Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2017
Small Craft Advisory 97, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Nov 1, 2017, 2:58 PM EDT. It took effect at Nov 2, 2017, 2:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 45 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 1, 2017, 2:58 PM EDT (18:58 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 2, 2017, 2:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Nov 3, 2017, 10:32 PM EDT
- In force
- 45 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
The text
As transmitted.
885 WHUS71 KBUF 011858 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 258 PM EDT WED NOV 1 2017 LEZ040-041-020300- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.171102T0600Z-171102T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 258 PM EDT WED NOV 1 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 5 PM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 5 PM EDT THURSDAY. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-020300- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.171102T0900Z-171102T1800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 258 PM EDT WED NOV 1 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 2 PM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 2 PM EDT THURSDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JJR
13 follow-up statements
501 WHUS71 KBUF 020016 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 816 PM EDT WED NOV 1 2017 LEZ040-041-020830- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.171102T0600Z-171102T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 816 PM EDT WED NOV 1 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 5 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-020830- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.171102T0900Z-171102T1800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 816 PM EDT WED NOV 1 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 2 PM EDT THURSDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
653 WHUS71 KBUF 020544 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 144 AM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 LEZ040-041-021345- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.171102T0600Z-171102T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 144 AM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-021345- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.171102T0900Z-171102T1800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 144 AM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS MORNING TO 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
746 WHUS71 KBUF 020817 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 417 AM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 LEZ040-041-021630- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-171102T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 417 AM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-021630- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.171102T0900Z-171102T1800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 417 AM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
125 WHUS71 KBUF 021117 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 717 AM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 LEZ040-041-021930- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-171102T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 717 AM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-021800- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-171102T1800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 717 AM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
462 WHUS71 KBUF 021411 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1011 AM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 LEZ040-041-022100- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-171102T2100Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 1011 AM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-021800- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-171102T1800Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1011 AM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JJR
063 WHUS71 KBUF 021750 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 150 PM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 LOZ043-044-030300- /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.171103T1500Z-171104T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 150 PM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM FRIDAY TO 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM FRIDAY TO 2 AM EDT SATURDAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LEZ040-041-030300- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-171103T0600Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 150 PM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-030300- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-171104T0300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 150 PM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING NORTHWEST. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ JJR
839 WHUS71 KBUF 022044 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 444 PM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 LEZ040-041-022145- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-171103T0600Z/ LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- 444 PM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. $$ LOZ045-030445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-171104T0300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 444 PM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT FRIDAY... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-030445- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.171103T1500Z-171104T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 444 PM EDT THU NOV 2 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM FRIDAY TO 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ SMITH
868 WHUS71 KBUF 030454 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1254 AM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 LOZ045-031300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-171104T0300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1254 AM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-031300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.171103T1500Z-171104T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 1254 AM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
079 WHUS71 KBUF 030828 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 428 AM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 LOZ045-031630- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-171104T0300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 428 AM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-031630- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.171103T1500Z-171104T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 428 AM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
776 WHUS71 KBUF 031533 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1133 AM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 LOZ045-032345- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-171104T0300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1133 AM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-044-032345- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-171104T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 1133 AM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ HITCHCOCK
662 WHUS71 KBUF 031737 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 137 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 LOZ042-040145- /O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-171104T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.171104T1600Z-171105T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 137 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM NOON EDT SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS THROUGH THIS EVENING. EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-040145- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-171104T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.171104T1900Z-171105T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 137 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EDT SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EDT SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS THROUGH THIS EVENING. EAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-040145- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-171104T0300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 137 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-040145- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-171104T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 137 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ HITCHCOCK
871 WHUS71 KBUF 032336 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 736 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 LOZ042-040745- /O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-171104T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.171104T1600Z-171105T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 736 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... * WINDS...EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ043-040745- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-171104T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.171104T1900Z-171105T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 736 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EDT SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... * WINDS...EAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-040300- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-171104T0300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 736 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-040600- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-171104T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 736 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
654 WHUS71 KBUF 040232 MWWBUF URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1032 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 LOZ042-041045- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-171104T0300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.171104T1600Z-171105T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- 1032 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... * WINDS...EAST 20 TO 25 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ045-040345- /O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-171104T0300Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 1032 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. $$ LOZ043-041045- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-171104T0600Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0099.171104T1900Z-171105T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- 1032 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM EDT SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY... * WINDS...EAST 15 TO 20 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$ LOZ044-040600- /O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0098.000000T0000Z-171104T0600Z/ LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- 1032 PM EDT FRI NOV 3 2017 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 KNOTS. * WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 1, 2:57 PM EDT, 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 1, 2:57 PM EDT, 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
257 PM EDT Wed Nov 1 2017
.SYNOPSIS...
A weak disturbance will keep plenty of cloud cover in place across
our region this afternoon...along with some light rain showers that
will pass across Southern Tier...Finger Lakes...and North Country
through early this evening. A warm front and more widespread rain
will then push north across our region overnight and early Thursday...
followed by considerably milder air on Thursday when temperatures
will surge into the 60s in most areas. The return to milder weather
will be short lived though...as a cold front and some additional
showers will then cross our region later Thursday night and Friday
morning...with cooler and drier conditions then returning for the
remainder of Friday and Saturday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through the rest of this afternoon and early evening hours...our
region will remain under the influence of a broad warm air advection
regime...a passing modest mid level shortwave...and a weakly coupled
upper level jet. The weak to modest forcing provided by these features
will maintain widespread cloud cover across our region...along with
some periodic light showers that will primarily track across the
Southern Tier...Genesee Valley/Finger Lakes...and North Country
regions. Given sufficient warming of the boundary layer in most
locations...most of these will fall in the form of rain...though a
little wet snow will still be possible across the very highest
elevations of the Southern Tier.
