Alert archive / Vermont / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Burlington, VT

February 25, 2017Rutland County, Vermont

NWS Burlington, VT issued this river flood warning at Feb 25, 2017, 1:27 PM EST for Rutland County, Vermont. It took effect at Feb 26, 2017, 2:17 AM EST. It was in force for 34 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 25, 2017, 1:27 PM EST (18:27 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 26, 2017, 2:17 AM EST
Expired
Feb 27, 2017, 11:48 AM EST
In force
34 hr
Issued by
NWS Burlington, VT
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Rutland County, VT

The radar

The Burlington radar (KCXX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Otter Creek at Center Rutland (CENV1). The gauge peaked at 9.38 ft at Feb 26, 2017, 2:00 PM EST.

actionminormoderate4681002/2502/2602/2702/28
Action stage
6 ft
Minor stage
8 ft
Moderate stage
10 ft
Major stage
12 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04282000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

048 
WGUS41 KBTV 251827
FLWBTV
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 
127 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017

...The National Weather Service in Burlington has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in New York...Vermont...

  East Branch Ausable River At Ausable Forks

  Otter Creek At Center Rutland

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Safety message...

If you live or travel near streams and rivers seek higher ground 
immediately at first signs of rising water. Obey all road closure 
signs, they are there for your safety. Do not attempt to drive 
through flooded areas, most flood deaths occur in automobiles. Turn 
around, don't drown!

Stay tuned to developments by listening to noaa weather radio, or by 
visiting our web site at: weather.gov.

&&

NYC019-031-261800-
/O.NEW.KBTV.FL.W.0001.170226T0300Z-170226T1800Z/
/ASFN6.1.RS.170226T0300Z.170226T0600Z.170226T1200Z.NO/
127 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017

The National Weather Service in Burlington has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The East Branch Ausable River At Ausable Forks.
* from this evening to Sunday afternoon...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 12:15 PM Saturday the stage was 5.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday night and continue to
  rise to near 8.3 feet by after midnight Sunday. The river will fall
  below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Water will approach route 9N near Stickney 
  Bridge in Jay, and Stone House and Anthony River Roads. Minor 
  flooding can occur in Keene. Water begins to overflow onto Hulls 
  Falls Road, Route 73, and Route 9N near Marcy Field. High water 
  will impact interests at Alice Falls near Keeseville.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4461 7343 4447 7338 4437 7361 4411 7372
      4413 7391 4449 7378             

$$

VTC021-261827-
/O.NEW.KBTV.FL.W.0002.170226T0717Z-170227T1648Z/
/CENV1.1.RS.170226T0717Z.170226T1800Z.170227T1048Z.NO/
127 PM EST SAT FEB 25 2017

The National Weather Service in Burlington has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Otter Creek At Center Rutland.
* from late tonight to Monday morning...Or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 11:45 AM Saturday the stage was 5.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight Sunday and 
  continue to rise to near 9.2 feet by early Sunday afternoon. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Monday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...In Clarendon, low lying portions of South 
  Creek Road will flood between Walker Mountain Road and Wallingford,
  and water will approach Alfrecha Road. In Pittsford, Elm Street and
  Depot Road will be under water. Field flooding will occur along 
  Dorr Drive in Rutland, along with lowland flooding upstream to 
  Wallingford and downstream to Pittsford.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4384 7320 4384 7307 4360 7295 4339 7291
      4340 7304 4359 7307             

$$

HANSON
5 follow-up statements
205 
WGUS81 KBTV 260838
FLSBTV
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 
338 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in New 
York...Vermont...

  East Branch Ausable River At Ausable Forks

  Missisquoi River Near North Troy

  Lamoille River At Jeffersonville

  Winooski River At Essex Junction

  Otter Creek At Center Rutland

  Passumpsic River at Passumpsic

  Barton River At Coventry

  Winooski River At Waterbury

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Safety message...

If you live or travel near streams and rivers seek higher ground 
immediately at first signs of rising water. Obey all road closure 
signs, they are there for your safety. Do not attempt to drive 
through flooded areas, most flood deaths occur in automobiles. Turn 
around, don't drown!

Stay tuned to developments by listening to noaa weather radio, or by 
visiting our web site at: weather.gov.

