Alert archive / North Dakota / River Flood Warnings in 2017

River Flood Warning 4, NWS Bismarck, ND

March 27, 2017McHenry County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this river flood warning at Mar 27, 2017, 11:26 AM CDT for McHenry County, North Dakota. It took effect at Mar 27, 2017, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 67 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 27, 2017, 11:26 AM CDT (16:26 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 27, 2017, 7:00 PM CDT
Expired
Mar 30, 2017, 1:56 PM CDT
In force
67 hr
Issued by
NWS Bismarck, ND
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County McHenry County, ND

The radar

The Minot AFB radar (KMBX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Wintering River below Karlsruhe (KLSN8). The gauge peaked at 6.98 ft at Mar 27, 2017, 12:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderatemajor5001000150003/2703/2803/2903/3003/31
Action stage
1508 ft
Minor stage
1509 ft
Moderate stage
1511 ft
Major stage
1512 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05120500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

182 
WGUS43 KBIS 271626
FLWBIS
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1126 AM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

...The National Weather Service in Bismarck has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in North Dakota... 

  Wintering River near Karlsruhe affecting McHenry County
For the Souris River Basin including Karlsruhe...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

.Melt water from the Wintering River is making its way into the 
mainstem Souris, where there is still a lot of ice. Karlsrhue was 
still observed to be ice covered. The river level is forecast
to rise to minor flood stage by later today. With ice still on
the river, rapid fluctuations are possible and the river may
go even higher than forecast.

NDC049-281626-
/O.NEW.KBIS.FL.W.0004.170328T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KLSN8.1.IC.170328T0000Z.170401T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1126 AM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

The National Weather Service in Bismarck has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Wintering River near Karlsruhe
* From this evening until further notice
* At 10 AM Monday the stage was...1508 feet
* Minor flooding is forecast
* Flood stage is 1509 feet

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED              FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG    STG    DAY/TIME  Tue     Wed      Thu    Fri     Sat

Souris River Basin
 Karlsruhe   1509  1508.2 Mon 10 AM 1509.0  1509.0  1509.0  1509.1  1509.3


LAT...LON 4819 10060 4821 10054 4791 10043 4790 10058
      4798 10068 4805 10063      



$$
6 follow-up statements
088 
WGUS83 KBIS 271722
FLSBIS
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1222 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Dakota...
  Souris River near Foxholm affecting Ward County 
  Souris River near Towner affecting McHenry County 
  Wintering River near Karlsruhe affecting McHenry County 

For the Souris River Basin including Foxholm...Towner...Karlsruhe...
Minor flooding is occurring. Minor flooding is forecast at Foxholm
and Karlsruhe. Moderate flooding is forecast at Towner.

.Lake Darling outflows are holding at 1200 cubic feet per second. 
As melt progresses additional changes are likely. Any changes are 
highly dependent on observed and forecast temperatures and timing 
of local runoff to maintain target flow of 2000 cubic feet per
second at Minot.

Increased outflows from Lake Darling and snowmelt runoff below
Lake Darling are producing rises along the Souris. This includes
Foxholm and Towner on the mainstem Souris, and Karlsruhe on the 
Wintering River. Flood warnings remain in effect for these locations.
Ice remains at both Karlsruhe and Towner and can cause rapid 
fluctuations in the river levels.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Do not drive into areas where water tops the 
roadway. Turn around...Don't drown. Avoid driving on flooded roads.

A follow-up product will be issued.

&&

NDC101-282322-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOXN8.1.DR.000000T0000Z.170327T1615Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1222 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Foxholm.
* until further notice.
* At 11:15 AM Monday the stage was 1573 feet.
* Flood stage is 1573 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 1573 feet.
* Impact...At 1575 feet...Rural flooding begins.

&&

             FLD  OBSERVED           FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG    STG    DAY/TIME   Tue    Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat

Souris River Basin
 Foxholm     1573  1573.2  Mon 11 AM 1573.2 1573.2 1573.2 1573.2  1573.2

LAT...LON 4845 10159 4845 10155 4843 10151 4828 10140
      4827 10142 4837 10152      

$$

NDC049-282322-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TOWN8.2.DR.000000T0000Z.170402T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1222 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Towner.
* until further notice.
* At 8:00 AM Monday the stage was 1456 feet.
* Flood stage is 1454 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 1456 feet by 
  Saturday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 1457 feet...Widespread flooding west and north of town 
  with many roads affected.

