Alert archive / Massachusetts / Storm Watches in 2017

Storm Watch 4, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

March 12, 2017

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this storm watch at Mar 12, 2017, 7:03 PM EDT. It took effect at Mar 14, 2017, 11:00 AM EDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 12, 2017, 7:03 PM EDT (23:03 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 14, 2017, 11:00 AM EDT
Expired
Mar 13, 2017, 4:25 AM EDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

The text

As transmitted.

847 
WHUS71 KBOX 122303
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
703 PM EDT SUN MAR 12 2017

ANZ250-251-130715-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-170313T1400Z/
/O.UPG.KBOX.SR.A.0003.170314T1500Z-170314T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SR.W.0007.170314T1500Z-170314T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
703 PM EDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A STORM
WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  55 KT. SEAS 18 TO 23 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

ANZ231-130715-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-170313T1400Z/
/O.UPG.KBOX.SR.A.0003.170314T1500Z-170314T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SR.W.0007.170314T1500Z-170314T2200Z/
CAPE COD BAY-
703 PM EDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A STORM
WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  55 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

ANZ254-255-130715-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-170313T1400Z/
/O.UPG.KBOX.SR.A.0003.170314T1200Z-170314T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SR.W.0007.170314T1200Z-170314T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
703 PM EDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A STORM
WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  55 KT. SEAS 18 TO 23 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

ANZ256-130715-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-170313T1400Z/
/O.UPG.KBOX.SR.A.0003.170314T1200Z-170314T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SR.W.0007.170314T1200Z-170314T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
703 PM EDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A STORM
WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 
  KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

ANZ232>235-237-130715-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-170313T0800Z/
/O.UPG.KBOX.SR.A.0003.170314T1200Z-170314T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SR.W.0007.170314T1200Z-170314T2200Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
703 PM EDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A STORM
WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT TUESDAY. THE
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 
  KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

ANZ230-130715-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-170313T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KBOX.GL.A.0012.170314T1200Z-170315T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SR.A.0004.170314T1500Z-170314T2100Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-
703 PM EDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A STORM WATCH,
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 
  KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF
48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC
TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ236-130715-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-170313T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KBOX.GL.A.0012.170314T1200Z-170314T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SR.A.0004.170314T1500Z-170314T2100Z/
NARRAGANSETT BAY-
703 PM EDT SUN MAR 12 2017

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A STORM WATCH,
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE GALE
WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 
  KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF
48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC
TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO
PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO
CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON
1 follow-up statement
604 
WHUS71 KBOX 130825
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
425 AM EDT MON MAR 13 2017

ANZ230-236-131630-
/O.UPG.KBOX.SR.A.0004.170314T1500Z-170314T2100Z/
/O.EXB.KBOX.SR.W.0007.170314T1500Z-170314T2100Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
425 AM EDT MON MAR 13 2017

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A STORM
WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 5 PM EDT TUESDAY. 

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 50
  KT. WAVES AROUND 2 FEET BOSTON HARBOR AND UP TO 4 FEET
  NARRAGANSETT BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

ANZ250-251-131630-
/O.CON.KBOX.SR.W.0007.170314T1500Z-170314T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
425 AM EDT MON MAR 13 2017

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 55
  KT. SEAS 23 TO 27 FEET TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* FREEZING SPRAY...AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

ANZ231-131630-
/O.CON.KBOX.SR.W.0007.170314T1500Z-170314T2200Z/
CAPE COD BAY-
425 AM EDT MON MAR 13 2017

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 55
  KT. SEAS 15 TO 20 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

ANZ254-255-131630-
/O.CON.KBOX.SR.W.0007.170314T1200Z-170314T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
425 AM EDT MON MAR 13 2017

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 35 TO 45 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 KT.
SEAS 23 TO 28 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

ANZ256-131630-
/O.CON.KBOX.SR.W.0007.170314T1200Z-170314T2200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
425 AM EDT MON MAR 13 2017

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 35 TO 45 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 60
  KT. SEAS 15 TO 20 FEET ON TUESDAY.

* FREEZING SPRAY...AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

ANZ232>235-237-131630-
/O.CON.KBOX.SR.W.0007.170314T1200Z-170314T2200Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
425 AM EDT MON MAR 13 2017

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  55 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FEET.

* FREEZING SPRAY...AREAS OF LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE
SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD
PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND
CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS
AND WAVES SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm watch went out at Mar 12, 5:04 PM EDT, 1 hour 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 12, 5:04 PM EDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Taunton MA
504 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2017

.SYNOPSIS...