&&

NYC019-031-261827-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170226T1827Z/
/ASFN6.1.RS.170226T0207Z.170226T0601Z.170226T1227Z.NO/
338 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The East Branch Ausable River At Ausable Forks.
* At  3:15 AM Sunday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Water will approach route 9N near Stickney 
  Bridge in Jay, and Stone House and Anthony River Roads. Minor 
  flooding can occur in Keene. Water begins to overflow onto Hulls 
  Falls Road, Route 73, and Route 9N near Marcy Field. High water 
  will impact interests at Alice Falls near Keeseville.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4461 7343 4447 7338 4437 7361 4411 7372
      4413 7391 4449 7378             

$$

VTC019-261545-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170226T1545Z/
/NTYV1.1.RS.170226T0406Z.170226T0600Z.170226T0945Z.NO/
338 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missisquoi River Near North Troy.
* At  2:30 AM Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Water floods farmlands along the Missisquoi 
  River from Lowell to North Troy. Low lying portions of Loop Road 
  near Troy and Westfield will flood, as well as portions of River 
  Road from Troy to North Troy.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4501 7245 4501 7230 4472 7241 4476 7254


$$

VTC015-261917-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170226T1917Z/
/JVLV1.1.ER.170226T0637Z.170226T1000Z.170226T1317Z.NO/
338 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lamoille River At Jeffersonville.
* At  3:15 AM Sunday the stage was 450.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 450.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 450.6 feet by 
  early Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 450.0 feet...Water will rise to near the edge of Route 
  15 in Cambridge Village at the Wrong Way Bridge. There will be 
  widespread field flooding from Jeffersonville downstream through 
  Fairfax.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4470 7297 4469 7272 4460 7277 4461 7302


$$

VTC023-270000-
/O.CON.KBTV.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-170227T0000Z/
/WATV1.1.ER.170226T0519Z.170226T1200Z.170226T1800Z.UU/
338 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Winooski River At Waterbury.
* At  2:45 AM Sunday the stage was 419.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 419.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 419.6 feet by 
  Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 419.0 feet...Water will flood fields behind the Vermont 
  State Office Complex in Waterbury. Field flooding will occur from 
  Waterbury downstream through Richmond. 

&&
    
LAT...LON 4444 7292 4433 7262 4424 7268 4436 7295


$$

VTC007-270820-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FL.W.0006.170226T0939Z-170227T0820Z/
/ESSV1.1.ER.170226T0939Z.170226T1200Z.170227T0220Z.NO/
338 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Winooski River At Essex Junction.
* until late tonight...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Sunday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Sunday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 13.2 feet by Sunday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Sunday night.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...North Williston Road in Essex will begin to 
  flood, and motorists should seek an alternate route. Farms in the 
  Burlington Intervale will flood.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4457 7326 4444 7291 4436 7295 4450 7331


$$

VTC021-270938-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170227T1330Z/
/CENV1.1.RS.170226T0551Z.170226T1800Z.170227T0730Z.NO/
338 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Otter Creek At Center Rutland.
* At  2:45 AM Sunday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 8.8 feet by 
  Sunday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage after 
  midnight Monday.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...In Clarendon, low lying portions of South 
  Creek Road will flood between Walker Mountain Road and Wallingford,
  and water will approach Alfrecha Road. In Pittsford, Elm Street and
  Depot Road will be under water. Field flooding will occur along 
  Dorr Drive in Rutland, along with lowland flooding upstream to 
  Wallingford and downstream to Pittsford.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4384 7320 4384 7307 4360 7295 4339 7291
      4340 7304 4359 7307             

$$

VTC005-261930-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FL.W.0008.170226T1116Z-170226T1930Z/
/PASV1.1.ER.170226T1116Z.170226T1200Z.170226T1330Z.NO/
338 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Passumpsic River at Passumpsic.
* until this afternoon...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:15 AM Sunday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Sunday morning and continue to
  rise to near 14.3 feet by Sunday morning. The river will fall below
  flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Low lying trailer homes near the river will 
  see some minor flooding.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4460 7207 4460 7196 4433 7199 4428 7208


$$

VTC019-270938-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FL.W.0003.170226T0838Z-170227T0944Z/
/COVV1.1.RS.170226T0650Z.170226T1300Z.170227T0344Z.UU/
338 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Barton River At Coventry.
* until late tonight...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  3:30 AM Sunday the stage was 8.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 8.5 feet by 
  Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday night.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Maple Street and River Road between Orleans 
  and Coventry Station will flood. There will be extensive field and 
  lowland flooding.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4490 7226 4490 7217 4483 7216 4478 7207
      4476 7224                       

$$
861 
WGUS81 KBTV 261259
FLSBTV
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 
759 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New 
York...Vermont...