&&

             FLD  OBSERVED                 FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG    STG    DAY/TIME   Tue      Wed    Thu     Fri    Sat

Souris River Basin
 Towner       1454 1455.8 Mon 8 AM   1455.9  1456.0  1456.1  1456.2 1456.4


LAT...LON 4810 10087 4830 10050 4845 10047 4845 10037
      4821 10045 4807 10085      

$$

NDC049-282322-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0004.170328T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KLSN8.1.IC.170328T0000Z.170401T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1222 PM CDT MON MAR 27 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wintering River near Karlsruhe.
* from Monday evening until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Monday the stage was 1508 feet.
* Flood stage is 1509 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Monday evening and continue to 
  rise to near 1509 feet by Saturday morning. additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.

&&

              FLD  OBSERVED          FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION      STG    STG   DAY/TIME   Tue      Wed     Thu     Fri    Sat

Souris River Basin
 Karlsruhe    1509 1508.2 Mon 11 AM   1509.0  1509.0  1509.0  1509.1  1509.3

LAT...LON 4819 10060 4821 10054 4791 10043 4790 10058
      4798 10068 4805 10063      

$$
164 
WGUS83 KBIS 281802
FLSBIS
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
102 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Dakota...
 
  Souris River near Bantry AFFECTING McHenry County 
  Wintering River near Karlsruhe AFFECTING McHenry County 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Dakota...
  Souris River near Foxholm AFFECTING Ward County 
  Souris River near Towner AFFECTING McHenry County 

For the Souris River Basin including Foxholm...Towner...Bantry...
Karlsruhe...Minor flooding is occurring. Minor flooding is forecast 
at Foxholm and Karlsruhe. Moderate flooding is forecast at Towner 
and Bantry.

.Lake Darling outflows are holding at 1200 cubic feet per second. 
As melt progresses additional changes are likely. Any changes are 
highly dependent on observed and forecast temperatures and timing 
of local runoff to maintain target flow of 2000 cubic feet per
second at Minot.

Increased outflows from Lake Darling and snowmelt runoff below
Lake Darling are producing rises along the Souris. This includes
Foxholm, Towner, and Bantry on the mainstem Souris, and Karlsruhe on 
the Wintering River. Flood warnings remain in effect for these 
locations. Ice remains at both Karlsruhe and Towner and can cause 
rapid fluctuations in the river levels.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Do not drive into areas where water tops the 
roadway. Turn around...Don't drown. Avoid driving on flooded roads.

A follow-up product will be issued.

&&

NDC101-300002-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOXN8.1.DR.170324T0300Z.170331T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
102 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Foxholm.
* until further notice.
* At 12:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 1573 feet.
* Flood stage is 1573 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 1573 feet.
* Impact...At 1575 feet...Rural flooding begins.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG     DAY/TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Souris River Basin
 Foxholm    1573 1573.2  Tue 12 PM  1573.2 1573.2 1573.2 1573.3 1573.3


LAT...LON 4845 10159 4845 10155 4843 10151 4828 10140
      4827 10142 4837 10152      


$$

NDC049-300002-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TOWN8.2.DR.170325T1600Z.170403T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
102 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Towner.
* until further notice.
* At 8:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 1456 feet.
* Flood stage is 1454 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 1457 feet by 
  Sunday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 1457 feet...Widespread flooding west and north of town 
  with many roads affected.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG    DAY/TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Souris River Basin
 Towner     1454  1455.9 Tue 8 AM  1455.9 1456.0 1456.2 1456.3 1456.5


LAT...LON 4810 10087 4830 10050 4845 10047 4845 10037
      4821 10045 4807 10085      


$$

NDC049-300002-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0005.170329T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/BANN8.2.DR.170329T1800Z.170403T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
102 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Bantry.
* from Wednesday afternoon until further notice.
* At 12:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 1439 feet.
* Flood stage is 1440 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 1441 feet by early Monday morning. 
  additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 1440 feet...Water begins crossing the road several 
  hundred feet to the left of the bridge. No towns or major roads are
  flooded.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG     DAY/TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Souris River Basin
 Bantry     1440 1439.1  Tue 12 PM  1439.5 1440.1 1440.3 1440.5 1440.7


