Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Burlington, VT

620 
WWUS41 KBTV 120813
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Burlington VT
313 AM EST Sun Feb 12 2017

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-122200-
/O.CON.KBTV.WS.W.0001.170212T1500Z-170214T0000Z/
Northern St. Lawrence-Northern Franklin-Eastern Clinton-
Southeastern St. Lawrence-Southern Franklin-Western Clinton-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Southwestern St. Lawrence-Grand Isle-
Western Franklin-Orleans-Essex-Western Chittenden-Lamoille-
Caledonia-Washington-Western Addison-Orange-Western Rutland-
Windsor-Eastern Franklin-Eastern Chittenden-Eastern Addison-
Eastern Rutland-
Including the cities of Massena, Malone, Plattsburgh, Star Lake, 
Saranac Lake, Tupper Lake, Dannemora, Lake Placid, Port Henry, 
Ticonderoga, Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Gouverneur, Alburgh, 
South Hero, St. Albans, Newport, Island Pond, Burlington, 
Johnson, Stowe, St. Johnsbury, Montpelier, Middlebury, Vergennes,
Bradford, Randolph, Rutland, Springfield, White River Junction, 
Enosburg Falls, Richford, Underhill, Bristol, Ripton, 
East Wallingford, and Killington
313 AM EST Sun Feb 12 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Burlington continues the Winter
Storm Warning for heavy snow...from 10 AM this morning to 7 PM
EST Monday.

* Locations...Northern New York and Vermont.

* Hazard Types...Snow...heavy at times.

* Accumulations...8 to 12 inches of snow for eastern Vermont and
  northern New York. 6 to 9 inches of snow in the Champlain
  Valley.

* Maximum Snowfall Rate...up to 1 inch per hour...mainly this 
  evening through midnight.

* Timing...Snow will spread into the region late this morning and
  afternoon. Snow will be heaviest later this afternoon through
  midnight before gradually abating on Monday.

* Impacts...Snow covered roads and low visibilities due to falling and
  blowing snow will create hazardous travel conditions.

* Winds...Southeast gusts to 35 mph across portions of the
  Adirondacks and Green Mountains this evening. North to northwest
  gusts to 40 mph from the Adirondacks east into Vermont on
  Monday.

* Temperatures...Highs mainly in the 20s. Lows Around 20.

* Visibilities...Less than one quarter mile at times.

$$

JMG

034 
WWUS41 KBTV 121954
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Burlington VT
254 PM EST Sun Feb 12 2017

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-131000-
/O.CON.KBTV.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170214T0000Z/
Northern St. Lawrence-Northern Franklin-Eastern Clinton-
Southeastern St. Lawrence-Southern Franklin-Western Clinton-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Southwestern St. Lawrence-Grand Isle-
Western Franklin-Orleans-Essex-Western Chittenden-Lamoille-
Caledonia-Washington-Western Addison-Orange-Western Rutland-
Windsor-Eastern Franklin-Eastern Chittenden-Eastern Addison-
Eastern Rutland-
Including the cities of Massena, Malone, Plattsburgh, Star Lake, 
Saranac Lake, Tupper Lake, Dannemora, Lake Placid, Port Henry, 
Ticonderoga, Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Gouverneur, Alburgh, 
South Hero, St. Albans, Newport, Island Pond, Burlington, 
Johnson, Stowe, St. Johnsbury, Montpelier, Middlebury, Vergennes,
Bradford, Randolph, Rutland, Springfield, White River Junction, 
Enosburg Falls, Richford, Underhill, Bristol, Ripton, 
East Wallingford, and Killington
254 PM EST Sun Feb 12 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

The National Weather Service in Burlington continues the Winter
Storm Warning for heavy snow...until 7 PM EST Monday.

* Locations...Northern New York and all of central and northern
  Vermont...including the Northeast Kingdom and Champlain Valley.

* Hazard Types...Snow...heavy at times.

* Accumulations...6 to 12 inches of snow...with localized higher
  amounts over the northern Adirondacks and central and northern
  Green Mountains.

