Alert archive / New York / Winter Weather Advisories in 2017

Winter Weather Advisory 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 16, 2017Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter weather advisory at Jan 16, 2017, 3:24 AM EST for Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York. It took effect at Jan 17, 2017, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 20 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 16, 2017, 3:24 AM EST (08:24 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 17, 2017, 7:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 18, 2017, 3:00 AM EST
In force
20 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 16 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 205 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2017-01-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2017-01-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 2 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1494 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

937 
WWUS41 KBUF 160824
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
324 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-161630-
/O.NEW.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.170117T0100Z-170117T1500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
324 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER, AND THE NIAGARA FRONTIER. 

* TIMING...FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.  

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND
  SIDEWALKS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS, BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD, PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT, BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-161630-
/O.NEW.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.170117T0600Z-170117T1800Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
324 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...MONROE, WAYNE, LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND
  SIDEWALKS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS, BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD, PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT, BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ005-006-161630-
/O.NEW.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.170117T0900Z-170117T2100Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
324 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA AND OSWEGO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.  

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND
  SIDEWALKS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS, BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD, PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT, BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-161630-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.170117T1200Z-170118T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
324 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 4 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...FROM EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SLEET ACCUMULATING LESS THAN HALF AN INCH. ICE
  ACCUMULATING FROM UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH FOR MOST AREAS, TO A
  QUARTER OF AN INCH THROUGH THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN TWO MILES IN PRECIPITATION.  

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TUESDAY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
  30S TUESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BRING VERY SLIPPERY
  CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

THOMAS/APFFEL
9 follow-up statements
185 
WWUS41 KBUF 161146
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
646 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-162000-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.170117T0100Z-170117T1500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
646 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER...AND THE NIAGARA FRONTIER.

* TIMING...FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE
TREES AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK
SPOTS ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD
THEREFORE BE DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-162000-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.170117T0600Z-170117T1800Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
646 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...WAYNE...LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE
TREES AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK
SPOTS ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD
THEREFORE BE DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ005-006-162000-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.170117T0900Z-170117T2100Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
646 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA AND OSWEGO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE
TREES AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK
SPOTS ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD
THEREFORE BE DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-162000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.170117T1200Z-170118T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
646 AM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO
4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SLEET ACCUMULATING LESS THAN HALF AN INCH. ICE 
  ACCUMULATING FROM UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH FOR MOST AREAS...
  TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH THROUGH THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN TWO MILES IN PRECIPITATION.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TUESDAY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
  30S TUESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BRING VERY SLIPPERY 
  CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

THOMAS
335 
WWUS41 KBUF 161802
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
102 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-170215-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.170117T0100Z-170117T1500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
102 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS
EVENING TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER...AND THE NIAGARA FRONTIER.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A TRACE UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN
  INCH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-170215-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.170117T0600Z-170117T1800Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
102 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...WAYNE...LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A TRACE TO ONE TENTH OF AN
  INCH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ005-006-170215-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.170117T0900Z-170117T2100Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
102 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA AND OSWEGO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A TRACE UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN
  INCH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-170215-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.170117T1200Z-170118T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
102 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO
4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AT THE
  START.

* ACCUMULATIONS...A TRACE OF SLEET ACCUMULATION MIXING WITH SOME
  FREEZING RAIN AT THE START. ICE ACCUMULATING A TRACE TO A FEW
  TENTHS FOR MOST LOCATIONS. HEAVIEST ICE ACCUMULATION EXPECTED IN
  THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY WHERE UP TO ONE THIRD OF AN INCH IS
  POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BRING VERY SLIPPERY 
  CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

SMITH
532 
WWUS41 KBUF 170127
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
827 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-171000-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
827 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER...AND THE NIAGARA FRONTIER.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING FROM A TRACE UP TO ONE TENTH
  OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-171000-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.170117T0600Z-170117T1800Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
827 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...WAYNE...LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING FROM A FEW HUNDREDTHS TO ONE
  TENTH OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ005-006-171000-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.170117T0900Z-170117T2100Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
827 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA AND OSWEGO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-171000-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.170117T1200Z-170118T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
827 PM EST MON JAN 16 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TUESDAY TO
4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH IN
  MOST LOCATIONS...EXCEPT IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY WHERE UP TO
  A QUARTER INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BRING VERY SLIPPERY 
  CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