  East Branch Ausable River At Ausable Forks

  Winooski River At Waterbury

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Vermont...

  Missisquoi River Near North Troy

  Barton River At Coventry

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Vermont...
  Lamoille River At Jeffersonville

  Winooski River At Essex Junction

  Otter Creek At Center Rutland

  Passumpsic River at Passumpsic

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Safety message...

If you live or travel near streams and rivers seek higher ground 
immediately at first signs of rising water. Obey all road closure 
signs, they are there for your safety. Do not attempt to drive 
through flooded areas, most flood deaths occur in automobiles. Turn 
around, don't drown!

Stay tuned to developments by listening to noaa weather radio, or by 
visiting our web site at: weather.gov.

&&

VTC005-270402-
/O.CON.KBTV.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-170227T0402Z/
/PASV1.2.ER.170226T0924Z.170226T1800Z.170226T2202Z.NO/
759 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Passumpsic River at Passumpsic.
* At  7:15 AM Sunday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.1 feet by 
  Sunday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late Sunday
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Route 5 floods on both north and south sides
  of Lyndonville, as well as at the Center Street Bridge, with homes 
  and businesses along the Passumpsic taking on water. Significant 
  flooding occurs on Route 5 and Old Center Road in Saint Johnsbury 
  center. Flooding may also occur upstream along the Sleepers river 
  in Saint Johnsbury. Flooding will be similar to Irene in 2011.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4460 7207 4460 7196 4433 7199 4428 7208


$$

VTC019-262026-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170226T2026Z/
/NTYV1.1.RS.170226T0406Z.170226T1230Z.170226T1426Z.NO/
759 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missisquoi River Near North Troy.
* At  7:30 AM Sunday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Water floods farmlands along the Missisquoi 
  River from Lowell to North Troy. Low lying portions of Loop Road 
  near Troy and Westfield will flood, as well as portions of River 
  Road from Troy to North Troy.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4501 7245 4501 7230 4472 7241 4476 7254


$$

VTC015-261954-
/O.CON.KBTV.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170226T1954Z/
/JVLV1.1.ER.170226T0637Z.170226T1215Z.170226T1354Z.NO/
759 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lamoille River At Jeffersonville.
* At  7:15 AM Sunday the stage was 450.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 450.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 451.0 feet...Water will cover Route 15 in Cambridge 
  Village at the Wrong Way Bridge. Traffic diversions may be 
  necessary, and motorists planning to travel route 15 through 
  Cambridge should allow extra time to detour around the flooded 
  roadway. There will be widespread field flooding from 
  Jeffersonville downstream through Fairfax.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4470 7297 4469 7272 4460 7277 4461 7302


$$

VTC023-261329-
/O.CAN.KBTV.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-170227T0000Z/
/WATV1.1.ER.170226T0519Z.170226T0630Z.170226T0821Z.UU/
759 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Winooski River At Waterbury.
* At  6:45 AM Sunday the stage was 417.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 419.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  3:21 AM Sunday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 413.2 feet by Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 417.0 feet...The Winooski from Waterbury downstream 
  through Richmond will be at bankful. Some minor flooding of low 
  lying fields will occur.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4444 7292 4433 7262 4424 7268 4436 7295


$$

VTC007-270820-
/O.CON.KBTV.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-170227T0820Z/
/ESSV1.1.ER.170226T1119Z.170226T1800Z.170227T0220Z.NO/
759 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Winooski River At Essex Junction.
* At  7:30 AM Sunday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.7 feet by 
  Sunday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  night.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...North Williston Road in Essex will begin to 
  flood, and motorists should seek an alternate route. Farms in the 
  Burlington Intervale will flood.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4457 7326 4444 7291 4436 7295 4450 7331


$$

VTC021-271330-
/O.CON.KBTV.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170227T1330Z/
/CENV1.1.RS.170226T0551Z.170226T1245Z.170227T0730Z.NO/
759 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Otter Creek At Center Rutland.
* At  7:45 AM Sunday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  after midnight Monday.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...In Clarendon, low lying portions of South 
  Creek Road will flood between Walker Mountain Road and Wallingford,
  and water will approach Alfrecha Road. In Pittsford, Elm Street and
  Depot Road will be under water. Field flooding will occur along 
  Dorr Drive in Rutland, along with lowland flooding upstream to 
  Wallingford and downstream to Pittsford.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4384 7320 4384 7307 4360 7295 4339 7291
      4340 7304 4359 7307             