A major winter storm will impact the region Tuesday into Tuesday
night with heavy snow, strong winds, and possible coastal flooding.
Blizzard conditions are possible along portions of eastern MA and
Rhode Island.  Blustery Thursday, then fair and cold Friday as
high pressure builds in. Another round of unsettled weather is
possible during the weekend, currently favoring Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
Still gusty winds in place, but the wind and CAA are diminishing
as high pressure builds east. Clear skies and light wind will
allow radiational cooling overnight. With dew points about 5
degrees either side of zero, expect most min temps in the
single numbers. A few cold spots may dip a couple of degrees
below zero.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
High pressure overhead will keep fair weather through the day
and evening. As the high shifts east, mid and high clouds will
move overhead. Model high-level moisture fields suggest a period
of increased mid-high clouds early afternoon followed by
thinning. Temps at the top of the mixed layer will be equivalent
to -15C thru -17C at 850 mb, so max temps should be mid 20s to
low 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Highlights on Major Winter Storm Tuesday:

* High confidence in 12" to 18" of snow for many locations with
  a low risk for isolated 20" to 24" amounts

* Exception is mainly across the Cape/Islands where snowfall amounts
  are highly uncertain given Ptype uncertainty

* Blizzard conditions along with strong to damaging wind gusts
  possible across eastern MA/RI

Details on Major Winter Storm...

High confidence in a major winter storm for most of the region with
the potential for blizzard conditions and strong to damaging wind
gusts possible across eastern MA/RI.  Confidence in a heavy snowfall
is quite high over much of the county warning area, but given the
event is still 48+ hours out in the model world uncertainty remains.
The two main issues are where the axis of heaviest snow will setup
along with Ptype across extreme southeast new England, focused
across the Cape/Islands.  Will break it down a bit more below.

Timing...

Vigorous shortwave diving down from Canada will spawn rapid
cyclogenesis along the coast.  This will increase the forcing for
ascent and snow should rapidly overspread the region between 4 and 8
am Tuesday morning.  The rapid intensification of this low will
generate an 850 mb easterly low level jet this is 4 to 5 standard
deviations above normal.  The result will be an area of tremendous
omega/frontogenesis developing Tuesday morning and into the
afternoon.  Both the GFS/NAM indicate a period of 30 to 50 units of
omega in the snow growth region for a time.  This certainly may
yield 2 to 4" per hour snowfall rates for a time and would not be
surprised to see a bit of thundersnow.  The heaviest snow should
taper off to snow showers from southwest to northeast Tuesday night
as the intensifying surface low lifts to our northeast.

Snowfall Amounts...

The models have come into much better agreement over the last 24 to
48 hours, but small nuances are enough to make a significant
difference in the overall outcome in some locations.  Given the
overall synoptics and expected strong omega/frontogenesis...we are
quite confident in much of the region receiving 12 to 18 inches of
snow. While QPF may be less on some of the guidance in our western
zones...many models track the mid level low across eastern CT and up
through central MA.  Snowfall amounts are often underdone to the
northwest of this region in the mid level deformation zone/back.
bent mid level warm front.  The exact track this storm and its mid
level centers remains uncertain...but there certainly is a low risk
for isolated 20 to 24" in amounts.  Highest risk for this would
probably be northwest of the Boston to Providence corridor. Portions
of eastern MA/RI may have to contend with a mid level dry slot which
may cut down amounts for some of these locations.  However, models
still show some low level frontogenesis and assistance from a coastal
front that may result in another area of enhanced snowfall.

Ptype Uncertainty...

The most difficult portion of this forecast revolves around ptype
across extreme southeast MA and especially across the the
Cape/Islands.  The NAM model is the most aggressive given its surface
track across far southeast MA allowing for a change to rain across
the south coast and into much of far southeast MA.  We think this is
probably too aggressive, while the GFS showing pretty much all snow
for the Cape/Islands is likely too cold.  Therefore, we blended the
guidance and basically have to 4 to 8 inches of snow in this region.
A lot of uncertainty in these amounts though and they certainly may
need to be adjusted.

Headlines and Strong Winds....

Potent northeast low level jet and good mixing should result in 50
to 60 mph wind gusts along the immediate coast, with 40 to 50 mph
gusts further back into interior eastern MA and RI.  Given the
potential for those wind speeds and heavy snow...opted to expand the
Blizzard Watch across most of eastern MA and RI.  Blizzard
conditions are possible with blowing and drifting snow along with
near white-out conditions possible at times.  Many roads may become
impassable on Tuesday.  In addition...given our very high confidence
in heavy snow across all but the Cape/Islands have converted the
Winter Storm Watch to a Warning.  Will let the later shifts decide
on whether or not confidence is high enough to convert Blizzard
Watches to Blizzard Warnings.

Across the Cape/Islands too much ptype uncertainty, so continued a
Winter Storm Watch and High Wind Watch.  Given the wet nature of the
snow along the coast...there will be an increased risk for tree
damage and power outages.  Something will have to watch closely.

