Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Binghamton, NY

August 19, 2017Bradford County, Pennsylvania

NWS Binghamton, NY issued this special weather statement at Aug 19, 2017, 7:13 PM EDT for Bradford County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 19, 2017, 7:13 PM EDT (23:13 UTC)
Expired
Aug 19, 2017, 7:45 PM EDT
In force
32 min
Issued by
NWS Binghamton, NY

County Bradford County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-08-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2017-08-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -9 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
888 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 19, 3:02 PM EDT, 4 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 19, 3:02 PM EDT, 4 hours 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
302 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
An upper level disturbance will move across NY and PA this
afternoon and evening bringing scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms to our area. After this disturbance passes by,
high pressure will build into our region for Sunday and Monday
with fair weather and seasonable temperatures. The next chance
for precipitation will come Tuesday as a cold front approaches
the region.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Scattered showers are developing across western NY and northwest
Pennsylvania as weak capping indicated on the 12z Buffalo
sounding begins to break down. Strongest storms are beginning to
develop over eastern Ohio and these will track east-southeast
across western Pa during the next few hours remaining well to
our south and west. Latest HRRR and RAP forecasts continue to
indicate only marginal levels of instability in our area with
MLCAPE values maxing out near or just above 500 J/kg and the
best chances for organized convection remaining to our south and
west. We are expecting scattered showers with isolated thunder
to move across our area during the mid afternoon through early
evening followed by clearing overnight, then patchy low clouds
and fog around daybreak Sunday. Sunday looks like a mostly sunny
and seasonably warm day with highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s
as high pressure builds across the area.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
300 PM EDT Update...
Minor changes were made to the previous forecast. Zonal flows
will prevail over the region from Sunday night through Tuesday
morning, combined with ridging at mid-lvls and surface high
pressure. This combination will result in mostly sunny skies,
above normal temperatures with no chance for precip.

Temps Monday night will range in the mid 50s/low 60s. Temps Tues
afternoon will rise into the mid/upper 80s and fall into the 60s
Tues night.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
300 PM EDT Update...
Updated with new WPC guidance...
Surface high pressure will slide off to the east early Tuesday
morning as the next storm system approaches the region from the
west. There continues to be fairly decent model agreement on the
timing of the next system with showers moving into western NY
as a sfc low moves NE into Quebec Tuesday night and a fropa
moves across Ny/PA Tues night. Showers and thunderstorms are
likely across the region late Tuesday evening into Tuesday
night. This could be our next shot for a widespread rainfall
event. The upper level shortwave that will force the sfc
low/fropa across the region will be slow to move east, thus
showers and and a possible rumble of thunder will be possible
through Thursday. High pressure is expected to build back into
the area Thurs evening.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Scattered showers with isolated thunder will develop across the
area this afternoon into this evening. A shower is possible at
any of the TAF sites between 19z and 01z today and have included
a tempo group at BGM/ELM/AVP for a showers where we believe the
best chance for a shower will be. After 01z skies will become
clear to partly cloudy with patches of low cloud and fog after
06z. Skies will become mostly sunny on Sunday with just
scattered cu. Winds will be west at 10 to 15 kts with a few
higher gusts this afternoon, northwest at less than 10 kts
tonight and west at around 10 kts on Sunday.

Outlook...

Sunday through Monday...VFR. Possible IFR in valley fog early.

Tuesday...Restrictions possible in thunderstorms.