LAT...LON 4875 10088 4875 10080 4852 10039 4845 10037
      4845 10047 4860 10076      


$$

NDC049-300001-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170403T1800Z/
/KLSN8.1.IC.170331T1800Z.170401T1200Z.170403T0600Z.NO/
102 PM CDT TUE MAR 28 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wintering River near Karlsruhe.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 12:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 1508 feet.
* Flood stage is 1509 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.


&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG     DAY/TIME   Wed    Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun

Souris River Basin
 Karlsruhe  1509 1508.1  Tue 12 PM  1508.4 1508.7 1508.9 1509.0 1509.1


LAT...LON 4819 10060 4821 10054 4791 10043 4790 10058
      4798 10068 4805 10063      


$$
507 
WGUS83 KBIS 291748
FLSBIS
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1248 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Dakota...
 
  Souris River near Bantry affecting McHenry County 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Dakota...
  Souris River near Foxholm affecting Ward County 
  Souris River near Towner affecting McHenry County 
  Wintering River near Karlsruhe affecting McHenry County 
For the Souris River Basin including Foxholm...Towner...Bantry...
Karlsruhe...Minor to Moderate flooding is occurring and is expected to 
continue.

. Releases from Lake Darling and runoff from melting snow continue to 
make their way through the Souris River and its tributaries. Most 
locations are still seeing rising water levels and this is expected to 
continue through the remainder of the week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Safety message...Do not drive into areas where water tops the 
roadway. Turn around...Don't drown. Avoid driving on flooded roads.


A follow-up product will be issued.

&&

NDC101-302348-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOXN8.1.DR.170324T0300Z.170329T1715Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1248 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Foxholm.
* until further notice.
* At 12:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 1573 feet.
* Flood stage is 1573 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 1573 feet.
* Impact...At 1575 feet...Rural flooding begins.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Souris River Basin
 Foxholm      1573 1573.3 Wed 12 PM 1573.3  1573.3  1573.3  1573.3  
1573.3


LAT...LON 4845 10159 4845 10155 4843 10151 4828 10140
      4827 10142 4837 10152      



$$

NDC049-302348-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TOWN8.2.DR.170325T1600Z.170401T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1248 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Towner.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 1456 feet.
* Flood stage is 1454 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 1457 feet by 
  Saturday early afternoon. Additional rises may be possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact...At 1457 feet...Widespread flooding west and north of town 
  with many roads affected.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Souris River Basin
 Towner       1454 1456.0 Wed 10 AM 1456.2  1456.4  1456.5  1456.6  
1456.6



LAT...LON 4810 10087 4830 10050 4845 10047 4845 10037
      4821 10045 4807 10085      



$$

NDC049-302348-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0005.170331T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/BANN8.2.DR.170331T0600Z.170404T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1248 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Bantry.
* from late Thursday night until further notice.
* At 12:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 1439 feet.
* Flood stage is 1440 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 1441 feet by Tuesday morning. additional 
  rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 1440 feet...Water begins crossing the road several 
  hundred feet to the left of the bridge. No towns or major roads are
  flooded.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Souris River Basin
 Bantry       1440 1439.5 Wed 12 PM 1439.7  1440.1  1440.4  1440.7  
1441.0


LAT...LON 4875 10088 4875 10080 4852 10039 4845 10037
      4845 10047 4860 10076      



$$

NDC049-302348-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170403T1800Z/
/KLSN8.1.SM.170331T1800Z.170401T1200Z.170403T0600Z.NO/
1248 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wintering River near Karlsruhe.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 12:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 1508 feet.
* Flood stage is 1509 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.


&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7AM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Souris River Basin
 Karlsruhe    1509 1508.0 Wed 12 PM 1508.7  1508.9  1509.1  1509.0  
1508.9


LAT...LON 4819 10060 4821 10054 4791 10043 4790 10058
      4798 10068 4805 10063      



$$

ajs
569 
WGUS83 KBIS 300039
FLSBIS
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
739 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Dakota...
 
