Alert archive / Massachusetts / Wind Chill Advisories in 2017

Wind Chill Advisory 1, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

March 4, 2017Capitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut; 5 counties in Massachusetts; Providence County, Rhode Island

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this wind chill advisory at Mar 4, 2017, 3:48 AM EST for Capitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut; 5 counties in Massachusetts; Providence County, Rhode Island. It took effect at Mar 5, 2017, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 4, 2017, 3:48 AM EST (08:48 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 5, 2017, 12:00 AM EST
Expired
Mar 5, 2017, 9:00 AM EST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

Counties Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Providence County, RI

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 148 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2017-03-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2017-03-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 117 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1759 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
117 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

970 
WWUS41 KBOX 040848
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Taunton MA
348 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

MAZ002>004-008>012-041700-
/O.NEW.KBOX.WC.Y.0001.170305T0500Z-170305T1200Z/
Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-
Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-
Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-
Including the cities of Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, 
Springfield, Milford, and Worcester
348 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM
EST SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a Wind Chill
Advisory, which is in effect from midnight tonight to 7 AM EST
Sunday.

* LOCATIONS...Western and Central Massachusetts.

* HAZARD TYPES...dangerously cold wind chills.

* WIND CHILL READINGS...between -15 and -20 farenheit.

* TIMING...after midnight tonight into Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous wind chills may quickly produce frostbite 
  on exposed skin.

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* TEMPERATURES...1 to 9 above.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory is issued when wind chill values of -15 to 
-24 degrees are likely for at least 3 hours. Wind chill values 
below -20 degrees can bring about frostbite in as little as 30 
minutes. Outdoor exposure should be limited. If you must be 
outdoors, dress in layers and keep your hands and feet covered to 
protect against frostbite.

&&

$$

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston
6 follow-up statements
297 
WWUS41 KBOX 041609
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Taunton MA
1109 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

MAZ002>004-008>012-050015-
/O.CON.KBOX.WC.Y.0001.170305T0500Z-170305T1200Z/
Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-
Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-
Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-
Including the cities of Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, 
Springfield, Milford, and Worcester
1109 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
7 AM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Western and Central Massachusetts.

* HAZARD TYPES...dangerously cold wind chills.

* WIND CHILL READINGS...between -15 and -20 farenheit.

* TIMING...after midnight tonight into Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous wind chills may quickly produce frostbite 
  on exposed skin.

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* TEMPERATURES...1 to 9 above.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory is issued when wind chill values of -15 to -
24 degrees are likely for at least 3 hours. Wind chill values
below -20 degrees can bring about frostbite in as little as
30 minutes. Outdoor exposure should be limited. If you must be
outdoors, dress in layers and keep your hands and feet covered to
protect against frostbite.

&&

$$

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston
666 
WWUS41 KBOX 042028
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Taunton MA
328 PM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

CTZ002>004-MAZ005-026-RIZ001-050430-
/O.EXA.KBOX.WC.Y.0001.170305T0500Z-170305T1200Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Central Middlesex MA-
Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Framingham, Lowell, Ayer, Foster, 
and Smithfield
328 PM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM
EST SUNDAY...

The National Weather Service in Taunton has issued a Wind Chill
Advisory, which is in effect from midnight tonight to 7 AM EST
Sunday.

* LOCATIONS...Portions of interior eastern Massachusetts,
  northwest Rhode Island, and the northern half of Hartford,
  Tolland, and Windham Counties in northern Connecticut

* HAZARD TYPES...dangerously cold wind chills.

* WIND CHILL READINGS...between -15 and -20 farenheit. 

* TIMING...after midnight tonight into Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous wind chills may quickly produce frostbite 
  on exposed skin.

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* TEMPERATURES...0 to 9 above.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory is issued when wind chill values of -15 to -
24 degrees are likely for at least 3 hours. Wind chill values
below -20 degrees can bring about frostbite in as little as
30 minutes. Outdoor exposure should be limited. If you must be
outdoors, dress in layers and keep your hands and feet covered to
protect against frostbite.

A Wind Chill Advisory is issued when wind chill values of -15 to 
-24 degrees are likely for at least 3 hours. Wind chill values 
below -20 degrees can bring about frostbite in as little as 30 
minutes. Outdoor exposure should be limited. If you must be 
outdoors, dress in layers and keep your hands and feet covered to 
protect against frostbite.

