Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2017

Small Craft Advisory 20, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 14, 2017

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Feb 14, 2017, 3:03 PM EST. It took effect at Feb 15, 2017, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 44 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 14, 2017, 3:03 PM EST (20:03 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 15, 2017, 7:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 17, 2017, 3:29 AM EST
In force
44 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted.

389 
WHUS71 KBUF 142003
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
303 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2017

LOZ042>045-150415-
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.170215T1200Z-170217T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 7 AM EST
FRIDAY.

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-150415-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-170217T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-150000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-170215T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
303 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
11 follow-up statements
825 
WHUS71 KBUF 142333
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
633 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2017

LEZ020-150045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-170215T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
633 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING.

$$

LEZ040-041-150745-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-170217T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
633 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-150745-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.170215T1200Z-170217T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
633 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO
7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
962 
WHUS71 KBUF 150151
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
851 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2017

LEZ040-041-151000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-170217T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
851 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-151000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.170215T1200Z-170217T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
851 PM EST TUE FEB 14 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM WEDNESDAY TO
7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
687 
WHUS71 KBUF 150834
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
334 AM EST WED FEB 15 2017

LEZ040-041-151645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-170217T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
334 AM EST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-151645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.170215T1200Z-170217T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
334 AM EST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING
TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
618 
WHUS71 KBUF 151638
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1138 AM EST WED FEB 15 2017

LEZ040-041-160045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-170217T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1138 AM EST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-160045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-170217T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1138 AM EST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
051 
WHUS71 KBUF 152030
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
330 PM EST WED FEB 15 2017

LEZ040-041-160430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-170217T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
330 PM EST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-160430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-170217T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
330 PM EST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
994 
WHUS71 KBUF 160235
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
935 PM EST WED FEB 15 2017

LEZ040-041-161045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-170217T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
935 PM EST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-161045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-170217T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
935 PM EST WED FEB 15 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
542 
WHUS71 KBUF 160839
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
339 AM EST THU FEB 16 2017

LEZ040-041-161645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-170217T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
339 AM EST THU FEB 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-161645-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-170217T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
339 AM EST THU FEB 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
451 
WHUS71 KBUF 161636
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1136 AM EST THU FEB 16 2017

LEZ040-041-170000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-170217T0000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1136 AM EST THU FEB 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-170045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-170217T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1136 AM EST THU FEB 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
222 
WHUS71 KBUF 162300
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
600 PM EST THU FEB 16 2017

LEZ040-041-170300-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-170217T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
600 PM EST THU FEB 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-170700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-170217T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
600 PM EST THU FEB 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
201 
WHUS71 KBUF 170237
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
937 PM EST THU FEB 16 2017

LEZ040-041-170345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-170217T0300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
937 PM EST THU FEB 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS AND WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE.

$$

LOZ042>045-171045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-170217T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
937 PM EST THU FEB 16 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK
476 
WHUS71 KBUF 170829
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
329 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2017

LOZ042>045-170930-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-170217T1200Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
329 AM EST FRI FEB 17 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 14, 12:46 PM EST, 2 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 14, 12:46 PM EST, 2 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1246 PM EST Tue Feb 14 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Weak high pressure draped across New York State will drift east across
New England today while maintaining dry weather for all areas except for
the North Country...where a rain or snow shower cannot be ruled out
late in the day. A clipper system passing by to our north will then
bring some light snow showers to the area tonight and Wednesday...with
areas of lake effect snow then affecting areas east and southeast of the
lakes Wednesday night and Thursday. After that warmer temperatures will
return for the weekend...then will persist into next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
During the course of today weak surface high pressure draped across
central and eastern New York will slide east across New England...
while a clipper system slowly drops southeastward across Ontario
Province. The developing warm air advection regime between these two
systems will help to pump 925mb temps up to the -2C and -5C range
east of Lake Ontario and to between -2C and +1C across the remainder
of our region...which at the surface will translate into temps climbing
back above normal...with afternoon highs ranging from the 30s east of
Lake Ontario to the upper 30s and lower 40s elsewhere. Across far
western New York...the combination of a tightening pressure gradient/
developing 30-40 knot southwesterly low level jet and funnelling up
Lake Erie out ahead of the low will also lead to a period of windy
conditions across the Niagara Frontier late this morning and this
afternoon...where some wind gusts to 30-35 knots will be possible
during the midday and afternoon hours.