* Maximum Snowfall Rate...up to 1 inch per hour...mainly through
  midnight tonight.

* Timing...Snow...heavy at times will continue overnight...before
  slowly decreasing in areal coverage and intensity by early
  Monday morning. 

* Impacts...Snow covered roads and low visibilities due to falling
  and blowing snow will continue to produce hazardous travel
  conditions through Monday morning. 

* Winds...North 10 to 20 mph with localized gusts up to 35 mph.

* Temperatures...Lows in the upper teens to mid 20s tonight and
  highs in the 20s on Monday.

* Visibilities...Less than one quarter mile at times.

$$

652 
WWUS41 KBTV 130844
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Burlington VT
344 AM EST Mon Feb 13 2017

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-140000-
/O.CON.KBTV.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170214T0000Z/
Northern St. Lawrence-Northern Franklin-Eastern Clinton-
Southeastern St. Lawrence-Southern Franklin-Western Clinton-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Southwestern St. Lawrence-Grand Isle-
Western Franklin-Orleans-Essex-Western Chittenden-Lamoille-
Caledonia-Washington-Western Addison-Orange-Western Rutland-
Windsor-Eastern Franklin-Eastern Chittenden-Eastern Addison-
Eastern Rutland-
Including the cities of Massena, Malone, Plattsburgh, Star Lake, 
Saranac Lake, Tupper Lake, Dannemora, Lake Placid, Port Henry, 
Ticonderoga, Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Gouverneur, Alburgh, 
South Hero, St. Albans, Newport, Island Pond, Burlington, 
Johnson, Stowe, St. Johnsbury, Montpelier, Middlebury, Vergennes,
Bradford, Randolph, Rutland, Springfield, White River Junction, 
Enosburg Falls, Richford, Underhill, Bristol, Ripton, 
East Wallingford, and Killington
344 AM EST Mon Feb 13 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Burlington continues the Winter
Storm Warning for heavy snow...until 7 PM EST this evening.

* Locations...Northern New York and all of central and northern 
  Vermont...including the Northeast Kingdom and Champlain Valley.

* Hazard Types...Snow.

* Accumulations...6 to 10 inches of snow has already fallen across
  the region. An additional 1 to 4 inches is expected through this
  afternoon...with localized higher amounts over the northern
  Adirondacks and central and northern Green Mountains.

* Maximum Snowfall Rate...up to a half inch per hour...mainly 
  early this morning.

* Timing...Snow...will continue through the morning hours today...
  before slowly decreasing in areal coverage and intensity by
  early this afternoon.

* Impacts...Snow covered roads and low visibilities due to falling
  and blowing snow will continue to produce hazardous travel
  conditions through early this afternoon.

* Winds...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Temperatures...Highs in the mid 20s to around 30.

* Visibilities...Less than one quarter mile at times.

$$

Neiles

324 
WWUS41 KBTV 132055
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Burlington VT
355 PM EST Mon Feb 13 2017

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-132200-
/O.CAN.KBTV.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170214T0000Z/
Northern St. Lawrence-Northern Franklin-Eastern Clinton-
Southeastern St. Lawrence-Southern Franklin-Western Clinton-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Southwestern St. Lawrence-Grand Isle-
Western Franklin-Orleans-Essex-Western Chittenden-Lamoille-
Caledonia-Washington-Western Addison-Orange-Western Rutland-
Windsor-Eastern Franklin-Eastern Chittenden-Eastern Addison-
Eastern Rutland-
Including the cities of Massena, Malone, Plattsburgh, Star Lake, 
Saranac Lake, Tupper Lake, Dannemora, Lake Placid, Port Henry, 
Ticonderoga, Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Gouverneur, Alburgh, 
South Hero, St. Albans, Newport, Island Pond, Burlington, 
Johnson, Stowe, St. Johnsbury, Montpelier, Middlebury, Vergennes,
Bradford, Randolph, Rutland, Springfield, White River Junction, 
Enosburg Falls, Richford, Underhill, Bristol, Ripton, 
East Wallingford, and Killington
355 PM EST Mon Feb 13 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Burlington has cancelled the
Winter Storm Warning for Northern New York and Vermont.