JJR
720 
WWUS41 KBUF 170842
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
342 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-171500-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
342 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER...AND THE NIAGARA FRONTIER.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING FROM A TRACE UP TO ONE TENTH 
  OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-171645-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
342 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...WAYNE...LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING FROM A FEW HUNDREDTHS TO ONE 
  TENTH OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ005-006-171645-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.170117T0900Z-170117T2100Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
342 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA AND OSWEGO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-171645-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.170117T1200Z-170118T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
342 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS
MORNING TO 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH IN
  MOST LOCATIONS...EXCEPT IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY WHERE UP TO
  A QUARTER INCH OF ICE IS POSSIBLE. LITTLE OR NO SLEET
  ACCUMULATION.

* IMPACTS...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BRING VERY SLIPPERY 
  CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

THOMAS
803 
WWUS41 KBUF 171442
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
942 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-171545-
/O.CAN.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
942 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK AND ONLY RAIN IS
EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.

$$

NYZ003-004-013-014-171800-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
942 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...WAYNE...LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH TODAY.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ005-006-172100-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T2100Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
942 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA AND OSWEGO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH TODAY.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-172245-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-170118T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
942 AM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR LESS TODAY AND AN 
  INCH OR LESS TONIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE QUARTER OF AN 
  INCH TODAY AND UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BRING VERY SLIPPERY 
  CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$
601 
WWUS41 KBUF 171733
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1233 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

NYZ003-004-013-014-171845-
/O.CAN.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T1800Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...GENESEO...
CANANDAIGUA
1233 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK. FREEZING RAIN IS
NO LONGER ANTICIPATED.

$$

NYZ005-006-172100-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T2100Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO
1233 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA AND OSWEGO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-180145-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-170118T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1233 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR LESS THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND AN INCH OR LESS TONIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATING A FEW 
  HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH THIS AFTERNOON AND UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN 
  INCH TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BRING VERY SLIPPERY 
  CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$
949 
WWUS41 KBUF 172050
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

NYZ005-172200-
/O.CAN.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170117T2100Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

$$

NYZ006-180000-
/O.EXT.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170118T0000Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...A TRACE OF ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN.

* IMPACTS...VERY SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND 
  SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-180500-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-170118T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
350 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH
  THROUGH TONIGHT. LITTLE IF ANY SNOW OR SLEET ACCUMULATION.

* IMPACTS...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BRING VERY SLIPPERY 
  CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

APFFEL
987 
WWUS41 KBUF 172354
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
654 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

NYZ006-180100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.ZR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170118T0000Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
654 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

$$

NYZ007-008-180800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-170118T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
654 PM EST TUE JAN 17 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. COLDEST TEMPERATURES
  WILL BE NORTH AND WEST OF WATERTOWN.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE TONIGHT.
  LITTLE, IF ANY, SLEET ACCUMULATION.

* IMPACTS...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BRING VERY SLIPPERY 
  CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$
876 
WWUS41 KBUF 180800
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
300 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

NYZ007-008-180900-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-170118T0900Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
300 AM EST WED JAN 18 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY.

WEATHER STATIONS IN THE NORTH COUNTRY ARE REPORTING TEMPERATURES
HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING EARLY THIS MORNING.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Jan 16, 12:43 AM EST, 2 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 16, 12:43 AM EST, 2 hours 41 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1243 AM EST Mon Jan 16 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
An area of high pressure will provide fair weather through Monday
evening. Low pressure will then move through the central Great Lakes
on Tuesday with rain spreading across the region...which may begin
as a brief period of freezing rain in some spots. Mainly dry weather
will then return toward the end of the week as high pressure builds
into the Great Lakes. Temperatures will run well above normal most
days through next weekend and into the following week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Overnight high pressure draped across New York State will drift
eastward to the Atlantic coastline. Increasing southwesterly flow
on the backside of the departing high will continue pushing a
lingering band of stratus across the far eastern Finger Lakes and
portions of the North Country northeastward...which will result in
clearing skies across the eastern Finger Lakes and increasingly
cloudy conditions across the North Country. Based on regional obs
and satellite trends...have again sped up the northeastward
progression of the stratus a bit from continuity. Temperature-
wise nighttime lows will be very close to mid winter normals...
ranging from the lower 20s along the lakeshores to the mid and
upper teens inland.