Precipitation-wise...it still appears as if the approaching clipper
will remain far enough to our north to allow for a dry day across the
vast majority of the area...with partly to mostly sunny skies this
morning merely giving way to increasing clouds this afternoon. The
one exception to this will be across the North Country...where a
rain or snow shower cannot be totally ruled out late this afternoon.
With this in mind...have continued to advertise slight chance to
very low-end chance PoPs for this latter area.

Tonight the clipper system will slide further southeastward toward the
Upper Saint Lawrence Valley. Increasing moisture and synoptic-scale
ascent attendant to the low and its trailing cold front will bring an
increasing potential for snow showers regionwide...with the greatest
probabilities of these found east of Lakes Erie and Ontario where
upsloping and moisture contributions from the lakes will help to provide
some additional enhancement. Expect total nighttime snow accumulations to
range from an inch or two in the favored areas of enhancement east of
the lakes to less than an inch elsewhere...with temperatures settling
into the upper 20s and lower 30s overnight following the passage of the
cold front.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
For those of you that enjoy winter and all it has to offer...you may
want to savor these next few days as a fairly big pattern change is
on the horizon. Temperatures will average below normal during this
three day stretch...while most areas will pick up at least a coating
to an inch of snow. Meanwhile...accumulating to possibly significant
lake snows will be possible southeast of both lakes.

A robust shortwave...seen in WV imagery over the far reaches of
northwest Ontario early this morning...will be the impetus for the
bulk of our weather during this period. This feature will dig
southeast across the Upper Great Lakes today before plowing across
Lakes Erie and Ontario late tonight and Wednesday. In the process...
it will re-establish a deep longwave trough over eastern Canada. The
combination of the trough and a high amplitude ridge over the
western half of the continent will funnel cold air south into our
region and set the stage for the aforementioned snowfall.

Meanwhile...the telltale sign of a significant pattern change and
subsequent warm up for our region will be on the horizon as a very
strong East Asian jet with H25-30 winds of 175 knots will screaming
across the Pacific. More on this in the long term section below.

This period will open on Wednesday morning with a stacked storm
system over the Ottawa Valley. The surface portion of this system
will be nearly 'sterile' at this point...with the bulk of the
dynamics from the system pushing east of our forecast area. The sfc
reflection...which will be in the vcnty of the Upper St Lawrence
Valley Wednesday morning...will transfer its remaining energy to the
coast where 150m hgt falls will once again lead to explosive
cyclogenesis off the coast of Maine. This will only leave some weak
synoptic forcing over our region from the passing of the parent mid
level low...so snowfall over the bulk of the region will be light
and inconsequential. More widespread snow will be found near the
Chautauqua Ridge and also east of Lake Ontario where there will be
some added orographic lift. In terms of accumulations...most areas
will pick up less than an inch of snow through the day...while sites
near the Chautauqua Ridge and east of Lake Ontario will pick up as
much as 2 inches. High temperatures on Wednesday will be within a
few degrees of freezing.

As we push through Wednesday afternoon and into the evening...the
cold air will deepen enough on the backside of the stacked storm to
support instability over the lakes. Lake enhanced snows will
transition to pure lake effect with possibly significant
accumulations setting up in the snowbelts southeast of both lakes.
In both cases...the cap will be in the vcnty of 10k ft with plenty
of synoptic moisture to work with through the boundary layer.
Microphysically...BUFKIT profiles are suggesting that the dendritic
growth zone could be as deep as 5k ft...which would be very
beneficial for efficient snow making and higher end snowfall rates.
The snow off Lake Ontario will likely have an upstream feed from
Georgian Bay as well. Have thus decided to issue a lake effect snow
watch for this period for sites southeast of both lakes.

The impactful lake snows southeast of both lakes will continue
through the day Thursday...although the thinning of synoptic
moisture in advance of a narrow area of high pressure will encourage
the snow to gradually taper off during the course of the afternoon.
This will especially be the case for the snow off Lake Erie. At this
point in February...the influences of stronger diurnal mixing will
also have to be taken into account as the bands should become more
cellular. Outside of the accumulating lake snows...there should only
be some nuisance light snow showers. It will be cold Thursday...
with the mercury not making it out of the mid 20s. These readings
will be at least 10 deg f below normal.

On Thursday night...the narrow area of high pressure will start to
cross our forecast area. While adding shear to the lake effect
environment... there will also be continued drying aloft with a
lowering cap. This should bring an end to the healthy accumulating
snowfall...although snow showers should persist through the night
(esp off Lk Ont). Otherwise it will be partly cloudy and cold with
mins in the teens and low 20s.