Widespread snowfall has ended. Snow showers will continue across 
the higher terrain and western slopes of the Adirondacks and Green
Mountains of Vermont and portions of eastern Champlain Valley of 
Vermont. Minor accumulations expected.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
217 PM EST Sat Feb 11 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Areas of light snow and flurries will slowly come to an end
across the area today. A significant snowfall is forecast to
affect the region Sunday afternoon into Monday as deep low
pressure develops in the Gulf of Maine. Behind this system
additional chances of accumulating snowfall will exist by the
middle of next week before a trend toward quieter weather is
expected by late week into next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 10 PM THIS EVENING/...
As of 1241 PM EST Saturday...Light scattered snow showers with
isolated freezing drizzle continues to diminish this afternoon.
Only a few tenths of an inch of snow expected with only a glaze
of ice possible this afternoon. Temperatures slow to climb with
maxes forecast to remain in the 20s.

Generally quiet weather is expected tonight, though cloud cover
will be quite persistent as considerable moisture will remain
trapped under weak ridging aloft and an associated mid-level
synoptic scale inversion near 850 mb. A stray flurry will be
possible here and there. As a consequence I've leaned on the
milder side of temperature guidance suggesting readings
bottoming out mainly in the mid teens to lower 20s, perhaps a
tad cooler in far northeastern VT. Winds light.

&&

.SHORT TERM /10 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 415 AM EST Saturday...A Northern stream low pressure
system will pass from the Northern Great Lakes eastward across
New York and into the Gulf of Maine by Monday morning. At the
same time a secondary low moves from the Ohio river valley
eastward and phases with aforementioned Northern stream low by
Monday morning. After surface low phases it will bomb out over
Gulf of Maine. Upper level trof moves from Northern Great Lakes
eastward, closing off over central New York by Sunday night and
tracks eastward into the Gulf of Maine by Monday morning as
well. Light to moderate snow will fall from Sunday afternoon
through early Monday morning with the highest snowfall rates
from 00-06z Monday. Wrap around upslope snow showers will
continue into Monday afternoon. Have kept Winter storm watch for
the region and expect snowfall totals in the 8-14 inch range
over the 36 hour period. Biggest totals with this storm will
likely be across coastal Maine. QPF will be between half an inch
and an inch of SWE. Noticeable upslope and shadowing effects are
expected as low crosses the area and flow changes with passage
of the low. Highest totals will be in upslope regions with
shadowing evident in valleys.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 215 PM EST Saturday...Wx pattern remains very active
during the middle portion of next week. We'll see just a brief
period of sfc high pressure over New York and New England on
Tuesday with generally light winds. It may be difficult to erode
low- level cloud layer with inversion in place and weak flow,
so have maintained mostly cloudy conditions in the forecast.
High temperatures on Tuesday generally 25-30F.

Another vigorous northern stream shortwave trough/closed mid-
level low translates sewd from the northern Great Lakes across
sern Ontario on Tuesday night, and ultimately tracks ewd across
New York and New England during the day on Wednesday. Anticipate
developing light stratiform snow Tuesday night, with possible
period of moderate snow during Wednesday morning based on the
12z GFS. The 12z ECMWF has the same system, but is a bit slower
with best potential for accumulating/moderate snow a bit later
in the day on Wednesday. Have increased PoPs to 50-70% range
areawide based on overall 12z NWP trends, and would anticipate
at least some minor travel impacts with several inches of snow
accumulation possible, with timing details still pending. Also,
it appears we'll see secondary low development east of NJ late
Wednesday into Wednesday night, with rapidly intensifying low
east of Cape Cod or in the Gulf of Maine Wednesday
night/Thursday morning. Potential for higher snowfall
accumulations across central/ern VT based on this synoptic
evolution, and will need to continue to monitor given expected
vigorous nature of the mid-level trough.