$$

VTC019-271359-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170227T2136Z/
/COVV1.1.RS.170226T0650Z.170226T1500Z.170227T1536Z.UU/
759 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Barton River At Coventry.
* At  7:30 AM Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.4 feet by late 
  Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Maple Street and River Road between Orleans 
  and Coventry Station will flood. There will be extensive field and 
  lowland flooding.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4490 7226 4490 7217 4483 7216 4478 7207
      4476 7224                       

$$

NYC019-031-261329-
/O.CAN.KBTV.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-170226T1827Z/
/ASFN6.1.RS.170226T0207Z.170226T0601Z.170226T0946Z.NO/
759 AM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The East Branch Ausable River At Ausable Forks.
* At  7:15 AM Sunday the stage was 6.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  4:46 AM Sunday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 4.0 feet by Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Minor flooding can occur in Keene. Water 
  begins to overflow onto Hulls Falls Road, Route 73, and Route 9N 
  near Marcy Field. High water will impact interests at Alice Falls 
  near Keeseville.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4461 7343 4447 7338 4437 7361 4411 7372
      4413 7391 4449 7378             

$$
497 
WGUS81 KBTV 261751
FLSBTV
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 
1251 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Vermont...

  Missisquoi River Near North Troy

  Lamoille River At Jeffersonville

  Winooski River At Essex Junction

  Otter Creek At Center Rutland

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Vermont...
  Barton River At Coventry

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Safety message...

If you live or travel near streams and rivers seek higher ground 
immediately at first signs of rising water. Obey all road closure 
signs, they are there for your safety. Do not attempt to drive 
through flooded areas, most flood deaths occur in automobiles. Turn 
around, don't drown!

Stay tuned to developments by listening to noaa weather radio, or by 
visiting our web site at: weather.gov.

&&

VTC019-270421-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170227T0421Z/
/NTYV1.1.RS.170226T0406Z.170226T1330Z.170226T2221Z.NO/
1251 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Missisquoi River Near North Troy.
* At 12:30 PM Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.8 feet by 
  Sunday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late Sunday
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Water floods farmlands along the Missisquoi 
  River from Lowell to North Troy. Low lying portions of Loop Road 
  near Troy and Westfield will flood, as well as portions of River 
  Road from Troy to North Troy.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4501 7245 4501 7230 4472 7241 4476 7254


$$

VTC015-262326-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-170226T2326Z/
/JVLV1.1.ER.170226T0637Z.170226T1215Z.170226T1726Z.NO/
1251 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Lamoille River At Jeffersonville.
* At 12:15 PM Sunday the stage was 450.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 450.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 451.0 feet...Water will cover Route 15 in Cambridge 
  Village at the Wrong Way Bridge. Traffic diversions may be 
  necessary, and motorists planning to travel route 15 through 
  Cambridge should allow extra time to detour around the flooded 
  roadway. There will be widespread field flooding from 
  Jeffersonville downstream through Fairfax.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4470 7297 4469 7272 4460 7277 4461 7302


$$

VTC007-270430-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-170227T0430Z/
/ESSV1.1.ER.170226T1119Z.170226T1800Z.170226T2230Z.NO/
1251 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Winooski River At Essex Junction.
* At 12:30 PM Sunday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.9 feet by 
  Sunday afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late Sunday
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...North Williston Road in Essex will begin to 
  flood, and motorists should seek an alternate route. Farms in the 
  Burlington Intervale will flood.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4457 7326 4444 7291 4436 7295 4450 7331


$$

VTC021-271536-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170227T1536Z/
/CENV1.1.RS.170226T0551Z.170226T1645Z.170227T0936Z.NO/
1251 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Otter Creek At Center Rutland.
* At 11:45 AM Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Monday.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...In Clarendon, low lying portions of South 
  Creek Road will flood between Walker Mountain Road and Wallingford,
  and water will approach Alfrecha Road. In Pittsford, Elm Street and
  Depot Road will be under water. Field flooding will occur along 
  Dorr Drive in Rutland, along with lowland flooding upstream to 
  Wallingford and downstream to Pittsford.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4384 7320 4384 7307 4360 7295 4339 7291
      4340 7304 4359 7307             

$$

VTC019-271851-
/O.CON.KBTV.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170227T2136Z/
/COVV1.1.RS.170226T0650Z.170226T1500Z.170227T1536Z.UU/
1251 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Barton River At Coventry.
* At 12:30 PM Sunday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Monday morning.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Maple Street and River Road between Orleans 
  and Coventry Station will flood. There will be extensive field and 
  lowland flooding.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4490 7226 4490 7217 4483 7216 4478 7207
      4476 7224                       

$$
043 
WGUS81 KBTV 270211
FLSBTV
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 
911 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Vermont...