Following the passage of the weak mid level wave and coupled upper
level jet this evening...the showers may very briefly break off for
a time across portions of western New York...before a broad and
loosely organized area of low pressure tracks northeastward from the
Upper Mississippi Valley to Central Ontario overnight and Thursday
morning...and pushes its attendant warm frontal boundary across our
region. Increasing warm advective lift and moisture ahead of and along
the warm front combined with increasing low level convergence along
the nose of a 50-60 knot low level jet will drive an area of rain
across our area from southwest to northeast overnight and early
Thursday...for which a mix of likely to categorical PoPs remains
in play. Following the passage of the warm front...leftover showers
should sharply taper off from southwest to northeast during the course
of Thursday...yielding a mainly dry afternoon south of Lake Ontario...
and diminishing showers across the North Country Thursday afternoon.
Temperature-wise...the steady warm air advection pattern will result
in lows in the lower to mid 40s very early this evening giving way to
steadily rising temperatures through the rest of tonight and much of
Thursday...with readings eventually peaking in the lower to mid 60s
Thursday afternoon.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Thursday night and Friday a cold front will slowly cross the area
and bring another round of rain to the region beginning late
Thursday night and continuing into Friday, tapering off from
northwest to southeast during the afternoon. Clouds will be slow to
clear behind the front however. The cooler air crossing the lakes
will result in some lake effect clouds Friday afternoon and night
but lake effect rain showers are not expected.
Temperatures will remain mild Thursday night with clouds and
southwest flow in place. This will keep temperatures in the 50s
through the night. Moderate cold advection on Friday will force
steady or slowly falling temperatures in the low to mid 50s, which
is just about where they should be for this time of year. Partial
clearing Friday night will allow temperatures to drop back into the
mid to upper 30s on the lake plains, and lower 30s across the cooler
Southern Tier valleys and east of Lake Ontario.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The pattern will remain active through the long term, with another
widespread rain producer arriving for the second half of the weekend
into early next week. Temperatures will continue their roller
coaster ride through next week as a parade of systems move through
the zonal flow across North America.
Looking at the details, on Saturday high pressure over New England
and Quebec should provide enough subsidence and dry air to keep the
next system at bay. Expect dry conditions through most of the day
with an increase in mid and high clouds as warm advection increases
ahead of the next system. Temperatures will be close to average,
with highs in the low to mid 50s.
A warm front will move northeast across the region Saturday night
and Sunday morning, bringing with it a good chance of showers. A few
showers may continue through Sunday afternoon as a broad warm
advection regime continues behind the main warm front. A cold front
will then slowly cross the area Sunday night and Monday with another
period of rain likely. The 00Z GFS continues to develop a frontal
wave Monday night and Tuesday which would force rain chances to last
longer, while the 00Z ECMWF has a faster, more clean frontal
passage. For now have favored the ECMWF solution, with next Tuesday
dry.
Temperatures will warm to well above average Sunday and Monday with
highs back into the 60s in many areas. A sharp cold front will then
drop temperatures back into the 40s by Tuesday.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
For the rest of the afternoon and early this evening...a general
mix of IFR/MVFR conditions will continue across the Southern Tier...
while VFR conditions elsewhere will continue to gradually deteriorate
to MVFR. The lowering cigs will also be accompanied by some periodic
light rain showers...mainly for sites south of KBUF and KROC.
Tonight and early Thursday a warm frontal boundary will push northward
across the region...supporting continued widespread MVFR ceilings (with
IFR across the higher terrain) along with another round of fairly
widespread rain/rain showers. A passing 50-60 knot low level jet will
also help to induce some low level wind shear across the Southern Tier
and portions of the Finger Lakes region between very late this evening
and early to mid Thursday morning.
Following the passage of the warm front...drier conditions will steadily
build into the region from southwest to northeast during the remainder
of Thursday. With a general south to south-southwest low level flow in
place...believe that current model guidance of widespread IFR/MVFR
ceilings persisting through the day is probably too pessimistic...so
for now have opted to go with a more optimistic forecast of ceilings
improving to VFR across the lower elevations...and MVFR across the
higher terrain through the course of the day.
Outlook...
Thursday night...Deterioration to MVFR with additional showers
developing.
Friday...MVFR with showers early, then improvement to VFR.
Saturday...VFR.
Sunday and Monday...MVFR with showers likely.
&&
.MARINE...
The modest surface gradient currently in place across the Lower Great
Lakes will tighten somewhat with the approach and passage of a warm
front tonight...and this will encourage southerly winds to freshen
across the region. While the highest waves will be pushed into Canadian
waters...winds and waves will still both be high enough to warrant SCAs
for Lake Erie and the far eastern end of Lake Ontario (i.e. north of
Mexico Bay)...with these lasting through at least a good chunk of
Thursday.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM to 5 PM EDT Thursday for LEZ040-
041.
Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM to 2 PM EDT Thursday
for LOZ045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JJR
NEAR TERM...JJR
SHORT TERM...LEVAN
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...JJR
MARINE...JJR/RSHHazardous weather outlook, Nov 1, 5:05 AM EDT, 9 hours 53 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 505 AM EDT Wed Nov 1 2017 NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-020915- Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis- Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua- Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie- 505 AM EDT Wed Nov 1 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-020915- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis- 505 AM EDT Wed Nov 1 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario and Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf HITCHCOCK
In the hours before
Local storm report, Nov 1, 9:14 AM EDT, 5 hours 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
914 AM EDT WED NOV 01 2017
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0915 AM WATER SPOUT 2 WSW BUFFALO 42.88N 78.90W
10/31/2017 LEZ041 NY COAST GUARD
&&
EVENT NUMBER BUF1701562
JAMNearby
Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2017Every small craft advisory in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.