Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

August 15, 2017Genesee County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Aug 15, 2017, 2:26 PM EDT for Genesee County, New York. It was in force for 34 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 15, 2017, 2:26 PM EDT (18:26 UTC)
Expired
Aug 15, 2017, 3:00 PM EDT
In force
34 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

County Genesee County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 36 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-08-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 119 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-08-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 77 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
119 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-58 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
861 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
78 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 15, 1:55 PM EDT, 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 15, 1:55 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 15, 5:16 AM EDT, 9 hours 10 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
516 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-160930-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
516 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western and north central New
York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-160930-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
516 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake
Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 15, 1:05 PM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
105 PM EDT TUE AUG 15 2017

NYZ001>003-010-011-151800-
Orleans-Genesee-Monroe-Niagara-Northern Erie-
105 PM EDT TUE AUG 15 2017

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN ERIE...
NIAGARA...ORLEANS...MONROE AND NORTHERN GENESEE COUNTIES...

At 104 PM EDT, radar indicated a line of strong thunderstorms were
located along a line extending from Lewiston to near Spencerport.
While the line of storms was nearly stationary...movement of the
individual cells was to the east at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Rochester, Greece, Irondequoit, Niagara Falls, North Tonawanda,
Chili, Lockport, Amherst, Tonawanda and Brockport.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 390 near exit 12.
 Interstate 90 near exit 46.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4342 7813 4339 7775 4328 7754 4332 7739
      4305 7740 4301 7902 4306 7900 4308 7908
      4315 7904 4329 7909
TIME...MOT...LOC 1704Z 272DEG 26KT 4318 7904 4317 7777

RSH
Special weather statement, Aug 15, 1:26 PM EDT, 1 hour before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
126 PM EDT TUE AUG 15 2017

NYZ001>003-010-011-151830-
Orleans-Genesee-Monroe-Niagara-Northern Erie-
126 PM EDT TUE AUG 15 2017

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN ERIE...
NIAGARA...ORLEANS...WESTERN MONROE AND NORTHERN GENESEE COUNTIES...

At 124 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from Niagara Falls to Greece. While the line
of storms was nearly stationary...movement of the individual cells
was to the east at 30 mph. This will allow for multiple storms to
move over the same area and potentially produce excessive amounts of
rain. Some areas have already received over an inch of rain in less
than an hours time.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and up to half inch hail are possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Rochester, Greece, Irondequoit, Niagara Falls, North Tonawanda,
Chili, Lockport, Amherst, Tonawanda and Brockport.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 390 near exit 12.
 Interstate 90 near exit 46.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may
cause localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4311 7906 4312 7907 4314 7904 4321 7906
      4335 7768 4330 7758 4304 7758 4300 7902
      4306 7900 4308 7907 4309 7907
TIME...MOT...LOC 1724Z 270DEG 11KT 4312 7905 4320 7767

RSH
Special weather statement, Aug 15, 2:26 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
226 PM EDT TUE AUG 15 2017

NYZ001-003-010>013-151900-
Livingston-Wyoming-Genesee-Monroe-Niagara-Northern Erie-
226 PM EDT TUE AUG 15 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN WYOMING...
NORTHEASTERN ERIE...NORTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON...EASTERN NIAGARA...
SOUTHWESTERN MONROE AND GENESEE COUNTIES...

At 225 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Pembroke, or
near Darien Lakes State Park, moving east at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Batavia, Darien Lakes State Park, Le Roy, Pembroke, Akron, Pavilion,
Byron, Caledonia, Oakfield and Riga.

This includes Interstate 90 between exits 48A and 47.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4294 7855 4312 7853 4309 7785 4281 7786
TIME...MOT...LOC 1825Z 274DEG 30KT 4298 7842

Mitchell

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 15, 1:05 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFMonroe, Niagara, Orleans55 min
Aug 15, 1:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFMonroe64 min
Aug 15, 3:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLivingston45 min
Aug 15, 3:36 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFLivingston, Ontario54 min
Aug 15, 4:10 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF50 min
Aug 15, 5:07 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF23 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.