  Otter Creek At Center Rutland

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Vermont...
  Barton River At Coventry

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Safety message...

If you live or travel near streams and rivers seek higher ground 
immediately at first signs of rising water. Obey all road closure 
signs, they are there for your safety. Do not attempt to drive 
through flooded areas, most flood deaths occur in automobiles. Turn 
around, don't drown!

Stay tuned to developments by listening to noaa weather radio, or by 
visiting our web site at: weather.gov.

&&

VTC021-271930-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170227T1930Z/
/CENV1.1.RS.170226T0551Z.170226T1900Z.170227T1330Z.NO/
911 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Otter Creek At Center Rutland.
* At  8:45 PM Sunday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...In Clarendon, low lying portions of South 
  Creek Road will flood between Walker Mountain Road and Wallingford,
  and water will approach Alfrecha Road. In Pittsford, Elm Street and
  Depot Road will be under water. Field flooding will occur along 
  Dorr Drive in Rutland, along with lowland flooding upstream to 
  Wallingford and downstream to Pittsford.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4384 7320 4384 7307 4360 7295 4339 7291
      4340 7304 4359 7307             

$$

VTC019-272136-
/O.CON.KBTV.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170227T2136Z/
/COVV1.1.RS.170226T0650Z.170226T1500Z.170227T1536Z.UU/
911 PM EST SUN FEB 26 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Barton River At Coventry.
* At  8:30 PM Sunday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 8.9 feet by 
  Sunday night. The river will fall below flood stage late Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Maple Street and River Road between Orleans 
  and Coventry Station will flood. There will be extensive field and 
  lowland flooding.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4490 7226 4490 7217 4483 7216 4478 7207
      4476 7224                       

$$
006 
WGUS81 KBTV 271207
FLSBTV
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 
707 AM EST MON FEB 27 2017

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Vermont...

  Otter Creek At Center Rutland

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Vermont...

  Barton River At Coventry

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Safety message...

If you live or travel near streams and rivers seek higher ground 
immediately at first signs of rising water. Obey all road closure 
signs, they are there for your safety. Do not attempt to drive 
through flooded areas, most flood deaths occur in automobiles. Turn 
around, don't drown!

Stay tuned to developments by listening to noaa weather radio, or by 
visiting our web site at: weather.gov.

&&

VTC019-280424-
/O.EXT.KBTV.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-170228T0424Z/
/COVV1.1.RS.170226T0650Z.170226T1500Z.170227T2224Z.UU/
707 AM EST MON FEB 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Barton River At Coventry.
* At  6:30 AM Monday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Maple Street and River Road between Orleans 
  and Coventry Station will flood. There will be extensive field and 
  lowland flooding.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4490 7226 4490 7217 4483 7216 4478 7207
      4476 7224                       

$$

VTC021-271237-
/O.CAN.KBTV.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-170227T1930Z/
/CENV1.1.RS.170226T0551Z.170226T1900Z.170227T1052Z.NO/
707 AM EST MON FEB 27 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Otter Creek At Center Rutland.
* At  6:45 AM Monday the stage was 7.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  5:52 AM Monday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 6.6 feet by Tuesday 
  morning.

&&
    
LAT...LON 4384 7320 4384 7307 4360 7295 4339 7291
      4340 7304 4359 7307             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Burlington, VT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 25, 12:22 PM EST, 1 hour 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 25, 12:22 PM EST, 1 hour 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
1222 PM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
a strong cold front WILL traverse through the North Country
this afternoon. Very warm temperatures ahead of this front
combined with widespread rainfall will lead to increased
snowmelt and runoff which in turn will increase the potential
for ice jams and river flooding through the weekend. More
seasonable weather returns Sunday with some light snow in the
higher elevations before a quieter period of weather to start
next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
As of 740 AM EST Saturday...Well the heat has already claimed
its first record. As of 730 this morning we touched 56 degrees
which breaks the old record and we have potentially another 10
degrees before we reach peak heating. The fog has for the most
part dissipated and the rest of the forecast is on track. Temps
will remain a struggle as none of the available guidance has
captured even at initialization.