&&

$$

MAZ002>004-008>012-050430-
/O.CON.KBOX.WC.Y.0001.170305T0500Z-170305T1200Z/
Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-
Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-
Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-
Including the cities of Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, Northampton, 
Springfield, Milford, and Worcester
328 PM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
7 AM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Western and Central Massachusetts.

* HAZARD TYPES...dangerously cold wind chills.

* WIND CHILL READINGS...between -15 and -20 farenheit. Isolated
  locations in the east slopes of the Berkshires may approach -25
  fahrenheit.

* TIMING...after midnight tonight into Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous wind chills may quickly produce frostbite 
  on exposed skin.

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* TEMPERATURES...5 below to 5 above zero.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory is issued when wind chill values of -15 to -
24 degrees are likely for at least 3 hours. Wind chill values
below -20 degrees can bring about frostbite in as little as
30 minutes. Outdoor exposure should be limited. If you must be
outdoors, dress in layers and keep your hands and feet covered to
protect against frostbite.

&&

$$

Thompson

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston
521 
WWUS41 KBOX 050300
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Taunton MA
1000 PM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>005-008>012-026-RIZ001-051100-
/O.CON.KBOX.WC.Y.0001.170305T0500Z-170305T1200Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-
Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Northwest Providence RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, 
Northampton, Springfield, Milford, Worcester, Ayer, Foster, 
and Smithfield
1000 PM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Portions of interior eastern Massachusetts, 
  northwest Rhode Island, and the northern half of Hartford, 
  Tolland, and Windham Counties in northern Connecticut.

* HAZARD TYPES...dangerously cold wind chills.

* WIND CHILL READINGS...between 15 -and 20 -farenheit.

* TIMING...after midnight through a couple hours after sunrise.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous wind chills may quickly produce frostbite 
  on exposed skin.

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* TEMPERATURES...Zero to 11 above zero.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory is issued when wind chill values of -15 to -
24 degrees are likely for at least 3 hours. Wind chill values
below -20 degrees can bring about frostbite in as little as
30 minutes. Outdoor exposure should be limited. If you must be
outdoors, dress in layers and keep your hands and feet covered to
protect against frostbite.

A Wind Chill Advisory is issued when wind chill values of -15 to -
24 degrees are likely for at least 3 hours. Wind chill values
below -20 degrees can bring about frostbite in as little as
30 minutes. Outdoor exposure should be limited. If you must be
outdoors, dress in layers and keep your hands and feet covered to
protect against frostbite.

&&

$$

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston
462 
WWUS41 KBOX 050411
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Taunton MA
1111 PM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>005-008>012-026-RIZ001-051200-
/O.CON.KBOX.WC.Y.0001.170305T0500Z-170305T1200Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-
Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Northwest Providence RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, 
Northampton, Springfield, Milford, Worcester, Ayer, Foster, 
and Smithfield
1111 PM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...Portions of interior eastern Massachusetts, 
  northwest Rhode Island, and the northern half of Hartford, 
  Tolland, and Windham Counties in northern Connecticut.

* HAZARD TYPES...dangerously cold wind chills.

* WIND CHILL READINGS...between -15 and -20 farenheit.

* TIMING...after midnight through a couple hours after sunrise.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous wind chills may quickly produce frostbite 
  on exposed skin.

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* TEMPERATURES...Zero to 11 above zero.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory is issued when wind chill values of -15 to -
24 degrees are likely for at least 3 hours. Wind chill values
below -20 degrees can bring about frostbite in as little as
30 minutes. Outdoor exposure should be limited. If you must be
outdoors, dress in layers and keep your hands and feet covered to
protect against frostbite.

A Wind Chill Advisory is issued when wind chill values of -15 to -
24 degrees are likely for at least 3 hours. Wind chill values
below -20 degrees can bring about frostbite in as little as
30 minutes. Outdoor exposure should be limited. If you must be
outdoors, dress in layers and keep your hands and feet covered to
protect against frostbite.

&&

$$

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston
443 
WWUS41 KBOX 050853
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Taunton MA
353 AM EST Sun Mar 5 2017

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>005-008>012-026-RIZ001-051400-
/O.EXT.KBOX.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170305T1400Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-
Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Northwest Providence RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, 
Northampton, Springfield, Milford, Worcester, Ayer, Foster, 
and Smithfield
353 AM EST Sun Mar 5 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...Portions of interior eastern Massachusetts, 
  northwest Rhode Island, and the northern half of Hartford, 
  Tolland, and Windham Counties in northern Connecticut.

