Special Weather Statement, NWS Bismarck, ND

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
257 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 240 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

Cold front moving through western North Dakota this afternoon will
be the focus for increasing thunderstorms across west into
central North Dakota this afternoon and evening. While the threat
for severe weather is low, an isolated large hail or gusty wind
event is possible.

Tonight the trend will diminish then end after midnight for all
but the James River valley. Showers will linger across the Valley
Friday then end by afternoon. Highs Friday will be cool, in the
upper 60s and mid 70s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 240 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

The focus for the long term will be the very warm temperatures
expected from the Fourth of July through Thursday. Highs will
easily reach the mid 90s across the region with the GEFS plumes
indicating the potential for highs in excess of 100. With little
rain in sight the drought will likely worsen. With a broad ridge
in place its likely any weak cold front will by dry and provide
little relief from the hot weather.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)

Issued at 200 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

This afternoon, isolated to scattered thunderstorms will develop
which may linger into the evening. Early Friday morning, localized
MVFR cigs may develop over northern and eastern locations.
Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...WAA
LONG TERM...WAA
AVIATION...NH

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
308 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-302015-
Divide-Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Williams-Mountrail-Ward-
McHenry-Pierce-McKenzie-Dunn-Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Sheridan-Wells-
Foster-Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Morton-Burleigh-Kidder-
Stutsman-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux-Emmons-Logan-
La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey-
308 PM CDT Thu Jun 29 2017 /208 PM MDT Thu Jun 29 2017/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
North Dakota, northwest North Dakota, south central North Dakota,
southeast North Dakota, and southwest North Dakota.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are expected to continue across western
and central North Dakota this afternoon through mid evening.
While severe thunderstorms are not expected, a few will have gusty
winds and small hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Very warm temperatures are expected Monday through Wednesday with
temperatures close to 100 possible with very little rain. This
will increase the Fire Danger as well as the potential for heat
related illnesses.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

waa

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
232 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     HAIL             3 W ROSS                48.31N 102.61W
06/29/2017  M1.00 INCH       MOUNTRAIL          ND   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

AE

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
259 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

NDZ010-017-292045-
McKenzie ND-Mountrail ND-
259 PM CDT THU JUN 29 2017

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN MCKENZIE AND WEST
CENTRAL MOUNTRAIL COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

At 256 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking an area of strong
thunderstorms in rural areas of southwest Mountrail County moving
southeast at 20 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
New Town, Ross, 4 Bears Lodge, Belden, White Earth Bay Recreation
Area and Charlson.

If you are on or near Lake Sakakawea, get out of the water and move
indoors or inside a vehicle. Remember, If you can hear thunder, you
are close enough to be struck by lightning. Do not be caught on the
water in a thunderstorm.

&&

LAT...LON 4813 10219 4787 10275 4812 10291 4814 10288
      4814 10286 4813 10283 4821 10283 4833 10251
TIME...MOT...LOC 1956Z 322DEG 7KT 4825 10274

EDWARDS/HAMILTON

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