Previous discussion...Quite the 24 hours expected today as a
multitude of forecast challenges exist with fog this morning,
the potential for strong winds with a cold front, the threat of
ice jam and snowmelt flooding, and snow in the higher elevation
sites late this evening.

To begin, areas of dense fog continue this evening with many
sites reporting 1/2 mile or lower visibilities. A warm front is
lifting north however the warm air is overrunning the colder
surface air in the Champlain, Connecticut, and Saint Lawrence
valleys. As such a strong low level inversion is playing out
over the northern portion of the forecast area. Obs in immediate
Champlain Valley and Connecticut river valleys are showing in
the mid 30s, whereas at higher elevations above 1500 feet, temps
are already in the upper 40s to low 50s. Based on the latest
RAP and hires BTV wrf models, that warm front has slowed down
significantly and isn't expected to reach the Canadian border
until shortly before daybreak. Thus the fog, dense at times,
will likely continue through the rest of the overnight hours in
the lower elevation sites, however we can expect gradual
improvement over the next couple of hours.

As the warm front lifts north, we will be solidly in the warm
sector of the cyclone. The source region for our airmass is the
same air that set records all across portion of central New
York yesterday. With 925mb temps still projected to be +10-12C
expect low to mid 60s for highs which also puts us in record
territory for heat.

So for the next installment, a well developed strong cold front
will be tracking through the North Country this afternoon and
evening. Guidance has been remarkably consistent dating back to
Tues-Wed of the past week with the idea that a convective fine
line will develop this afternoon and bring a narrow ribbon of
moderate to heavy rainfall to the region as the anafront tracks
across the North Country. Strong surface convergence and
decent surface/elevated instability will combine to produce
that aforementioned fine line which should begin to move into
the Saint Lawrence valley between 17-19Z. The system will
continue to propagate towards the east and should reach the
Champlain Valley between 23z-01z. Expect timing the initial
precip across eastern Vermont to be between 01-03z. With the
convective nature of the rainfall, we are anticipating periods
of heavy rainfall. That heavy rainfall, combined with the large
amounts of snowmelt will cause some ice movement along the
rivers. Thus the FLOOD WATCH remains in effect through Sunday
with the full details in the hydrology section below for
potential flooding.

The pressure gradient with this frontal system will be quite
strong and so ahead of the front expect strong and potentially
gusty southerly winds. 850mb winds based on a local 2km wrf are
as high as 50-60kts ahead of the front! This will be especially
true on the east side of Lake Champlain as the winds become
funneled with 15-25mph winds likely and gusts as high as 45mph.
Then as the convective fine line develops and advances through
Northern New York there is some potential for severe winds to be
associated with the line. The Storm Prediction Center has put
portions of southern Vermont and west in a slight risk for
severe weather with a 15% prob for damaging winds. Most unstable
CAPE is only in the 250 J/kg range but being winter and seeing
how strong the low level convergence and lift are, its possible
that a portion of the fine line will bow out bringing damaging
winds. That threat will have to be monitored as we continue
through the day. The dynamics fall apart though as the front
moves east of the Champlain valley so the main threat for
damaging winds will be for locations generally west of the
Champlain valley.

Behind the front, the cold air advection surges in and we will
see 25-35 degree diurnal swings with lows in the mid 20s
expected. Thus the precip lingering behind the anafront will
likely end as end as a period of rain/snow in the valleys and
heavy wet snow in the higher elevations where several inches of
accumulation are possible.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 348 AM EST Saturday...Upper trough axis is east of the
area Sunday morning and flow aloft through Monday will generally
be from the west. Cool down will be brief with highs in the 30s
to around 40...which is a few degrees above normal...but we
quickly warm right back into the 40s on Monday with a few 50
degree readings possible. Moisture and forcing will be limited
Sunday through Monday. Could see some mountain showers on
Sunday...with dry weather Sunday night...then a few mountain
showers on Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 348 AM EST Saturday...No significant weather expected
through the period. Flow aloft becomes southwest Tuesday
through Thursday with above normal temperatures expected during
this period...especially on Tuesday and Wednesday. Highs will be
in the mid 40s to mid 50s. Dry weather is expected for the most
part on Tuesday...but the chances for showers will increase
Tuesday night and especially Wednesday and Wednesday night as
upper trough axis approaches the region. Temperatures will be
warm enough for the precipitation to be in the form of rain. A
return to more seasonal temperatures will take place late
Thursday into Friday with the passage of the upper trough and
west to northwest flow aloft developing over the area. Cannot
rule out the possibility for some showers Thursday night into
Friday and temperatures would generally cold enough for the
precipitation to be in the form of snow showers.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z Saturday THROUGH Thursday/...
Through 18Z Sunday...Active weather is descending on the area
this afternoon with a line of showers and isolated thunderstorms
moving from west to east across the area between 18z and 02z.
During this time expect MVFR/IFR conditions for both ceilings
and visibilities due to the showers and isolated storms. Gusty
south winds...in the 20 to 30 knot range...will exist in advance
of the precipitation...then shift to the southwest and west
after 02z through the remainder of the period. Winds will taper
down a bit...but still be gusting in the 15 to 25 knot range. As
precipitation ends after 02z...visibilities will improve into
the VFR category and in the MVFR/VFR categories for ceilings.