* HAZARD TYPES...dangerously cold wind chills.

* WIND CHILL READINGS...between 15 -and 20 -farenheit.

* TIMING...through about 9 AM.

* IMPACTS...Dangerous wind chills may quickly produce frostbite 
  on exposed skin.

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* TEMPERATURES...1 to 11 above.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory is issued when wind chill values of -15 to -
24 degrees are likely for at least 3 hours. Wind chill values
below -20 degrees can bring about frostbite in as little as
30 minutes. Outdoor exposure should be limited. If you must be
outdoors, dress in layers and keep your hands and feet covered to
protect against frostbite.

A Wind Chill Advisory is issued when wind chill values of -15 to -
24 degrees are likely for at least 3 hours. Wind chill values
below -20 degrees can bring about frostbite in as little as
30 minutes. Outdoor exposure should be limited. If you must be
outdoors, dress in layers and keep your hands and feet covered to
protect against frostbite.

&&

$$

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston
733 
WWUS41 KBOX 051400
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Taunton MA
900 AM EST Sun Mar 5 2017

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>005-008>012-026-RIZ001-051500-
/O.EXP.KBOX.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-170305T1400Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-
Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-Northern Middlesex MA-
Northwest Providence RI-
Including the cities of Hartford, Windsor Locks, Union, Vernon, 
Putnam, Willimantic, Charlemont, Greenfield, Orange, Barre, 
Fitchburg, Framingham, Lowell, Chesterfield, Blandford, Amherst, 
Northampton, Springfield, Milford, Worcester, Ayer, Foster, 
and Smithfield
900 AM EST Sun Mar 5 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

While it will still remain blustery and cold the rest of this
morning, wind chill values will continue to rise above zero by
noon.

$$

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind chill advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill advisory went out at Mar 4, 12:33 AM EST, 3 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 4, 12:33 AM EST, 3 hours 15 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Taunton MA
1233 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
An arctic cold front will cross the region this evening which will
be accompanied by scattered snow showers along with a few heavier
but localized snow squalls. Behind the arctic front near record cold
and bitterly cold wind chills tonight into Sunday morning.
A significant warming trend follows early next week with
temperatures likely back into the 50s Tuesday and Wednesday,
along with a chance of showers. Colder weather returns late in
the week with a few snow showers possible Thursday night into
early Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
***Localized brief heavy snow squalls continue this evening***

10pm update...
Noting the gradual development of a modest narrow inverted trof.
This is especially noticeable in local meso-obs/winds suggest
some decent convergence colocated with a narrow min in MSAS
pres. This continues to provide enough of a focus for continued
SHSN which as the trof pulls both E and S will move across
portions of E MA and RI through about 1AM. SN accums should
remain light, generally under an inch but quick accums on area
roadways cannot be ruled out as these move through.

Otherwise, forecast on track. POPs/WX are close to both
operational HRRR and experimental HRRR which are now carrying
this inverted trof well.

Previous discussion...

After analyzing all of the 12z guidance including the 12z
GFS/NAM/NAM nest/NAM nest parallel/19z HRRR & HRRRX/12zARW/NMMB/BTV-
WRF and latest RAP, good model consensus on two bands of snow
showers/squalls impacting southern New England this evening and
overnight. Hi Res models simulating very well two lines of snow
squalls currently over eastern PA and NY state. In fact noting VCTS
with these squalls earlier at ELM NY. This activity enters western
MA/CT including the Greater Hartford/Springfield area between 5 pm
and 7 pm, then eastward into RI and eastern MA including Boston 7 pm
to 9 pm and shortly thereafter across Cape Cod. Some of the guid
weakens this initial band of snow showers/squalls as it traverses
eastward especially into RI and eastern MA.

As the lead arctic short wave approaches from the west it induces a
surface wave on the arctic front over southeast NH 22z-02z with an
inverted trough extending westward into southern VT. As this
boundary and associated low level convergence slips south a new line
of squalls will likely move into northern and eastern MA including
Boston between 10 pm to 1 am. Pretty impressive how well these Hi
Res models are simulating the squalls over eastern PA and NY then
model consensus over southern New England this evening. Thus we have
above average confidence on the timing and areal coverage
(scattered) of snow showers/squalls across the entire region this
evening.

