern Hancock and
southern Wood counties by 8 PM this evening.

Locations impacted include...
Toledo, Findlay, Bowling Green, Bluffton, Perrysburg, Sylvania,
Rossford, Waterville, Northwood, Whitehouse, North Baltimore,
Holland, McComb, Weston, Arlington, Arcadia, Rawson, Van Buren,
Maumee and Ottawa Hills.

LAT...LON 4172 8387 4173 8350 4082 8352 4083 8388
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 252DEG 50KT 4185 8529 4159 8495 4102 8499

Lombardy

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1237 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

OHZ017>019-027>029-036-037-010615-
Seneca-Crawford-Wyandot-Huron-Marion-Richland-Hancock-Morrow-
1237 AM EST WED MAR 1 2017

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN HURON...
RICHLAND...SOUTHERN SENECA...MARION...WYANDOT...MORROW...CRAWFORD AND
SOUTHERN HANCOCK COUNTIES...

At 1236 AM EST, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from near Arlington to near Richwood. Movement
was northeast at 75 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Mansfield, Findlay, Marion, Bucyrus, Upper Sandusky, Bluffton, Mount
Gilead, Galion, Shelby, Willard, Ontario, Lexington, Crestline,
Cardington, Bellville, Plymouth, Arlington, Prospect, New Washington
and Bloomville.

LAT...LON 4098 8388 4112 8266 4055 8236 4055 8264
      4034 8265 4036 8293 4041 8292 4042 8294
      4044 8325 4051 8325 4051 8342 4068 8342
      4071 8349 4082 8350 4082 8388
TIME...MOT...LOC 0536Z 245DEG 63KT 4085 8361 4035 8329

Greenawalt