Thursday and Friday...Moderate confidence.

Lingering northwest flow Thursday as high pressure approaches,
but less pressure gradient than Wednesday so expect lighter
winds. High pressure overhead Friday. Expect dry weather both
days.

Saturday and Sunday...Low confidence.

Shortwave races east from the Canadian Prairies and digs
southeast. Associated surface low redevelops along the Mid
Atlantic coast. Timing on this feature has been shifting.
Previously it looked like a Saturday storm. Now it looks like a
Sunday storm. We are indicating chance pops for Sunday, but with
low confidence due to timing.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight and Monday...High confidence.

VFR through the period. NW winds gusting to 25 knots in the
evening will diminish tonight.

KBOS TAF...High confidence.

KBDL TAF...High confidence.

Outlook /Monday Night through Friday/...

Monday Night...High confidence. VFR.

Tuesday and Tuesday Night...Moderate to high confidence. Snow should
arrive between 8z and 12z. Periods of moderate to heavy snow will
result in IFR to LIFR conditions at times through the afternoon
before tapering off Tue night. Northeast Wind gusts of 40 to 50
knots expected along the coast late Tue morning into Tue afternoon,
will result in blowing and drifting snow. Ptype mainly snow except a
change to rain may occur across the Cape/Islands.

Wednesday...Moderate Confidence.

Conditions improving to VFR in general, but with areas of MVFR
in scattered snow showers. Northwest winds will gust to 30
knots.

Thursday-Friday...High confidence. VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tonight...High confidence.

West northwest winds gusting 25 to 30 kt will diminish early
tonight. Areas of light freezing spray will slowly diminish
overnight. Lingering 5 to 6 foot seas on the outer waters, but
these will subside toward morning. Small Craft Advisory remains
in effect through evening, then ends close to shore while an
advisory remains in effect overnight over the outer waters.

Monday...High confidence.

High pressure moves over the waters. Winds will become light,
then shift from the south and southwest late afternoon. Some 5
foot seas east of Cape Cod early, otherwise seas below 5 feet
through the day.

Outlook /Monday Night through Friday/...

High confidence.

* Dangerous Conditions for Mariners Tuesday and Tuesday Night *

Monday Night...High confidence.  Light winds and flat seas ahead of
the approaching storm.

Tuesday and Tuesday night...Moderate to high confidence.
Intensifying low pressure system will result in rapidly building
winds/seas Tuesday morning.  By Tue afternoon...expect northeast
wind gusts of 45 to 55 knots with a low risk for a few gusts up to
60 knots.  Seas should build to over 20 feet by late Tue and Tue
night across our eastern outer-waters.  Storm Watches remain posted
for all waters with strong Gales across Boston Harbor and
Narragansett Bay.  These headlines will likely need to be upgraded
to Warnings in the next 12 to 24 hours.

Wednesday...Moderate confidence.

Northwest winds 25 to 30 knots. Lingering 8 to 13 foot seas on
the outer waters, and 5 to 9 feet on the exposed waters closer
to shore such as Mass Bay and RI Sound. Seas further diminishing
Wednesday night. Small Craft Advisory will be needed. Low
probability for Gales.

Thursday and Friday...Moderate confidence.

Diminishing northwest wind as high pressure approaches from the
west. Lingering 5 foot seas on the outer waters Thursday, then
seas below 5 feet Friday.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

We hoisted a Coastal Flood Watch for the early Tuesday afternoon
high tide cycle along the eastern MA Coast, which includes the Cape
and Nantucket.  We are fortunate that the high tide is not a few
hours later, when the seas will be more built up.
Nonetheless...given potential for northeast wind gusts of 50 knots
and a 2 to 3 foot storm surge minor coastal flooding with pockets of
moderate coastal flooding are possible along with some beach
erosion.  A timing change by just a few hours will make a
difference...so felt it was worth a watch at this time.

Also, will need to watch the late Tue night high tide given seas
will still be built up.  If the wind stays north we can not rule out
some minor to perhaps even isolated pockets of moderate coastal
flooding.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Record Low Today