As is the case with warm season convection some towns will be
impacted while neighboring communities will be spared. While a
lot of snow is not expected, some of the more intense squalls
will result in the potential for a quick 0.5 to 1.0 inch in 15-20
mins, covering roads quickly with a light accumulation and vsby
briefly but rapidly lowering to a 1/4 mile or less. Seeing many
social media posts upstream across PA/NY of many accidents as roads
quickly become slick along with poor vsby. In addition gusty WNW
winds will accompany the squalls. Will continue to communicate these
details via our Special Weather Statement.

Then behind this arctic front very strong CAA overspreads the area
with 850 temps lowering to about -22C by 12z Sat. This will result
in temps plummeting into the teens with single digits well inland.
These frigid temps combined with gusty NW winds up to 35 mph will
result in bitterly cold wind chills from minus 5 to 5 above zero.
Across the higher terrain of the Worcester Hills to the east slopes
of the Berkshires -5 to -15 wind chills will be common.

Given the magnitude of the cold air tonight's temps were derived
from the coldest guid sources.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
Saturday...

Second surge of arctic air comes tomorrow from trailing arctic short
wave in the afternoon. Good forcing for ascent with this feature
however models are indicating a lack of low and mid level moisture
for short wave to work with. Thus models are not generating much qpf
given the lack of moisture despite steep lapse rates and strong
forcing. Will have to watch how this evolves as sometimes these
potential short waves finds a way to pool enough moisture for
scattered snow showers/squalls to materialize. For now will keep the
forecast dry but later shifts will need to reevaluate.

Behind this short wave a second surge of arctic air advects across
the region with 850 temps lowering to -22C along the south coast to -
24C along the NH/MA border. Will be interesting to see how cold the
850 temp is on the 00z observed CHH sounding Sat evening, as the
coldest 850 temp observed in the month of March is -23C (per SPC
sounding climo)! Puts into context how cold of an airmass we are
dealing with.

Sat night...

Coldest temps will be observed tomorrow night as the core of the
cold air settles over the region. Mins will range from near zero
northwest MA to the teens along the south coast with single digits
across most of the area. Mins were derived from the coldest data
sets. Given robust CAA continues especially during the evening gusty
NNW winds will yield wind chills from zero to about minus 10 with
minus 15 to minus 20 across the high terrain. Will highlight these
bitterly cold wind chills via our Special Weather Statement but may
eventually need a wind chill advisory.

Dry weather prevails but could see some ocean effect snow showers
esp in the evening across the outer Cape as winds back to about 330
degs.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Highlights...

* Significantly milder Tue/Wed with some showers.
* Turning colder Thu night with a few snow showers possible

Details...

Sunday...

Wind chills may still be near Advisory criteria of -15 degrees in
far northwest MA early Sunday morning with 0 to -10 degrees
across all of the rest of MA, except the southeast. However, the
core of the cold air mass will be shifting offshore, which will
allow some relief from the bitter cold. High pressure overhead
coupled with the increasing March sun angle should allow highs
to recover into the 30 to 35 degree range. Those temps are still
nearly 10 degrees below normal for early March. Northwest winds
will be gusty in the east, but will be diminishing during the
day.

Sunday night and Monday...

High pressure crests over the region Sunday night...so despite
rising height fields expect a good night of radiational
cooling. Low temps should bottom out well down into the teens
across many locations. with even a few single digits expected in
northwest MA and some of the normally colder areas in southeast
MA.

A return southerly flow of air should occur Monday as high pressure
moves off the coast. This should allow high temps to recover to
the mid and upper 40s Monday afternoon in many locations. The
exception might be along the immediate coast, where sea breezes
may result in high temps struggling to break 40. Skies will
start out sunny but there will be an increase in high cloudiness
from west to east during the afternoon.

Monday night through Tuesday night...

Strong low pressure in western Ontario will be slowly heading toward
Hudson Bay as high pressure shifts farther east off the coast.
The result will be a southerly flow of much milder air into
southern New England. Best forcing will be located well to our
northwest, but warm advection should create a chance of light
showers Monday night, which could possibly start as some snow or
freezing rain near the VT/NH border.

Skies will be mostly cloudy and there is a chance of showers Tuesday,
but temperatures will climb to the lower and middle 50s. Expecting
a weak cold front to move across the region Tuesday night,
enhancing the chances of showers.