  Wintering River near Karlsruhe affecting McHenry County 
  Willow Creek near Willow City affecting McHenry and Bottineau 
  Counties 
  Souris River near Foxholm affecting Ward County 
  Souris River near Towner affecting McHenry County 
  Souris River near Bantry affecting McHenry County 
  
For the Souris River Basin including Foxholm...Towner...Bantry...
Karlsruhe...Willow City...Minor to Moderate flooding is occurring 
and is expected to continue.

. Releases from Lake Darling and runoff from melting snow continue to 
make their way through the Souris River and its tributaries. Most 
locations are still seeing rising water levels and this is expected to 
continue through the remainder of the week.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Safety message...Do not drive into areas where water tops the 
roadway. Turn around...Don't drown. Avoid driving on flooded roads.


A follow-up product will be issued.

&&

NDC101-310639-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOXN8.1.DR.170324T0300Z.170330T0015Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
739 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Foxholm.
* until further notice.
* At  7:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 1573 feet.
* Flood stage is 1573 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 1573 feet.
* Impact...At 1575 feet...Rural flooding begins.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Souris River Basin
 Foxholm      1573 1573.3 Wed 7 PM  1573.3  1573.3  1573.3  1573.3  
1573.3



LAT...LON 4845 10159 4845 10155 4843 10151 4828 10140
      4827 10142 4837 10152      



$$

NDC049-310639-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TOWN8.2.DR.170325T1600Z.170401T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
739 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Towner.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 1456 feet.
* Flood stage is 1454 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 1457 feet by 
  Saturday early afternoon. Additional rises may be possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact...At 1457 feet...Widespread flooding west and north of town 
  with many roads affected.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Souris River Basin
 Towner       1454 1456.0 Wed 10 AM 1456.3  1456.5  1456.6  1456.6  
1456.6



LAT...LON 4810 10087 4830 10050 4845 10047 4845 10037
      4821 10045 4807 10085      



$$

NDC049-310639-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0005.170331T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/BANN8.2.DR.170331T0600Z.170405T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
739 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Bantry.
* from late Thursday night until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 1440 feet.
* Flood stage is 1440 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 1441 feet by Tuesday evening. additional 
  rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 1440 feet...Water begins crossing the road several 
  hundred feet to the left of the bridge. No towns or major roads are
  flooded.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Souris River Basin
 Bantry       1440 1439.6 Wed 7 PM  1439.9  1440.3  1440.6  1440.9  
1441.1



LAT...LON 4875 10088 4875 10080 4852 10039 4845 10037
      4845 10047 4860 10076      



$$

NDC049-310639-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170403T1200Z/
/KLSN8.1.SM.170401T0600Z.170401T1200Z.170403T0000Z.NO/
739 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wintering River near Karlsruhe.
* until Monday morning.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 1508 feet.
* Flood stage is 1509 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast by Friday night.


&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Souris River Basin
 Karlsruhe    1509 1507.9 Wed 7 PM  1508.6  1508.9  1509.1  1509.0  
1508.8



LAT...LON 4819 10060 4821 10054 4791 10043 4790 10058
      4798 10068 4805 10063      



$$

NDC009-049-310639-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0007.170330T0035Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLCN8.1.SM.170329T2237Z.170405T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
739 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Willow Creek near Willow City.
* until further notice.
* At  7:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 1442 feet.
* Flood stage is 1442 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 1446 feet by 
  Tuesday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 1447 feet...County roads are closed with 3 houses cut 
  off per Emergency Manager. 

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Souris River Basin
 Willow City  1442 1442.1 Wed 7 PM  1442.2  1442.8  1443.4  1444.0  
1444.9


LAT...LON 4858 10055 4865 10039 4869 10002 4855 10002
      4861 10037 4854 10049      



$$

PJA
464 
WGUS83 KBIS 300304
FLSBIS
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1004 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Dakota...
 