On Monday any remaining stratus across the North Country will move
away and dissipate early in the morning. This will leave some
morning sunshine in most areas. Through the day mid/upper level warm
advection will increase in advance of the next system approaching
the Ohio Valley. This will allow mid/high clouds to thicken and
lower from southwest to northeast through the day, with the western
Southern Tier becoming mostly cloudy by mid afternoon. Ongoing weak
warm advection will bring temperatures to a little above normal,
with mid to upper 30s in most areas.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
An ejecting wave from near Baja California will track toward the
Great Lakes Monday night and Tuesday, while a surface high moves
through central Quebec. The result across our forecast area will be
initially cold surface temperatures with warm advection aloft
supporting some freezing rain at the onset of precipitation before
switching over to all rain on Tuesday.

Precipitation will gradually spread from southwest to northeast late
Monday night through Tuesday. Expect surface temperatures to be near
freezing when precipitation starts in most areas. Temperatures
should rise quickly in downslope regions across the lake plains
adjacent to the Chautauqua Ridge during the day Tuesday, where
freezing rain chances will be lowest. The wave is relatively weak
with guidance only showing 850mb winds increasing to about 40 kts.
As a result temperatures will probably be very slow to rise on
Tuesday, with highs on Tuesday cooler than most guidance, especially
MOS based guidance. Even with the slow rise, expect any ice
accumulations to be light (a few hundredths to a tenth of an inch)
with temperatures starting off very close to freezing at the onset
of precipitation and then slowly rising as rain persists. Some areas
may be just above freezing with all precipitation falling as rain
(mainly the lake plains). Greatest ice accumulation will be interior
valleys of the western Southern Tier. Uncertainty in timing and
location is too great for any headlines to be issued at this time.

The bulk of precipitation will fall as plain rain Tuesday and
Tuesday night, with a transition to more scattered showers by
later Tuesday night and into Wednesday. Precipitation amounts should
average between a quarter and a half inch.

A second shortwave originating from the northern branch of the jet
stream is forecast to cross the region late Tuesday night into
Wednesday. This will maintain a chance of showers on Wednesday.
Thermal profiles mainly support all rain, but some wet snow is
possible across higher terrain if some of the cooler model guidance
verifies. Highs on Wednesday will be above normal, generally within
a few degrees of 40. Showers will taper off on Thursday, with high
temperatures still running above normal (highs U30s to L40s, lows
L30s).

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
There is very high confidence that temperatures will average well
above normal across our forecast area during this period...and for
that matter...into the final days of the month. An unusually strong
190kt H25 Pacific East Asian jet will continue to help flood the
Lower 48 with Pacific modified air. This powerful jet will be a
product of a highly anomalous tropical ridge centered near the
Hawaiian Islands and a closed low that has been persistent over
Alaska. For what its worth...a collection of ensembles even suggests
that the strength of the Hawaiian ridge has a once in a generation
return interval for this time of year.

This overlying pattern will keep a split flow in place over North
America...where a dominate sub tropical jet will be part of
amplifying ridge over the eastern third of the country. While
this impressive ridge will support very mild and relatively benign
weather for our region through this time frame...there will come a
time when the proverbial pendulum is going to swing the other way.
That will come as we come out of the weekend when the much
discussed ridge will move to our east. A gaping...wide open Gulf
ahead of a dynamic negatively tilted trough will then set the stage
for what could be a very rainy event for our region later Monday
into Tuesday...but that is getting a little ahead of ourselves.

As for the details of this Friday to Sunday period...
Ridging over the Great Lakes Thursday night and Friday will promote
fair dry weather with temperatures Friday afternoon climbing well
into the 40s.

A weakening mid level trough is forecast to push north across our
region Friday night into Saturday. While this feature will be
accompanied by a fair amount of cloudiness...there does not appear
to be enough forcing to warrant anything more than slight chc
pops. The mercury will climb a few degrees higher for Saturday
afternoon...with highs approaching 50 F over the western counties.
These temps will be more than 15 deg F above normal.

An amplifying ridge will pass across our region Saturday night and
Sunday. Once this feature passes...the door will be wide open for
GOMEX moisture to stream northwards to the Lower Great Lakes. While
dry weather be featured to end the weekend...some showers late
Sunday or Sunday night cannot be ruled out...especially over the
far western counties.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
VFR flight conditions at the start of the 06Z TAF cycle will remain
through the TAF cycle with a light winds across the region.

