Small Craft Advisory 106, NWS Buffalo, NY

983 
WHUS71 KBUF 200846
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
346 AM EST MON NOV 20 2017

LEZ020-LOZ030-201700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-171121T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
346 AM EST MON NOV 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-201700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-171121T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
346 AM EST MON NOV 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-201700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-171121T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
346 AM EST MON NOV 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JJR

583 
WHUS71 KBUF 201618
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1118 AM EST MON NOV 20 2017

LEZ020-LOZ030-210030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-171121T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
1118 AM EST MON NOV 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-210030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-171121T2300Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1118 AM EST MON NOV 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-210030-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-171121T2300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1118 AM EST MON NOV 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

534 
WHUS71 KBUF 201953
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
253 PM EST MON NOV 20 2017

LEZ040-041-210400-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-171122T1800Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
253 PM EST MON NOV 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-210400-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-171123T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
253 PM EST MON NOV 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-210400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-171121T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
253 PM EST MON NOV 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

072 
WHUS71 KBUF 210233
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
933 PM EST MON NOV 20 2017

LEZ020-LOZ030-211045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-171121T2300Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
933 PM EST MON NOV 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-211045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-171122T1800Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
933 PM EST MON NOV 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-211045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-171123T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
933 PM EST MON NOV 20 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

538 
WHUS71 KBUF 210852
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
352 AM EST TUE NOV 21 2017

LEZ020-LOZ030-211700-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-171122T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
352 AM EST TUE NOV 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-211700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-171122T1800Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
352 AM EST TUE NOV 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-211700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-171123T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
352 AM EST TUE NOV 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

305 
WHUS71 KBUF 211444
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
944 AM EST TUE NOV 21 2017

LEZ020-LOZ030-212245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-171122T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
944 AM EST TUE NOV 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-212245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-171122T1800Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
944 AM EST TUE NOV 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-212245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-171123T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
944 AM EST TUE NOV 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

837 
WHUS71 KBUF 212018
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
318 PM EST TUE NOV 21 2017

LEZ020-LOZ030-220000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-171122T0000Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
318 PM EST TUE NOV 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-220430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-171122T1800Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
318 PM EST TUE NOV 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042>045-220430-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0105.000000T0000Z-171123T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
318 PM EST TUE NOV 21 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
947 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Much colder air will establish increasingly organized bands of lake
effect snow southeast of both lakes where several inches of snow are
expected by Monday morning. High pressure will pass well to our
south on Monday, but lake snows will persist east of the lakes.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Lake effect snow will be the main weather impact into Monday.

Relatively weak multiple lake effect bands have been traversing the
region on a WNW flow this evening, but so far without too much
organization. One reason for this was due to a shortwave trough
seen in water vapor imagery spinning slowly across Southern
Ontario and providing some directional shear. 500mb analysis
shows this fairly nearing the Quebec border. Now that that
feature is nearly east of the region, flow aloft is expected to
get more aligned. This will set the stage for the main event
later tonight. A cold pool aloft racing toward NY. This feature
is harder to find in observational data save for a jet max
moving across WI, but it shows up quite well in 500mb
temperature forecasts down to -35C over over Central
Ontario Province/Northern Lake Huron. This feature is poised to
head right over Lake Ontario.

For Lake Ontario...As the above feature moves over the lake,
lapse rates will steepen and equilibrium levels rise, leading to
a coherent single lake to lake band (Georgian Bay-->Ontario)
that should impact clip far Eastern Wayne County, center over
Northern Cayuga, clip Western Oswego late tonight into Monday
morning. Current forecasts 6-12" look reasonable, much of this
falling in a short period near sunrise. Naturally, expect a
sharp gradient with far less outside the band (ex - less over
Wayne county). Later on Monday, the band will weaken and shift
to the north covering the rest of Oswego County, and weaken
further as it moves further north across the Tug Hill Plateau.
With the migrating band, areas east Lake Ontario should only see
a few inches, tapering off to trace amounts as the band
continues north through Jefferson and Northern Lewis counties
toward the end of Monday.

Off Lake Erie...The cold pool will mostly miss Lake Erie, resulting
in a more muted response.  There should a period of enhancement with
a temporary lake to lake connection from Huron.  Compared to
Ontario, there will multi-bands, shorter fetch, and less overall
strength.  Thus expect areas of accumulating snow, with mostly
higher terrain seeing as much as 4-7", mostly late tonight and early
Monday. As winds slowly back with time Monday, expect lake
effect to weaken as the cold air pool moves east and a weak
ridge approaches from the west.

Areas outside lake effect areas will see a mix of clouds with
increasingly clearing skies well outside lake effect regions.
Flurries/scattered showers are of course possible along the edges of
lake bands.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
On Monday evening, an 850/500 hPa ridge axis will cross the
region. As a result, lake effect snow will subside with up to an
additional inch of snow across the Tug Hill region. Backing
winds will send the lake snow east of Lake Ontario northward,
with snows ending across Watertown-Fort Drum region.

Later Monday night into Tuesday, a period of dry weather is
expected as an axis of surface high pressure crosses the
region. Skies will clear Monday night, but a southerly breeze
will prevent temperatures from rapidly dropping, with overnight
lows in the lower 30s. Tuesday, southerly winds will increase
further, with gusts up to 30-40 mph. Highest gusts will likely
be across the hilltops of SW NYS, where a 55 knot LLJ will
occasionally produce gusts 30 to 35 mph. Across the WNY lake
plains, downslope flow under the strong LLJ may bring gusts
upwards towards 40 mph. Warming aloft accompanying the LLJ will
bring afternoon temperatures into the 50s. A spot 60F cannot be
ruled out across the Genesee Valley. Warmest areas will be the
Lake Plains and Genesee Valley, except for SE of Lake Ontario
where a melting snowpack will slow warming.