  Souris River near Westhope affecting Bottineau County 
  Souris River near Foxholm affecting Ward County 
  Souris River near Towner affecting McHenry County 
  Souris River near Bantry affecting McHenry County 
  Wintering River near Karlsruhe affecting McHenry County 
  Willow Creek near Willow City affecting McHenry and Bottineau 
  Counties 
For the Souris River Basin including Foxholm...Towner...Bantry...
Westhope...Karlsruhe...Willow City...Minor to Moderate flooding is occurring and is expected to continue.

.Releases from Lake Darling and runoff from melting snow continue to 
make their way through the Souris River and its tributaries. Most 
locations are still seeing rising water levels and this is expected to 
continue through the remainder of the week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Safety message...Do not drive into areas where water tops the 
roadway. Turn around...Don't drown. Avoid driving on flooded roads.


A follow-up product will be issued.

&&

NDC101-310904-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOXN8.1.DR.170324T0300Z.170330T0215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Foxholm.
* until further notice.
* At  9:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 1573 feet.
* Flood stage is 1573 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 1573 feet.
* Impact...At 1575 feet...Rural flooding begins.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Souris River Basin
 Foxholm      1573 1573.3 Wed 9 PM  1573.3  1573.3  1573.3  1573.3  
1573.3



LAT...LON 4845 10159 4845 10155 4843 10151 4828 10140
      4827 10142 4837 10152      



$$

NDC049-310904-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TOWN8.2.DR.170325T1600Z.170401T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1004 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Towner.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 1456 feet.
* Flood stage is 1454 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 1457 feet by 
  Saturday early afternoon. Additional rises may be possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact...At 1457 feet...Widespread flooding west and north of town 
  with many roads affected.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Souris River Basin
 Towner       1454 1456.0 Wed 10 AM 1456.3  1456.5  1456.6  1456.6  
1456.6




LAT...LON 4810 10087 4830 10050 4845 10047 4845 10037
      4821 10045 4807 10085      



$$

NDC049-310904-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0005.170331T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/BANN8.2.DR.170331T0600Z.170405T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Bantry.
* from late Thursday night until further notice.
* At  9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 1440 feet.
* Flood stage is 1440 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 1441 feet by Tuesday evening. additional 
  rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 1440 feet...Water begins crossing the road several 
  hundred feet to the left of the bridge. No towns or major roads are
  flooded.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Souris River Basin
 Bantry       1440 1439.7 Wed 9 PM  1439.9  1440.3  1440.6  1440.9  
1441.1



LAT...LON 4875 10088 4875 10080 4852 10039 4845 10037
      4845 10047 4860 10076      



$$

NDC009-310904-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0006.170331T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTN8.2.SM.170331T0000Z.170405T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Westhope.
* from Thursday evening until further notice.
* At  9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 1413 feet.
* Flood stage is 1414 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue 
  to rise to near 1419 feet by Tuesday evening. additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 1418 feet...Refuge area floods. The city of Westhope is 
  on high ground and does not flood. Road to gage is impassable. 
  Access to Dam #357 is OK below 16 feet.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Souris River Basin
 Westhope     1414 1413.4 Wed 9 PM  1414.0  1414.6  1415.3  1416.4  
1417.6



LAT...LON 4900 10099 4900 10093 4886 10090 4875 10080
      4875 10088 4890 10099      



$$

NDC049-310903-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170403T1200Z/
/KLSN8.1.SM.170401T0600Z.170401T1200Z.170403T0000Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Wintering River near Karlsruhe.
* until Monday morning.
* At  9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 1508 feet.
* Flood stage is 1509 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast by Friday night.


&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Souris River Basin
 Karlsruhe    1509 1507.8 Wed 9 PM  1508.6  1508.9  1509.1  1509.0  
1508.8



LAT...LON 4819 10060 4821 10054 4791 10043 4790 10058
      4798 10068 4805 10063      



$$

NDC009-049-310903-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLCN8.1.SM.170329T2237Z.170405T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1004 PM CDT WED MAR 29 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Willow Creek near Willow City.
* until further notice.
* At  9:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 1442 feet.
* Flood stage is 1442 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 1446 feet by 
  Tuesday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 1447 feet...County roads are closed with 3 houses cut 
  off per Emergency Manager. 