Broad ridging will build across the Upper Great Lakes on Friday while
surface high pressure will be found over our forecast area. The warm
advection associated with this will totally bring an end to the lake
effect activity while skies will become partly to mostly sunny. The
onset of warm advection will allow temps to climb back towards
freezing over the western counties...but the mercury will old in the
mid 20s across the North Country.

While a warm front could glance the western counties Friday night...
rising heights within a dry airmass should keep fair weather in
place.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
This period can be summed up in three words...Above Normal
Temperatures.

Countless Pacific shortwaves within the strong east Asian jet will
mercilessly beat down/displace the western ridge in the days leading
up to this period. This will lead to general ridging over eastern
half of the country...with the boundary layer being dominated by air
of Pacific origin. The result will be a modification in our
temperatures to above normal levels. Some details...

Broad...low amplitude ridging will be found over the Lower Great
Lakes on Saturday. This will support fair weather over our
region...with H85 temps climbing to as high as 6c over the western
counties ahead of a weak...moisture starved frontal boundary. Temps
will climb well into the 40s across the western counties with 30s
found over the North Country. There is a very real possibility that
readings could even get to 50 for portions of the Srn Tier.

The weak frontal boundary will pass through our region Saturday
night...but do not see enough forcing of moisture to warrant pops.

Significant amplification in a ridge over the Ohio Valley Upper
Great Lakes is then anticipated for Sunday and Monday. This will
keep fair uneventful weather in place with daytime temps generally
in the 40s (up 30s North Country).

Looking further down the road at the remainder of the week...
There is a strong suggestion by many of the medium range ECMWF and
GFS ensembles that a Rex block will develop over central Canada. If
this were to verify...a deep Pacific flow would remain in place on
the equatorward side of this block...keeping temperatures well above
normal across the Lower 48. It is not an understatement to say that
winter will take a hiatus for the weekend well into (and possibly
through) the new week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR conditions will persist through the day...with clouds increasing
during the afternoon as low pressure over Ontario Province drops
southeastward toward our region. The approaching low will also usher
in a period of windy conditions across extreme far western New York
through the afternoon...when southwesterly winds will gust to 30-35
knots from KDKK northeastward to KBUF/KIAG.

Tonight...conditions will steadily deteriorate to MVFR/IFR as the
low pushes into nearby southern Ontario...and spreads an increasing
likelihood of snow showers across our region.

Outlook...
Wednesday and Thursday...MVFR with scattered snow showers...and
areas of IFR in lake effect snow east and southeast of the lakes.
Friday...A chance of snow showers/MVFR southeast of Lake Ontario...
otherwise mainly VFR.
Saturday and Sunday...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Low pressure dropping southeastward across Ontario Province will
bring increasing southwesterly winds to the region today...with
these expected to become strong enough to warrant small craft
advisories for both Lake Erie and the Upper Niagara River and
Buffalo Harbor. Elsewhere winds will be be weaker and/or oriented
offshore...which should preclude the need for additional advisories
through tonight.

In the wake of the low...brisk westerlies are expected across the
entire Lower Lakes Region Wednesday and Thursday...and these will
likely necessitate the eventual issuance of more widespread small
craft advisories for that particular time frame.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Lake Effect Snow Watch from Wednesday evening through late
     Thursday night for NYZ004>006.
     Lake Effect Snow Watch from Wednesday afternoon through
     Thursday afternoon for NYZ019-020-085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Wednesday for LEZ040-041.
         Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for
         LEZ020.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR
NEAR TERM...JJR
SHORT TERM...RSH
LONG TERM...RSH
AVIATION...CHURCH/JJR
MARINE...JJR
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 14, 4:14 AM EST, 10 hours 49 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
414 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2017

NYZ001>003-007-008-010>014-021-150915-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Jefferson-Lewis-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-
Livingston-Ontario-Allegany-
414 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product...along with other watches...warnings...advisories...
and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in
Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004>006-150915-
Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-
414 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product...along with other watches...warnings...advisories...
and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in
Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ019-020-085-150915-
Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
414 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2017

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product...along with other watches...warnings...advisories...
and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in
Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-150915-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
414 AM EST Tue Feb 14 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie...Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product...along with other watches...warnings...advisories...
and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in
Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 13, 9:34 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF3 days
Feb 14, 4:07 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchBUFCattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Oswego, Wayne24 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2017Every small craft advisory in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.