Alert archive / New York / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

April 27, 2017Orleans County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this special weather statement at Apr 27, 2017, 7:10 PM EDT for Orleans County, New York. It was in force for 35 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 27, 2017, 7:10 PM EDT (23:10 UTC)
Expired
Apr 27, 2017, 7:45 PM EDT
In force
35 min
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

County Orleans County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 344 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2017-04-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 9 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2017-04-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
9 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-506 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1916 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
118 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Apr 27, 4:45 PM EDT, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 27, 4:45 PM EDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before
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  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
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  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
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        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
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Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 27, 4:07 PM EDT, 3 hours 3 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
407 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

NYZ001>004-010>014-019>021-085-282015-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-
Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
407 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms this evening along
a cold front. A few of these storms could produce localized damaging
wind gusts and locally heavy rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There is a risk of strong to severe thunderstorms with a cold front
Monday afternoon and evening. Then gusty, to potentially damaging
winds, are possible behind the front on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ005>008-282015-
Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
407 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms are expected to shift over the area along a cold front
this evening. A few of these storms could be strong with gusty winds
and heavy downpours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There is a risk of strong to severe thunderstorms with a cold front
Monday afternoon and evening. Then gusty, to potentially damaging
winds, are possible behind the front on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-282015-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
407 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A cold front is crossing Lake Erie this afternoon and will cross
Lake Ontario this evening. This front will bring some thunderstorms,
some of which could be strong to severe with gusty winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There is a risk of strong to severe thunderstorms with a cold front
Monday afternoon and evening. Gale force winds may be possible
behind the cold front on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ030-SLZ022-282015-
Lower Niagara River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
407 PM EDT Thu Apr 27 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario and
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

A cold front is crossing Lake Erie this afternoon and will cross
Lake Ontario this evening. This front will bring some thunderstorms,
some of which could be strong to severe with gusty winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There is a risk of strong to severe thunderstorms with a cold front
Monday afternoon and evening. Gale force winds may be possible
behind the cold front on Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

SMITH

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 27, 6:46 PM EDT, 24 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
646 PM EDT THU APR 27 2017

NYZ019-272345-
Chautauqua-
646 PM EDT THU APR 27 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...

At 645 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Waterford, or
17 miles south of Erie, moving northeast at 50 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Dunkirk, Fredonia, Westfield, Mayville, Clymer, Long Point State
Park, Lake Erie State Park, Findley Lake, SUNY Fredonia and
Chautauqua Institute.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 90 between exits 61 and 59.
 Interstate 86 between exits 4 and 7.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4227 7976 4228 7973 4231 7976 4233 7973
      4244 7950 4253 7939 4255 7932 4240 7909
      4200 7966 4200 7976
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 221DEG 44KT 4190 8000

Smith
Special weather statement, Apr 27, 7:10 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
710 PM EDT THU APR 27 2017

NYZ001>003-010-011-272345-
Orleans-Genesee-Monroe-Niagara-Northern Erie-
710 PM EDT THU APR 27 2017

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN ERIE...
EASTERN NIAGARA...ORLEANS...NORTHWESTERN MONROE AND WESTERN GENESEE
COUNTIES...

At 709 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were clustered near Akron, or 7
miles northeast of Clarence, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Medina, Albion, Hamlin Beach State Park, Darien Lakes State Park,
Pembroke, Akron, Middleport, Oakfield, Holley and Waterport.

This includes Interstate 90 near exit 48A.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4340 7861 4342 7840 4342 7815 4338 7790
      4287 7832 4287 7835 4304 7869
TIME...MOT...LOC 2309Z 208DEG 35KT 4307 7853

Smith

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 6:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFChautauqua59 min
Apr 27, 6:47 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF58 min
Apr 27, 7:06 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF54 min
Apr 27, 7:23 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF97 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in New York, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.