Prevailing NW flow will maintain at least mountain snow showers
Thursday into Thursday night, but overall will see deep,
vertically stacked low pulling slowly away Friday into Saturday
with decreasing chances for snow showers across the North
Country. Temperatures Wednesday through Saturday will be near
seasonal levels for mid-February.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z Saturday THROUGH Thursday/...
Through 18Z Sunday...Overcast conditions all terminals through
the period. General trend will be for ceilings to decrease into
the MVFR range later this afternoon, and especially during the
overnight hours associated with a frontal inversion and low
stratus deck. The cloud deck is relatively shallow, but will
produce occasional flurries or even light freezing drizzle. It
appears the freezing drizzle is most likely at MPV/SLK, where it
is included in the TAF over the next several hours. Anticipate
periods of BR and spotty FZDZ during the overnight hrs as well,
and may result in some minor impact to flights and ground
operations as a result. Ceilings should briefly lift back into
the VFR category after 12z Sunday, before falling to IFR as
widespread snowfall develops from SW-NE between 16-18Z Sunday as
significant storm commences.

In terms of winds, there is a weak frontal zone/wind shift along
the intl border at 1730Z. Anticipate a light northerly wind
shift around 21-22Z at BTV as this feature slides to the south
and dissipates, with generally light N-NE flow during the
overnight period. On Sunday, winds generally becoming
southeasterly at 5-10kts, except locally 12-18kts at KRUT with
localized orographic effects there.

Outlook 18Z Sunday through Thursday...

18Z Sunday - 23Z Monday: Generally IFR in snow, heavy at times
late Sunday afternoon thru Sunday night. Steady light snow
continues Monday with increasing north winds, including gusts
25-30kts at BTV during the mid-day hours resulting in blowing
and drifting snow. Significant impact to aviation ground ops
during this period.

00Z Tuesday - 00Z Wednesday: High pressure briefly builds into
the area. Snow showers will end during Monday night with periods
of MVFR before trending generally VFR for the daytime hrs
Tuesday.

00Z Wednesday onward: Timing uncertainties persist, but next
clipper system brings potential widespread light to briefly
moderate snowfall Wednesday into Wednesday night. Periods of IFR
anticipated with minor to moderate impacts to aviation ground
operations, and HIR TRRN OBSCD. Lingering snow showers in the
mtns Thursday as system departs eastward per current
indications.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...Winter Storm Watch from Sunday morning through Monday evening
     for VTZ001>012-016>019.
NY...Winter Storm Watch from Sunday morning through Monday evening
     for NYZ026>031-034-035-087.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG/KGM
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Banacos
AVIATION...Banacos

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Burlington VT
338 AM EST Sat Feb 11 2017

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-120845-
Northern St. Lawrence-Northern Franklin-Eastern Clinton-
Southeastern St. Lawrence-Southern Franklin-Western Clinton-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Southwestern St. Lawrence-Grand Isle-
Western Franklin-Orleans-Essex-Western Chittenden-Lamoille-Caledonia-
Washington-Western Addison-Orange-Western Rutland-Windsor-
Eastern Franklin-Eastern Chittenden-Eastern Addison-Eastern Rutland-
338 AM EST Sat Feb 11 2017

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern New York...central
Vermont...northeast Vermont...northwest Vermont and southern
Vermont.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

JMG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
938 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0937 AM     SNOW             DANBY                   43.35N  73.00W
02/11/2017  M2.0 INCH        RUTLAND            VT   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1700574

BANACOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
952 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0952 AM     SNOW             CHESTER                 43.26N  72.59W
02/11/2017  M1.0 INCH        WINDSOR            VT   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1700575

BANACOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1008 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1008 AM     SNOW             FAIR HAVEN              43.60N  73.27W
02/11/2017  M2.0 INCH        RUTLAND            VT   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1700576

BANACOS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1105 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1104 AM     SNOW             HARTLAND                43.54N  72.40W
02/11/2017  M1.9 INCH        WINDSOR            VT   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1700577

BANACOS