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Thu    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon

Souris River Basin
 Willow City  1442 1442.2 Wed 9 PM  1442.2  1442.8  1443.4  1444.0  
1444.9



LAT...LON 4858 10055 4865 10039 4869 10002 4855 10002
      4861 10037 4854 10049      



$$

PJA
955 
WGUS83 KBIS 301856
FLSBIS
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
156 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017

...The flood warning is cancelled for the Wintering River near 
Karlsruhe...
 
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Dakota...

  Souris River near Foxholm affecting Ward County 
  Souris River near Towner affecting McHenry County 
  Souris River near Bantry affecting McHenry County
  Souris River near Westhope affecting Bottineau County 
  Willow Creek near Willow City affecting McHenry and Bottineau 
  Counties 
For the Souris River Basin including Foxholm...Towner...Bantry...
Westhope...Karlsruhe...Willow City...Minor to moderate flooding is 
occurring...with moderate to major flooding forecast.

.Releases from Lake Darling and runoff from melting snow continue to 
make their way through the Souris River and its tributaries. Most 
locations are still seeing rising water levels and this is expected
to continue through the weekend into early next week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Safety message...Do not drive into areas where water tops the 
roadway. Turn around...Don't drown. Avoid driving on flooded roads.


A follow-up product will be issued.

&&

NDC101-010056-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FOXN8.1.DR.170324T0300Z.170330T1815Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
156 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Foxholm.
* until further notice.
* At  1:15 PM Thursday the stage was 1573 feet.
* Flood stage is 1573 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will remain near 1573 feet.
* Impact...At 1575 feet...Rural flooding begins.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME   Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Souris River Basin
 Foxholm    1573 1573.3 Thu 1 PM 1573.3 1573.3 1573.3 1573.3 1573.3


LAT...LON 4845 10159 4845 10155 4843 10151 4828 10140
      4827 10142 4837 10152      



$$

NDC049-010056-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TOWN8.2.DR.170325T1600Z.170402T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
156 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Towner.
* until further notice.
* At 10:00 AM Thursday the stage was 1456 feet.
* Flood stage is 1454 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 1456 feet by 
  Saturday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 1457 feet...Widespread flooding west and north of town 
  with many roads affected.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME     Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Souris River Basin
 Towner     1454 1456.1 Thu 10 AM 1456.2 1456.4 1456.5 1456.5 1456.5


LAT...LON 4810 10087 4830 10050 4845 10047 4845 10037
      4821 10045 4807 10085      



$$

NDC049-010056-
/O.EXT.KBIS.FL.W.0005.170331T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BANN8.2.DR.170331T0000Z.170405T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
156 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Bantry.
* from this evening until further notice.
* At 11:00 AM Thursday the stage was 1440 feet.
* Flood stage is 1440 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 1441 feet by Wednesday morning. additional rises are 
  possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 1440 feet...Water begins crossing the road several 
  hundred feet to the left of the bridge. No towns or major roads are
  flooded.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME     Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Souris River Basin
 Bantry     1440 1439.9 Thu 11 AM 1440.0 1440.2 1440.5 1440.8 1441.1


LAT...LON 4875 10088 4875 10080 4852 10039 4845 10037
      4845 10047 4860 10076      



$$

NDC009-010056-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0006.170331T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WSTN8.3.SM.170331T0000Z.170405T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
156 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Souris River near Westhope.
* from this evening until further notice.
* At  1:00 PM Thursday the stage was 1414 feet.
* Flood stage is 1414 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 1420 feet by Wednesday early afternoon. additional 
  rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 1418 feet...Refuge area floods. The city of Westhope is 
  on high ground and does not flood. Road to gage is impassable. 
  Access to Dam #357 is OK below 16 feet.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Souris River Basin
 Westhope   1414 1413.8 Thu 1 PM 1414.0 1415.1 1416.4 1417.7 1418.8


LAT...LON 4900 10099 4900 10093 4886 10090 4875 10080
      4875 10088 4890 10099      



$$

NDC049-301926-
/O.CAN.KBIS.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170403T1200Z/
/KLSN8.N.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
156 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Wintering River near Karlsruhe.
* At  1:00 PM Thursday the stage was 1507 feet.
* Flood stage is 1509 feet.
* Forecast...The river may rise again to below flood stage at 1508 feet 
  Saturday morning before falling.
* Impact...At 1506 feet...At this level bankfull conditions exist in 
  some locations. Higher levels only flood agricultural lowlands. No 
  towns flooded at this level. County roads may become flooded at 
  higher levels.

