Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2017
River Flood Warning 12, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this river flood warning at Apr 7, 2017, 9:29 AM EDT for Jefferson County, Lewis County, New York. It took effect at Apr 7, 2017, 2:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 53 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 7, 2017, 9:29 AM EDT (13:29 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 7, 2017, 2:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Apr 9, 2017, 7:03 PM EDT
- In force
- 53 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY
The radar
The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Black River at Watertown (ARTN6). The gauge peaked at 10.51 ft at Apr 8, 2017, 1:00 PM EDT.
- Action stage
- 8 ft
- Minor stage
- 10 ft
- Moderate stage
- 12 ft
- Major stage
- 14 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04260500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
377
WGUS41 KBUF 071329
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
929 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017
...The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Flood Warning
for The following rivers in New York...
Black River At Watertown
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-071929-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0012.170407T1800Z-170408T0600Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.170407T1800Z.170407T1800Z.170408T0000Z.NO/
929 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2017
The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a
* Flood warning for
the Black River At Watertown
* from this afternoon to late tonight.
* At 9 AM Friday the stage was 9.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise just above minor flood stage this afternoon with a crest near 10.04 feet by 8pm this evening. The river is forecast to fall below minor flood stage by 2am Saturday.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
SMITH12 follow-up statements
635
WGUS81 KBUF 071926
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
326 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in ...
Black River At Watertown
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-080126-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170410T1030Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.170407T1515Z.170408T0000Z.170410T0430Z.NO/
326 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017
...Flood warning extended until Monday morning...
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* until Monday morning.
* At 2 PM Friday the stage was 10.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 10.4 feet
this evening.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$245
WGUS81 KBUF 080204
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1004 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-080804-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170408T2100Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.170407T1515Z.170408T0600Z.170408T1500Z.NO/
1004 PM EDT FRI APR 7 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* until Saturday afternoon.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 10.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 10.3 feet
late tonight.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$617
WGUS81 KBUF 080702
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
302 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
Black Creek At Churchville
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC037-055-081302-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170409T2000Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.170407T2105Z.170408T1200Z.170409T1400Z.NO/
302 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Black Creek At Churchville
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 2 AM Saturday the stage was 6.7 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 7.0 feet
this morning.
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread agricultural
flooding along entire length of creek. Some residential flooding
begins Churchville to Chili area. Possible road closures.
&&
LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791
4312 7765
$$
NYC045-049-081302-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170408T2100Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.170407T1515Z.170407T1845Z.170408T1500Z.NO/
302 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* until this afternoon.
* At 2 AM Saturday the stage was 10.2 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage late this morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$470
WGUS81 KBUF 081225
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
825 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
Black Creek At Churchville
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-081825-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170409T0927Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.170407T1515Z.170408T1046Z.170409T0327Z.NO/
825 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017
...Flood warning extended until late tonight...
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* until late tonight.
* At 8 AM Saturday the stage was 10.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage tonight.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
NYC037-055-081825-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170409T1930Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.170407T2105Z.170408T1800Z.170409T1330Z.NO/
825 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Black Creek At Churchville
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 8 AM Saturday the stage was 6.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 6.8 feet
this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread agricultural
flooding along entire length of creek. Some residential flooding
begins Churchville to Chili area. Possible road closures.
&&
LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791
4312 7765
$$
HITCHCOCK457
WGUS81 KBUF 081531
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1131 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
Black Creek At Churchville
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-082131-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170410T0900Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.170407T1515Z.170408T1800Z.170410T0300Z.NO/
1131 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017
...Flood warning extended until late Sunday night...
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* until late Sunday night.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 10.3 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to rise and crest near 10.4 feet
this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
NYC037-055-082130-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170409T2100Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.170407T2105Z.170408T1800Z.170409T1500Z.NO/
1131 AM EDT SAT APR 8 2017
...Flood warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The flood warning continues for
The Black Creek At Churchville
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 11 AM Saturday the stage was 6.8 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will remain near a crest of 6.8 feet
this afternoon.
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread agricultural
flooding along entire length of creek. Some residential flooding
begins Churchville to Chili area. Possible road closures.
&&
LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791
4312 7765
$$
HITCHCOCK199
WGUS81 KBUF 081850
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
250 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
Black Creek At Churchville
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-090050-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170410T0900Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.170407T1515Z.170408T1715Z.170410T0300Z.NO/
250 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* until late Sunday night.
* At 2 PM Saturday the stage was 10.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage Sunday night.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
NYC037-055-090050-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170409T2100Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.170407T2105Z.170408T1330Z.170409T1500Z.NO/
250 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Black Creek At Churchville
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 2 PM Saturday the stage was 6.7 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage late Sunday morning.
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread agricultural
flooding along entire length of creek. Some residential flooding
begins Churchville to Chili area. Possible road closures.
&&
LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791
4312 7765
$$
HITCHCOCK920
WGUS81 KBUF 090054
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
854 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
Black Creek At Churchville
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-090654-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170410T0900Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.170407T1515Z.170408T1715Z.170410T0300Z.NO/
854 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* until late Sunday night.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 10.4 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage Sunday night.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
NYC037-055-090654-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170409T2100Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.170407T2105Z.170408T1330Z.170409T1500Z.NO/
854 PM EDT SAT APR 8 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Black Creek At Churchville
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 6.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage late Sunday morning.
* IMPACT...At 7.0 feet...Moderate flood, widespread agricultural
flooding along entire length of creek. Some residential flooding
begins Churchville to Chili area. Possible road closures.
&&
LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791
4312 7765
$$421
WGUS81 KBUF 090404
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1204 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
Black Creek At Churchville
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-091004-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170410T0800Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.170407T1515Z.170408T1715Z.170410T0200Z.NO/
1204 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* until late Sunday night.
* At 11 PM Saturday the stage was 10.3 feet slowly falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage Sunday night.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
NYC037-055-091004-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170409T1600Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.170407T2105Z.170408T1330Z.170409T1000Z.NO/
1204 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Black Creek At Churchville
* until noon Sunday.
* At 11 PM Saturday the stage was 6.3 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river receding now and is expected to drop
below flood stage Sunday morning.
* IMPACT...At 6.0 feet...Flood stage, more widespread agricultural
land flooding, some backyard and basement flooding Churchville to
Chili but minimal damages.
&&
LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791
4312 7765
$$212
WGUS81 KBUF 090941
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
541 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for The following rivers in New
York...
Black Creek At Churchville
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-091541-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170410T0800Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.170407T1515Z.170408T1715Z.170410T0200Z.NO/
541 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* until late tonight.
* At 4 AM Sunday the stage was 10.3 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is near crest now and is expected to drop
below flood stage tonight.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$
NYC037-055-091011-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-170409T1600Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.170407T2105Z.170408T1330Z.170409T0725Z.NO/
541 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017
The flood warning is cancelled for
The Black Creek At Churchville.
* At 5 AM Sunday the stage was 5.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage early this morning and
will continue to fall to around 4.8 feet by Monday morning.
&&
LAT...LON 4306 7770 4306 7805 4313 7805 4313 7791
4312 7765
$$
HITCHCOCK873
WGUS81 KBUF 091507
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1107 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-092107-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170410T1200Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.170407T1515Z.170408T1715Z.170410T0600Z.NO/
1107 AM EDT SUN APR 9 2017
...Flood warning extended until early Monday morning...
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* until Monday morning.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 10.2 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will fall very slowly through tonight. It
is expected to fall below flood stage early Monday morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$471
WGUS81 KBUF 092038
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
438 PM EDT SUN APR 9 2017
...The Flood Warning continues for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-100238-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170410T1200Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.170407T1515Z.170408T1715Z.170410T0600Z.NO/
438 PM EDT SUN APR 9 2017
The flood warning continues for
The Black River At Watertown
* until Monday morning.
* At 3 PM Sunday the stage was 10.0 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor Flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will slowly fall below flood stage this evening.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$769
WGUS81 KBUF 092303
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
703 PM EDT SUN APR 9 2017
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for The following rivers in New
York...
Black River At Watertown
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SAFETY MESSAGE...Never drive your car through flooded roadways. The
water may be deeper than it appears. Turn around...don't drown!
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details and updates.
&&
NYC045-049-092333-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-170410T1200Z/
/ARTN6.1.ER.170407T1515Z.170408T1715Z.170409T1955Z.NO/
703 PM EDT SUN APR 9 2017
The flood warning is cancelled for
The Black River At Watertown.
* At 6 PM Sunday the stage was 9.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river fell below flood stage late this afternoon and
will continue to fall to around 9.6 feet by Monday morning.
* IMPACT...At 10.0 feet...Flood stage, farmland flooding begins in the
Flats with some roads flooded. Minor damages to riverfront
commercial properties in Dexter.
&&
LAT...LON 4392 7531 4374 7550 4397 7567 4392 7606
4405 7612 4408 7559
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 7, 6:54 AM EDT, 2 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 7, 6:54 AM EDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
654 AM EDT Fri Apr 7 2017
.SYNOPSIS...
Deep low pressure will move down the Saint Lawrence Valley today and
continue to produce wet snow through the first half of the day
before tapering off from west to east. Dry weather will return
tonight as the low moves into the Canadian Maritimes and high
pressure builds into the Great Lakes. Mainly dry weather will then
continue through the weekend with temperatures warming to well above
average by Sunday and Monday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Radar imagery showing widespread light to moderate snow across the
majority of the area this morning. Some rain is still mixing in east
of Lake Ontario where boundary layer temperatures are few degrees
warmer. Model point soundings suggest all areas should become snow
for a few hours this morning as the column continues to cool in
ongoing cold advection and dynamic cooling.
The deep surface low over northern NY early this morning will move
down the Saint Lawrence Valley today, with a vertically stacked mid
level low taking a similar track. This will place our region within
the large shield of wrap around moisture and axis of deformation in
the comma head of the mature system. Forcing and moisture will
continue to support widespread light to moderate snow through
midday, with some rain possibly still mixing in across the eastern
Lake Ontario region.
By this afternoon the surface low will begin to pull away from the
region and head towards the Canadian Maritimes. This will take the
deeper moisture and forcing with it, and allow the snow to taper off
from west to east. The strong April sun angle may warm the boundary
layer enough to allow some rain to mix in again this afternoon
across the eastern Lake Ontario region. Meanwhile across Western NY
precip will end by mid afternoon, although a few light snow showers
may linger a few hours longer across the higher terrain of the
Chautauqua Ridge from some limited upslope flow.
As far as accumulations go, expect additional amounts after daybreak
of 1 to 2 inches across the Niagara Frontier and 2-3 inches across
the higher terrain from Southern Erie and Wyoming counties southward
into the Chautauqua Ridge, with most of that coming this morning.
This will bring totals into the 3-4 inch range for the Niagara
Frontier and 4-6 inches across the higher terrain to the south.
Elsewhere from the Genesee Valley to the eastern Lake Ontario region
expect an inch or so, with isolated amounts of 2-3 inches across the
highest terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau and Bristol Hills.
Temperatures will remain well below normal today, with highs in the
mid to upper 30s in most locations and lower 30s across high terrain.
Tonight any leftover light snow east of Lake Ontario will end this
evening. Clouds will linger much of the night east of Lake Ontario
closer to the departing circulation, with at least partial clearing
overnight across Western NY as a drier push of air moves in from
Ontario. Expect lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s in most areas,
with mid 20s in some of the colder Southern Tier valleys and Lewis
County.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Building mid level heights and confluent mid level flow will usher
in drier air on Saturday. Increasing amounts of sunshine and decent
mixing depths will support daytime high temperatures back up into
the 40s to perhaps the lower 50s, although conditions will remain
rather breezy.
The ridge axis will cross the region Saturday night. Although skies
will be clear, winds of 5 to 10 mph may limit radiational cooling in
some areas, while temperatures in sheltered interior valleys are
likely to drop below freezing.
The combination of the high pressure to our southeast and the
developing weather system over the north-central plains, will keep a
deep fetch of southern air flowing northward into western New York
on Sunday. This will allow afternoon high temperatures to
overachieve, reaching the lower to perhaps the mid 60s, with upper
50s across the Eastern Lake Ontario Region.
Temperatures will not fall much on Sunday night, with a downsloping
flow across the lake plains. There will be some clouds and maybe
some sprinkles with this warm front Sunday afternoon and night.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Monday will be a fine Spring Day, with a touch of summer as deep
southerly flow develops across the eastern United States between an
area of high pressure over the Western Atlantic, and low pressure
over the western Great Lakes region. As 850 hPa temperatures peak
around +9 to +12C across the region, surface temperatures will spike
into the 70s, and possibly reach 80F in the warmer spots of the
Genesee Valley. These temperatures will still be some 5 to 10
degrees below record values. One thing holding back the warmth will
be the wet ground, which will take longer to warm than a dry ground.
The SSW will maintain cooler temperatures for the Cape Vincent area,
and areas north of Watertown...as well as the northern suburbs of
Buffalo and Grand Island.
The surface low pressure will pass across our region, just to the
north of Lake Ontario on Tuesday. A few early morning rain showers
may reach SW NYS early Tuesday, then become slightly better in
coverage area as a cold front slices across the area Tuesday
afternoon and evening. Warmth ahead of this cold front will be
increasing the instability that will bring chances for thunder along
the front. On Wednesday the surface low will exit to the east,
though the upper level trough and additional lobe of moisture may
bring a stray shower, mainly across eastern zones. Thursday an upper
level ridge will again pass across the region, with fair weather and
temperatures around normal.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Low pressure will move down the Saint Lawrence Valley this morning.
Widespread light to moderate snow will continue through midday
across most of the region, with some rain mixed in across the
eastern Lake Ontario region where near surface temperatures are few
degrees warmer.
Expect widespread IFR and lower VSBY and IFR CIGS through this
morning in the snow. Conditions will improve from west to east this
afternoon as the snow tapers off and allows VSBY to return to VFR.
CIGS will also improve to MVFR, and then VFR this evening as the low
stratus in the wake of the system clears out.
Outlook...
Saturday through Monday...Mainly VFR.
Tuesday...VFR with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
&&
.MARINE...
Low pressure will move down the Saint Lawrence Valley today with
moderate to strong northwesterlies in its wake. This will continue
to produce Small Craft Advisory conditions into this evening on
Lakes Erie and Ontario. The low will move to the Canadian Maritimes
tonight with winds slowly diminishing from west to east. A ridge of
high pressure will then move into the Lower Great Lakes and Ohio
Valley Saturday with winds and waves diminishing. Relatively light
winds will then continue through Sunday.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
As of this writing...a flood watch remains in effect for most of
western and north central New York...with the exception of Southern
Erie...Cattaraugus...Chautauqua...and Allegany counties.
With the heaviest rainfall having focused on areas from the Finger
Lakes eastward since Thursday afternoon...the potential for flooding
has lowered on the Buffalo creeks...with most points now appearing
likely to crest at action stage. The same currently appears
true for the Black River basin as well, but some will still get
close to minor flood stage at crest.
Although there are not many forecast points in our cwa across the
Finger Lakes region, we may see slightly higher levels on
Canandaigua Lake. The water level also remains high on the Seneca
River between Montezuma downstream to Cross Lake. The flow of water
is highly complex through the Seneca and Oswego river systems given
the numerous locks and dams of the canal system. There are already
minor impacts along the river and lake banks...and it will not take
much of a rise to cause flooding in these areas.
Meanwhile...flooding still appears likely on Black Creek in
Monroe and Genesee counties, and possibly Oatka Creek as well.
It is important to note that it is possible to have both accumulating
snow and flooding at the same time. This is because it takes time for
water to flow through larger and slower responding basins so levels
can rise even after precipitation has changed to snow. One example of
this is Tonawanda Creek at Rapids which typically takes a couple days
to crest...and is currently forecast to crest in action stage
this weekend.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for NYZ001>008-010>014.
Winter Weather Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for
NYZ001-002-010>012-019-020-085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for LEZ020.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Saturday for LEZ040-
041.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for
LOZ030.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Saturday for
LOZ042>044.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 2 PM EDT
Saturday for LOZ045.
&&
SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...APFFEL/THOMAS
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...HITCHCOCK
HYDROLOGY...APFFEL/JJR/HITCHCOCKHazardous weather outlook, Apr 7, 4:33 AM EDT, 4 hours 56 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Buffalo NY 433 AM EDT Fri Apr 7 2017 NYZ003>008-013-014-080845- Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-Livingston- Ontario- 433 AM EDT Fri Apr 7 2017 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north central New York. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ021-080845- Allegany- 433 AM EDT Fri Apr 7 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ001-002-010>012-080845- Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming- 433 AM EDT Fri Apr 7 2017 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf NYZ019-020-085-080845- Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie- 433 AM EDT Fri Apr 7 2017 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-080845- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk- Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo- Lower Niagara River- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach- Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay- Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River- Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg- 433 AM EDT Fri Apr 7 2017 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake Ontario and Saint Lawrence River. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 11:49 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Monroe | 45 hr |
| Apr 7, 12:31 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | BUF | Wyoming | 6 hr |
| Apr 7, 12:09 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | BUF | Cayuga | 4 days |
| Apr 7, 3:09 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | BUF | Genesee, Monroe | 39 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in New York, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.