Meanwhile, surface low pressure will cut across the Central
Great Lakes, deepening to about 990 mb as it crosses James Bay
Tuesday night. A cold front front south of the low will be
tracking across the Central Great Lakes. A potent upper level
shortwave trough will be crossing the central Great Lakes,
pushing the cold front and its precipitation eastward. Clouds
will begin to increase through Tuesday afternoon ahead of the
cold front and should help to diminish the gusty winds with less
mixing from isolation.

Rain showers along the front will reach WNY Tuesday evening, and
continue to push inland across the region overnight. The warm
southerly flow ahead of the cold front will start precipitation
off as rain. As temperatures drop behind the front, rain will
mix with and likely change to snow by late Tuesday night. Not
much snow accumulation at this time, with perhaps an inch across
higher elevations.

Wednesday limited lake effect snow is likely to develop behind the
cold front. Equilibrium levels are lower...in the 8-9K feet
range. When compared to the Sunday/Monday event, there is less
overall synoptic moisture. A northwest flow will bring snows
again to the southeast of the Eastern Great Lakes, with
accumulations possible through the day. As high pressure pushes
towards the region Wednesday night, falling inversion heights
and drier air should end lake snows, with partly cloudy skies
late. Temperatures Wednesday night will drop back into the
20s...lower 20s inland, and upper 20s near the lakes.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Thanksgiving day should largely be dry and cool, however model
guidance is in better agreement with a shortwave and associated
cold front expected to bring some snow showers Thursday night.
These should be of little consequence south of I-90, however a
longer fetch and closer proximity to the shortwave will allow
for a briefly organized lake effect band with light
accumulations possible east of Lake Ontario Thursday night.
Consensus 850 mb temperatures are marginal (-6C to -8C) with
showers possibly mixed with rain at times.

The cold front will briefly sag across the region, but should
quickly lift northward at a warm front Friday night. Before this, a
narrow ridge will cross the region with dry weather Friday and
much of Friday night.

12Z runs of the ECMWF/GFS/GGEM remain in good general agreement
with low pressure tracking across southern Ontario province
Friday night then into western Quebec on Saturday. By the time
this reaches the area most areas should be in the warm sector,
with mainly rain showers and warmer temperatures for Saturday.
After this, model guidance diverges with the GGEM considerably
warmer than the ECMWF for Sunday. With support from the GFS and
a better track record, the forecast favors the cooler solution
with some lake effect snow showers possible east and southeast
of the lakes on Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Cigs will average 1500-2500 feet for all of the TAF sites. Due
to the nature of the multi-banded lake effect, there will be short
bursts of snow and temporary IFR conditions at times overnight. SE
of Lake Erie, this will be most noticeable over the Southern Tier
(KJHW/KOLE). For Lake Ontario, expect a coherent single band
development SE of Lake Ontario toward KFZY late, lasting into
Monday morning.

Lake effect bands will weaken and drift north on Monday, with
IFR under the lake bands and VFR elsewhere. Expect mostly VFR
over all WNY and CNY by the end of the day.

Outlook...

Tuesday...Mainly VFR.
Wednesday...Rain and snow showers with a chance of MVFR/IFR.
Thursday...VFR, but MVFR in lake effect -SHSN E of the lakes.
Friday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A tight pressure gradient will remain across the lower Great Lakes
through Monday. Small craft advisories will remain in place through
tonight.

Winds will subside somewhat Monday, as expansive high pressure
over the southern plains drifts to the east across the the
southern states. This will weaken the pressure gradient while
also establishing a warm advective pattern, which is less
conducive for low level mixing.

Fresh to strong southwesterlies found ahead of the next cold front
on Tuesday will keep rough conditions in place on Lake Erie.
Meanwhile offshore winds for the bulk of Lake Ontario will direct
the highest waves into canadian waters. The exception will be over
the northeast portion of the lake, north of Mexico Bay.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Strong onshore winds will continue into tonight building
significant wave action along the Lake Ontario shoreline. The
combination of already higher lake levels and continued wave
action will result in increased shoreline erosion, especially
where the lakeshore is already unstable from erosion earlier in
the year.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Lakeshore Flood Warning until 1 AM EST Monday for NYZ001>007.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning until 6 PM EST Monday for NYZ005-006.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST Monday for NYZ004.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST Monday for NYZ012-019-
     020-085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Monday for LEZ020.
         Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Tuesday for LEZ040-041.
         Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Monday for LOZ030.
         Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Tuesday for LOZ042>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RSH/TMA
NEAR TERM...TMA/ZAFF
SHORT TERM...THOMAS
LONG TERM...APFFEL
AVIATION...TMA/ZAFF
MARINE...RSH/TMA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...TMA/JJR

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
232 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

NYZ001-002-201945-
Niagara-Orleans-
232 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lakeshore Flood Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ004-201945-
Wayne-
232 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lakeshore Flood Warning.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ003-201945-
Monroe-
232 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lakeshore Flood Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ005-006-201945-
Northern Cayuga-Oswego-
232 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lakeshore Flood Warning.
   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-201945-
Jefferson-
232 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lakeshore Flood Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ008-201945-
Lewis-
232 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ010-011-013-014-201945-
Northern Erie-Genesee-Livingston-Ontario-
232 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ021-201945-
Allegany-
232 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012-019-020-085-201945-
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
232 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-201945-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
232 PM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf