Gale Warning 15, NWS Gaylord, MI

694 
WHUS73 KAPX 100208
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1008 PM EDT FRI JUN 9 2017

LMZ344>346-101015-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0015.170610T1400Z-170611T1000Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1008 PM EDT FRI JUN 9 2017

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 6 AM EDT
SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-LSZ321-322-101015-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0054.170610T1400Z-170611T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1008 PM EDT FRI JUN 9 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
6 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

196 
WHUS73 KAPX 100821
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
421 AM EDT SAT JUN 10 2017

LMZ341-342-LSZ321-322-101630-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0054.170610T1400Z-170611T1000Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.GL.W.0015.170610T1400Z-170611T1000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
421 AM EDT SAT JUN 10 2017

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM EDT
SUNDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ344>346-101630-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0015.170610T1400Z-170611T1000Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
421 AM EDT SAT JUN 10 2017

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM
EDT SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM
EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-101630-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0054.170610T1400Z-170611T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
421 AM EDT SAT JUN 10 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

126 
WHUS73 KAPX 101428
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1028 AM EDT SAT JUN 10 2017

LMZ341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-102230-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170611T1000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1028 AM EDT SAT JUN 10 2017

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-102230-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-170611T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
1028 AM EDT SAT JUN 10 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

563 
WHUS73 KAPX 101952
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
352 PM EDT SAT JUN 10 2017

LMZ341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-110400-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170611T1000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
352 PM EDT SAT JUN 10 2017

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-110400-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-170611T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
352 PM EDT SAT JUN 10 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

895 
WHUS73 KAPX 110206
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1006 PM EDT SAT JUN 10 2017

LMZ341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-111000-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170611T1000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1006 PM EDT SAT JUN 10 2017

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-111000-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-170611T1000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
1006 PM EDT SAT JUN 10 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

164 
WHUS73 KAPX 110725
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
325 AM EDT SUN JUN 11 2017

LMZ342-344>346-111500-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170611T1000Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.SC.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-170611T1500Z/
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
325 AM EDT SUN JUN 11 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING. THE
GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ341-LSZ321-322-110830-
/O.CAN.KAPX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-170611T1000Z/
SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
325 AM EDT SUN JUN 11 2017

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING. 

$$

LMZ323-111500-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-170611T1500Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-
325 AM EDT SUN JUN 11 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-111500-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0054.000000T0000Z-170611T1500Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
325 AM EDT SUN JUN 11 2017

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
409 PM EDT Fri Jun 9 2017

.NEAR TERM...(Tonight through Saturday)
Issued at 407 PM EDT Fri Jun 9 2017

...Showers and Thunderstorms Ending by the evening. ...

High Impact Weather Potential...None

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast...Small 500 mb shortwave trough is pushing
through the flow into N Lower and E Upper this afternoon and will
continue into Lake Huron by 03z. Latest HRRR is handling this pretty
well, maybe a little overdone, on qpf, but the general areas where
the convection is breaking out pretty good. As the shortwave moves
through, the drier air in the 700-500 mb layer (RH<20%) and around
850 mb (rh< 20% as well) clears things out. Saturday will remain dry
as the 500 mb ridge builds into the region and pushes the main
thunderstorm threats to the north of Lake Superior. This will allow
our temperatures to warm to the lower to mid 80s.

Primary Forecast Concerns...As this area of showers and
thunderstorms moves through the region, they could linger a little
longer than 00z, but the main idea is that they will die out as they
lose heating.

Temperatures Saturday could climb a little higher as the
temperatures mix to about the mid to upper 80s, but cloud cover from
convective debris across the lake, could affect the region so have
gone with the middle ground.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Saturday night through Monday)
Issued at 407 PM EDT Fri Jun 9 2017

...Warmer, but periodic showers and thunderstorms...

High Impact Weather Potential...periodic thunderstorm chances...
marginal risk for severe storms.

Primary Forecast Concerns...Thunderstorm/severe weather potential
and temperatures through the weekend.

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast...Trough/Ridge/Trough pattern across the
CONUS this morning with a closed low off the PAC NW coast...ridging
and warm air through the plains into the Midwest and a departing
trough in New England. Upper level ridging/warm air will shift into
the Great Lakes region this weekend...although flatten a bit as PAC
NW trough migrates inland and short wave energy/surface low pressure
eject through the northern plains and far northern Great Lakes
region...along with a cold front that may settle into the northern
lakes region by Sunday. This has big implications for
temperatures...and our warming trend for northern Michigan may not
end up as robust as earlier advertised as temperatures may be
tempered by one or more convective systems/cloud cover/debris that
will develop along the periphery of the ridge and along the
front...not to mention the ultimate location of the front itself.

Saturday night into Sunday...Aforementioned short wave energy and
attending surface low will be sliding quickly through Ontario and
Quebec with a trailing cold front folding into northern Michigan
heading into Sunday. Convective development remains a possibility
in the upper Midwest Saturday night...and sliding through the
northern lakes into Sunday morning...with lingering cloud cover
draping across northern Michigan a possibility for Sunday. Of course
If that occurs...high temperatures for Sunday will be cooler than
previously advertised...perhaps much cooler. A lot of uncertainty
here, but plan is to beef up cloud cover and lower high temps for
Sunday. But again, much will depend on convective evolution and
where the boundary ends up.

Front remains draped across the northern lakes region...back to
another area of low pressure in the front range of the Rockies.
Another round of showers/storms may develop again in the upper
midwest late Sunday with pooling moisture/instability along the
boundary and where stronger low level flow will be focused...and
potentially sliding through the northern lakes region heading into
Monday. Again, much uncertainty surrounds this pattern (where stuff
will develop, where it goes)...like my inherited forecast with
showers/storms Sunday night into Monday and a slightly cooler/
cloudier forecast for Monday.

Severe weather possibilities...any convection that develops and
moves through the region through the weekend will have a fair amount
of instability and stronger mid level flow to work with and could
produce some strong-severe storms...as outlooked with the SPC Day 2
and Day 3 products.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Friday)
Issued at 407 PM EDT Fri Jun 9 2017

The weather in the extended looks unsettled, to say the least.
Models show waves passing over the great lakes ahead of a more
robust low pressure system that will move through around Thursday.
Timing of this activity will be the forecast challenge ahead...as
guidance indicates at least chance pops in each period through
the extended. That said, I suspect we will lack the moisture for
such continuous activity and instead will see shots of showers and
even a few thunderstorms...with longer periods of rain free
conditions. Thursday looks like the best day for the most
widespread appreciable rainfall. Temperatures will run seasonal to
a touch above...with daytime highs generally in the 70s, to lower
80s.

Berger

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 131 PM EDT Fri Jun 9 2017

Drier, cooler air is pushing into the western part of the region,
this will begin to squash the convective clouds near MBL and TVC
and then PLN. APN may see a shower or so, but once we are past
00z, the shower threat should be done. Winds will be rather light
so some fog will be possible as well overnight. Winds will pick up
during the late morning. There may be some low level wind shear
for the afternoon into evening (after 18z) That will need to be
investigated over the next couple of forecast iterations.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 407 PM EDT Fri Jun 9 2017

Tonight through Sunday...Winds will gradually increase tonight and
into Saturday as the gradient tightens up winds look to ramp up to
small craft sustained winds, in all of the nearshore waters.
However, from Manistee to Grand Traverse Light am expecting the
gusts to be over Gale force as the coastal convergence and the
funneling of the Manitou Passage helps to accelerate wind speeds.
Saturday night, as the low to the north, that tightened the gradient
passes to the east, the gradient slackens winds will diminish.
Sunday, winds and waves will be light and under 2 feet as high
pressure passes through the region.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 10 AM Saturday to 6 AM EDT Sunday for
     LHZ345>349.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 10 AM Saturday to 6 AM EDT Sunday for
     LMZ323-341-342.
     GALE WARNING from 10 AM Saturday to 6 AM EDT Sunday for
     LMZ344>346.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 10 AM Saturday to 6 AM EDT Sunday for
     LSZ321-322.
&&

NEAR TERM...JSL
SHORT TERM...TBA
LONG TERM...KAB
AVIATION...JSL
MARINE...JSL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
330 AM EDT Fri Jun 9 2017

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-
042-100730-
Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including
Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel-
5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including
Bois Blanc Island-
Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay
National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI-
Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to
Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge-
Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little
Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI-
Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI-
Manistee to Point Betsie MI-
Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI-
St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-Chippewa-
Mackinac-Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Charlevoix-Leelanau-Antrim-
Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford-
Oscoda-Alcona-Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-
Gladwin-Arenac-
330 AM EDT Fri Jun 9 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for northern Lower Michigan...
eastern Upper Michigan...and adjacent nearshore waters of Lake
Michigan...Lake Huron and Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Isolated thunderstorms are possible in northern lower Michigan
this afternoon, generally south of M-72. Severe storms will not
occur.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

There is a chance of thunderstorms Saturday night, mainly across
eastern Upper and the Tip of the Mitt. Some of the storms may be
strong with damaging winds as the primary threat.

Additional thunderstorms are possible at various times across all of
northern Michigan Sunday afternoon through Wednesday night.
Thunderstorms Sunday afternoon through Sunday night will have the
potential to produce very heavy rainfall, and to also become
severe with gusty winds and large hail as the primary threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&

For more information visit http://weather.gov/gaylord.