Boston      7/1900
Providence 10/1984
Hartford    6/1984
Worcester   2/1948

Record Low Max Today

Boston      25/1984
Providence  25/1984
Hartford    24/1984
Worcester   22/1998

Record Low for Monday

Boston      3/1885
Providence 12/1948
Hartford    5/1941
Worcester   4/1941

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Winter Storm Warning from 5 AM Tuesday to 2 AM EDT Wednesday
     for CTZ002>004.
MA...High Wind Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday afternoon
     for MAZ022>024.
     Winter Storm Watch from late Monday night through late Tuesday
     night for MAZ022>024.
     Winter Storm Warning from 5 AM to 1 PM EDT Tuesday for
     MAZ005>007-013>021.
     Coastal Flood Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday
     afternoon for MAZ007-014>016-019-022-024.
     Blizzard Watch from Tuesday afternoon through late Tuesday
     night for MAZ005>007-013>021.
     Winter Storm Warning from 5 AM Tuesday to 2 AM EDT Wednesday
     for MAZ002>004-008>012-026.
RI...High Wind Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday afternoon
     for RIZ008.
     Winter Storm Watch from late Monday night through late Tuesday
     night for RIZ008.
     Winter Storm Warning from 5 AM to 1 PM EDT Tuesday for
     RIZ002>007.
     Blizzard Watch from Tuesday afternoon through late Tuesday
     night for RIZ002>007.
     Winter Storm Warning from 5 AM Tuesday to 2 AM EDT Wednesday
     for RIZ001.
MARINE...Storm Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday afternoon for
     ANZ232>235-237-254>256.
     Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Monday for ANZ232>235-237.
     Gale Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening for
     ANZ230.
     Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ230-
     236.
     Storm Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday afternoon for
     ANZ231-250-251.
     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Monday for ANZ231-250-251-
     254>256.
     Gale Watch from Tuesday morning through Tuesday afternoon for
     ANZ236.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WTB/Frank
NEAR TERM...WTB
SHORT TERM...WTB
LONG TERM...Frank/WTB
AVIATION...WTB/Frank
MARINE...WTB/Frank
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Frank
CLIMATE...Staff
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 12, 3:49 PM EDT, 3 hours 14 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Taunton MA
349 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2017

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>004-008>012-026-RIZ001-132000-
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-
Eastern Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Western Hampshire MA-
Western Hampden MA-Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-
Southern Worcester MA-Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-
349 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TUESDAY TO 2 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Connecticut, central
Massachusetts, eastern Massachusetts, western Massachusetts and
northern Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MAZ005-006-013-017-018-020-021-RIZ002>007-132000-
Central Middlesex MA-Western Essex MA-Western Norfolk MA-
Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-
Southern Plymouth MA-Southeast Providence RI-Western Kent RI-
Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport RI-
349 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 1 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Massachusetts,
northeastern Massachusetts, southeastern Massachusetts, northern
Rhode Island and southern Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.
   Blizzard Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MAZ007-014>016-019-132000-
Eastern Essex MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-
Eastern Norfolk MA-Eastern Plymouth MA-
349 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2017

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 1 PM EDT TUESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...
...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Massachusetts,
northeastern Massachusetts and southeastern Massachusetts.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.
   Coastal Flood Watch.
   Blizzard Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MAZ022-024-132000-
Barnstable MA-Nantucket MA-
349 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2017

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Massachusetts.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.
   High Wind Watch.
   Coastal Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MAZ023-RIZ008-132000-
Dukes MA-Block Island RI-
349 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2017

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Massachusetts
and southern Rhode Island.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Watch.
   High Wind Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ232>235-237-254>256-132000-
Nantucket Sound-Vineyard Sound-Buzzards Bay-Rhode Island Sound-
Block Island Sound-
Coastal waters from Provincetown MA to Chatham MA to Nantucket MA
out 20 nm-
Coastal Waters extending out to 25 nm South of Marthas Vineyard and
Nantucket-
Coastal Waters from Montauk NY to Marthas Vineyard extending out to
20 nm South of Block Island-
349 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2017

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters
and Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ231-250-251-132000-
Cape Cod Bay-
Coastal waters east of Ipswich Bay and the Stellwagen Bank National
Marine Sanctuary-Massachusetts Bay and Ipswich Bay-
349 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2017

...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ236-132000-
Narragansett Bay-
349 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2017

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Rhode Island coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ230-132000-
Boston Harbor-
349 PM EDT Sun Mar 12 2017

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Massachusetts coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

For the latest updates...please visit our webpage at
www.weather.gov/boston

You can follow us on Facebook at
www.facebook.com/NWSBoston

You can follow us on Twitter at
@NWSBoston

The office that day

Everything else NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 11, 8:40 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBOX21 hr
Mar 12, 3:21 AM EDTHigh Wind WatchBOXBarnstable, Dukes, Nantucket24 hr
Mar 12, 3:28 AM EDTGale WatchBOX16 hr
Mar 12, 3:28 AM EDTStorm WatchBOX16 hr
Mar 12, 3:36 PM EDTWinter Storm WarningBOXBristol, Essex, Franklin, Hampden, Hampshire, Middlesex and 4 more49 hr
Mar 12, 3:47 PM EDTCoastal Flood WatchBOXBarnstable, Essex, Middlesex, Nantucket, Norfolk, Plymouth and 1 more13 hr
Mar 12, 7:03 PM EDTStorm WarningBOX49 hr

Nearby

Storm Watches in Massachusetts, 2017Every storm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.