Wednesday...

There is a slight chance of an early morning shower. Then, with
increasing sunshine and westerly downsloping winds, temperatures
are forecast to climb to 55 to 60.

Thursday...

A secondary cold front is forecast to move through on Thursday.
Timing is slightly different amongst models. Highs mainly in
the 40s. By Thursday night, a brisk and somewhat unstable flow
of air will usher much colder air into the region. There is a
chance of a few snow showers. Preferred the cooler guidance, in
deference to the much colder ECMWF solution. Lows Thursday night
mainly in the 20s, except teens northwest MA and near 30 outer
Cape Cod and Islands.

Friday...

Weak high pressure will lead to a partly sunny day with highs
in the lower to mid 40s. Attention will then turn to an
approaching warm front. There is a big discrepancy in the models
for next weekend's weather, which is highly dependent on the
timing and location of this warm front. But that is currently
beyond our forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Through 12Z...High confidence.
Mixed IFR/MVFR conditions continue for SE MA terminals through
08Z. VFR follows for all TAF sites. Winds increase with NW gusts
20-30 kt.

Today...High confidence.
Mainly VFR conditions but low probability of additional snow
showers (mainly VFR but a few brief periods of MVFR possible)
during the late morning hours. NW winds continue 25-35 kt again.

Tonight and Tomorrow...High confidence.
VFR but MVFR-IFR possible across the outer Cape as ocean effect
clouds and snow showers may move into that region. Gusty NNW
winds 20-30 kt tonight diminish somewhat on Sun.

KBOS TAF...High confidence in TAF.

KBDL TAF...High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...

Sunday night and Monday...High confidence. VFR.

Monday night into early Wednesday...Moderate confidence.
VFR but areas of MVFR-IFR conditions in lower clouds and
scattered showers from time to time. Greatest risk for IFR and
heavier showers is Tuesday night.

Mid-morning through Wednesday afternoon... High confidence.
Becoming VFR through the region. Gusty west winds to 15-25 kts.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

*** NNW Gales, Moderate Freezing Spray & possible Arctic Sea
    Smoke ***

4 pm update...

Short Term /through Sunday/...

Tonight...High confidence.

First surge of gales overspread the waters roughly 8 pm to 2 am from
northwest to southeast behind first arctic front. The front will
likely be accompanied by brief but intense snow squalls lowering
vsby to 1/4 mile or less at times. Improvement 2nd half of the
night. However arctic air will result in areas of moderate freezing
spray across the eastern MA waters.

Saturday...high confidence.

Second arctic front crosses the region during the afternoon with
another surge of NNW gales. Moderate freezing spray eastern MA
waters along with possible snow squalls esp offshore.

Sat night...high confidence.

NNW gales continue with core of arctic air over the MA/RI waters.
Widespread moderate freezing including the RI waters. Thus freezing
spray advisories have been expanded. Low risk for a few hours of
heavy freezing spray eastern MA waters. Given how cold and dry this
airmass will be could see shallow arctic sea smoke develop.

Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...

Sunday...High confidence.  Freezing spray concerns should come to an
end by Sunday afternoon as the air mass modifies. Wind gusts
will also gradually diminish as high pressure slowly builds in
from the west...but still expecting small craft advisory
criteria wind gusts until mid-afternoon.

Monday and Monday night...High confidence. Winds and seas
should below small craft thresholds.

Tuesday...Marginal southerly small craft wind gusts...to near
25 kts...may develop by Tue afternoon as high pressure
continues to move east allowing for southerly gradient to
increase. 5 to 6 foot seas may develop across our southern
waters. Scattered showers.

Tuesday night and Wednesday...5 to 7 ft seas over the southern
and far eastern outer waters. West to west-southwest winds will
gust to 20-25 kt at times. Scattered showers Tuesday night and
early Wednesday morning could reduce visibilities to 3 miles or
less.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record Low Max Temperatures for Sat March 4...