Outlook 18Z Sunday through Wednesday...

18Z Sunday - 12Z Tuesday...Mainly VFR under high pressure.

12Z Tuesday - 00Z Thursday...VFR with chance MVFR/IFR rain
showers.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 430 AM EST Saturday...The flood watch remains in place
and is effective through Sunday evening. The record setting
warmth from Thursday through Saturday has already melted out a
significant portion of our snowpack with more warm air this
afternoon. The snow melt will combine with periods of heavy
rainfall associate with a cold front and produce significant
rises on nearly all rivers and streams across the region. And
the ground is also frozen, so not much will soak in.
Complicating matters is that some rivers, especially across
northern/northeast VT and in the Adirondacks are still ice
covered. Thus as the water levels rise and the ice weakens,
we'll start to see ice movement. Which could very well then get
stuck in bends in the river or along bridges or where the rivers
go from a steeper to more gentle slope. By their nature, ice
jams are impossible to predict but can result in localized
flooding occurring quickly. In general, it takes the river to
rise 1.5 to 3 times the thickness of the ice to start the
breakup process. Based upon NERFC forecasts as well as ensemble
river simulations we continue to look at the Winooski @ Essex
Jct, and the Mad River @ Moretown for the primary focus of more
significant river flooding. Best river response will be late
Saturday through Saturday night due to runoff from snowmelt and
expected rainfall. Thickest river ice is in place across nern NY
basins and nrn VT, including the Chazy, Ausable, Winooski,
Lamoille, Missisquoi, and Passumpsic. Uncertainty in the river
forecasts are due to unknown exactly how much snow melt we are
getting and how much rainfall we will see on Saturday. Those
uncertainties are pretty large, so forecast changes are possible
as we move closer to the main event on Saturday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Several more record high temperatures are expected to be broken
tomorrow on February 25, 2017. Here are the current records for
our long standing sites:

Burlington, VT       55|1985
Montpelier, VT       59|1985
St. Johnsbury, VT    60|2016
Massena, NY          50|1956
Mount Mansfield, VT  49|1961

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...Flood Watch through Sunday evening for VTZ001>012-016>019.
NY...Flood Watch through Sunday evening for NYZ026>031-034-035-087.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Deal
NEAR TERM...Deal
SHORT TERM...Evenson
LONG TERM...Evenson
AVIATION...Evenson
HYDROLOGY...Banacos
CLIMATE...Lahiff
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 25, 3:16 AM EST, 10 hours 11 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Burlington VT
316 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>012-016>019-260830-
Northern St. Lawrence-Northern Franklin-Eastern Clinton-
Southeastern St. Lawrence-Southern Franklin-Western Clinton-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Southwestern St. Lawrence-Grand Isle-
Western Franklin-Orleans-Essex-Western Chittenden-Lamoille-Caledonia-
Washington-Western Addison-Orange-Western Rutland-Windsor-
Eastern Franklin-Eastern Chittenden-Eastern Addison-Eastern Rutland-
316 AM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern New York, central
Vermont, northeast Vermont, northwest Vermont and southern Vermont.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Burlington, VT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 25, 2:56 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningBTVFranklin6 hr
Feb 25, 3:40 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBTVAddison, Chittenden, Franklin, Grand Isle65 min
Feb 25, 4:55 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningBTVOrleans53 hr
Feb 25, 5:10 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningBTVOrleans22 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Vermont, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.