Early stratus across the eastern Lake Ontario region will fade
between 12 and 15Z.

Tonight a storm system will track from the Plains to the southern
Great Lakes region, sending a period of precipitation northeastward
across our region, with a start time between 06Z and 09Z across the
Southern Tier...and 15Z and 18Z across the Eastern Lake Ontario
region. Below freezing temperatures at the onset may allow for
several hours of freezing rain before temperatures warm above
freezing. Quickest change over will likely be across KBUF/KIAG/KROC
while KJHW/KART may hang onto the freezing rain a bit longer. Expect
flight conditions to deteriorate to MVFR and then IFR within the
precipitation.

Outlook...

Tuesday...Deterioration to MVFR/IFR with rain developing...and
possibly beginning as a brief period of freezing rain.
Wednesday...MVFR/IFR with scattered rain and snow showers...which
will be more numerous east of Lake Ontario. Thursday...Mainly VFR
with a chance of rain and snow showers east of the lakes.
Friday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure draped across New York State will move off the east
coast Monday and allow southwest winds to increase to around 15 knots
on Lake Ontario...though conditions will remain below Small Craft
Advisory levels. Meanwhile...lighter winds will continue to prevail
on Lake Erie.

&&

.CLIMATE...
The main story for next week and beyond will be the extended
period of above normal temperatures not only in our region, but
for much of the eastern 2/3 of the nation. Over the next two
weeks, a strong closed low will remain parked over the Bering
Straits, forcing a strong Pacific East Asian jet to extend farther
east than normal. This will continue to bring a parade of Pacific
systems into the western United States, while also supporting
zonal flow and a flat ridge downstream across the central and
eastern part of the country. The westerly flow across the
continent will support strong Chinook warming off the Rockies,
with warmth spreading to the east coast and even well north into
southern and central Canada.

The warmth will last for another 12 days or so, but there is a
significant pattern change brewing beyond that. A Sudden
Stratospheric Warming event has just occurred in the northern
hemisphere. These events occur when planetary waves propagate
vertically into the stratosphere, with wave breaking and dampening
processes acting to rapidly warm the stratosphere over the high
latitudes and greatly distort the Stratospheric Polar Vortex.

This warming and disruption in the stratosphere has been shown in
numerous studies to slowly feed back into the troposphere, with a
strong tendency for high latitude blocking to increase about 2
weeks after the warming takes place. High latitude blocking
increases the ability of polar air to spread southward into the
mid latitudes, and increases the chances of cold and wintry
weather locking in for a longer period of time.

It appears the long range guidance is beginning to capture this
idea, with the GEFS and NAEFS ensembles suggesting a more highly
amplified flow starting late this month, with a ridge developing
over Alaska and the West Coast while a deep longwave trough
begins to establish across central and eastern North America. The
developing ridge in Alaska may also promote a period of cross
polar flow, draining frigid Siberian air into northern Canada.
GEFS ensembles also support a more negative NAO and AO pattern
towards the end of the month. Putting all this together, it
appears the pattern should become much colder and more wintry
around January 27-29. Past stratospheric warming events suggest
this cold pattern may last for quite some time, and may support
the potential for periods of well below normal temperatures by the
end of the month and first half of February. Stay tuned.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK/JJR
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/JJR
SHORT TERM...CHURCH
LONG TERM...RSH
AVIATION...THOMAS
MARINE...HITCHCOCK/JJR
CLIMATE...HITCHCOCK
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 15, 3:59 AM EST, 23 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
359 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2017

NYZ001>005-010>014-019>021-085-160900-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
359 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION
LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN
AT THE ONSET BEFORE SURFACE TEMPERATURES RISE DURING THE DAY ON
TUESDAY. ANY ICE ACCUMULATION SHOULD BE LIGHT...WITH PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED TO BE ALL RAIN BY TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-160900-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
359 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-160900-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
359 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION
TUESDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN AT THE ONSET
BEFORE SURFACE TEMPERATURES RISE LATE TUESDAY. PRECIPITATION
SHOULD BE ALL RAIN BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE
ICING POSSIBLE IN SOME LOCATIONS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

APFFEL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 16, 3:24 AM ESTFreezing Rain AdvisoryBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Genesee and 8 more40 hr
Jan 16, 6:54 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF21 hr

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in New York, 2017Every winter weather advisory in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.