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME    Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Souris River Basin
 Karlsruhe  1509 1507.5 Thu 1 PM 1507.4 1507.8 1508.0 1507.9 1507.8


LAT...LON 4819 10060 4821 10054 4791 10043 4790 10058
      4798 10068 4805 10063      



$$

NDC009-049-010055-
/O.CON.KBIS.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WLCN8.2.SM.170329T2237Z.170405T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
156 PM CDT THU MAR 30 2017

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Willow Creek near Willow City.
* until further notice.
* At  1:00 PM Thursday the stage was 1445 feet.
* Flood stage is 1442 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 1446 feet by 
  Wednesday early afternoon. Additional rises may be possible 
  thereafter.
* Impact...At 1447 feet...County roads are closed with 3 houses cut 
  off per Emergency Manager. 

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED       FORECASTS (7PM)
LOCATION     STG  STG DAY/TIME     Fri    Sat    Sun    Mon    Tue

Souris River Basin
 Willow City 1442 1444.7 Thu 1 PM 1445.1 1445.0 1445.0 1445.0  1445.2


LAT...LON 4858 10055 4865 10039 4869 10002 4855 10002
      4861 10037 4854 10049      


$$

JV/AJS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 27, 9:33 AM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 27, 9:33 AM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
933 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 929 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

No significant changes to the going forecast. Patchy fog continues
over portions of the James River Valley and the north central.
Recent observations indicate fog is lifting around Jamestown.
Populated latest sensible weather elements and interpolated to
late morning values. Will take a closer look at afternoon highs
with the late morning update.

UPDATE Issued at 644 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

Surface observations from across the region still show fog and
low visibilities across the eastern part of the state. Locally,
Jamestown has been fluctuating between 1/2sm and 1/4sm, but they
have been the only spot so far to fall that low across the BIS
forecast area. Weather cameras across the region tell a similar
story to the surface observations.  The current forecast is
carrying areas of fog in the east, and patchy in the central,
which remains a reasonable expectation.

Early morning regional radar mosaic shows a few light returns
moving across the northern part of the state. Do not expect those
in the northwest and north central to be reaching the ground at
this point with forecast soundings showing dry air in the low and
mid levels of the atmospheric column.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 404 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

Melting snowpack, light winds and subsidence will lead to fog
across most of northern North Dakota this morning. Dense fog is
possible around Rugby, Rolette, Bottineau and surrounding areas.
Any fog that does develop should dissipate by noon.

Another weak upper level wave moves into western North Dakota this
afternoon. Some isolated showers may develop across western North
Dakota this afternoon, but confidence isn't high enough at this
time to put it into the forecast.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 404 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

Above normal temperatures will continue through the week with
readings mainly in the 50s.

There are a few chances for precipitation this week, but only with
very light amounts. The next chance for precip is Tuesday night
into Wednesday, however the latest model runs are rather low and
sparse with respect to QPF. There is perhaps a better chance for
precip later this week...Friday into Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning)
Issued at 929 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

LIFR ceilings currently lifting at KJMS. Otherwise vfr conditions
expected through the forecast period.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...TWH
SHORT TERM...AJ
LONG TERM...AJ
AVIATION...TWH
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 27, 9:34 AM CDT, 1 hour 52 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
934 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-281445-
Divide-Burke-Renville-Bottineau-Rolette-Williams-Mountrail-Ward-
McHenry-Pierce-McKenzie-Dunn-Mercer-Oliver-McLean-Sheridan-Wells-
Foster-Golden Valley-Billings-Stark-Morton-Burleigh-Kidder-
Stutsman-Slope-Hettinger-Grant-Bowman-Adams-Sioux-Emmons-Logan-
La Moure-McIntosh-Dickey-
934 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017 /834 AM MDT Mon Mar 27 2017/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
North Dakota, northwest North Dakota, south central North Dakota,
southeast North Dakota, and southwest North Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

twh

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 3:59 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningBISMcHenry37 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Dakota, 2017Every river flood warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.