Wednesday...VFR.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DJN
NEAR TERM...DJN/MSE
SHORT TERM...KAH
LONG TERM...KAH
AVIATION...DJN/MSE
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 19, 2:23 PM EDT, 4 hours 50 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
223 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-
044-047-048-072-201830-
Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben-
Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-Chenango-
Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna-
Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
223 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and
northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MSE

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 19, 6:15 PM EDT, 58 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
615 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017

NYZ055-056-192300-
Tioga NY-Broome NY-
615 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...SOUTHWESTERN BROOME AND
SOUTHEASTERN TIOGA COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

At 615 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
West Corners, or over Endicott, moving east at 30 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Binghamton, Vestal, Johnson City, Endicott, Kirkwood, Conklin, Maine,
Port Dickinson, Nws Binghamton and Apalachin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to
minor flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4202 7622 4221 7609 4220 7564 4200 7566
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 274DEG 25KT 4211 7611

BJT
Special weather statement, Aug 19, 6:31 PM EDT, 42 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
631 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017

PAZ038-192315-
Bradford PA-
631 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...NORTHWESTERN BRADFORD COUNTY
UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

At 631 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Sylvania, or near Troy, moving east at 35 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Sayre, Athens, Towanda, Ridgebury, Troy, Sheshequin, Ulster,
Litchfield, North Towanda and West Burlington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to
minor flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4199 7637 4169 7643 4173 7689 4174 7690
      4196 7692
TIME...MOT...LOC 2231Z 272DEG 32KT 4186 7687

BJT
Special weather statement, Aug 19, 6:43 PM EDT, 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
643 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017

NYZ046-057-192330-
Otsego NY-Delaware NY-
643 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...SOUTHERN OTSEGO AND NORTHWESTERN
DELAWARE COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM EDT...

At 643 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Gilbertsville, or 11 miles west of Oneonta, moving east at 40 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Oneonta, Davenport, Maryland, Westville, Kortright, New Lisbon,
Otego, Morris, Milford and Gilbertsville.

LAT...LON 4237 7534 4253 7538 4255 7537 4257 7533
      4267 7486 4235 7473
TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 265DEG 34KT 4248 7529

BJT
Special weather statement, Aug 19, 6:56 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
656 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017

NYZ045-056-057-200000-
Chenango NY-Broome NY-Delaware NY-
656 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...SOUTHEASTERN BROOME...
SOUTHWESTERN DELAWARE AND SOUTH CENTRAL CHENANGO COUNTIES UNTIL 800
PM EDT...

At 656 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Windsor, or 12 miles east of Binghamton, moving east at 35 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Walton, Sanford, Colchester, Deposit, Hamden, Windsor, Afton,
Harvard, Harpursville and Nineveh.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to
minor flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4198 7502 4201 7575 4223 7568 4224 7497
TIME...MOT...LOC 2256Z 272DEG 29KT 4210 7567

BJT
Local storm report, Aug 19, 7:12 PM EDT, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
712 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TROY                    41.79N 76.78W
08/19/2017                   BRADFORD           PA   911 CALL CENTER

            REPORTS OF MULTIPLE TREES DOWN NEAR TROY AND
            RIDGEBURY TOWNSHIP.

&&

BJT
Special weather statement, Aug 19, 7:13 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
713 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017

PAZ038-039-192345-
Susquehanna PA-Bradford PA-
713 PM EDT SAT AUG 19 2017

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...WESTERN SUSQUEHANNA AND
NORTHEASTERN BRADFORD COUNTIES UNTIL 745 PM EDT...

At 713 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Rome, or near Towanda, moving east at 35 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Rush, Towanda, Wysox, Orwell, North Towanda, Herrick, Rome, Le
Raysville, Friendsville and Warren Center.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to
minor flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4174 7647 4194 7646 4197 7595 4168 7596
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 271DEG 31KT 4183 7637

BJT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 19, 4:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMChemung, Tioga46 min
Aug 19, 5:34 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMTioga41 min
Aug 19, 5:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMChenango65 min
Aug 19, 6:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMBroome45 min
Aug 19, 6:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMOtsego47 min
Aug 19, 6:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMDelaware64 min
Aug 19, 7:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMSchoharie14 min
Aug 19, 7:51 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMDelaware39 min
Aug 19, 6:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMBradford44 min
Aug 19, 6:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBradford34 min
Aug 19, 7:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSusquehanna34 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Pennsylvania, 2017Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.