BOS...21/1896
PVD...23/1943
BDL...23/1943
ORH...19/1943

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Freezing Spray Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST
     Sunday for ANZ232>234-255.
     Gale Warning from 7 AM this morning to 1 AM EST Sunday for
     ANZ232>234.
     Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ230-
     236.
     Freezing Spray Advisory from 4 AM early this morning to 7 AM
     EST Sunday for ANZ231-250-251-254.
     Gale Warning from 4 AM early this morning to 1 AM EST Sunday
     for ANZ231-251.
     Freezing Spray Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 7 AM EST
     Sunday for ANZ235-237-256.
     Gale Warning from 7 AM this morning to 4 PM EST this afternoon
     for ANZ235-237.
     Gale Warning until 7 AM EST Sunday for ANZ250-254.
     Gale Warning from 4 AM early this morning to 4 PM EST this
     afternoon for ANZ255-256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Nocera/GAF
NEAR TERM...Nocera/Doody
SHORT TERM...Nocera
LONG TERM...GAF
AVIATION...Doody/GAF
MARINE...Nocera/GAF
CLIMATE...
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 4, 3:24 AM EST, 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Taunton MA
324 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

MAZ002>004-008>012-050830-
Western Franklin MA-Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-
Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-
Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-
324 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Massachusetts and
western Massachusetts.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Chill Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

  Wind Chill Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

CTZ002>004-MAZ005>007-013>024-026-RIZ001>008-050830-
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Central Middlesex MA-
Western Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Norfolk MA-
Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern Norfolk MA-
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable MA-Dukes MA-
Nantucket MA-Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-
Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-
Washington RI-Newport RI-Block Island RI-
324 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut, eastern
Massachusetts, northeastern Massachusetts, southeastern
Massachusetts, and Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ256-050830-
Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to
20 nm South of Block Island-
324 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY...
...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ255-050830-
Coastal Waters extending out to 25 nm South of Marthas Vineyard and
Nantucket-
324 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY...
...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ250-254-050830-
Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National
Marine Sanctuary-
Coastal waters from Provincetown MA to Chatham MA to Nantucket MA
out 20 nm-
324 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ231-251-050830-
Cape Cod Bay-Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay-
324 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY...
...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Freezing Spray Advisory.
   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ235-237-050830-
Rhode Island Sound-Block Island Sound-
324 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ230-236-050830-
Boston Harbor-Narragansett Bay-
324 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters
and Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ232>234-050830-
Nantucket Sound-Vineyard Sound-Buzzards Bay-
324 AM EST Sat Mar 4 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM EST
SUNDAY...
...FREEZING SPRAY ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.
   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Freezing Spray Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 3, 10:19 PM EST, 5 hours 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Taunton MA
1019 PM EST FRI MAR 3 2017

MAZ005-007-012>022-040515-
Southern Worcester-Eastern Essex-Suffolk-Southern Plymouth-Central
Middlesex County-Eastern Norfolk-Western
Plymouth-Barnstable-Southeast Middlesex-Eastern Plymouth-Northern
Bristol-Southern Bristol-Western Norfolk-
1019 PM EST FRI MAR 3 2017

...A snow squall WILL AFFECT eastern Massachusetts. ...

At 1018 PM EST...A snow squall was along a line extending from near
Lancaster to near Hudson to Saugus to 8 miles north of Provincetown,
and was moving southeast at 25 mph.

This second round of snow squalls could lead to quick accumulations
of up to an inch of snow.

Drivers need to remain alert. These conditions often lead to
accidents, especially on highways, since road conditions can change
rapidly. Avoid braking suddenly. Consider delaying travel until the
squalls pass.

&&

LAT...LON 4198 7014 4192 7055 4189 7001 4186 7053
      4179 7052 4170 7099 4206 7151 4240 7160
      4253 7110 4242 7091 4230 7105 4225 7088
      4234 7088 4220 7072 4220 7071 4195 7065
      4193 7052 4208 7017 4186 6995
TIME...MOT...LOC 0318Z 312DEG 23KT 4249 7173 4239 7150 4248 7103 4217
7024

md

The office that day

Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 3, 7:03 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBOXMiddlesex, Worcester57 min
Mar 3, 8:01 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBOXBristol, Norfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk59 min
Mar 3, 10:19 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBOXNorfolk, Plymouth, Suffolk116 min
Mar 4, 12:50 PM ESTWind AdvisoryBOXBarnstable, Bristol, Dukes, Essex, Middlesex, Nantucket and 4 more6 hr
Mar 4, 6:57 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBOX42 hr

Nearby

Wind Chill Advisories in Massachusetts, 2017Wind Chill Advisories in Connecticut, 2017Wind Chill Advisories in Rhode Island, 2017Every wind chill advisory in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.